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March 2018 Observations and Discussion

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#651
Niko

Posted 27 March 2018 - 07:26 AM

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@ Mich Peeps

 

According to the news this morning, on this date back in '91 there was quite the Tor outbreak across SMI? That was my first spring in NMI and it was a really mild one with real warmth in April even up there. News report mentioned 15 twisters, 40 injured, and millions in damage. Odd that I don't remember that at least making news when it happened. Anyone on here remember this event? I'm sure it's prolly part of a Wiki page but would prefer personal MI peep memories over "just the facts" 

 

...........At that time, I was in NYC, so I would have no clue about this. :unsure:


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#652
jaster220

Posted 27 March 2018 - 07:35 AM

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I do not remember the March 27th 1991 tornado outbreak (I had to look it up) but it looks like most of the tornadoes were on the east side of the state. Of the 15 there were 4 F3’s one NW of Battle Creek and one in Coldwater, 2 near or just north of West Branch running toward Oscoda (there was also a F 2 near I 75 south west of West Branch. Two more F2’s one south west of Houghton Lake and one between Jackson and Lansing near US 127. There were 3 F1’s two of which were in the Big Rapids area and one west of Port Huron. And 4 more F0’s While I do not remember that outbreak I do remember  derecho on Sunday July 7th that came thru Grand Rapids with 85 MPH winds there were many trees down and I had no power here at my house for several days.

 

Nice summary WMJim   Looks like that may have been the last time serious twisters roamed the immediate Marshall surroundings, and in just about every direction too! October of 2001 an F2 or F3 crossed I-94 near the main Galesburg exit 85 heading NE into the western side of the Fort Custer property on the west side of BC. That was mostly a tree breaker tho, not aware of much structural impacts let-alone injuries. I moved to Marshall in May of '02 and we've not had an actual Tor in BC/Marshall since, tho the big blow-down in May of 2011 may have been a potent funnel that never quite touched down.  


Winter 2019-20 Snow Total = 43.7"  Largest Storm: 7" (11/11)        Oct: T Nov: 7.8 Dec: 7.1 Jan: 7.3 Feb: 18.0 Mar: 3.5 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 


#653
Tom

Posted 27 March 2018 - 08:03 AM

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As expected, the 12z GFS is back to reality and agreeing with it's own ensembles which have been steadfast on the cold coming this weekend along with chances for snow.  We are inside 4 days now and the model is painting a stripe of snow along and north of I-80 Fri night into Sat.



#654
Niko

Posted 27 March 2018 - 08:14 AM

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Currently some light rain and temps in the low 40s. Rain will end by afternoon.



#655
james1976

Posted 27 March 2018 - 08:50 AM

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Back home for a couple days! I figure if its gonna be cold we might as well have snow!
I was out of state for this recent storm but i believe i picked up atleast 11" and possibly more. That puts me at a solid 42" on the season and that might even be a little low.
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#656
jaster220

Posted 27 March 2018 - 10:25 AM

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As expected, the 12z GFS is back to reality and agreeing with it's own ensembles which have been steadfast on the cold coming this weekend along with chances for snow.  We are inside 4 days now and the model is painting a stripe of snow along and north of I-80 Fri night into Sat.

 

Double Digit bulls-eye speck over mby. The last DD hit was Feb 24-25 of '16..considering all the factors that point against this (cue Money Man's list) I shall remain nonchalant for the time being..


Winter 2019-20 Snow Total = 43.7"  Largest Storm: 7" (11/11)        Oct: T Nov: 7.8 Dec: 7.1 Jan: 7.3 Feb: 18.0 Mar: 3.5 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 


#657
BrianJK

Posted 27 March 2018 - 10:35 AM

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Back home for a couple days! I figure if its gonna be cold we might as well have snow!
I was out of state for this recent storm but i believe i picked up atleast 11" and possibly more. That puts me at a solid 42" on the season and that might even be a little low.

 

How did your area look upon returning?  Still have that wintry look/feel to it?



