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May 2018 Observations and Discussion

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#101
LNK_Weather

Posted 02 May 2018 - 07:21 AM

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Hmmm, where do you suppose the front is located?

 

 

midwest_tmpf.png

Urban heat island is real over Sioux City  :P


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2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 3 (Last: 6/6/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/9/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 5 (Last: 6/6/2018)

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 12/23-12/24 (3.6), 1/22 (1.8), 2/5 (1.6), 2/6 (2.0), 2/9-2/10 (2.8), 2/21-2/22 (1.9), 4/14-4/15 (2.0)

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018 @ KLNK: 21.4"               Coldest Low: -19*F (1/1/2018)

 

First flake of the season: 10/31/2017 @ 1:17 PM        Last flake of the season: 4/15/2018 @ 9:22 AM


#102
NWLinnCountyIA

Posted 02 May 2018 - 07:43 AM

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The NAMs are certainly trying hard to troll me into S IA tomorrow along the triple point. Pulling some nice soundings down there and the SPC has a 10% hatched in the vicinity.

2017-18 Snowfall: 

TOTAL: 40.0"

(Dec. 8: 0.1") (Dec. 24: 1.1") (Dec. 28: 1.1") (Dec. 29: 5.4") (Dec. 30: 0.3") (Jan. 2: 0.5") (Jan. 11: 0.3") (Jan. 14: 2.0")(Feb. 3: 0.4") (Feb. 5: 4.6")(Feb. 6-8: 1.0") (Feb. 9: 4.3")(Feb. 10: 2.8")(Feb. 11: 1.2”) (Feb. 17: 1.8")(Mar. 6: 1.9") (Mar. 24: 8.6") (Apr. x 0.3") (Apr. 8: 3.3")


#103
Hawkeye

Posted 02 May 2018 - 08:19 AM

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Now the GFS has dropped the heavy rain tonight.  The HRRR continues to keep everything south as well.  This sucks.


season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#104
bud2380

Posted 02 May 2018 - 08:40 AM

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The HRRR does show storms rollilng into Iowa City/CR late this evening, but even though this looks somewhat impressive on the model, the qpf doesn't look as impressive. Showing over 1/2" for my area though and I'd be satisfied with that.  

 

refcmp_ptype.us_mw.png

 

qpf_acc.us_mw.png



#105
Stormgeek

Posted 02 May 2018 - 08:46 AM

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Looking like a pretty nasty setup down there in OK/KS. Everyone be safe!



#106
Niko

Posted 02 May 2018 - 09:59 AM

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It actually feels a little humid out there. Thankfully, we are outta the "Fire Zone."



#107
Niko

Posted 02 May 2018 - 10:19 AM

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Currently @ 80F w windy conditions, but no storms yet.



#108
jaster220

Posted 02 May 2018 - 11:05 AM

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:blink: 85F currently at Midway??  All about wind direction this time of year in the windy city! Friday's warmth is gone, so is the sunshine..sigh. Spring's just too volatile in the Midwest for any reliable planning. Saturday's at least looking sunny..we'll see tho.  


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Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#109
Hawkeye

Posted 02 May 2018 - 11:14 AM

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The dewpoint is up to 65 here.  However, it's cloudy and only 75, with a decent breeze, so it feels quite good.


season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#110
Tom

Posted 02 May 2018 - 11:16 AM

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:blink: 85F currently at Midway??  All about wind direction this time of year in the windy city! Friday's warmth is gone, so is the sunshine..sigh. Spring's just too volatile in the Midwest for any reliable planning. Saturday's at least looking sunny..we'll see tho.  

85F with a 56F dewpoint...feels great and summery!  I've been waiting for this all to long.


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#111
jaster220

Posted 02 May 2018 - 11:22 AM

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85F with a 56F dewpoint...feels great and summery!  I've been waiting for this all to long.

 

Only 75F across the lake with the onshore southerly wind. More typical and quite pleasant I'll add. Enjoy! 


