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February 5th-6th Midwest Snow Storm


bud2380

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Just cant get over how we have a hole of barely any snow over us with literally several inches in all directions. What the hell is this ...come on now!!!!

2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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here are some #'s from the Euro-

 

IOW-

SUN 00Z 04-FEB   1.7    -3.0    1008      55      98    0.03     545     538    SUN 06Z 04-FEB   0.5    -3.4    1009      73      72    0.00     541     534    SUN 12Z 04-FEB  -7.2   -11.0    1017      62      83    0.01     538     525    SUN 18Z 04-FEB  -8.0   -17.4    1025      42      68    0.00     533     514    MON 00Z 05-FEB -10.5   -17.4    1028      27       8    0.00     536     515    MON 06Z 05-FEB -13.3   -13.9    1030      35       3    0.00     541     518    MON 12Z 05-FEB -14.7   -12.2    1027      38       2    0.00     546     525    MON 18Z 05-FEB  -9.2   -11.2    1025      41     100    0.04     547     528    TUE 00Z 06-FEB -10.0   -12.9    1023      82      99    0.25     545     527    TUE 06Z 06-FEB -18.7   -11.4    1027      94      26    0.01     546     526

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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CID-

SUN 00Z 04-FEB   1.5    -2.9    1007      59      97    0.03     544     538    SUN 06Z 04-FEB  -0.7    -4.0    1009      76      73    0.00     540     533    SUN 12Z 04-FEB  -8.1   -12.2    1018      62      86    0.01     538     524    SUN 18Z 04-FEB  -8.9   -17.9    1026      40      77    0.00     531     512    MON 00Z 05-FEB -11.3   -17.6    1028      29       8    0.00     536     514    MON 06Z 05-FEB -14.4   -14.0    1029      39       3    0.00     540     518    MON 12Z 05-FEB -15.2   -12.5    1027      40       2    0.00     545     525    MON 18Z 05-FEB  -9.9   -11.4    1025      45     100    0.05     546     528    TUE 00Z 06-FEB -10.5   -13.7    1024      83      97    0.27     544     526    TUE 06Z 06-FEB -19.1   -11.8    1027      95      19    0.01     545     525 

ALO-

SUN 00Z 04-FEB   1.1    -4.8    1007      59      98    0.01     542     536    SUN 06Z 04-FEB  -5.1    -7.2    1012      74      98    0.01     539     529    SUN 12Z 04-FEB -10.4   -15.7    1021      59      96    0.01     535     519    SUN 18Z 04-FEB -11.7   -19.1    1028      32      73    0.01     528     507    MON 00Z 05-FEB -13.2   -18.1    1029      35       7    0.00     535     513    MON 06Z 05-FEB -15.3   -14.8    1029      44       4    0.00     539     517    MON 12Z 05-FEB -15.1   -13.4    1026      39       2    0.00     543     524    MON 18Z 05-FEB -10.4   -12.4    1024      53     100    0.07     544     526    TUE 00Z 06-FEB -11.0   -15.2    1024      79      75    0.24     542     523

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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DSM-

SUN 00Z 04-FEB   0.7    -1.2    1006      60      74    0.04     545     540    SUN 06Z 04-FEB  -5.0    -3.9    1014      69      91    0.00     542     532    SUN 12Z 04-FEB  -9.3   -13.1    1022      56      97    0.01     540     523    SUN 18Z 04-FEB  -9.6   -18.0    1029      32      51    0.01     534     512    MON 00Z 05-FEB -10.4   -17.1    1030      25       6    0.00     539     517    MON 06Z 05-FEB -14.2   -13.8    1030      34       2    0.00     544     521    MON 12Z 05-FEB -13.1   -10.8    1026      30      57    0.00     549     529    MON 18Z 05-FEB  -8.6    -9.8    1023      45     100    0.07     548     531    TUE 00Z 06-FEB  -9.2   -13.7    1023      70      79    0.10     546     528

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Tonight's UK is the outlier, showing the best snow band across southern Iowa Monday.  All other models show nw through ec IA... qpf in the 0.30-0.35" range.

 

It appears much of our snow on Monday may fall during daylight, too, which is a big plus in my book.  Overnight snow just doesn't do much for me like it might have twenty years ago.  Now, I'd rather just sleep. :)

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Comparisons from the 12Z Euro to 00Z Euro.  Overall snow amounts and coverage are greater in the 00Z. Not by much but just an expansion of the snow field itself would be enough for those on the edge like myself. Good trends.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Looks sooo beautiful for the Black Hills!

