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East and Gulf Coast Weather 2018

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#51
Phil

Posted 06 March 2018 - 07:33 PM

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Slushy accumulations, moderate snow. About to lighten up significantly, though.

9QsmfGy.jpg
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#52
Phil

Posted 06 March 2018 - 08:32 PM

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The storm on the 12th/13th cannot miss us to the south again. I will seriously lose my s**t.
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#53
weatherfan2012

Posted 06 March 2018 - 10:10 PM

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The storm on the 12th/13th cannot miss us to the south again. I will seriously lose my s**t.

it's the winter of 2018 man the winter where storms hit the south the east the north but leaves a great big giant hole right on top of us you just can't make this stuff up that how commercial it is :lol:

#54
iFred

Posted 08 March 2018 - 05:40 AM

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Had eight inches of paste, most of it falling from 11am to 3pm. Some of the heaviest snow I have seen in my life. The death band was to my east by 15 miles.


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#55
Phil

Posted 08 March 2018 - 08:26 AM

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Congrats to the Philly crew. That looked like a fun storm to experience..especially that deformation band w/ the lightning strikes.

The Sunday/Monday storm looks like a whiff to the south now. I’ve watched the Carolinas, the Gulf Coast, the mountains, and the Philly-Boston corridor get nailed over and over again, and all the while, we’ve gotten the shaft.

I’m just about ready to throw in the towel on this winter.
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#56
weatherfan2012

Posted 08 March 2018 - 01:01 PM

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Congrats to the Philly crew. That looked like a fun storm to experience..especially that deformation band w/ the lightning strikes.
The Sunday/Monday storm looks like a whiff to the south now. I’ve watched the Carolinas, the Gulf Coast, the mountains, and the Philly-Boston corridor get nailed over and over again, and all the while, we’ve gotten the shaft.
I’m just about ready to throw in the towel on this winter.

I knew it was a miss when DT brought out his dog last night everything he forecasts the oppersite plays out :lol: just one of those winter's where it just does it want to snow here.of course back in 2009-2010 while we were hitting the jack pot new England were getting screwed so I'm sure sooner or later we will get another winter where our pals up north get screwed and we get nailed.one thing for sure next winter is it can't possablty get much worse then these past few it can only go up from here.

#57
Phil

Posted 08 March 2018 - 01:40 PM

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Yeah, it’s just part of living here. It’s usually something like two famine winters for every feast winter.
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#58
weatherfan2012

Posted 08 March 2018 - 09:33 PM

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Yeah, it’s just part of living here. It’s usually something like two famine winters for every feast winter.

may not be over quite yet the gfs is once again more promising tonight once again the data is going to throw us all for a ride of ups and down over this one it seems :lol:

#59
Phil

Posted 09 March 2018 - 08:14 AM

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may not be over quite yet the gfs is once again more promising tonight once again the data is going to throw us all for a ride of ups and down over this one it seems :lol:


Nah, it’s over..it’s just not our winter.
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#60
weatherfan2012

Posted 09 March 2018 - 11:22 AM

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Nah, it’s over..it’s just not our winter.

I agree I'm also a none beleaver in this storm frankly I think DT is doing a disservice for hyping this as all it will do is get the weenies all round up.and normally he is against the gfs yet here he is praising the model go furger with him lol.

#61
weatherfan2012

Posted 10 March 2018 - 06:53 AM

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Yeah, it’s just part of living here. It’s usually something like two famine winters for every feast winter.

last time we had a pair of low snow winter's like this 88-92 was pretty bad 49-51 And 30-33 was Also back to back cases as well it very rare to go three winter's with such ridiculously low snow numbers so odds would suggest 2018-2019 for at least something more average around here and of course we all know if 2019-2020 we get El Nino solar min east qbo combination it will likely be a awesome winter pattern for the region with one or more blockbuster storm potential possible just due to the history of that set up.also the blockbusters winter's starting with 95-96 seem to be getting snower and our small winter's seem to be getting smaller as of late likey just a cycle currently we are in which I'm sure will change sooner or later and a new pattern or cycle take place but is interesting stat none of the less Phil.

#62
weatherfan2012

Posted 10 March 2018 - 07:09 AM

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Nah, it’s over..it’s just not our winter.

one thing you can count on is our cool wet late march- may pattern going to swamp season mode in june which hardly ever fails The good news perhaps is we excape the dreaded severe February thunderstorm episode that we saw the last 3 years so maybe we will see a more active thunderstorm season when it ought to be late spring mid summer vers the crap the last few years.

#63
weatherfan2012

Posted 10 March 2018 - 08:32 AM

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I will agree on one point made by some I have never in my life have seen models flip flop so much in sort order on a storm like this the drastic up and down changes have been commercial to say the least regardless whatever happens.