#658
Tom

Posted 27 March 2018 - 10:43 AM

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This news is just fantastic and well advertised via the CFSv2 weeks ago and fulfilled a call I made of bringing their seasonal snowfalls near normal:

 

 

 

mGphcSDv_bigger.jpgSquaw Alpine @squawalpine
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Thanks to this incredible #MiracleMarch that brought over 18 FEET of snow, we'll be skiing & riding thru Memorial Day - May 28, 2018! Cheers to 2 more months of Spring skiing! (weather & conditions permitting) #springskiingcapital #mysquawalpine

 

 

They average 450" of snow per season and they more than doubled their snowfall amount from Feb 27th (161") to 388" on March 25th...

 

http://squawalpine.c...nowfall-tracker


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#659
FAR_Weather

Posted 27 March 2018 - 11:02 AM

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Short term AFD from GRR yesterday afternoon. Saw something on Twitter that made me look it up. This was a good read.

 

 

 

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 321 PM EDT Mon Mar 26 2018

A steady rain will arrive toward midnight and linger into Tuesday
morning. Its still looking like we will have a half an inch to an
inch over the region.

Rain was progressing NE over West Central IL as of 19Z and will
reach the GRR CWA toward midnight. Solid low level jet support
arrives in this time frame and crosses Southern Lower through the
wee hours of the morning when the steadiest, and occasionally heavy,
rains occur.

The front comes through around mid day from west to east on Tuesday.
The morning will be wet, but then the rains end from northwest to
southeast through the afternoon and into the Tuesday night. The
front slows it's pace into Tuesday night as a wave of low pressure
passes to our south. The trend with this low has been farther
south. So expecting all but the far SE CWA will be drying out into
Tuesday evening. Trended POPs down for much of the area Tuesday
night.

Another front moves across the area late Wednesday night, but this
appears to be moisture starved. This should only produce mid clouds.


And so this brings a sunset to my nearly 31-year NWS career. I've
had many rewarding experiences, keeping all abreast of what to
expect weather-wise. Even though I wasn't always correct, I can
honestly say I always did what I thought was right and gave it my
best effort. I am most warmed by a comment a 20 year-old recently
said to me, that he was shocked whenever the forecast wasn't right.
That statement proves we have come a long way in the past 30+ years,
and I'm proud to have been a part of that.

Next time you see a Meteorologist, thank them for they have worked
24/7/365 for the good of keeping everyone safe. Whether on a plane,
in a car, on a boat; sleeping through the night, or busy at your
workplace; the NWS was, and still will be, there for you.

I appreciate the good men and women I've worked alongside. The GRR
forecasters are especially talented and deliver hard-earned products
for you multiple times, every day and every night.

Thank you for the honor of serving you.

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>1" Snowfalls for Toledo Express Airport in 2019-2020: 11/11 (4.0"), 12/31 (1.0"), 1/17-18 (5.5"), 2/5-6 (3.2"), 2/9 (1.3"), 2/12-13 (1.2"), 2/25-26 (4.1"), 3/22 (1.6"), 4/17 (2.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2019-2020 @ KTOL: 25.6"            Coldest Low: 8*F (11/13)

 

 

First flake of the season: 11/7/2019 @ 10:06 AM EST

 


#660
jaster220

Posted 27 March 2018 - 11:45 AM

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Short term AFD from GRR yesterday afternoon. Saw something on Twitter that made me look it up. This was a good read.

 

I heard there was a retirement there, but not about this AFD. Glad you posted it.  ;)


Winter 2019-20 Snow Total = 43.7"  Largest Storm: 7" (11/11)        Oct: T Nov: 7.8 Dec: 7.1 Jan: 7.3 Feb: 18.0 Mar: 3.5 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 


#661
jaster220

Posted 27 March 2018 - 11:47 AM

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A little bit stale dated, but really illustrates just how low sunspots have dropped after last October's spike.. :o

 

Attached File  20180327 ISES Sunspot Chart as of 05-Feb-2018.jpg   313.5KB   0 downloads


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Winter 2019-20 Snow Total = 43.7"  Largest Storm: 7" (11/11)        Oct: T Nov: 7.8 Dec: 7.1 Jan: 7.3 Feb: 18.0 Mar: 3.5 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 


#662
gosaints

Posted 27 March 2018 - 11:57 AM

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doesnt it take like years and years for sun spots activity to impact viable weather and even then the influence is unknown??



