Jump to content

May Weather in the Pacific Northwest


Recommended Posts

There's rain on the 00z at times and that is rather depressing. Especially when one considers how wet December 2015 and November 2006 were.

 

Or April 2018.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The ULL that was originally supposed to crash in here with heavy rain over the weekend just a few days ago in the models is now passing by to the south and will not bring rain other than to southern and eastern OR.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's been a washout this spring, that's for sure.

 

No... but the first 2/3rds of April was sure wet.

 

I said at the time that a dry spell was VERY likely coming for my area which usually means dry for everyone.   It was an idea that was dismissed at the time.   ;)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The ULL that was originally supposed to crash in here with heavy rain over the weekend just a few days ago in the models is now passing by to the south and will not bring rain other than to southern and eastern OR.

Hoping the rain later on in this run meets the same fate!

 

#ilovedust

Link to comment
Share on other sites

No... but the first 2/3rds of April was sure wet.

 

I said at the time that a dry spell was VERY likely coming for my area which usually means dry for everyone.   It was an idea that was dismissed at the time.   ;)

Whoever dismissed it is a genius in microclimates then cause that dry spell has yet to reach your home.
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hoping the rain later on in this run meets the same fate!

 

#ilovedust

 

The rains always return in force.    Never a worry here.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Whoever dismissed it is a genius in microclimates then cause that dry spell has yet to reach your home.

 

Its been much drier here.   Dry spells are never totally dry in this area.    Its about what I expected.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Nice aspect of cold troughs at this time of year is that the stratus is broken up more easily.  

 

Just looked at Tuesday on the WRF and it shows lots of afternoon sun... GFS MOS has 67 at SEA that day.    Not too different than today.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Would be pretty bad news if the whole region dried out for the summer in late April.

 

Not your backyard, but the region.

 

Not even a concern.   There will probably be more summer rain to balance out this dry spell.   Very common.   Even in 2015... we started dry and then had several big rain events up here starting in late July and August.    It always comes.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Tim hasn’t posted the 00z GFS maps like usual.

 

Must be a troughy run.

 

I don't post GFS maps too often.   Usually ECMWF.    

 

It is a troughy run though.   

 

You seem very anxious to troll!  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Not even a concern. There will probably be more summer rain to balance out this dry spell. Very common. Even in 2015... we started dry and then had several big rain events up here starting in late July and August. It always comes.

Yes, for your very wet backyard. Not the region.

 

You live in a wet enough microclimate that in order for things to be suffciently dry for your tastes the rest of the region must experience crippling drought.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yes, for your very wet backyard. Not the region.

 

You live in a wet enough microclimate that in order for things to be suffciently dry for your tastes the rest of the region must experience crippling drought.

We are not in a crippling drought.

 

And news flash... my preferences don't control the weather.

 

Obviously.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Would be very bad news if we stayed this dry for another month or two.

 

Not here.    And I know it will not happen anyways.     

 

I would prefer a good rain event every week all summer... only during the week and at night.    :)

 

But my preferences are meaningless to nature.   Same with your preferences.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Not here. And I know it will not happen anyways.

 

I would prefer a good rain event every week all summer... only during the week and at night. :)

 

But my preferences are meaningless to nature. Same with your preferences.

You will probably get some rogue rain showers as always, since your area is basically a cloud and precip magnet.

 

As usual that wouldn’t mean much for the region as a whole though. Take the Kalmoops area which is currently suffering through one of the earliest starts to the fire season on record.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

You will probably get some rogue rain showers as always, since your area is basically a cloud and precip magnet.

 

As usual that wouldn’t mean much for the region as a whole though. Take the Kalmoops area which is currently suffering through one of the earliest starts to the fire season on record.

 

Great.

 

Let me know how I can change it.    :rolleyes:

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

That trough on the 00Z ECMWF next week is so broad and diffuse that its just totally dry.   Even in my area.   

 

The tangible weather is really similar to today on the surface maps.   Partly to mostly sunny with highs around 70 up here.

 

Cools down a little more next Thursday on the 00Z run... maybe mid 60s with more clouds but still totally dry.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

You should move to Florida or Arizona if you want summers full of 80s and 90s. Tim should probably consider doing so, as well.

 

 

That would be more like mid-upper 90's and 100's w/ humidity.  I said 80's.  I love that when it's warm here, there's usually no humidity. :)

"Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness."

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Not even a week of 90s yet. How can I possibly plan a backpacking trip? <_>

 

 

When planning your outdoor activities, you should probably wait until mid-November at the earliest to get the optimum weather you're seeking....

"Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness."

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Cool morning all the way down to 46 at 5:30. 

Clouds are pretty thin with breaks, so looks like this marine will beat it soon.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A little rain on day 9 finally on the 00Z ECMWF...

 

ecmwf_precip_06_nw_37.png

 

Better than nothing. 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Subtropical storm Alberto has formed. FWIW, previous Mays (non-noñ) w/ names Atlantic storms/-QBO50 are:

 

1954

1959

1970

2007

2012

2016

 

And 1959/1970 are the only solar maximum years. Seems like a solar minimum tendency.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Popular Contributors

  • Activity Stream

    1. 373

      March 2024 Observations and Discussion

    2. 0

      March 31st - April 2nd Potent Plains Storm

    3. 373

      March 2024 Observations and Discussion

    4. 5703

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

    5. 5703

      March 2024 Weather in the PNW

×
×
  • Create New...