#64
Phil

Posted 10 March 2018 - 10:24 AM

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Low of 23.2*F this morning. A bit the chilly side, but we’re warming up decently now on downsloping winds and bright sunshine.

Currently 47*F and perfect.
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#65
Andie

Posted 10 March 2018 - 12:19 PM

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Friends in Andover, Mass. finally got their power back on this morning.

 

He said it did, however,  give him time to sit down and read my second book.  That was a nice side effect.

 

Still cold there though. My daughter in law was out of power on Cape Cod as well.


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#66
weatherfan2012

Posted 11 March 2018 - 02:33 PM

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Low of 23.2*F this morning. A bit the chilly side, but we’re warming up decently now on downsloping winds and bright sunshine.
Currently 47*F and perfect.

Dt finlly down grades the storm quite frankly I don't get why he was so excited about it to begin with the up and down models should have been a red flag and he went against his own rules by hyping the gfs when he normally is trashing it he is just :lol: to me can't take Dave to seriously.

#67
Phil

Posted 12 March 2018 - 12:12 PM

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Cloudy and 41*F with a brisk north wind developing. Even the old timers would know to expect a miss, since north winds indicate a low pressure center that’s already well off to the east. We usually see easterly winds ahead of strong nor’easters.

We probably have one or two additional nor’easters in the pipeline with this pattern. Doesn’t mean it will snow, but it certainly can happen until the 2nd week of April. Then we’ll probably flip into a warm/ridgy regime during the second half of April (or so I suspect).
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#68
Phil

Posted 12 March 2018 - 03:40 PM

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Getting some light snow w/ brisk 25mph N/NW winds.

It’s barely even conversational, though. And it’s so warm that it smells like rain.
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#69
Phil

Posted 13 March 2018 - 09:50 AM

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Winds gusting to around 40mph today with highs sitting in the low 40s. A few loud ones roared through during the forenoon hours.

The next two days look pretty similar, maybe somewhat windier tomorrow. Snow squalls should be thwarted by downsloping this go around, however. Watching for another nor’easter snow chance in ~ one week, but I’m not holding my breath yet.
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#70
weatherfan2012

Posted 13 March 2018 - 10:54 AM

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Winds gusting to around 40mph today with highs sitting in the low 40s. A few loud ones roared through during the forenoon hours.
The next two days look pretty similar, maybe somewhat windier tomorrow. Snow squalls should be thwarted by downsloping this go around, however. Watching for another nor’easter snow chance in ~ one week, but I’m not holding my breath yet.

but you can be sure north Carolina and Boston will be hammered The story of this commercial winter :lol:

#71
Phil

Posted 14 March 2018 - 12:48 PM

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Another chilly, breezy day. Gusting to around 40mph with a high temperature of 40.5*F.

I saw that Dulles apparently gusted to 60mph. That’s much stronger than anything we've seen here so far.
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#72
Phil

Posted 14 March 2018 - 01:02 PM

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Lol. Paying off some karmic debt?

xLO7LHi.jpg
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#73
weatherfan2012

Posted 14 March 2018 - 01:13 PM

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Lol. Paying off some karmic debt?xLO7LHi.jpg

I'm conferdent that mother nature is pissed at Washington DC and the surrounding locations :lol: :lol: :lol: I mean you just can't make this stuff up north and south with a big screw you're self in the middle.

#74
weatherfan2012

Posted 15 March 2018 - 11:37 AM

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These models are so commercial any more as of late it about impossible to take a forecast that is more then a day or two all that seriously at the moment :lol: it just absurd

#75
Phil

Posted 15 March 2018 - 11:43 AM

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The 12z Euro dumps 17” on DC. If that happens, I’ll consider this a great winter.
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#76
Phil

Posted 15 March 2018 - 12:08 PM

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Snowshoe WV has picked up 68” of new snow over the last 8 days. What a climate they have!
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#77
weatherfan2012

Posted 15 March 2018 - 12:24 PM

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The 12z Euro dumps 17” on DC. If that happens, I’ll consider this a great winter.

true but I will beleave it when it's on the ground one day the models show big hit next run it's well north then next run suppress watch this trend south slames north Carolina then slams new England once again lol I will be amazed if we get hit the way this pattern has gone but could always be wrong.

#78
Phil

Posted 15 March 2018 - 12:36 PM

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true but I will beleave it when it's on the ground one day the models show big hit next run it's well north then next run suppress watch this trend south slames north Carolina then slams new England once again lol I will be amazed if we get hit the way this pattern has gone but could always be wrong.