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Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#112
Tom

Posted 02 May 2018 - 12:26 PM

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Ahhh, getting my first real taste of spring time thunder along with a brief heavy shower. Smells refreshing! More storms firing up to my west.

#113
St Paul Storm

Posted 02 May 2018 - 12:41 PM

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Ahhh, getting my first real taste of spring time thunder along with a brief heavy shower. Smells refreshing! More storms firing up to my west.


Radar looking good. My coworker in Lisle says it’s looking nasty to the west.
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#114
Tom

Posted 02 May 2018 - 12:52 PM

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Radar looking good. My coworker in Lisle says it’s looking nasty to the west.

Yup!  It seems like forever since I've been able to enjoy a day like today.  I think N IL is sitting pretty good for some training storms over the next 36 hours.  Today feels like a late July/early August day with the heat and somewhat humid day.



#115
bud2380

Posted 02 May 2018 - 12:55 PM

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Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for I-80 south in eastern Iowa.  I haven't seen a graphic yet, just a text version.  Does not include Linn County (Cedar Rapids).  



#116
Illinois_WX

Posted 02 May 2018 - 01:56 PM

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Come on storms go tornadic! I want to hear the creepy Chicago sirens lol pls just give me a quick spinup.

Anyone who doesn’t know what I’m talking about:

https://youtu.be/LnkMSmLc6mM


EDIT: oh my gosh, did I create a chicagodome?!? 😂😂

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LINCOLN NEBRASKA SNOW TOTALS:

 

 

13-14 : 0"

14-15: 0"

15-16" : 0"

16-17 : 0"

17-18 : Probably 10", so in other words, 0" ​ 5.5"

 

 

# of times it was too warm and ended up being 33 and rain during these years : 20

# of times the storm essentially turned into dust: 25

# of times the storm looked at Nebraska and was like "yeah, good joke" , then ran to Chicago: 50


#117
LNK_Weather

Posted 02 May 2018 - 02:33 PM

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Looks like we have some decent rain coming in. Not as fun as severe storms but as dry as we've been recently I'll take a good soaker.

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 3 (Last: 6/6/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/9/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 5 (Last: 6/6/2018)

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 12/23-12/24 (3.6), 1/22 (1.8), 2/5 (1.6), 2/6 (2.0), 2/9-2/10 (2.8), 2/21-2/22 (1.9), 4/14-4/15 (2.0)

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018 @ KLNK: 21.4"               Coldest Low: -19*F (1/1/2018)

 

First flake of the season: 10/31/2017 @ 1:17 PM        Last flake of the season: 4/15/2018 @ 9:22 AM


#118
Tom

Posted 02 May 2018 - 03:09 PM

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Numerous severe warned storms are firing up across N IL in the more soupy airmass.  DP's have risen into the mid 60's...tonight has the summer feel to it.  Gosh, how I have missed this type of evening.  My neighbors A/C is humming for the first time this year.



#119
Hawkeye

Posted 02 May 2018 - 03:29 PM

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It was certainly warm and humid this afternoon.  Unfortunately, the storms are firing to the south as expected, so I just have to hope a decent rain shield can lift far enough north to get CR later.


season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#120
LNK_Weather

Posted 02 May 2018 - 04:18 PM

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We at least got enough rain for it to pond on the roads. First time I've been able to say that since mid-March. Onto tomorrow then it looks like we hold off on rain chances for a while.


2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 3 (Last: 6/6/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/9/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 5 (Last: 6/6/2018)

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 12/23-12/24 (3.6), 1/22 (1.8), 2/5 (1.6), 2/6 (2.0), 2/9-2/10 (2.8), 2/21-2/22 (1.9), 4/14-4/15 (2.0)

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018 @ KLNK: 21.4"               Coldest Low: -19*F (1/1/2018)

 

First flake of the season: 10/31/2017 @ 1:17 PM        Last flake of the season: 4/15/2018 @ 9:22 AM


#121
St Paul Storm

Posted 02 May 2018 - 04:21 PM

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Tornado warning for North English, IA. Nasty looking cell.

