March Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Timmy]

Nam shows close to a foot of snow here over the next couple days

[MossMan]

[Front Ranger]

I got a fever...

[TT-SEA]

Nam shows close to a foot of snow here over the next couple days

 

Good Lord.

 

The 00Z ECMWF showed 51 at PDX this afternoon and again tomorrow afternoon and 49 on Saturday afternoon.   Hard to believe you will have that much snow with those temperatures around Portland.  

 

I am hoping to avoid possibly an inch tomorrow morning.    The ECMWF shows no snow at my house over the next 10 days.

[Timmy]

Good Lord.

 

The 00Z ECMWF showed 51 at PDX this afternoon and again tomorrow afternoon and 49 on Saturday afternoon. Hard to believe you will have that much snow with those temperatures around Portland.

 

I am hoping to avoid possibly an inch tomorrow morning. The ECMWF shows no snow at my house over the next 10 days.

Looking at other models I’m less convinced. The 3km nam has done better here than any mode. The hi res wrf showed about 9” on 00z run last night too.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Sunny with a few brief hail showers here this morning; the first hail I've seen here in over a year. Tomorrow still looks like it could get interesting.

[TT-SEA]

Looking at other models I’m less convinced. The 3km nam has done better here than any mode. The hi res wrf showed about 9” on 00z run last night too.

 

Here is total snow over the next 10 days per the 00Z ECMWF.   I highly doubt you see anything close to a foot of snow in the next couple days.   The ECMWF cannot be that wrong.   The small amount it shows in my area was supposed to mostly happen last night and this morning and there was nothing.  

 

[Timmy]

Still shows 6” here.

[Jesse]

Good Lord.

 

The 00Z ECMWF showed 51 at PDX this afternoon and again tomorrow afternoon and 49 on Saturday afternoon. Hard to believe you will have that much snow with those temperatures around Portland.

 

I am hoping to avoid possibly an inch tomorrow morning. The ECMWF shows no snow at my house over the next 10 days.

What would an inch of snow hurt?

[TT-SEA]

What would an inch of snow hurt?

 

Just annoying... don't want any snow at this point.    

[BLI snowman]

What would an inch of snow hurt?

 

It's after Christmas so snow is gross.

[TT-SEA]

It's after Christmas so snow is gross.

 

Indeed.   

 

Timmy agrees.   He is counting down the days until Hawaii.   

[BLI snowman]

Indeed.   

 

Timmy agrees.   He is counting down the days until Hawaii.   

 

I also really root against sunshine after the 4th of July and against rain after Veterans Day.

[Timmy]

It's after Christmas so snow is gross.

much less enjoyable after jan 31st.

[TT-SEA]

I also really root against sunshine after the 4th of July and against rain after Veterans Day.

 

Liar!  

[Jesse]

Just annoying... don't want any snow at this point.

[Jesse]

much less enjoyable after jan 31st.

I’ll take what I can get. I don’t live at 1,000’+

[Timmy]

I’ll take what I can get. I don’t live at 1,000’+

I hope you do get some! I would much rather have 3” 1500’ down to sea level than 12” here and rain in the valley at this point in the season.

[umadbro]

I'll never understand why people don't like the fact that ttsea doesn't want snow. Is it really that big of a deal?

[Jesse]

Nice field of showers looks to be rotating onshore. Maybe some cold core downpours later today.

[Winterdog]

35 and mostly cloudy here. As of this morning my snow coverage is gone, just my piles remain. That was one heck of a stretch with snowcover!

Haha I’ve got you beat when it comes to duration. I guess a lot of shade helps.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Nice field of showers looks to be rotating onshore. Maybe some cold core downpours later today.

Very impressive looking for sure.

[wx_statman]

Impressively persistent cold continues in N. Central Montana. Havre, MT fell to -2 this morning. Nothing crazy, but this is their 30th day in a row with lows of 11 or colder, dating back to Jan. 31st. Last streak of such length was 32 days back in Nov-Dec 1983. 

 

For this late in the season? The last 30 day streak was in 1911, when a 53 day run ended on March 1st. 

 

Havre also just posted their 5th coldest Feb. on record, averaging 20.7 degrees below normal. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Don't see the radar come from this direction to often.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

That map Timmy posted shows about 4" up here. I would be surprised, but its possible. 

[Phil]

OT-ish, but I finally got the weather camera set up. Kinda figures we get our first windstorm of the starting season late tonight. Can it survive 60-70mph gusts? [laughs nervously]

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&persist_app=1&noapp=1&v=J1w0nP3nPfk

[Jbolin]

OT-ish, but I finally got the weather camera set up. Kinda figures we get our first windstorm of the starting season late tonight. Can it survive 60-70mph gusts? [laughs nervously]

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&persist_app=1&noapp=1&v=J1w0nP3nPfk

That gust at 12:48:12 had to have topped out around 6 or 7mph 

[Phil]

That gust at 12:48:12 had to have topped out around 6 or 7mph

:lol:

[Phil]

In all seriousness, I’m not sure how smart it is leaving the camera up. It’s mounted on the roof, three stories off the ground. If it survives this, it can probably survive anything.

 

https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=MDZ504&warncounty=MDC031&firewxzone=MDZ504&local_place1=Cabin%20John%20MD&product1=High+Wind+Warning&lat=38.9852&lon=-77.1542

[Phil]

[ShawniganLake]

[Jesse]

Definitely more spread on the long range 12z ensemble.

[Front Ranger]

B38CA800-743B-44CE-856E-7EFD5A8C0FFE.png

Dusting for Jim!

[ShawniganLake]

Dusting for Jim!

Maybe 2 or 3” here. More than I got in all of February.

[Perturbed Member]

Pretty sure the NAM is smoking something but would be fun for this to verify

 

 

[TT-SEA]

Finally home.   A little snow left here but the sun is shining.    And the daffodils survived just fine... they just pause when it gets cold and then resume when it warms up.  

 

 

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF moved away from a return to cold... actually looks almost spring-like on the surface maps later in the run. Not too wet either.

[MossMan]

Haha I’ve got you beat when it comes to duration. I guess a lot of shade helps.

Yeah I’m fairly open but after I went down to my lower field this morning I did have some left in the shade, and the shady field across the street from my looks like your yard with some good coverage still.

[Geos]

Started off the day at 34 with some scattered frost. Now up to 46 with partial sun. Thinking there might be flakes in the air tomorrow, but not feeling that great about accumulation at this point. Deformation band will have to be pretty intense to get anything to stick I think. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

If you realize Tim is going to cherry pick the warmest model possible and talk about it endlessly then there is nothing to get upset about. It is his preference.