Front Ranger Posted April 27, 2018 Report Share Posted April 27, 2018 Maybe I’m missing the joke, but can’t recall you ever winning a forecast contest.It's common to block traumatic events from our memories. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 27, 2018 Report Share Posted April 27, 2018 It's common to block traumatic events from our memories.Well played, but I don’t share your worldview. It doesn’t bother me when you make a good forecast. I did scroll through the forecast contests since 2016, and you’re winless over that period. Cognitive dissonance? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 27, 2018 Report Share Posted April 27, 2018 Well played, but I don’t share your worldview. It doesn’t bother me when you make a good forecast. I did scroll through the forecast contests since 2016, and you’re winless over that period. Cognitive dissonance? You try hard for not being bothered. It was just a joke. I have won before, but I don't really keep track. And most these contests never end up graded anyway. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 27, 2018 Report Share Posted April 27, 2018 You try hard for not being bothered. It was just a joke. I have won before, but I don't really keep track. And most these contests never end up graded anyway.What can I say, I have an insatiable curiosity for information. Heck, I play myself in chess. That doesn’t mean it bothers me when you make a good forecast. I honestly don’t even think about it unless you’re trying to Flatiron one of my past forecasts..in which case there’s more than enough material available for a retaliatory strike. Lol. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 28, 2018 Report Share Posted April 28, 2018 Unofficial standings after day 4. Phil -28Frontal Snowsquall -30Jesse -41 One more day to go! This is the one time I'm going to root for cold anomalies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 28, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 28, 2018 We’re all doing great! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 28, 2018 Report Share Posted April 28, 2018 Unofficial standings after the morning lows of 47 at SEA and 49 at PDX . Frontal Snowsquall -32Phil -34Jesse -43 It will all come down to the highs today! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 28, 2018 Report Share Posted April 28, 2018 Noooooo. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 28, 2018 Report Share Posted April 28, 2018 Noooooo.Looks like you will win. PDX already up to 57. SEA at 51 but I can't afford it to go much higher. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 28, 2018 Report Share Posted April 28, 2018 Looks like you will win. PDX already up to 57. SEA at 51 but I can't afford it to go much higher.SEA needs to hit 56 for me to tie, 57 for me to win. That will be tough w/ the clouds. If you had DC sun power, maybe. Lol. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 29, 2018 Report Share Posted April 29, 2018 SEA needs to hit 56 for me to tie, 57 for me to win. That will be tough w/ the clouds. If you had DC sun power, maybe. Lol.Unofficially a high of 55 for SEA and 62 for PDX. If that holds, then these are the final standings. Frontal Snowsquall -39Phil -41Jesse -48 Jesse and Phil tally up the scores to confirm this to see if I made any errors. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted April 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted April 29, 2018 Well that was fun. Good job Frontal Snowsquall! Definitely would like to do more of these, hopefully with more people participating! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 29, 2018 Report Share Posted April 29, 2018 Well that was fun. Good job Frontal Snowsquall! Definitely would like to do more of these, hopefully with more people participating!Thanks Jesse for putting this contest together and also to Phil for participating. However I'm not going to accept being the winner. I just copied TWC for SEA and for PDX I tweaked some numbers around. Maybe most people just tweak numbers around, I don't know. However it's pretty funny I just copied the forecast for SEA. Hope everybody got a good laugh at that one. I know I did. Yeah more people need to participate. The 3 of us here showed we are probably the most passionate about weather. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 29, 2018 Report Share Posted April 29, 2018 Congrats FrontalSnowsquall. And Jesse. Very fun, even though we all sucked. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted April 29, 2018 Report Share Posted April 29, 2018 Thanks Jesse for putting this contest together and also to Phil for participating. However I'm not going to accept being the winner. I just copied TWC for SEA and for PDX I tweaked some numbers around. Maybe most people just tweak numbers around, I don't know. However it's pretty funny I just copied the forecast for SEA. Hope everybody got a good laugh at that one. I know I did. Yeah more people need to participate. The 3 of us here showed we are probably the most passionate about weather.I basically copied from an aggregate of modeled soundings at said locations..so maybe my guesses were tainted too. That’s one reason I like the seasonal forecast contest..we can’t rip off numbers from anything. It’s all instinct and pattern recognition, with some analoging thrown in. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted April 29, 2018 Report Share Posted April 29, 2018 I basically copied from an aggregate of modeled soundings at said locations..so maybe my guesses were tainted too. That’s one reason I like the seasonal forecast contest..we can’t rip off numbers from anything. It’s all instinct and pattern recognition, with some analoging thrown in.Yeah, I'm looking forward to the seasonal forecast contest. I'm going to try and put a lot of effort into it. I know you're going to bring it along with everybody else. I want to see how well I stack up to everybody else. It's also a way to see everybody's forecast through September. It's going to be on paper so we can look back and see what want right and wrong for everybody. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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