#122
St Paul Storm

Posted 02 May 2018 - 04:24 PM

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Numerous severe warned storms are firing up across N IL in the more soupy airmass.  DP's have risen into the mid 60's...tonight has the summer feel to it.  Gosh, how I have missed this type of evening.  My neighbors A/C is humming for the first time this year.


Haven’t looked at the models today so not sure what they’re showing. But it looks like the linear mode out in IA could lead to some major training in N IL. That’s funny about the A/C humming. I just flipped the furnace off for the season this morning. Ha!
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#123
Tom

Posted 02 May 2018 - 05:07 PM

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Haven’t looked at the models today so not sure what they’re showing. But it looks like the linear mode out in IA could lead to some major training in N IL. That’s funny about the A/C humming. I just flipped the furnace off for the season this morning. Ha!

I've had 2 nice storms back to back and now a 3rd one is right on my doorstep.  The last one was severe warned but no hail or real strong winds here, although, I had torrential rains and prob easily closing in on 1.0" of rain.  South side got crushed with 75mph winds and lots of tree/roof damage.

 

As I type this, I'm getting very strong outflow from this cell...I must say, it's sorta odd to see the trees still quite bare being whipped around by the wind.  The sound of the wind roaring through the trees is different and almost creepy.  Normally you'd hear the leaves produce a different sound but not tonight.  An interesting experience that's for sure.

 

LOT.N0Q.20180503.0106.gif


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#124
Tom

Posted 02 May 2018 - 05:11 PM

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Saw this Tweet from Mike Hamernick and these winds are wild coming through right now...my lights just flickered on and off...the most intense winds from this cell just flew over my place.

 

https://twitter.com/...837253331816453



#125
Tom

Posted 02 May 2018 - 05:15 PM

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I wouldn't be surprised to see some flood advisories hoisted around here if those storms forming out in IA continue to show signs of a west/east training band.  Earlier run of the RPM model was spitting out 2-4" of rain by Thu pm from the entire 2-day event.  I think some spots may have that much by tomorrow morning!



#126
NWLinnCountyIA

Posted 02 May 2018 - 05:25 PM

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I'm gonna more likely than not end up somewhere along the warm front in S central to SE IA tomorrow. 


2017-18 Snowfall: 

TOTAL: 40.0"

(Dec. 8: 0.1") (Dec. 24: 1.1") (Dec. 28: 1.1") (Dec. 29: 5.4") (Dec. 30: 0.3") (Jan. 2: 0.5") (Jan. 11: 0.3") (Jan. 14: 2.0")(Feb. 3: 0.4") (Feb. 5: 4.6")(Feb. 6-8: 1.0") (Feb. 9: 4.3")(Feb. 10: 2.8")(Feb. 11: 1.2”) (Feb. 17: 1.8")(Mar. 6: 1.9") (Mar. 24: 8.6") (Apr. x 0.3") (Apr. 8: 3.3")


#127
Tom

Posted 02 May 2018 - 06:16 PM

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I wouldn't be surprised to see some flood advisories hoisted around here if those storms forming out in IA continue to show signs of a west/east training band.  Earlier run of the RPM model was spitting out 2-4" of rain by Thu pm from the entire 2-day event.  I think some spots may have that much by tomorrow morning!

Just like I thought, LOT issues a Flood Watch:

 

 

 

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Chicago has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of Illinois and Indiana,
including the following areas, in Illinois, Boone, Cook,
DeKalb, DuPage, Ford, Grundy, Iroquois, Kane, Kankakee,
Kendall, La Salle, Lake IL, Lee, Livingston, McHenry, Ogle,
Will, and Winnebago. In Indiana, Benton, Jasper, Lake IN,
Newton, and Porter.