#663
Tom

Posted 27 March 2018 - 12:04 PM

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doesnt it take like years and years for sun spots activity to impact viable weather and even then the influence is unknown??


Yes, it takes years to cool the planet as long as Sun spots continue to stay low. During Low Solar years, there isn’t much of a lag period in terms of high Lat blocking like we are seeing this season.
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#664
james1976

Posted 27 March 2018 - 06:32 PM

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How did your area look upon returning?  Still have that wintry look/feel to it?

Yeah prolly good 6" OTG yet. Its taken a beating though with the late March sun. Air temps are struggling though.



#665
Money

Posted 27 March 2018 - 07:57 PM

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Gfs looks good for this weekend from minny into WI

Temps in the mid 20’s (24-28 range)

http://www.pivotalwe...6&r=us_mw&dpdt=

Probably looking at a 2-4 range

#666
OKwx2k4

Posted 28 March 2018 - 12:19 AM

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@ Okwx, shades of last year??? Wet times ahead...

tsa.png


Yessir. My drought is over for sure now.
Attached File  rainrfc.48hr.png   158.31KB   0 downloads
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#667
OKwx2k4

Posted 28 March 2018 - 12:26 AM

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Short term AFD from GRR yesterday afternoon. Saw something on Twitter that made me look it up. This was a good read.


That's pretty wonderful. Worth sharing for sure. Thank you.
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#668
Tom

Posted 28 March 2018 - 02:45 AM

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Keep an eye out and be vigilant my friends...

 

 

WHERE WILL CHINA'S SPACE STATION RE-ENTER? Eight tons of Chinese space hardware are about to disintegrate in a bright fireball. The European Space Agency (ESA) says the Tiangong-1 space station will re-enter Earth's atmosphere sometime between "the morning of 31 March and the early morning of 2 April (in UTC time)." The broad uncertainty in re-entry time makes it impossible to predict exactly where Tiangong-1 will re-enter. All we know is that it will disintegrate somewhere between +42.8 and -42.8 degrees latitude, the upper and lower limits of the station's tilted orbit:

reentrymap_strip.jpg

Although most of Earth's population is contained within the possible re-entry zone, the odds strongly favor a descent over uninhabited land or ocean. According to the ESA, "[surviving fragments] will be scattered over a curved ellipsoid that is thousands of km in length and tens of km wide. The personal probability of being hit by a piece of debris from the Tiangong-1 is actually 10 million times smaller than the yearly chance of being hit by lightning."

 

Approximately one day before the reentry, it will become possible to roughly predict re-entry ground tracks, and hence which regions on Earth might witness the fireball. Stay tuned for updates.

 

 


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#669
St Paul Storm

Posted 28 March 2018 - 04:05 AM

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The NAM, GFS, GEM and ICON all show a decent snow for parts of MN and WI on Saturday. Euro says meh, nothing to see here. The qpf looks pretty minimal but could see a few inches.

#670
westMJim

Posted 28 March 2018 - 05:15 AM

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So just where does Grand Rapids stand so far this month and year? For the month of March as of March 27th the mean is 33.4° that is a departure of -1.5° so far this month the average high/low has been 42.5° 24.3° the 30 years vs the average of 43.7/26.4 there has been 4.9” of snow fall the average as of this date should be 7.9”

As for the year so far (since January 1st) the average high/low is 37.0/21.3 the long term average is 35.9/21.3 so we have been warmer for highs this year but the low is right at average. Of course the year is above average at 29.2° vs the average of 28.6° (+0.6°) we have had 8.02” of precip vs the average of 5.98” and for snow fall we are now at 71.7” vs the average at this time of 72.7” (yes we are now below average for the seasonal snow fall total)


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#671
OKwx2k4

Posted 28 March 2018 - 06:09 AM

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Keep an eye out and be vigilant my friends...


That's pretty cool! Thanks for sharing!

#672
Niko

Posted 28 March 2018 - 06:15 AM

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Clouds trying to break and allow for some sunshine to peek through. Temps are chilly and holding @ 38F.



