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April 3rd-4th Plains/GL's Winter Storm

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#101
Tom

Posted 03 April 2018 - 04:38 AM

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Ya about an inch down.. Rates are not crazy.

Banding looks good for your area in SE MN...should pick up soon...I think your in the best position right now for the most snows today in MN.



#102
gosaints

Posted 03 April 2018 - 04:40 AM

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Banding looks good for your area in SE MN...should pick up soon...I think your in the best position right now for the most snows today in MN.


Should be a long duration moderate event.

#103
St Paul Storm

Posted 03 April 2018 - 04:43 AM

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That stuff out in SD looks legit on radar. Might skip out of the office a bit early to avoid the afternoon rush disaster.

#104
LNK_Weather

Posted 03 April 2018 - 04:59 AM

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Actually wondering what brand of glue OAX was sniffing when they put us in the WWA.
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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#105
Andrew NE

Posted 03 April 2018 - 05:04 AM

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Actually wondering what brand of glue OAX was sniffing when they put us in the WWA.

 

I'm guessing in part for Omaha at least it was only because of the morning rush.  There were some major accidents on bridges and overpasses, L street going over I-80 had a 12 car pile up and a couple roads around my office were closed as well as I arrived.  Honestly it wasn't that bad, but you know how people drive around here. :) . It looked like to me that the city of Omaha may have been caught off guard a bit getting salt trucks out.



#106
LNK_Weather

Posted 03 April 2018 - 05:14 AM

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I'm guessing in part for Omaha at least it was only because of the morning rush.  There were some major accidents on bridges and overpasses, L street going over I-80 had a 12 car pile up and a couple roads around my office were closed as well as I arrived.  Honestly it wasn't that bad, but you know how people drive around here. :) . It looked like to me that the city of Omaha may have been caught off guard a bit getting salt trucks out.

No issue here. Roads are dry as a bone and radar looks unfavorable.


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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#107
Snowshoe

Posted 03 April 2018 - 05:44 AM

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It's great when it snows during the daylight! I'll try to get a time lapse as work allows throughout the day. As you can see the first band overnight just missed me to the north. You can barely make out the smokestacks on the papermill and 3/4 mile away.

 

2018-04-03%2007.21.36.jpg?dl=0


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Wisconsin_Rapids.gif


#108
Stormgeek

Posted 03 April 2018 - 06:33 AM

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Looks like the band out in SD is making its move and transferring energy to the south with the north band dissipating. Looks like south MN is in a very good spot (cities on south)!

#109
St Paul Storm

Posted 03 April 2018 - 06:49 AM

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Looks like the band out in SD is making its move and transferring energy to the south with the north band dissipating. Looks like south MN is in a very good spot (cities on south)!


The northern end of that intense band is expanding. We’re gonna get raked in a bit. South metro on south will do best but it’s going to be good by us too.

#110
james1976

Posted 03 April 2018 - 08:31 AM

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Heavy bands just to my west.
Nice dry slot in NW IA.

#111
jaster220

Posted 03 April 2018 - 08:35 AM

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<1/2" in my grid, lol. At one point, GFS was trolling mby with double digits. So has gone most of this winter - sigh. 

 

Only that one week in Feb delivered on a model "storm threat" and even then could not pull off double digits in any single event. 

 

A kiss of white stuff should be on my deck some time tomorrow..

 

Attached File  20180403 8am GLs map for Wed the 4th.gif   69.07KB   0 downloads


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#112
St Paul Storm

Posted 03 April 2018 - 08:37 AM

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Pound town and flake size is increasing. 6” down combined last night and so far today. Looking good for 2-4” more today.

Attached Files


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#113
bud2380

Posted 03 April 2018 - 08:41 AM

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It looks like a pretty narrow corridor that is probably scoring big right now.  i think some in the warning area will under perform.  



#114
gosaints

Posted 03 April 2018 - 08:51 AM

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It looks like a pretty narrow corridor that is probably scoring big right now. i think some in the warning area will under perform.


Small flakes but will hit warning criteria here for sure...

Not many storms where someone in the warning doesn't underperform
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#115
Tom

Posted 03 April 2018 - 08:54 AM

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The severe side of this storm is not to be dismissed...looks like a very legit severe wx outbreak is forthcoming later today...Tornado Watch is going to be hoisted soon across the OV...

 

DZ3x6f4VMAMLUOV.jpg



#116
james1976

Posted 03 April 2018 - 09:05 AM

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Snow/sleet just underway. Ground getting white.
What else would ya want on April 3rd? Lol

#117
james1976

Posted 03 April 2018 - 09:29 AM

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Poundtown. Quick 1/2 inch

#118
bud2380

Posted 03 April 2018 - 09:33 AM

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Cedar Rapids now in the winter weather advisory.  The double standards on issuing headlines is comical to me with the NWS.  Keokuk, IA got 4" of snow Sunday, but no advisory issued, despite all signs pointing towards 2-4" for that area.   Now CR is in line for a 1/2" of snow and maybe a thin glaze of ice, but they issue the advisory.  4" of snow would be significantly more hazardous than what we're expecting today.  