* Through Thursday morning

* Multiple rounds of thunderstorms will likely produce heavy
rainfall over much of northern Illinois and northwest Indiana
tonight through early Thursday morning. This will be in addition
to what has already fallen this evening.
 

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#128
Illinois_WX

Posted 02 May 2018 - 07:28 PM

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Storm wasn’t all that intense, had some good gusts for sure, but man, I got some amazing pictures out by my place! [sorry for the sideways pictures btw]


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Welcome to Illinois I guess eh? 😜
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LINCOLN NEBRASKA SNOW TOTALS:

 

 

13-14 : 0"

14-15: 0"

15-16" : 0"

16-17 : 0"

17-18 : Probably 10", so in other words, 0" ​ 5.5"

 

 

# of times it was too warm and ended up being 33 and rain during these years : 20

# of times the storm essentially turned into dust: 25

# of times the storm looked at Nebraska and was like "yeah, good joke" , then ran to Chicago: 50


#129
OKwx2k4

Posted 03 May 2018 - 02:38 AM

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In other news, for those who follow the suns solar activity and the impending solar minimum, today's write up on Spaceweather.com was one of the more interesting ones I've read this year. It appears the sun is falling asleep much quicker than NASA's models and forecasts. Is it a surprise NASA is sending a mission to our biggest star this summer?? You can find the link here for this mission to the sun. The fact that our gov't is taking a big step into studying our sun is of great importance for humanity. Something is brewing and we will all be effected by the suns activity.


That was a great write up. Timely also. I was just wondering why I hadn't heard anything about the sun lately and then I saw a new post there. I'm definitely keeping my eyes on it. Thank you!
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#130
Tom

Posted 03 May 2018 - 02:42 AM

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Storm wasn’t all that intense, had some good gusts for sure, but man, I got some amazing pictures out by my place! [sorry for the sideways pictures btw]


attachicon.gifAD2438AF-5E8F-4F6C-81C9-AAB76C83B4CD.jpeg

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Welcome to Illinois I guess eh?

Not much sleep last night!  Those were some loud a** storms around midnight.  An impressive day/night of severe weather around here in my book.  Not too crazy, just enough to keep things interesting.  


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#131
OKwx2k4

Posted 03 May 2018 - 02:43 AM

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Morning boomers woke me up. About to get a round through here. I don't think there was supposed to be much activity here this morning but here it is. NWS is downplaying the severe threat down here this evening and tonight but I can't really see why. Will be a near perfect environment today. Didn't even have a really great environment yesterday and nearly every storm exceeded severe parameters. I just don't know about these people sometimes but they get paid to do it so I should probably keep my mouth shut. Lol.
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#132
Tom

Posted 03 May 2018 - 03:03 AM

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Not surprised to see a lot of standing water in my back yard from all the heavy rain.   Before the storms hit around midnight, I've had just over an inch...prob double that since then...

 

Since: 11:30pm

 

 

 

1.95” Wilmette 1.77” Glenview 1.74” Schaumburg 1.66” Hoffman Estates 1.32” Des Plaines

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#133
Tom

Posted 03 May 2018 - 03:07 AM

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JMA weeklies are in and they suggest warmth to prevail overall during Week 2 and near normal for Weeks 3-4 except for the SW.

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#134
westMJim

Posted 03 May 2018 - 04:16 AM

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A new record warmest minimum of 62° was set yesterday (May 2nd) the old record was 60. Here at Grand Rapids the warmest minimum is 60 or better between April 12th and October 25th The warmest minimum is 70 or better between June 3rd and September 12th with several in the low 80’s


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#135
Hawkeye

Posted 03 May 2018 - 04:55 AM

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I picked up 0.51" overnight from the moderate rain shield that spread over the area.  I'll take it.  I'd still like to see at least one heavy downpour before this system is outa here.


season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#136
Tom

Posted 03 May 2018 - 05:20 AM

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2-3" totals around town:

