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April 2018 Observations and Discussion

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#801
CentralNebWeather

Posted 29 April 2018 - 03:37 PM

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I-80 at Aurora exit in Central Nebraska is closed due to multiple accidents caused by very low visibility due to blowing dust. Winds have been gusting between 50-60 MPH. Warmth was great but what a horrible day to be outside.

#802
jaster220

Posted 30 April 2018 - 03:51 AM

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29F on the car thermo right along the lakeshore north of St. Joe this morning. Looks like Marshall also bottomed at 29F just before 7. But hey! It was great cutting grass for the first time last evening. I don't keep exact dates, but I'm sure April 29th is the latest kick-off of mowing season in my 10 yrs living there! 


  • Tom likes this

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#803
LNK_Weather

Posted 30 April 2018 - 03:57 AM

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The temperature and strong South wind say Summer, but the trees still say late March. 61.3*F.


>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#804
jaster220

Posted 30 April 2018 - 04:03 AM

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Hey, let's do this one more time and put this month to bed???  Record lows on the table tomorrow morning across the Mitt and some locals in the region.

 

 

Db35UweX0AImWGS.jpg

 

It looks like the official low at GRR this morning was 29° so no record low at Grand Rapids. However here at my house the low was 25° At this time have full sun and a current temperature at my house of 42° The grass has now turned green in my area. Still not enough to have to cut yet but that will change with the expected rain over the next few days. Gee I just drained the snow blower last week.

 

I slept thru Marshall's 25F yesterday morning. By the time I was poking my head outside around 11, it was sunny pleasant and a whole lot less windy than Saturday was. Went out of town visiting Saturday and while it was a beautiful spring day for a road trip, the car thermo was mostly in the 40's even in far SWMI


  • Tom likes this

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#805
St Paul Storm

Posted 30 April 2018 - 04:10 AM

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Currently 55F here but heading up into the low 80s today assuming the storms that are moving in don’t leave too much debris. 83 in the point. The ice on the lake is now completely gone as of this morning. It’s the all-time latest recorded ice out. We melted 18” of snow and 25” of ice over the last 15 days. Pretty remarkable. I even have creeping charlie and a few other weeds already growing in the yard.
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#806
Niko

Posted 30 April 2018 - 05:57 AM

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Sunny and gorgeous w temps nearing 70F later today.


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#807
jaster220

Posted 30 April 2018 - 06:09 AM

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Currently 55F here but heading up into the low 80s today assuming the storms that are moving in don’t leave too much debris. 83 in the point. The ice on the lake is now completely gone as of this morning. It’s the all-time latest recorded ice out. We melted 18” of snow and 25” of ice over the last 15 days. Pretty remarkable. I even have creeping charlie and a few other weeds already growing in the yard.

 

Yep, exactly 14 days ago I was downtown Grand Rapids (MI not MN) and it looked and felt like a typical January day. Mowed my lawn late yesterday and wasn't even chilly. Sometimes we experience sudden plunges into winter usually via a massive storm system like we saw with the Jan of '99 bliz. This is not quite as dramatic but in the opposite direction. Truly impressive stuff 


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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#808
westMJim

Posted 30 April 2018 - 06:11 AM

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At this time, it looks like April 2018 will be the 4th coldest April in Grand Rapids history. We will know for sure tomorrow the current mean temperature at GRR is 39.7° and the current 5 coldest April’s are

  1.  1907    37.6°
  2. 1950    39.6°
  3. 1975    39.8°
  4. 1926    40.4°
  5. 1904    40.9°

My guess it that this year will take over the 4th spot from 1926 with a projected mean of around 40.1°


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#809
westMJim

Posted 30 April 2018 - 06:12 AM

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The official low at GRR this morning was 30° here at my house the low was a colder 27° even with the sun and temperatures in the upper 50’s to 60° the very low dew points in the upper teens and the wind made it feel much cooler then that in the shade the last two days.
 


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#810
Niko

Posted 30 April 2018 - 06:24 AM

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An impressive record low was broken IMBY last night when temps fell @ 24.3F. Old record was 25F back in 2012. Dang! Hopefully, we are done w these cold temps. :rolleyes:


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#811
gabel23

Posted 30 April 2018 - 06:43 AM

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I-80 at Aurora exit in Central Nebraska is closed due to multiple accidents caused by very low visibility due to blowing dust. Winds have been gusting between 50-60 MPH. Warmth was great but what a horrible day to be outside.

I seen some video of what the conditions looked like and it was nuts! 


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#812
CentralNebWeather

Posted 30 April 2018 - 07:21 AM

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I seen some video of what the conditions looked like and it was nuts! 

