2018 Severe weather pics/discussion

[Niko]

Maybe some storms next week in my area. We will see.

[Niko]

So far nothing extreme for this week, in terms of severe weather IMBY. Lets see if that changes as the week progresses.

[Hawkeye]

It sure is quiet here considering there are rotating supercells with tornado warnings near Omaha.

[jcwxguy]

Few shots from tonight in Gretna, but i was stuck near Fremont for a while this evening

[NEJeremy]

Not my picture, but thought I’d share it. I’ll work on my pics soon. There’s some debate on what this is- wedge tornado or a low wall cloud. No one seems to want to confirm the tornado from what I’ve seen yet. I was on the next major highway south of this so I saw this feature too but from about 4-5 miles further away.

[hlcater]

 Little late, but this is for June 9th. I initially started in Mason City and bagged a brief bird fart tornado up there, along with a few not picture funnels. Only issue with these storms was that everything was super HP, apparently there were more tornadoes, but I couldn't see them. Then as those storms went outflow dominant, came back to CR for a bit before a storm near Tama storm initiated, then headed back out again. This storm was thankfully more classic in nature and around sunset which made it better. However, that storm was a wall cloud party. Issue was that there were 2 separate surface circulations and both kept spitting out wall clouds and neither became dominant over the other. What we get then is a whole bunch of wall clouds that lack the "umpf" to get it done.  All in all, pretty solid chase today, especially for 2018 standards.

 

Forest City bird fart tornado(if you look closely you can see debris above the road sign):

 

 

 

Pretty nice whales mouth near Mason City:

 

 

 

and just one of the MANY wall clouds the storm near Tama/Belle Plaine produced. This storm put out some really well constructed, large wall clouds. However do to having 2 circulations, they just couldn't tighten up.

 

[NEJeremy]

I chased 6/11 in eastern Nebraska. Left Omaha and made my way west of Fremont. A nice cell formed about 5 miles to my west and it was neat to watch it grow from a little cumulus cloud to a severe storm. This storm formed right on the cold front though and I normally don't like storms right on the cold front for tornado potential as the front can undercut them a lot. I watched the storm slowly strengthen and eventually had a precip free base on it's southern end that would occasionally develop a non rotating wall cloud in different spots along the base.

I saw the first blips on radar form down by Gretna about 20 miles away and thought that's the storm I am going to go after. It was ahead of the front and by itself. I knew I had some time though as storms wouldn't be moving very fast at all and I was relatively close. Just when I was ready to leave the Fremont storm though it would look a little more interesting with lowerings etc. Finally a much wider base formed and a lowering with an inflow tail started to form. Shortly thereafter a tornado warning was issued. It never looked that great on velocity scans, but definitely looked pretty.

Meanwhile the storm near Gretna had really exploded and I started to notice the couplet on the southern end of the storm. I finally pulled myself away from the Fremont storm just as it started to weaken and made my way south. I had to deal with rush hour traffic from the Omaha metro area and heavy rain and by the time I made it down south, the Louisville tornado had lifted. The storm still had clear inflow on it's southern end so I felt I would still try to get around the south side of the storm.

A line of storms now formed along the cold front to the west and was catching up pretty rapidly to the cell. I was racing trying to stay ahead of this severe squall line and was able to stop a few times only briefly to try and see into the HP cell. It was tornado warned again and a couple of times I could see a suspicious lowering back in the storm. I eventually made it to Nebraska City about 7p and not wanting to get any further from home I found shelter in a car wash as the storms were warned for 80 mph winds now. The storm passed through town with maybe 50-60 mph winds and I headed home. Looking back, I wish I would have bailed south right away as the Louisville storm produced a brief tornado and had amazing structure, but still was able to see some amazing structure with the Fremont storm which was tornado warned as well, and again saw great structure when I did catch up with the storm near Murray.

[Niko]

Looks like Saturday I have a chance for seeing some PM storms.

[NEJeremy]

Here's a video of the Louisville tornado when it crossed the Platte River:

 

Also NWS has so far confirmed 6 tornadoes. All were very brief and weak tornadoes it looks like and apparently that picture of the "wedge" wasn't a tornado, just a very low wall cloud.

https://www.weather.gov/oax/TornadoSummaryJune2018

[bud2380]

Severe threat the next few days looks to remain primarily in the Dakotas and Minnesota.  I'd like to get some action a little closer to home sometime soon.

 

 

 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.gif?1528990889853

 

 

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk_0730.gif?1528990958567

[Niko]

T'stm activity here in SEMI looks zilch. Very isolated.