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#119
LNK_Weather

Posted 03 April 2018 - 09:41 AM

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Cedar Rapids now in the winter weather advisory. The double standards on issuing headlines is comical to me with the NWS. Keokuk, IA got 4" of snow Sunday, but no advisory issued, despite all signs pointing towards 2-4" for that area. Now CR is in line for a 1/2" of snow and maybe a thin glaze of ice, but they issue the advisory. 4" of snow would be significantly more hazardous than what we're expecting today.


OAX has become comical with headlines too. This morning's WWA for my county was completely uncalled for as we had zero chance for appreciable precip even when the advisory was issued. Typically headlines are their stronger suit but maybe they're thinner skinned now cuz it's April.

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#120
Madtown

Posted 03 April 2018 - 10:03 AM

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Drizzle has turned to flakes!

#121
St Paul Storm

Posted 03 April 2018 - 10:07 AM

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Nice heavy blob heading right for the TC. Stat padder.
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#122
WBadgersW

Posted 03 April 2018 - 10:25 AM

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Rain just transitioned to snow. Doesn't seem to have much trouble sticking either.

#123
St Paul Storm

Posted 03 April 2018 - 10:41 AM

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Vis less than 1/4 mi. Insane rates for the last 30 min.
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#124
jaster220

Posted 03 April 2018 - 11:42 AM

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:blink: ..actual "WX" ???

 

 

Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
341 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2018

MIZ073-032030-
Calhoun-
341 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY...

At 340 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Sherwood, or 15
miles northwest of Coldwater, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Half inch hail is possible with this storm.

This storm will be near...
Union City and Burlington around 350 PM EDT.
Tekonsha around 355 PM EDT.
Marshall and Homer around 405 PM EDT.
Marengo around 410 PM EDT.
Albion around 415 PM EDT.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 4212 8530 4235 8472 4207 8471 4207 8529
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 239DEG 49KT 4204 8527

$

MJS


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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#125
Tom

Posted 03 April 2018 - 11:46 AM

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Vis less than 1/4 mi. Insane rates for the last 30 min.

Perfect pivot of that blob for your area...congrats on the score!  It must be lovely outside...gotta be 1"/hr rates...



#126
jaster220

Posted 03 April 2018 - 11:49 AM

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30's and T-storms.....#spring2018  :rolleyes:


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#127
jaster220

Posted 03 April 2018 - 12:02 PM

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:blink: ..actual "WX" ???

 

 

Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
341 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2018

MIZ073-032030-
Calhoun-
341 PM EDT TUE APR 3 2018

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CALHOUN COUNTY...

At 340 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Sherwood, or 15
miles northwest of Coldwater, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Half inch hail is possible with this storm.

This storm will be near...
Union City and Burlington around 350 PM EDT.
Tekonsha around 355 PM EDT.
Marshall and Homer around 405 PM EDT.
Marengo around 410 PM EDT.
Albion around 415 PM EDT.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 4212 8530 4235 8472 4207 8471 4207 8529
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 239DEG 49KT 4204 8527

$

MJS

 

Legit system on radar with a massive TOR watch now. That could be the bigger story with this guy

 

Attached File  20180403 4pm ECONUS radar.GIF   229.49KB   0 downloads

 

 

Attached Files


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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#128
St Paul Storm

Posted 03 April 2018 - 12:29 PM

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Perfect pivot of that blob for your area...congrats on the score! It must be lovely outside...gotta be 1"/hr rates...

Fire hose on full blast for about 2.5 hours. I’m sure it was 1”/hr rates for a while. I have no idea how much is OTG now but I’ll check when I get home. Fortunately the salt has kept the main roads clear.

Gosaints about to enjoy the goods.
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#129
Snowshoe

Posted 03 April 2018 - 12:37 PM

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It would figure that today would be busy at work. Visibility down to half mile. Easily the best snowfall of the year. Would have been much more useful 2 months ago. Looking forward to a snowshoe hike this evening!

 

0138 PM SNOW WISCONSIN RAPIDS 44.40N 89.84W
04/03/2018 E6.0 INCH WOOD WI PUBLIC

 

2018-04-03%2011.59.03.jpg?dl=0


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Wisconsin_Rapids.gif


#130
gosaints

Posted 03 April 2018 - 12:38 PM

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Fire hose on full blast for about 2.5 hours. I’m sure it was 1”/hr rates for a while. I have no idea how much is OTG now but I’ll check when I get home. Fortunately the salt has kept the main roads clear.