 

If it comes true; I'll send some nice snow reports from out here over the next few days; pics too!

 

Thxns 4 posting!

I don't want any photos, you can keep them too yourself.  Photos will just make me even more mad. lol

2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/

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Thanks Dennis Reynolds. So thoughtful of you

 

"Glenn Howerton as Dennis Reynolds – Dennis is a co-owner of Paddy's Pub and is Dee's twin brother. Easily the most sociopathic of the characters, Dennis is abrasive, narcissistic, selfish, histrionic, and vain. Dennis graduated from the University of Pennsylvania. It is at times hinted that Dennis may be a psychopathic serial killer, but this remains ambiguous. After the season 12 finale it is unclear whether or not Dennis will be returning for the show's 13th and 14th seasons"

_________________________________

 

I so never graduated from the University of Pennsylvania...I got through two semesters.

 

As for the rest....well...

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DMX not talking as widespread of totals shown in previous maps. Oh well- they got time to let reality sink in. After all- yday was 1-2" with locally higher amounts.

 

The medium range
GFS/Euro are in good agreement with regard to Monday`s system at
this time with the NAM a slight outlier. Strong warm air advection
will attempt to replace the Arctic air and lead to strong lift by
Monday morning over southeast South Dakota and northwest Iowa. Bufr
soundings show rapid top-down saturation from northwest Iowa east
southeast with time. The strong warm air advection and frontal
forcing will lead to moderate snowfall from the morning through
afternoon hours across the northwest to the east/southeast by the
afternoon as the better lift/warm air advection move across the
region. Both the GFS/Euro show total max qpf between .30 to .40 from
northwest to east/southeast by 00z. Snow ratios in the band of
heavier precipitation will reach 15 to 20 during the day Monday with
areas farther north into the colder air seeing the higher snowfalls.
Snowfall rates of 1/2 inch or more per hour may occur with this
system though winds are not expected to cause major additive
visibility reductions or blowing snow. The northern areas are more
favored to see 3 to 4 inches with locally higher amounts possible
and the south a dusting to up to perhaps 2 inches on the southern
edge of the snow band. At this point would expect to have an
advisory for the event with exact placement better positioned in the
next 24 to 36 hours as a better handle on qpf and track of higher
qpf come into view.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Both the 00z Euro Op/EPS have backed off on the secondary wave and is weaker farther south but still looks good for KC/MO/STL/INDY.  Hey, at least practically everyone on here may score some hits through mid week, esp our KC/MO peeps who have been on the sidelines all winter season.

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Its too bad Euro caved into the GFS. Hopefully, we get some changes early next week. :wacko:

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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snku_acc.us_mw.png

I think I saw it's been almost 800 days since Des Moines had their last 3" snowfall. Looks good to break that streak. Are you in Des Moines?

Close--- I work in DSM but live about 30 min NNW.   It's going to be real close. The airport is on the S side which is not helping matters.

 

NAM- above...

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Really liking how this looks. Wouldnt be surprised if a few counties get warning snows. DMX still being conservative.

+1 Also here.  -- liking the overall trends (of late). But we all know WAY too well what can happen there.....

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Really? Cant get anymore comical then this

 

A3ZnBhQ.jpg

Is there a reason you would expect anything different? Welcome to Winter as we know it in Eastern Nebraska.

 

Craig, lowering your expectations of seeing snow in Winter around this area will help soften the blow of missing an “epic” 2-4 inch snowfall.

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Is there a reason you would expect anything different? Welcome to Winter as we know it in Eastern Nebraska.

 

Craig, lowering your expectations of seeing snow in Winter around this area will help soften the blow of missing an “epic” 2-4 inch snowfall.

I noticed we're now down to a 30% chance of snow for tomorrow's wave, when we were at 80% on Thursday. I'm not holding out much hope for the rest of the week either. Like you said, not shocking at all.

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ICON has shifted the heavy band south the last couple runs, now has the best snow from Des Moines to Burlington.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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ICON has shifted the heavy band south the last couple runs, now has the best snow from Des Moines to Burlington.

Noticed that also. Just do not know how much stock you can put in it. I guess we will find out. 

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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DVN, in their overnight discussion, mentioned a possible area of greater convergence south of I-80, which the GFS and ICON are beginning to latch onto.

 

The GFS has juiced up overall, though, so I'm still at about 0.35" qpf.  I sure would like that 0.50" band, though.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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