 

 

 

1.84” CHI- O’Hare
0.45” CHI-Midway
2.93” Sleepy Hollow
2.67” Arlington Heights
2.55” Elmhurst
2.25” Carol Stream
2.23” Glencoe
1.97” CHI-Rogers Park

 

 



#137
LNK_Weather

Posted 03 May 2018 - 05:51 AM

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I see absolutely no hail threat from these storms tonight. Updrafts from this look almost nonexistent. What I'm seeing is a singlecellular and multicellular storm mode with wind being the primary threat and small hail and an isolated tornado as a secondary threat. Enhanced risk looks good where it is.


2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 3 (Last: 6/6/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/9/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 5 (Last: 6/6/2018)

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 12/23-12/24 (3.6), 1/22 (1.8), 2/5 (1.6), 2/6 (2.0), 2/9-2/10 (2.8), 2/21-2/22 (1.9), 4/14-4/15 (2.0)

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018 @ KLNK: 21.4"               Coldest Low: -19*F (1/1/2018)

 

First flake of the season: 10/31/2017 @ 1:17 PM        Last flake of the season: 4/15/2018 @ 9:22 AM


#138
LNK_Weather

Posted 03 May 2018 - 06:21 AM

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I'm worried about what's gonna magically make temps rise to the point where we can get severe weather here. It needs to get up to the mid-70s and right now we're dealing with low-50s with a North wind under thick cloud cover. I'm just not feeling it today.


2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 3 (Last: 6/6/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/9/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 5 (Last: 6/6/2018)

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 12/23-12/24 (3.6), 1/22 (1.8), 2/5 (1.6), 2/6 (2.0), 2/9-2/10 (2.8), 2/21-2/22 (1.9), 4/14-4/15 (2.0)

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018 @ KLNK: 21.4"               Coldest Low: -19*F (1/1/2018)

 

First flake of the season: 10/31/2017 @ 1:17 PM        Last flake of the season: 4/15/2018 @ 9:22 AM


#139
CentralNebWeather

Posted 03 May 2018 - 06:50 AM

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I'm worried about what's gonna magically make temps rise to the point where we can get severe weather here. It needs to get up to the mid-70s and right now we're dealing with low-50s with a North wind under thick cloud cover. I'm just not feeling it today.

We haven't gotten one drop of rain this entire week in my town.  Storms have missed our area every direction possible.  Even had storms this morning in the eastern and western part of our county but here in the central part of the county, just cloudy and cool.  Sure hope this isn't a precursor to how the summer goes.  


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#140
Niko

Posted 03 May 2018 - 06:58 AM

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I guess soggy is the best word to describe my type of weather in my area. Currently thundershowers. and temps holding at 62F.

 

Last night was a lightning show around my vicinity. Great weather to sleep in. :D


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#141
bud2380

Posted 03 May 2018 - 07:58 AM

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Clear Creek Amana high school in Tiffin reported .98".  That's only a couple miles from my house, so seems like a good estimate for my.  My rain gauge was tilted at a nearly 45 degree angle, so it didn't collect any rain.  I fixed that this morning so hopefully i'll get an accurate report for today's storms. 


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#142
westMJim

Posted 03 May 2018 - 09:01 AM

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Michigan black bears are on the move. In the past two days the Michigan DNR has capture 3 black bears in 3 cities in lower Michigan. On Monday there was one in the city of Midland, yesterday there was one near the school in Coopersville (about 5 miles to the NW of me) and today there was on the west side of Grand Rapids this one was well into the city and GR is the 2nd largest city in Michigan.


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#143
Hawkeye

Posted 03 May 2018 - 09:40 AM

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No surprise, the enhanced severe area has been removed.  It's not heating up a ton around here.


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season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#144
LNK_Weather

Posted 03 May 2018 - 10:02 AM

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In order to get severe wx today, we need to be in the mid-70s. I posted earlier today that I was worried about heating. Our temps have soared to 60.6*F. Overcast and drizzling with a light North wind. Yeah we're not getting severe weather today.