Heard it was 23 vehicles and 15 people were injured and taken to local hospitals.  Don't know any of the conditions of the injured.  Wind is supposed to hit 50 MPH again this afternoon.  



#813
St Paul Storm

Posted 30 April 2018 - 07:58 AM

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Still only 56F at 11am. Gonna be a stretch to get to 83 today. Cloud cover is thick after the rain.
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#814
jaster220

Posted 30 April 2018 - 08:54 AM

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:huh:  Never remember seeing this headline anywhere in the Mitten even tho northern forest regions certainly need it. First time for mby tho!

 

Fire Weather Watch

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
1228 PM EDT Mon Apr 30 2018

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-010000-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FW.A.0001.180430T1628Z-180501T0000Z/
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Clare-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-Isabella-Muskegon-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Ottawa-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-Allegan-Barry-Eaton-
Ingham-Van Buren-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
1228 PM EDT Mon Apr 30 2018

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a Fire
Weather Watch, which is in effect until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* Winds...Southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 15 percent.

* Temperatures...In the mid to upper 60s.

* Impacts...Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
red flag warnings.

&&

$

Laurens/WDM


  • Niko likes this

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#815
CentralNebWeather

Posted 30 April 2018 - 09:03 AM

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76 degrees/ dp 50 degrees, south wind sustained at 35 MPH.  We will see if storms develop this afternoon along the cold front.  One local met. says there is a chance the atmosphere will be capped and can the cap be broken?  Where exactly do storms fire is another question that the local ABC Met. is wondering.



#816
Niko

Posted 30 April 2018 - 09:15 AM

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:huh:  Never remember seeing this headline anywhere in the Mitten even tho northern forest regions certainly need it. First time for mby tho!

 

Fire Weather Watch

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
1228 PM EDT Mon Apr 30 2018

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-010000-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FW.A.0001.180430T1628Z-180501T0000Z/
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Clare-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-Isabella-Muskegon-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Ottawa-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-Allegan-Barry-Eaton-
Ingham-Van Buren-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
1228 PM EDT Mon Apr 30 2018

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a Fire
Weather Watch, which is in effect until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* Winds...Southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 15 percent.

* Temperatures...In the mid to upper 60s.

* Impacts...Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
red flag warnings.

&&

$

Laurens/WDM

I get that a lot when I travel to Greece (Andros Island). Air is very dry there, so sometimes from my house there, I can see the mountains across being burned down.


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#817
Niko

Posted 30 April 2018 - 09:16 AM

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Currently @ 64F and sunny skies. Absolutely beautiful. Temps will be in the 80s tomorrow w plentiful sunshine to go along w it. :D



#818
Niko

Posted 30 April 2018 - 09:48 AM

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Looks like some Thunderstorms in my forecast by midweek. Yippppeeeeee! :D


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#819
Stacsh

Posted 30 April 2018 - 09:56 AM

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:huh:  Never remember seeing this headline anywhere in the Mitten even tho northern forest regions certainly need it. First time for mby tho!

 

Fire Weather Watch

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
1228 PM EDT Mon Apr 30 2018

MIZ037>040-043>046-050>052-056>059-064>067-071>074-010000-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FW.A.0001.180430T1628Z-180501T0000Z/
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Clare-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-Isabella-Muskegon-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Ottawa-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-Allegan-Barry-Eaton-
Ingham-Van Buren-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
1228 PM EDT Mon Apr 30 2018

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a Fire
Weather Watch, which is in effect until 8 PM EDT this evening.

* Winds...Southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 15 percent.

* Temperatures...In the mid to upper 60s.

* Impacts...Outdoor burning is not recommended.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Fire Weather Watch means that critical fire weather conditions
are forecast to occur. Listen for later forecasts and possible
red flag warnings.

&&

$

Laurens/WDM

 It's been dry here in Grand Haven.  There was a dune (grass) fire in Spring Lake today.  Looks like they have it under control now and saved a housing development.  


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#820
Niko

Posted 30 April 2018 - 09:58 AM

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Pics from a friend of mine in High Point, NJ.......Snow had fallen w temps in the 20s. A nice way to welcome May.

31715154_10211706715158794_8031716786300

 

31543702_10211706714158769_1382678520953



#821
St Paul Storm

Posted 30 April 2018 - 10:53 AM

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Still only 56F at 11am. Gonna be a stretch to get to 83 today. Cloud cover is thick after the rain.