#673
FAR_Weather

Posted 28 March 2018 - 04:32 PM

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Front has passed, lightly raining with big raindrops now. 51.8*F.


>1" Snowfalls for Toledo Express Airport in 2019-2020: 11/11 (4.0"), 12/31 (1.0"), 1/17-18 (5.5"), 2/5-6 (3.2"), 2/9 (1.3"), 2/12-13 (1.2"), 2/25-26 (4.1"), 3/22 (1.6"), 4/17 (2.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2019-2020 @ KTOL: 25.6"            Coldest Low: 8*F (11/13)

 

 

First flake of the season: 11/7/2019 @ 10:06 AM EST

 


#674
Tom

Posted 29 March 2018 - 03:47 AM

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In other news, I'm a firm believer that we are in the midst of the disclosure era that has been kept under wraps for decades.  I'm rather surprised to see the FAA allowed the release of pilot communication regarding this UFO sighting in the SW.

 

https://www.abc15.co...a-by-two-pilots


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#675
FarmerRick

Posted 29 March 2018 - 04:06 AM

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In other news, I'm a firm believer that we are in the midst of the disclosure era that has been kept under wraps for decades.  I'm rather surprised to see the FAA allowed the release of pilot communication regarding this UFO sighting in the SW.

 

https://www.abc15.co...a-by-two-pilots

 

 

X-Files-The-Erlenmeyer-Flask-header-1.jp


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#676
Niko

Posted 29 March 2018 - 04:57 AM

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Cloudy and gloomy w temps @ 39F. At least will be milder today w temps approaching the upper 40s.



#677
westMJim

Posted 29 March 2018 - 05:36 AM

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This March should end up with temperatures and snow fall below average. The warmest this month looks to be a cool 56° less that 25% of the past March’s in Grand Rapids have not gotten to 60 or better. But also the coldest it has gotten is only 17° and that very uncommon to have the coldest low that mild the last time it happened was in 2012. Other years that it happened were is 2000, 1958, 1946, 1942, 1931, and 1910.

At this time the snow fall for March is 4.9" the average for March as of the 29th is 8.0" for the season Grand Rapids remains at 71.7"  The average Grand Rapids as of March 29 is 72.8"  So just over one inch below average as of this date.



#678
jaster220

Posted 29 March 2018 - 08:57 AM

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In other news, I'm a firm believer that we are in the midst of the disclosure era that has been kept under wraps for decades.  I'm rather surprised to see the FAA allowed the release of pilot communication regarding this UFO sighting in the SW.

 

https://www.abc15.co...a-by-two-pilots

 

:rolleyes: As if our friendly skies aren't busy enough simply with human air traffic!?  You mean they let this get published without passing the whole thing off as just somebody's grandma test piloting her new mini-copter?? Remember the balloon saucer thing in CO some years back??  Personally, I'm much more concerned about just what those Nazi's have been up to under the ice?  Just ask Mr. Aldrin 'bout that.. :ph34r:     


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Winter 2019-20 Snow Total = 43.7"  Largest Storm: 7" (11/11)        Oct: T Nov: 7.8 Dec: 7.1 Jan: 7.3 Feb: 18.0 Mar: 3.5 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 


#679
jaster220

Posted 29 March 2018 - 08:58 AM

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This March should end up with temperatures and snow fall below average. The warmest this month looks to be a cool 56° less that 25% of the past March’s in Grand Rapids have not gotten to 60 or better. But also the coldest it has gotten is only 17° and that very uncommon to have the coldest low that mild the last time it happened was in 2012. Other years that it happened were is 2000, 1958, 1946, 1942, 1931, and 1910.

At this time the snow fall for March is 4.9" the average for March as of the 29th is 8.0" for the season Grand Rapids remains at 71.7"  The average Grand Rapids as of March 29 is 72.8"  So just over one inch below average as of this date.

