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East and Gulf Coast Weather 2018

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#451
Phil

Posted 04 October 2018 - 02:12 PM

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DCA hit 90*F today. Topped out at 88.7*F here.

Dewpoint is now 75*F as the Sun sets. Disgusting weather by October standards.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#452
Andie

Posted 04 October 2018 - 06:31 PM

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90* today. Not great however cooler weather on the way Sat.
We should see 80-82* with rain late and rain over the next 4 days thereafter. Looks like fall is here. Possibility of a high near 79 in a week. We’ll see how that pans out.
Sweet👍

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#453
Phil

Posted 08 October 2018 - 12:45 PM

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Pop-up downpour with sunny skies here. Tiny cell with nothing else in the region, haha.

Dewpoint hovering in the mid-70s, temps in the low 80s.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#454
Phil

Posted 08 October 2018 - 12:47 PM

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The move to autumn might finally begin later this week following the passage of hurricane Michael. The Bermuda High looks to begin weakening with some troughing moving in over the weekend.

Might still be a prolonged process with numerous ups/downs along the way, but in the long run, I think it’s safe to say this will be a turning point, as far as the seasonal transition is concerned.

Until then, we still have a few more warm/humid days left in the pipeline this week.
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#455
weatherfan2012

Posted 08 October 2018 - 12:57 PM

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The move to autumn might finally begin later this week following the passage of hurricane Michael. The Bermuda High looks to begin weakening with some troughing moving in over the weekend.
Might still be a prolonged process with numerous ups/downs along the way, but in the long run, I think it’s safe to say this will be a turning point, as far as the seasonal transition is concerned.
Until then, we still have a few more warm/humid days left in the pipeline this week.

got to give credit on this one to Larry Cosgrove as he was talking about this set up for the past few month quite a good forecast from him.
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#456
Andie

Posted 10 October 2018 - 04:47 AM

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We got 1 1/2" of rain with this last fron in Texas

Hurricane Michael is almost a Cat 5. It hasn't gotten the publicity it needs as it will have a 12-15' storm surge.
They're saying this is the strongest storm Florida has seen in 100 yrs.

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#457
weatherfan2012

Posted 11 October 2018 - 04:44 PM

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Getting some decent rumbers out there now so these bands have legit lighting and thunder in them.big band just to my east and west at the moment.

#458
Phil

Posted 11 October 2018 - 10:30 PM

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Wind is roaring outside..over 40mph easy. Cool/dry air moved in like a wall behind the front..63/54 as of 230AM.

Goodbye summer, hello fall/winter!
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#459
Andie

Posted 12 October 2018 - 05:40 AM

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Monday will bring us a high of 49* and low of 43* with 1 inch of rain.

Some snow forecast for the upper Texas Panhandle. :lol: this is just nuts!

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#460
Phil

Posted 12 October 2018 - 09:25 AM

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That was a legit front last night. Dewpoint has dropped over 30 degrees since this time yesterday. Winds were reaching 40-50mph from 2AM to 4AM during the heart of the pressure surge.

Currently 62/45 with a deep blue autumn sky and bright sunshine.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#461
weatherfan2012

Posted 12 October 2018 - 01:03 PM

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That was a legit front last night. Dewpoint has dropped over 30 degrees since this time yesterday. Winds were reaching 40-50mph from 2AM to 4AM during the heart of the pressure surge.
Currently 62/45 with a deep blue autumn sky and bright sunshine.

best day here weather wise we have seen in a while.
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#462
Andie

Posted 12 October 2018 - 01:30 PM

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Snow due in Texas Panhandle

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The last time in snowed in October in Amarillo was on October 27, 2011.

The National Weather Service said it is expected it will rain early Sunday morning in Amarillo that will transition to snow around sunrise.

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#463
Andie

Posted 12 October 2018 - 06:06 PM

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Red Sky at Morning.
This was our sunrise this morning taken from down the road from me.