2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 3 (Last: 6/6/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/9/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 5 (Last: 6/6/2018)

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 12/23-12/24 (3.6), 1/22 (1.8), 2/5 (1.6), 2/6 (2.0), 2/9-2/10 (2.8), 2/21-2/22 (1.9), 4/14-4/15 (2.0)

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018 @ KLNK: 21.4"               Coldest Low: -19*F (1/1/2018)

 

First flake of the season: 10/31/2017 @ 1:17 PM        Last flake of the season: 4/15/2018 @ 9:22 AM


#145
jaster220

Posted 03 May 2018 - 10:12 AM

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In order to get severe wx today, we need to be in the mid-70s. I posted earlier today that I was worried about heating. Our temps have soared to 60.6*F. Overcast and drizzling with a light North wind. Yeah we're not getting severe weather today.

 

Future-cast has the stationary go back north a bit as a WF. If not, then yeah you're done..

 

<1/8 Mile vis along the coast here in St. Joe with classic spring FOG. Pea soup out there since mid-morning. 


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#146
jaster220

Posted 03 May 2018 - 10:13 AM

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I guess soggy is the best word to describe my type of weather in my area. Currently thundershowers. and temps holding at 62F.

 

Last night was a lightning show around my vicinity. Great weather to sleep in. :D

 

It was until a very close strike around 3 am jolted me out of a state of slumbering bliss  :lol:


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#147
St Paul Storm

Posted 03 May 2018 - 10:13 AM

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72F and barely a cloud in the sky. Loving every minute of it today.
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#148
jaster220

Posted 03 May 2018 - 10:17 AM

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Michigan black bears are on the move. In the past two days the Michigan DNR has capture 3 black bears in 3 cities in lower Michigan. On Monday there was one in the city of Midland, yesterday there was one near the school in Coopersville (about 5 miles to the NW of me) and today there was on the west side of Grand Rapids this one was well into the city and GR is the 2nd largest city in Michigan.

 

Wow. That's bonkers. Wondering if the extended cold in spring kept them in hibernation so long that they're trying to make up for lost time scavenging anything anywhere? Back in the early 90's it was a big deal to have a bear inside the TC city limits. Downstate was unheard of so their comeback must be going well. 


Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#149
jaster220

Posted 03 May 2018 - 10:25 AM

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72F and barely a cloud in the sky. Loving every minute of it today.

 

'grats on the beauty of a day up there! 

 

Chicago's shaping up for my visit as well.

 

By the time we roll into town Friday evening, it should be clearing up

 

Attached File  20180504 Chicago hrly.PNG   7.94KB   0 downloads

 

When in Chicago you must live the high-life. I got a table for dinner as high as I could.

 

Attached File  Signature at the 95th in Chicago.PNG   386.98KB   0 downloads

 

 

 

Oh..and Saturday's looking stellar

 

Attached File  20180505 Chicago fcast.PNG   3.5KB   0 downloads


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Winter 2017-18 Snow Total = 68.3"  Oct: 0.0 Nov: 0.0 Dec: 24.2 Jan: 14.5 Feb: 19.7 Mar: 4.7 Apr: 5.2 (annual avg for mby = ~49.9", avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" ) 135% of normal-what a stretch it's been!!

 

Winter 2016-17 Snow Total = 52"

Winter 2015-16 Snow Total = 57.4"

Winter 2014-15 Snow Total = 55.3"

Winter 2013-14 Snow Total = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 

Winter 2012-13 Snow Total = 47.2"

Winter 2011-12 Snow Total = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#150
Iowawx

Posted 03 May 2018 - 11:39 AM

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We only had a bit of sun late this morning. Severe chances seem to be diminishing here but I’m still hoping for some good downpours. I got 0.52 inches of rain last night, which is better than some of the short term models were showing.