 

In Marshall, I've had 4.7" this month, vs 4.6" last March. Strangeness abounds in so many parallels between this and last winter.  :wacko:


Winter 2019-20 Snow Total = 43.7"  Largest Storm: 7" (11/11)        Oct: T Nov: 7.8 Dec: 7.1 Jan: 7.3 Feb: 18.0 Mar: 3.5 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 


#680
Tom

Posted 30 March 2018 - 03:40 AM

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Taking a look back at guidance in late Feb, the CFSv2 didn't do a bad job at all.  I expect to see temp anomalies a bit lower across the north but other than that, it didn't do a bad job.  A tongue of AN precip from the Dakotas into the SE was forecasted along with dryness across the GL's and also in the desert SW/C&S Plains.

 

summaryCFSv2.NaT2m.201803.gif

 

 

summaryCFSv2.NaPrec.201803.gif

 

 

MonthPDeptUS.png

MonthTDeptUS.png



#681
St Paul Storm

Posted 30 March 2018 - 04:31 AM

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Huh. That’s a fairly large shift south with the snow tonight/tomorrow on the Euro, GFS and GEM. Now 1-2” in the point with gusts to 45mph. March was in like a lion and out like a lion.
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#682
jaster220

Posted 30 March 2018 - 04:38 AM

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Taking a look back at guidance in late Feb, the CFSv2 didn't do a bad job at all.  I expect to see temp anomalies a bit lower across the north but other than that, it didn't do a bad job.  A tongue of AN precip from the Dakotas into the SE was forecasted along with dryness across the GL's and also in the desert SW/C&S Plains.

 

summaryCFSv2.NaT2m.201803.gif

 

 

summaryCFSv2.NaPrec.201803.gif

 

 

MonthPDeptUS.png

MonthTDeptUS.png

 

As you said, "not bad" but as WMIJim posted we're finishing March well below normal. Otherwise, yeah it did good on the dryness here in The Mitt


Winter 2019-20 Snow Total = 43.7"  Largest Storm: 7" (11/11)        Oct: T Nov: 7.8 Dec: 7.1 Jan: 7.3 Feb: 18.0 Mar: 3.5 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 


#683
Niko

Posted 30 March 2018 - 06:05 AM

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Cloudy and chilly w temps @ 37F.



#684
jaster220

Posted 30 March 2018 - 08:13 AM

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:rolleyes:  Ahhh.. good ol Easter wx in NMI.    I'll admit I don't miss the mostly white Easters during my 7 yrs up there.

 

Attached File  20180330 APX Snowfall for NMI Easter Wknd.PNG   368.35KB   0 downloads


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Winter 2019-20 Snow Total = 43.7"  Largest Storm: 7" (11/11)        Oct: T Nov: 7.8 Dec: 7.1 Jan: 7.3 Feb: 18.0 Mar: 3.5 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 


#685
St Paul Storm

Posted 30 March 2018 - 09:03 AM

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Some legit late March snow squalls right now. It’s in preparation for April. You know, because winter never dies.
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#686
Tom

Posted 30 March 2018 - 11:02 AM

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Blizzard Warnings hoisted for Fargo, ND! Impressive compact storm system in the works. A precursor of what is to come. #endlesswinter
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#687
St Paul Storm

Posted 30 March 2018 - 01:47 PM

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2-4” now in the forecast for tonight into tomorrow. Sneak attack system. Plus 45mph gusts. Wowzers.
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#688
St Paul Storm

Posted 30 March 2018 - 07:31 PM

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About to get rocked by heavy snow. Going to look like early January in the morning. Winter weather advisory for 2-4” with localized 6”.

Mesoscale discussion says lightning and 2-3” per hour rates possible for a few hours overnight. Ground is already covered and convective looking returns on radar popping just to the west.
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#689
Stormgeek

Posted 30 March 2018 - 09:18 PM

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It is crazy out there. Could hardly see on my way home from work. Roads are already covered, including the freeway.
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#690
Tom

Posted 31 March 2018 - 03:21 AM

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As we close the books today on a wild March, it is rather "fitting" our region will experience another strong storm system.  Looks like you guys up north got a pretty good thumping.  A few 11" reports just north of St. Cloud being reported and about 3" near MSP.

 

High Wind Advisory hoisted for a lot of us near the GL's/MW.