[Minny_Weather]

Took these about 30 minutes ago here in Fargo. If I wasn't there I'd think these pictures are fake. Truly remarkable to see in person.

[Stacsh]

Shelf cloud rolling south along Lake Michigan this morning.  

[NEJeremy]

Took this pic on my iPhone yesterday out chasing. Will work on some more of my pics soon

[gabel23]

Took this pic on my iPhone yesterday out chasing. Will work on some more of my pics soon

That’s one of the most impressive shelf clouds I have ever seen!

[NEJeremy]

That’s one of the most impressive shelf clouds I have ever seen!

What was kind of cool/different about the shelf cloud, was behind the southern 1/2 or basically the left half of the shelf cloud there was no precip and barely even any clouds. You could see some blue sky behind it. Usually the shelf cloud has precip/clouds behind the whole length of it. Was very impressive!

[Niko]

Hopefully severe weather ova the weekend for SEMI. So far it has been a boring season here in mby.

[NEJeremy]

Chased 6/30 in south central Nebraska. Unfortunately, made it to the storm about 10 minutes after the last tornado with this storm touched down. Kind of surprising as the storm continued to look amazing on radar and was in a great environment to continue to produce. It did try one more time, but other than that didn't come close. Storm was eventually killed off by a new storm that moved in from the south and we chased that storm to the east for quite a while. This storm was also very pretty, but never came close to producing a tornado.

[Minny_Weather]

Photo taken by my dad back in Houston. Strong storm with a hail core.

[Niko]

No severe weather IMBY for the near term.

[hlcater]

@Tom, wanna move this to the severe wx pics thread for me? I dont wanna have to reup all my pictures.

 

(I yet again forgot to post in here, and this post is long) Well, I scored quite big in Iowa yesterday. I started the day near Newton IA, what was interesting was as soon as the first storm went off, it immediately went tornado warned(within minutes of 50dbz). I found this surprising and as it turned out, would set the tone for the day. My first tornado came near Colfax probably 30 minutes after the initial warning and was the 2nd(3rd) tornado that storm produced. I caught it from a distance with some good contrast.

 

 

 

As this tornado roped out, the storm wasted no time cycling and soon dropping another tornado immediately south of Prairie City. This was my favorite due to the lack of damage caused and good viewing angle.

 

 

 

 

Again the storm wasted no time and was wrapping up before this tornado was done. I didn't get any good pictures of the 3rd tornado as I was driving at the time. Short live stovepipe near Monroe.

 

 

 

 

The next two tornadoes featured a little more staying power than the last two. Both being strong looking cones near Pella, IA. One to the NW and another in Pella and to the SE. I got a pretty nice angle on the RFD, with the rain wrapped cone for tornado number 4. The RFD on this storm was particularly dramatic at times and something more characteristic of the High Plains than of Iowa. Normally this area is super HP and filled with rain. While under that cut, I could see deep into the storm's updraft(probably a few miles up at least).

 

 

 

After passing through Pella, I came out on the other side and was immediately greeted by a very welcoming tornado number 5. This was the tornado that destroyed the manufacturing plant in Pella. I was perfectly positioned smack dab in the middle of the RFD for the entire duration of tornadoes 5 and 6. There wasn't much hail(topping out at nickle size), and the rain really wasn't too bad for Iowa standards either, but the wind was exceptional at times measuring at least 80-90mph. Tornado number 6 was a brief satellite this tornado, of which I didn't get any pictures. This would be the end of my chase as my car had decided it was fed up with the RFD and the red battery light came on. As such, I called the chase there and headed back early, with no further issue. However it doesn't appear I missed any more tornadoes.

 

 

 

All in all, absolutely stellar chase with all different types of structure and tornadoes and easily the best chase I've had.(Although my chase portfolio is still quite small.)

[Tom]

@Tom, wanna move this to the severe wx pics thread for me? I dont wanna have to reup all my pictures.

 

(I yet again forgot to post in here, and this post is long) Well, I scored quite big in Iowa yesterday. I started the day near Newton IA, what was interesting was as soon as the first storm went off, it immediately went tornado warned(within minutes of 50dbz). I found this surprising and as it turned out, would set the tone for the day. My first tornado came near Colfax probably 30 minutes after the initial warning and was the 2nd(3rd) tornado that storm produced. I caught it from a distance with some good contrast.

 

 

 

As this tornado roped out, the storm wasted no time cycling and soon dropping another tornado immediately south of Prairie City. This was my favorite due to the lack of damage caused and good viewing angle.