This is the PreShow before all the rain and flash flooding we'll have this coming week.

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#464
Phil

Posted 12 October 2018 - 07:33 PM

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Down into the upper 40s this evening for the first time since late May/early June. Expecting some chilly showers overnight with the shortwave passage then more gusty NW winds tomorrow afternoon. Lows could drop into the mid/upper 30s Sunday/Monday as well, with some frost also possible.
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#465
Phil

Posted 12 October 2018 - 07:35 PM

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best day here weather wise we have seen in a while.


Agreed!
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#466
Andie

Posted 13 October 2018 - 06:48 AM

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Remarkable early Fall weather all around.

Texas is getting plenty of rain. Downpours, flash flooding all around N Tx. Very dark skies. We have a week of this ahead. I’ve already received over 1.50” heavy rain this a.m.

Hopefully Tx has dodged the Tropical Storm/ Hurricane season.
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#467
Phil

Posted 13 October 2018 - 07:17 AM

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First snowfall of the winter @ Snowshoe, WV. Now freezing fog and 40mph winds up there.

Second front moved thru here this morning. Cool rain mixed with graupel during the start of the dry air advection. Now partly sunny and breezy as of 11:15AM..54/47, W/NW winds gusting ~ 30mph.
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#468
Andie

Posted 13 October 2018 - 08:26 AM

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What a switch on national weather this week!

Almost 2hrs after my last post we've received another 1 inch of rain.

That 2.50" just this morning. Still dark out and raining. Glad I got that yard work done yesterday morning ! :)
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#469
Andie

Posted 13 October 2018 - 03:50 PM

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The day's totals. Some areas more and stormier

Currently 62*
3.50" rain

29.94 in
Visibility 9 mi.
Clouds
Overcast 700 ft
Dew Point 58 °F
Humidity 91%

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#470
Andie

Posted 15 October 2018 - 07:06 AM

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Temps dropped from 80* to a record setting 41*.

These are Dectemps for DFW area.

1.50” rain since midnight.

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#471
Phil

Posted 15 October 2018 - 02:35 PM

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Today was cloudy, misty, and mild with highs in the mid/upper 60s. Some squally rains in the AM hours too.

Next front is approaching from the west now..looks pretty sharp as of 630pm w/ the pencil-thin convective line along it. Winds to ~50mph are already occurring in the mountains. Could get gusty here after midnight.

Tomorrow looks cool, breezy, and sunny. Finally some autumn-like weather!
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#472
Phil

Posted 15 October 2018 - 08:26 PM

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Gusting in the 30-35mph range behind the front. A rush of cool, dry air was apparent with the first gust..feels great out there.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#473
Andie

Posted 16 October 2018 - 05:22 AM

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Rain overnight, still raining through the day.

1.50" since midnight my location. Total here the past 3 days 6.50"
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#474
Phil

Posted 17 October 2018 - 08:46 AM

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Downsloping in a big way right now..highs will probably push 70*F before the dry cold front moves through this afternoon.

Right now it’s a 63/37, which is the lowest dewpoint in over half a year..feels almost desert-like. Winds are gusty out of the west at ~ 30mph, should switch to NW this afternoon and increase to ~ 40mph.
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#475
Andie

Posted 17 October 2018 - 03:14 PM

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Still raining. We have 3/4" so far today. Rain is all the wat back to south central Texas. So, yeah...more ont he way.

This looks like it will be a soggy fall and winter.

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#476
Phil

Posted 17 October 2018 - 09:00 PM

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Wind underperformed today, but the dry air feels great.

Could see our first freeze within the next few weeks.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#477
Phil

Posted 18 October 2018 - 10:38 AM

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Low of 40.6*F this morning. Heaven on Earth.

Less windy today, and not a cloud in the sky.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#478
Andie

Posted 18 October 2018 - 04:43 PM

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More rain on the way tomorrow.