Gosaints about to enjoy the goods.


On my doorstep. hope it produces the goods.

#131
Money

Posted 03 April 2018 - 12:50 PM

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Coming down good

#132
gosaints

Posted 03 April 2018 - 01:53 PM

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Pounding

#133
westMJim

Posted 03 April 2018 - 01:59 PM

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Small hail with rain here temp is at 34 was windy but not at this time.



#134
St Paul Storm

Posted 03 April 2018 - 02:30 PM

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Still going here. No idea how much has fallen but I have about 9” I think. Melting and compaction playing a role though.

#135
gosaints

Posted 03 April 2018 - 03:15 PM

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Guessing 7 inches Here at home on the ridge top. Only 5 or so down the hill in the state park I am guessing.

#136
james1976

Posted 03 April 2018 - 03:36 PM

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Been light to moderate snow here all day but roads are just wet. Grass has between 1-2 inches just from eyeballing.



#137
St Paul Storm

Posted 03 April 2018 - 04:38 PM

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Money in the crosshairs of that beast moving east. Looks like a springtime thunderstorm with the heavier returns forming out ahead of the line.

#138
St Paul Storm

Posted 03 April 2018 - 05:03 PM

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MSP officially at 8.2” as of 7pm. Still snowing. Now just a few tenths under 60” for the season.

#139
Craig-OmahaWX

Posted 03 April 2018 - 05:38 PM

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Glad you all cashed in. Now you have no reason to complain about this winter lol

2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 13.50"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook...snowdayweather/


#140
hlcater

Posted 03 April 2018 - 05:46 PM

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Glad you all cashed in. Now you have no reason to complain about this winter lol


Last time I checked, you’re the only one consistently complaining about this winter, so perhaps you should reevaluate your statement. Can’t remember the last time gosaints, stormgeek or SPS were in here complaining.
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2018-19 Snowfall: 

TOTAL: 3.5"

 

(Nov. 9: 0.6") (Nov. 17: 2.9")

Formerly NWLinn


#141
gosaints

Posted 03 April 2018 - 05:51 PM

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Glad you all cashed in. Now you have no reason to complain about this winter lol


Huh?

#142
St Paul Storm

Posted 03 April 2018 - 06:13 PM

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Seriously. The guy needs help. Who posts stuff like that?

Here’s a complaint since he was begging for one...I’ve spent a lot of money firing up the snowblower this winter. That non-ethanol gas is expensive. Whew.
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#143
Hawkeye

Posted 03 April 2018 - 07:33 PM

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This was never expected to be much for the CR/IC area, but it didn't even live up to that.  We got under a tenth of an inch of drizzle, followed by a couple tenths of an inch of snow.  This was a classic case of heavy snow well north, heavy rain/storms well southeast, and not much in between.


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season snowfall: 3.4"

 

'17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#144
LNK_Weather

Posted 03 April 2018 - 08:15 PM

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Glad you all cashed in. Now you have no reason to complain about this winter lol


Says the one who lives and dies by literally every run of every model. Not only on this forum, but on your Facebook page with tens of thousands of followers. I'm almost offended because my Twitter page which is way less emotional only has 200 followers.

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#145
Money

Posted 03 April 2018 - 08:37 PM

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Getting raked right now

#146
Tom

Posted 04 April 2018 - 02:05 AM

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Waking up this morning to a fresh coating of powdery snow.  Only about 1/2" but the fact that its snowing lightly on my Dad's B day is kinda cool.


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#147
Tom

Posted 04 April 2018 - 02:10 AM

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N MI is getting pounded from that very intense defo band swinging through.  I took a look at the last 96 images on radar and there was a blob of 30-35dbz returns.  Temps in the mid 20's, wind and heavy snow in early April must have been amazing to experience.  The heaviest stuff has just swung through, but man, that must have been some intense snow for quite a while.



#148
Tom

Posted 04 April 2018 - 03:03 AM

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8-10" look common for MSP area...solid snowstorm and one you guys will remember for quite a while...seeing some 8-11" totals for GRB area as well...


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#149
Snowshoe

Posted 04 April 2018 - 04:49 AM

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Finally able to use the snowshoes! Here's some pics I took yesterday evening. About 6" on the ground then. The snow really picked up as we headed home. The pine trees always look awesome covered in snow. I especially liked how the young trees in the first pic look sad and depressed under the weight of the snow,

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Wisconsin_Rapids.gif


#150
Snowshoe

Posted 04 April 2018 - 05:05 AM

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The neighborhood looks great this morning. Just wish it were January and not April. One heck of a stat padder storm! Total for the season was at 24" and we just about got half that in one day. Still about a foot short of average. Can I order up one of these storms for Dec 15th next winter? :D

Attached Files


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Wisconsin_Rapids.gif