Yeah, it’s unlikely to actually happen, however we've also used up so much bad luck that I think we might be due for the inverse. Who knows.
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#79
Phil

Posted 15 March 2018 - 07:48 PM

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Midnight here and the inversion just broke..temperatures shooting up like a rocket under clear night skies feels weird as heck.
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#80
Phil

Posted 16 March 2018 - 08:58 AM

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Gusts are surprisingly strong today. Shaking the house and thundering through the trees. Hitting 50mph easy.

My station hit 47mph despite being somewhat sheltered.
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#81
Phil

Posted 16 March 2018 - 09:23 AM

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Also another chilly low of 25.5*F this morning. Mixed out when the wind spiked, though, so spring insolstion is doing its thing.

Still watching for a potential early week paste bomb but I’m not holding my breath. The GFS tracks it too far north while the Euro and CMC are both decent.
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#82
weatherfan2012

Posted 17 March 2018 - 12:08 PM

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The models are indicating threats up to early April :lol:

#83
Phil

Posted 17 March 2018 - 12:40 PM

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The models are indicating threats up to early April :lol:


Typical. April is the new March, and March is the new February.
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#84
Phil

Posted 19 March 2018 - 04:58 PM

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Still 50*F here at 9pm. And it’s supposed to snow?
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#85
Andie

Posted 19 March 2018 - 05:00 PM

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4" of rain this weekend 


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#86
weatherfan2012

Posted 19 March 2018 - 06:55 PM

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Still 50*F here at 9pm. And it’s supposed to snow?

 

                         Looking at the data I'm having serious trouble finding any sign of any true spring weather coming any time soon in fact data is trying for another snow event   on the 25th this upcoming weekend :lol: looks like true spring no make that summer    came in february when we had 80s boy does mother nature have her calender back words.


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#87
Phil

Posted 20 March 2018 - 08:58 AM

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Pouring freezing rain here with falling temperatures. We were forecasted to be at 35*F now but we’re ~ 32*F instead.

Winter storm warning for 4-8” starting at 2AM. Hopefully this one actually verifies. 🎿
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#88
Phil

Posted 20 March 2018 - 09:58 AM

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Over to sleet! Big chunks.
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#89
Phil

Posted 20 March 2018 - 11:43 AM

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Must be cooling aloft, since we’re still mostly frozen despite the lull in heavier precip.
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#90
Phil

Posted 20 March 2018 - 11:56 AM

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Snow mixing in now. Sleet/ZR still included. Ambient temperature is starting to fall faster too, down to 31.8*F.
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#91
Phil

Posted 20 March 2018 - 12:43 PM

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Over to mostly snow. Let’s do this thing.

Edit: Back to sleet. Flipping back/forth.
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#92
Phil

Posted 20 March 2018 - 03:10 PM

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About 1/2” of snow, sleet, and freezing rain so far.

This was taken at ~ 710pm. Lol.

UbPJy8U.jpg
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#93
weatherfan2012

Posted 20 March 2018 - 03:26 PM

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About 1/2” of snow, sleet, and freezing rain so far.

This was taken at ~ 710pm. Lol.

UbPJy8U.jpg

Pretty funny on the first day of spring :lol:



#94
Phil

Posted 20 March 2018 - 03:31 PM

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Pretty funny on the first day of spring :lol:


Yeah, pretty fun. Real dendrites coming down now, and finally sticking to the brick walkway and driveway as the sun sets.
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#95
weatherfan2012

Posted 20 March 2018 - 08:16 PM

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It's time to stop worrying about the models it's nowcasting time from here on out.



#96
weatherfan2012

Posted 21 March 2018 - 06:32 AM

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The fact we are likey getting 4 to 8 inch is a win considering all the misses we finlly got one that formed right in our region.just like some went over board with the foot plus idea some went over board with the bust idea a few hours ago.we need to remember late season events are complex and considering the complexity of this storm I think the pros did a very good job over all.any one that really thought this would be a foot plus in 95 and in the citys sat there expectation to high as models don't factor mixing and melting to well which is why many stated to cut the numbers in hafe.over all I think the 4 to 8 inch idea with more north and west and less south and east looks to be the right call.this amount of snow is still very impressive for March 21 and our idea for a late season past snow event varfies for this la nina winter.

#97
Phil

Posted 21 March 2018 - 06:43 AM

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Picked up ~ 2” in one hour with that deathband. Have maybe 4” on the ground now, light snow, 31*F.
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#98
Phil

Posted 21 March 2018 - 06:54 AM

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Boom. DCA reporting +SN and already approaching 3”.

mroqV3F.jpg
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#99
Phil

Posted 21 March 2018 - 07:24 AM

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DCA hit 2”/hr! That’s a rarity, lol. They’re now over 3” and counting.

Heaviest snowfall this late @ DCA since at least 1964.
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#100
Phil

Posted 21 March 2018 - 08:53 AM

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Still coming down good. Haven’t measured in awhile but we’re probably between 5-7” now.
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