stuffradio Posted February 26, 2018 Report Share Posted February 26, 2018 It's time to spring our clocks forward an hour. Will we see our first mid-50s day this month? Maybe sub-60's? Doubt it, but we'll see... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 27, 2018 Report Share Posted February 27, 2018 Hope to see plenty of cold and snow and maybe a 70 on April 1st! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2018 Report Share Posted February 28, 2018 Lets see what March will deliver for us. Looking like cooler than normal weather for a bit at least. CFS for the next 7 days. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 28, 2018 Report Share Posted February 28, 2018 Yeah, definitely off to a good start it appears. We should pin this thread soon. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2018 Report Share Posted February 28, 2018 Nice, someone already moved my post over. *pinned Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 28, 2018 Report Share Posted February 28, 2018 At the very least I could see many lowlanders getting at least some sloppy snows at some point during the month. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2018 Report Share Posted February 28, 2018 12z GFS showing snow for Friday morning still. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2018 Report Share Posted February 28, 2018 ICON brings the precip in a bit later than the GFS. In the end it is a bit warmer. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 28, 2018 Report Share Posted February 28, 2018 Looks like March is coming in like a lion! LOL! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 Looks like March is coming in like a lion! LOL! Anthony? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 Anthony?That guy is probably a millionaire. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 Isn't this thread a bit premature? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 Isn't this thread a bit premature?Pretty good model agreement on March starting in the next 6-72 hours. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 Pretty good model agreement on March starting in the next 6-72 hours.CFS keeps pushing it back to the 11-15 day range. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 CFS keeps pushing it back to the 11-15 day range. But epic cold 3 out of the last 4 runs, so we're looking good! Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 But epic cold 3 out of the last 4 runs, so we're looking good! I'm already buying frost tarps for the upcoming 7/11/08 redux. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 Pretty impressive to see a strong indication of another well below normal period developing a bit later in the month. Some runs have hinted at a March 2012 type scenario. Could be some situations with SW flow cold enough to produce snow. This area does well with those. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 The GFS, WRF, and NWS all like the idea of snow late tomorrow night / Friday morning. Would certainly get the month off on the right foot. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 At the very least I could see many lowlanders getting at least some sloppy snows at some point during the month. We have had a number of March's with snow this century. Pretty good bet with this one the way things look right now. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 We have had a number of March's with snow this century. Pretty good bet with this one the way things look right now. the 00z 3K nam is still trying to put snow on us Friday. Hard to see though on the big map. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 One of the most intriguing things about this year so far is the abundance of analogs we have been seeing from the 1950s (including the warmer periods such as January). Currently we are seeing a large number of analogs from 1954 popping up, after seeing a good showing from 1951, 1955, 1956, and 1957 in recent weeks. 1954 is a very interesting analog because that year featured some freakish spring cold snaps, including the record shattering cold wave that brought a hard freeze to many locations on May 1 of that year. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 We have had a number of March's with snow this century. Pretty good bet with this one the way things look right now. Only one March since 2009 with measurable snow at SEA. Bit of a drought, currently. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 One of the most intriguing things about this year so far is the abundance of analogs we have been seeing from the 1950s (including the warmer periods such as January). Currently we are seeing a large number of analogs from 1954 popping up, after seeing a good showing from 1951, 1955, 1956, and 1957 in recent weeks. 1954 is a very interesting analog because that year featured some freakish spring cold snaps, including the record shattering cold wave that brought a hard freeze to many locations on May 1 of that year. Some similarities between 1951 and 1954 in that regard. Snoqualmie Falls had a 70/30 day on 4/11/1954. And on the 5/1/1954 day you mentioned above... the high was 63 after a low of 26 there. And that was followed by a 69/32 day on 5/6/1954. There were numerous days with chilly nights and warm days in the spring of 1954. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 Some similarities between 1951 and 1954 in that regard. Snoqualmie Falls had a 70/30 day on 4/11/1954. And on the 5/1/1954 day you mentioned above... the high was 63 after a low of 26 there. And that was followed by a 69/32 day on 5/6/1954. There were numerous days with chilly nights and warm days in the spring of 1954.Lead to one of our best summers on record as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 I'd be surprised if we crack 85 this summer. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 Lead to one of our best summers on record as well. Actually... 1951 fits that bill. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 I'd be surprised if we crack 85 this summer.You mean 105? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 I'd be surprised if we crack 85 this summer.I’d be surprised if we are even surprised this summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 I’d be surprised if we are even surprised this summer.I think you'd be surprised... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 I think you'd be surprised... August icebox? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 August icebox?MAMJJA permafrost. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 MAMJJA permafrost.Sounds like another warm September. <_> Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 Wet snow in the air? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 No 00z on TimBits? Won’t come up for me anyway. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 No 00z on TimBits? Won’t come up for me anyway.Same for me. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 No 00z on TimBits? Won’t come up for me anyway.ICON and NAM works, neither of the GEM or the GFS work. Weird. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 3km NAM looks good for snow Friday AM around Portland, EPSL, and north interior. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 3km NAM Not too bad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 Sounds like another warm September. <_>Blistering. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted March 1, 2018 Report Share Posted March 1, 2018 ICON and NAM works, neither of the GEM or the GFS work. Weird.Seems to be working finally! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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