Now up to 75F and still climbing fast. Massive warming taking place under still mostly cloudy skies. Shows you how little I know about weather. Haha.
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#822
jaster220

Posted 30 April 2018 - 10:56 AM

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Pics from a friend of mine in High Point, NJ.......Snow had fallen w temps in the 20s. A nice way to welcome May.

31715154_10211706715158794_8031716786300

 

31543702_10211706714158769_1382678520953

 

..it's still April, unless that's tomorrow's news, lol  I'll still "hard pass" on that


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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#823
Niko

Posted 30 April 2018 - 11:31 AM

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..it's still April, unless that's tomorrow's news, lol  I'll still "hard pass" on that

Umm, only a few hours left until Mays arrival. :lol:


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#824
CentralNebWeather

Posted 30 April 2018 - 11:39 AM

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Many reports of blowing dust in Nebraska.  I see there are more wrecks on I-80 between York and Seward (511 Nebraska) and the NSP has rerouted traffic to highway 30.  Need some rain and these darn winds to die down.  



#825
gabel23

Posted 30 April 2018 - 11:47 AM

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No travel is being advised through Seward County. We have tons of dust in the air around my parts too. 

Attached Files


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#826
CentralNebWeather

Posted 30 April 2018 - 12:27 PM

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No travel is being advised through Seward County. We have tons of dust in the air around my parts too. 

I am staying right where I am.  That is just crazy.


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#827
CentralNebWeather

Posted 30 April 2018 - 12:30 PM

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I see there are now Dust Storm Warnings for 4 counties around and including Lincoln.  This is like 1930's stuff.


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#828
Tom

Posted 30 April 2018 - 12:34 PM

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I see there are now Dust Storm Warnings for 4 counties around and including Lincoln. This is like 1930's stuff.


The next few weeks are gonna be critical in the moisture dept. Hope this ain’t a prevgow. Even out here, I could taste dust in the air. Reminds me of AZ somewhat.

#829
snowstorm83

Posted 30 April 2018 - 12:38 PM

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I don't see any dust in Lincoln but it sounds like outside of the city is in bad shape. My friend is driving from Kearney to Lincoln and he's passing cars and trucks piled up due to the dust.

#830
LNK_Weather

Posted 30 April 2018 - 12:38 PM

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Crazy wind and the sky in the distance is brown. 83.1°F.

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#831
gabel23

Posted 30 April 2018 - 12:51 PM

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I can feel and taste the dust in the air, its awful. Here is a video from a guy on hwy 6 by Friend. Crazy on road as it goes from clear to nothing just like that. 


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#832
BrianJK

Posted 30 April 2018 - 01:30 PM

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Spent the weekend up in the northern woods of Wisconsin.  Couldn't believe how much snow there still was in the woods.  Lakes are still partially ice and snow covered.  Woke up to a crisp 20 F (not sure what the overnight low got to).  Something else I discovered... Granite Peak in Wausau is still open weekends?!?!  Surprised the guy who's always bragging about snowboarding hasn't made the trip up there.  Take a look...

 

 

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#833
CentralNebWeather

Posted 30 April 2018 - 03:26 PM

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I can feel and taste the dust in the air, its awful. Here is a video from a guy on hwy 6 by Friend. Crazy on road as it goes from clear to nothing just like that.


Wow, thanks for sharing. Going to need good moisture and the crops to take hold to reduce the blowing dust. Fortunately we have irrigation today but this shows just on a small scale how dust can be blown on the Great Plains
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#834
CentralNebWeather

Posted 30 April 2018 - 05:17 PM

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Our storm threat is disappearing tonight. They all went north. Tomorrow’s storms look to be southeast of here. Missed both days by the look of it. Not good for the dry conditions.

#835
Hawkeye

Posted 30 April 2018 - 05:57 PM

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Boy, was it warm today.  I totally expected we'd blow past 80 and even the most aggressive forecasts.  The CR airport hit 84.


season snowfall: 3.4"

 

'17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#836
gabel23

Posted 30 April 2018 - 06:02 PM

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Our storm threat is disappearing tonight. They all went north. Tomorrow’s storms look to be southeast of here. Missed both days by the look of it. Not good for the dry conditions.


I am quoting Gary Lezak and tend to agree, tomorrows enhanced area gets shifted to the north and west. We should all do good tomorrow.......at least I hope so.
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#837
CentralNebWeather

Posted 30 April 2018 - 06:19 PM

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I am quoting Gary Lezak and tend to agree, tomorrows enhanced area gets shifted to the north and west. We should all do good tomorrow.......at least I hope so.


Hope that is correct. Local met. says southeast of the Tri-Cities. Going to depend on the location of the cold front.