 

 

 

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM CDT /10 AM EDT/ THIS MORNING
TO 5 PM CDT /6 PM EDT/ THIS AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Chicago has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 9 AM CDT /10 AM EDT/ this
morning to 5 PM CDT /6 PM EDT/ this afternoon.

* TIMING...Strongest winds this morning through mid afternoon.

* WINDS...Gusts up to 50 mph. Southerly direction this morning
becoming westerly this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Driving conditions could become difficult, especially
for high profile vehicles. Unsecured outdoor objects may be
blown around by the wind.


#691
Tom

Posted 31 March 2018 - 04:08 AM

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@ CentralNeb, looks like you are under a Winter Storm Warning bud!  4-8" in your grid forecast...what is your season total so far?



#692
St Paul Storm

Posted 31 March 2018 - 05:05 AM

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Merry Christmas and Happy Easter. A heavy, wet 4” or so fell overnight. It’s not going anywhere either with temps crashing today and a low of 10 tonight. Another 3-6” in the point for Monday.

Attached Files


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#693
Tom

Posted 31 March 2018 - 05:08 AM

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Merry Christmas and Happy Easter. A heavy, wet 4” or so fell overnight. It’s not going anywhere either with temps crashing today and a low of 10 tonight. Another 3-6” in the point for Monday.

#EndlessWinter continues for you guys in the north...what is your season tally???



#694
CentralNebWeather

Posted 31 March 2018 - 05:08 AM

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@ CentralNeb, looks like you are under a Winter Storm Warning bud! 4-8" in your grid forecast...what is your season total so far?


Our local station has my county around 30”, give or take, lots of nickel and dimers. If the high end amounts materialize, we would be above normal with several more chances in April. If the 6z GFS were correct, we would smash records.
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#695
Tom

Posted 31 March 2018 - 05:13 AM

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Our local station has my county around 30”, give or take, lots of nickel and dimers. If the high end amounts materialize, we would be above normal with several more chances in April. If the 6z GFS were correct, we would smash records.

SMH, that's pretty remarkable given how this winter season started.  Good luck with this Easter system...I think your going to be close to the meso scale banding and may luck out on some heavier bands in your area.  This stuff looks like it will have some fluff to it as well which says a lot for an early April snow system.



#696
St Paul Storm

Posted 31 March 2018 - 05:14 AM

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#EndlessWinter continues for you guys in the north...what is your season tally???


This should put MSP officially around 53”. I have a bit more at my place. I’m at 57”. Should hit 60” on a Monday.
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#697
Tom

Posted 31 March 2018 - 05:21 AM

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This should put MSP officially around 53”. I have a bit more at my place. I’m at 57”. Should hit 60” on a Monday.

Since the mid/late Jan flip, the back loaded winter has delivered the goods for you.  Congrats.  Taking a look at this NWS Snowfall analysis map, by the time we put an end to Winter for good, I think there will be a lot less "pinkish" color and more "teel" north of I-80.

 

snow_ytd_mw.png


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#698
Hawkeye

Posted 31 March 2018 - 05:32 AM

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It got pretty windy here early this morning as a line of heavy showers moved through.  The Cedar Rapids airport reported a gust of 58 mph.  I picked up 0.23" of rain.


season snowfall: 36.2"

 

'18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#699
CentralNebWeather

Posted 31 March 2018 - 05:45 AM

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SMH, that's pretty remarkable given how this winter season started. Good luck with this Easter system...I think your going to be close to the meso scale banding and may luck out on some heavier bands in your area. This stuff looks like it will have some fluff to it as well which says a lot for an early April snow system.


Correct. NWS Hastings mentioned where the heavy band sets up might be more than 8”. As always, there will be a fairly tight gradient between heavy snow, and little to nothing, like one side of a county to another.

#700
Tom

Posted 31 March 2018 - 05:50 AM

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Correct. NWS Hastings mentioned where the heavy band sets up might be more than 8”. As always, there will be a fairly tight gradient between heavy snow, and little to nothing, like one side of a county to another.

You've been in a good spot all season to score these meso scale features.  Believe it or not, the LRC actually is used in a meso scale fashion in local regions.