TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 2, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 That’s a terrifying pattern. Please no. You won't need a sauna? Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 You won't need a sauna?Lol. I live in one. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Still on East Coast time... woke up at 4 a.m. for the day. Daylight arrives by 5 a.m. now when the sky is clear... and the birds are already singing loudly. 00Z ECMWF was interesting... the crash is short-lived on days 7 and 8 and then its back to ridging by days 9 and 10. The EPS does not agree though. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 A chilly 34 degree morning. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 A chilly 34 degree morning.Yeah sort of a pleasant surprise. Hit 40 here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Sun! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Some patchy low clouds have formed here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Wall to wall sun shining off the glassy waters of Lake Goodwin! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Some patchy low clouds have formed here.And you were looking at the ensembles for some excitement... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 And you were looking at the ensembles for some excitement...Almost totally overcast now! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Almost totally overcast now! Sunscreen cancel. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Almost totally overcast now!Disaster averted! That was a close one! Are you part vampire or something? 1 Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Disaster averted! That was a close one! Are you part vampire or something? You really have to wonder about a few people on here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Some low clouds here in Salem this morning. What a pleasant surprise! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 You guys make this too easy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 You guys make this too easy.You're surrounded!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 You're surrounded!!!2-3 is maybe more like a partial semicircle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Nice day! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Nightmare day in progress here. Total sunshine and warming up. It's not cold and wet and dark outside. Why??? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 The trolling has been anomalously high from both sides this spring. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 The pattern on the d10-15 EPS is unlike anything observed (in May) during the satellite era. At least spatially speaking. So, I’m curious to see if it actually works out this way. Or, maybe I’m just trying to convince myself that deep eastern troughing will come back, when in reality I’m screwed. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 The trolling has been anomalously high from both sides this spring.How many years have you had an account here? The complaining about the rain has far outpaced even the fake complaining about sunshine, but that is pretty normal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 The NATL has been experiencing a seemingly endless train of anticyclonic wavebreaks since January. It’s lead to much stronger than average trade winds and SST cooling in the tropical portion of the basin, and has aided in keeping the ITCZ/Hadley Cell contracted equatorward there (and more recently in the IO too...aided by the long period MJO genesis event starting there). The Pacific has been making up for the difference, though, with the poleward shifted ITCZ and expanded Hadley Cell present across the NPAC. The ongoing warm pool discharge and QBO flip may shake that up during the summer, though. That said, this IO/NATL regime doesn’t look to stop anytime in the near future. I don’t know what to make of it just yet, however if it continues into the summer/fall, it would be a massive change from the +AMO era, which started in the mid-1990s. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 So, the best analogs for this regime are mostly in the 1980s, but solar forcing and thermal inertia was going the other way then..a large (positive) heat budget imbalance was developing back then through thermo-mechanical conduits that have been spatially exhausted now. So..not an easy job to make a seasonal forecast this year. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Truly gorgeous out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Nightmare day in progress here. Total sunshine and warming up. It's not cold and wet and dark outside. Why???Such a drag, if you have a basement you can always go hide there until nightfall... Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 The trolling has been anomalously high from both sides this spring. Especially given the rather unremarkable weather as of late. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Such a drag, if you have a basement you can always go hide there until nightfall...If you’re not careful you’re going to find yourself in the running for the “Best New Frequent Poster of 2018” award. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 My best guess is still that mid-May will end up being an episode of enhanced middle-latitude ULLs under poleward anticyclonic wavebreaking, rather than longwave western troughing/eastern ridging. IMO, there’s too much +AAM above 50N for coherent western troughing right now. If I’m correct, there should be yet another episode of western ridging and a vortex over the Hudson Bay afterwards, until more significant changes show up during the final few days of the month and/or during early June, when EHEM forcing/monsoonal initiation and the completion of this AAM cycle should produce a more classical western trough/-PNA cell. How long that lasts depends on the amplitude of the MJO event and whether easterly shear has downwelled sufficiently to produce counter-forcing/z-cell retraction over the Pacific (very debatable). There’s a chance it could be quite a powerful trough. Or it could be run-of-the-mill and pass over a few weeks. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Disaster averted! That was a close one! Are you part vampire or something? Everyone here is either a vampire or sacrifices their first born to the sun. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Especially given the rather unremarkable weather as of late. THIRD WETTEST APRIL ON RECORD!!! 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Today is really a beautiful day. Dipped to 41 this morning but already up to 62. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 THIRD WETTEST APRIL ON RECORD!!! Yep - 6.90" of rain at my place for April. 5.69" for Sea Tac Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Everyone here is either a vampire or sacrifices their first born to the sun.Preferences for some, others are born that way, I guess... Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Yep - 6.90" of rain at my place for April. It was definitely a wet month, no doubt. Mainly focused on about 10 days the first half of the month. But the majority of April had very April-like weather. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Preferences for some, others are born that way, I guess...It’s Maybelline. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 It was definitely a wet month, no doubt. Mainly focused on about 10 days the first half of the month. But the majority of April had very April-like weather. True.First 10 days definitely wetter and last Saturday was quite wet - which was focused in and around Snohomish County. Hopefully there will be rains spaced out this month and that we don't turn off the tap completely like we did last year as summer approached. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 It’s Maybelline.Maybe... Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 Calgon take me away! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 2, 2018 Report Share Posted May 2, 2018 I ended up just under 10” for April. Wettest in the 7 years I’ve been here. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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