#838
LNK_Weather

Posted 30 April 2018 - 06:31 PM

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Hope that is correct. Local met. says southeast of the Tri-Cities. Going to depend on the location of the cold front.

I think storms will form along the triple point near Hebron or so then move Northeast along the cold front, wherever that sets up. Tomorrow is ideal for training thunderstorms as well so someone has the possibility of having a helluva day tomorrow with severe weather followed by flash flooding. It'll be feast or famine for sure, many people in the enhanced risk will not see a drop of rain.


>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#839
NEJeremy

Posted 30 April 2018 - 07:20 PM

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0Z NAM models seem to have shifted the best area down into KS. 3km NAM has several rotating cells but down in Kansas. The other CAMS have some monster cells, but again down in Kansas. I think I am going to head a bit further south into Kansas. It'll be interesting to see what the HRRR says when it gets into range.



#840
LNK_Weather

Posted 30 April 2018 - 07:21 PM

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0Z NAM models seem to have shifted the best area down into KS. 3km NAM has several rotating cells but down in Kansas. The other CAMS have some monster cells, but again down in Kansas. I think I am going to head a bit further south into Kansas. It'll be interesting to see what the HRRR says when it gets into range.

If this busts for here I might just cry. We need the moisture more than anything and I'd be willing to steal it from Kansas, who also needs moisture.

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#841
NEJeremy

Posted 30 April 2018 - 07:27 PM

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If this busts for here I might just cry. We need the moisture more than anything and I'd be willing to steal it from Kansas, who also needs moisture.

I'm sure it will still storm, just a matter of how severe it is in our area



#842
hlcater

Posted 30 April 2018 - 09:24 PM

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0Z NAM models seem to have shifted the best area down into KS. 3km NAM has several rotating cells but down in Kansas. The other CAMS have some monster cells, but again down in Kansas. I think I am going to head a bit further south into Kansas. It'll be interesting to see what the HRRR says when it gets into range.

The 00z NAM sucked across the board. Like it literally has no redeeming qualities. Currently thinking TP/WF in NC KS is probably gonna be the best play, with perhaps a few dryline storms, where all of the CAMs initiate a few supercells. Another area that bears watching would be SW OK near Altus where the 3km NAM has been extremely consistent on a dryline bulge which would elongate hodographs due to increased directional shear. However, initiation is extremely conditional in this area and may not happen at all, but there might be a surprise or two down there if CI occurs. Given relatively widespread 0-1km SRH profiles in the vicinity of 200 m2s2, I could see a decent sized 10% hatched and maybe, just maybe a 15% in NC KS if you really wanna be an optimist where 0-1km SRH is generally towards 300 m2s2 with eSRH approaching 400 m2s2 in spots. Thinking tomorrow will end up being superior to Wednesday, which has a lot of caveats if you ask me.


2018-19 Snowfall: 

TOTAL: 3.5"

 

(Nov. 9: 0.6") (Nov. 17: 2.9")

Formerly NWLinn


#843
westMJim

Posted 01 May 2018 - 08:14 AM

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It is now official April 2018 was the 4th coldest in Grand Rapids history. At Muskegon it was the 2nd coldest April in history.  It also was the coldest April since 1975 so to many of you it was the coldest April in your lifetime!

 2018 is now the coldest April in recorded history at Flint Michigan. Flints mean this April was 39.1° the old record coldest April was 39.4° in 1950. It was the 2nd coldest April at Saginaw and while it was down the list at 13th in Detroit it was none the less the coldest there since 1950.


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#844
jaster220

Posted 01 May 2018 - 11:00 AM

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It is now official April 2018 was the 4th coldest in Grand Rapids history. At Muskegon it was the 2nd coldest April in history.  It also was the coldest April since 1975 so to many of you it was the coldest April in your lifetime!

 2018 is now the coldest April in recorded history at Flint Michigan. Flints mean this April was 39.1° the old record coldest April was 39.4° in 1950. It was the 2nd coldest April at Saginaw and while it was down the list at 13th in Detroit it was none the less the coldest there since 1950.

 

Per a poster in Jackson for comparisons:

 

"April ends here with a -7.0 departure. That is a larger departure than the +5.3 last April. Remarkably enough yesterday's 72 degree official high at JXN still ranked yesterday -2 departure thanks to the 29 degree overnight low. Just 6 days were above normal in April and of course we had legit snow squalls and a legit winter storm with tons of snow and sleet to the north with an ice storm south of a Lansing to Grand Rapids to Pontiac line and on April 15th no less so at the half way point of the month puts it more into the rare air category."


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."