:lol:

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#479
Phil

Posted 19 October 2018 - 10:00 AM

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First frost of the year! Dropped to 35.4*F, coldest temperature since mid-April. A half-year ago.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#480
Andie

Posted 19 October 2018 - 05:34 PM

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Total 46+”

We’re 20” over normal rainfall. Over half since Sept 1st.
This past week has become a challenge with flooding, buckling roads etc.

More expected next week. Only an inch they say. 😆
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#481
Phil

Posted 20 October 2018 - 11:14 AM

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Looks like they finally fixed/replaced the Dolly Sods mountaintop weather station (after it was taken out by the windstorm on March 2nd).

Nice to have another station other than just Snowshoe representing the ridgeline communities.

https://www.wundergr...DAVIS33#history
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#482
Phil

Posted 20 October 2018 - 11:47 AM

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Tonight looks interesting. Vigorous embedded shortwave trough moves through the area during the overnight hours tonight. Decent gradient/CAA with a downslope component in conjunction with enhanced upper level dynamics would seem to favor gusts at/above 45mph after midnight tonight in areas along/west of the Fall Line, but so far LWX has confined the wind advisory to areas along/west of the Blue Ridge, due to reservations about nocturnal mixing.

FWIW, I’m pretty bullish on advisory criteria winds reaching the I-95 corridor along/west of the Fall Line (from DCA northward) late tonight/early tomorrow morning, even if the gusts are intermittent. South of DCA probably falls just short except in areas near water/NNW topographical channeling.

Having studied these events for awhile now, this one feels like a decent setup for gusts in the climatologically-favored areas, particularly Parrs ridge and the N-VA piedmont areas including Leesburg/Reston. Typically, when CAA is vigorous in conjunction w/ a nearby 500mb vort track, those winds will mix down intermittently, even under nocturnal boundary conditions, so long as the pressure gradient axis at the top of the mixing layer is at least 45 degrees off the axis of the ridgelines. The sustained winds are weaker in the absence of insolation, and often the gusts are less frequent, but they still tend to mix down in an isolated or scattered manner.
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#483
weatherfan2012

Posted 20 October 2018 - 06:20 PM

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Tonight looks interesting. Vigorous embedded shortwave trough moves through the area during the overnight hours tonight. Decent gradient/CAA with a downslope component in conjunction with enhanced upper level dynamics would seem to favor gusts at/above 45mph after midnight tonight in areas along/west of the Fall Line, but so far LWX has confined the wind advisory to areas along/west of the Blue Ridge, due to reservations about nocturnal mixing.
FWIW, I’m pretty bullish on advisory criteria winds reaching the I-95 corridor along/west of the Fall Line (from DCA northward) late tonight/early tomorrow morning, even if the gusts are intermittent. South of DCA probably falls just short except in areas near water/NNW topographical channeling.
Having studied these events for awhile now, this one feels like a decent setup for gusts in the climatologically-favored areas, particularly Parrs ridge and the N-VA piedmont areas including Leesburg/Reston. Typically, when CAA is vigorous in conjunction w/ a nearby 500mb vort track, those winds will mix down intermittently, even under nocturnal boundary conditions, so long as the pressure gradient axis at the top of the mixing layer is at least 45 degrees off the axis of the ridgelines. The sustained winds are weaker in the absence of insolation, and often the gusts are less frequent, but they still tend to mix down in an isolated or scattered manner.

sounds like those winds are verifying can here it right now with the line of showers going through.

#484
Phil

Posted 20 October 2018 - 08:50 PM

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That was a decent frontal passage. Some distant lightning flashes and winds around 40mph here. It might have been stronger though (the trees are deadwooding quite a bit for the first time this fall..the previous fronts did not manage that).

Now we await the CAA/pressure surge. Thinking that arrives between 3-4AM here.
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#485
Phil

Posted 20 October 2018 - 08:57 PM

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Looks like 47mph at Dulles with the squall.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#486
Phil

Posted 20 October 2018 - 09:32 PM

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Snowshoe hit 65mph. Heavy snow there now, with episodic blizzard conditions. ☃️
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#487
Andie

Posted 21 October 2018 - 08:06 AM

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I'm amazed at all the wind in your area. Is this typical ?

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#488
Phil

Posted 21 October 2018 - 08:31 AM

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I'm amazed at all the wind in your area. Is this typical ?


Yes, but not this early. Usually it starts picking up in November and peaks in Feb-Apr.

Mountains are to blame.
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#489
Phil

Posted 21 October 2018 - 09:42 AM

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Looks like 43mph was the peak gust last night here. So right around the threshold of advisory criteria, when accounting for trees obstructing the anemometer.
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#490
Phil

Posted 21 October 2018 - 10:07 AM

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Wind report. Lots of 45-55mph stuff, with 58mph in Wintergreen. Snowshoe is outside our CWA (so it’s unlisted) but they reached 67mph.

https://mesonet.agro...&e=201810211758
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#491
Andie

Posted 22 October 2018 - 04:49 AM

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When have a very nice week of high 60's and low 70's. Chance of .50" rain on Wed.

We need the break, although it's likely going to be a wet cold winter. Button up!

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#492
Phil

Posted 22 October 2018 - 10:12 AM

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First freeze for us last night. Dropped to 31.8*F, so it wasn’t a hard freeze, but it was a freeze nonetheless.

Also a heavy frost on just about everything, due to the high residual moisture content at this time of year. So it looked wintry for a half-minute,
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#493
Andie

Posted 23 October 2018 - 05:19 AM

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Hurricane Willa will return our rain to the area.

The moisture coming up from Mexico has been considerable this fall.
Phil can you explain this in English ? Seems it is especially vicious this year.
We have like 45" inches of rain so far. 20" over average. Just crazy.

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#494
Phil

Posted 24 October 2018 - 01:56 PM

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Cool, breezy day with super-bright sunshine and highs in the middle 50s. Epic weather. Haven’t seen a single cloud all day, actually.

Our rainy season (and summer) apparently came to an abrupt end with a single cold front 13 days ago. That is a rarity for here..usually it’s a long, slow descent into winter. Not this time!
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#495
Phil

Posted 24 October 2018 - 01:59 PM

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The harvest moon is gonna be bright as heck tonight. With no clouds anywhere and a very dry atmosphere, it will light up the sky like a streetlight.

Such a huge difference from summer, when there is so much humidity that it’s hard to see the stars even on a crystal clear night.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#496
Phil

Posted 24 October 2018 - 02:01 PM

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Also seeing signs of fall color, at long last. The vast majority of trees are still green, but the “tint” is changing, and a few isolated trees/limbs have responded quickly and are displaying vibrant colors.

Feels like an early/mid November peak this year. That is about 2 weeks behind schedule, but the weather pattern looks decent enough to max out what color potential there is.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history

#497
Andie

Posted 25 October 2018 - 04:03 PM

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We're seeing our color at last. All the rain this year has given us plenty of yellow and orange. Nice for a change after dry summers.

Hurricane Willa gave me 2.10" of slow steady rain. We are totally saturated.
Expecting at least 5 or 6 days of sun so that's a nice switch. Temps in the low 80's though.
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#498
Phil

Posted 25 October 2018 - 04:40 PM

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Another freeze last night, a smidge cooler @ 31.5*F but still not a vegetation killer.

Today’s high of 51.8*F was well below normal. Clouds moving in ahead of the nor’easter that will graze the region tomorrow. Looks like a cold rain with breezy onshore winds.
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#499
Andie

Posted 25 October 2018 - 07:34 PM

Andie

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Expecting many Nor'easters this winter?

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.


#500
Phil

Posted 26 October 2018 - 08:34 AM

Phil

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Snowing up on skyline drive this morning.

Preparing for a cold rain down here.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...pwsdash#history