 

 

 

 

Again the storm wasted no time and was wrapping up before this tornado was done. I didn't get any good pictures of the 3rd tornado as I was driving at the time. Short live stovepipe near Monroe.

 

 

 

 

The next two tornadoes featured a little more staying power than the last two. Both being strong looking cones near Pella, IA. One to the NW and another in Pella and to the SE. I got a pretty nice angle on the RFD, with the rain wrapped cone for tornado number 4. The RFD on this storm was particularly dramatic at times and something more characteristic of the High Plains than of Iowa. Normally this area is super HP and filled with rain. While under that cut, I could see deep into the storm's updraft(probably a few miles up at least).

 

 

 

After passing through Pella, I came out on the other side and was immediately greeted by a very welcoming tornado number 5. This was the tornado that destroyed the manufacturing plant in Pella. I was perfectly positioned smack dab in the middle of the RFD for the entire duration of tornadoes 5 and 6. There wasn't much hail(topping out at nickle size), and the rain really wasn't too bad for Iowa standards either, but the wind was exceptional at times measuring at least 80-90mph. Tornado number 6 was a brief satellite this tornado, of which I didn't get any pictures. This would be the end of my chase as my car had decided it was fed up with the RFD and the red battery light came on. As such, I called the chase there and headed back early, with no further issue. However it doesn't appear I missed any more tornadoes.

 

 

 

All in all, absolutely stellar chase with all different types of structure and tornadoes and easily the best chase I've had.(Although my chase portfolio is still quite small.)

There ya go bud.  Wow, you really scored some good shots and were positioned quite well when those tornado's touched down.  Congrats on your personal-best trip!  I know you've been yearning a good severe wx threat ALL season long.  Well, your patience has paid off and wouldn't ya know it, it ended up being in late July!  Now that's a memory you won't forget.  That, in itself, is an amazing feat to beat.

[hlcater]

There ya go bud.  Wow, you really scored some good shots and were positioned quite well when those tornado's touched down.  Congrats on your personal-best trip!  I know you've been yearning a good severe wx threat ALL season long.  Well, your patience has paid off and wouldn't ya know it, it ended up being in late July!  Now that's a memory you won't forget.  That, in itself, is an amazing feat to beat.

2018 is still statistically one of the worst seasons on record, but my 2018 has been saved by a single pretty epic day. Though its always unfortunate when they hit towns in the case of Pella and Marshalltown.

[Niko]

Zilch severe weather for SEMI continues.

[Niko]

Yesterday outta nowhere, a hvy downpour occurred, which lasted 15sec. No biggy! Sun was shining at the same time.

[Niko]

Some t'stms possible tomorrow. We can use some water. Its been fairly dry here in SEMI.

[Niko]

So, I can honestly say that MA Nature provided some water yesterday w great amounts as well. No severe weather was reported, but definitely some beneficial rainfall. Oh, and some rumbles of thunder and a little lightning as well.

[jaster220]

After a VERY SLOW severe season across most of The Mitt, the past 12 days crammed in quite a bit of action right at the tail end

 

 

 

[Niko]

After a VERY SLOW severe season across most of The Mitt, the past 12 days crammed in quite a bit of action right at the tail end

 

20180906 GRR Severe Recap graphic.png

There ya go buddy......

[Hawkeye]

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
1024 AM CDT Tue Sep 25 2018

 

UPDATE...
Issued at 1005 AM CDT Tue Sep 25 2018

Severe Potential: Looks as though elevated convection will begin
to overtake the warm sector and become rooted in the BL. This
should occur shortly before noon and likely just west of the CWA.
Overall convection speed will slow down and begin to move into our
area. This will give time for CAPE to build this afternoon across
the CWA. Synoptic models show that shear doesn't support
tornadogenesis, due to SW sfc winds. It appears that a sfc wave is
forming across SW IA. This wave will back winds, much like the
HRRR shows. I believe that we will have a tornado threat from any
mesovortex that develops. I also believe that shear will be
greater than what synoptic models forecast due to this low. As far
as severe parameters go, tend to favor CAM solutions related to
shear. Severe threat for winds to 70 mph, hail and tornadoes
remains for the area.

[Niko]

NOAA:
 

This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan.
 

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
 

There is a chance of thunderstorms today and tonight over southeast Michigan.

There is a slight chance these storms may become severe in the 6 pm

to 4 am window. Damaging wind gusts to 60 mph would be the main

hazard, but isolated tornadoes can`t be ruled out, especially toward

the southern Michigan border. Storm motion will be east at 40 MPH.

[Hawkeye]

I thought I already posted about what I got from this line, but apparently I did not.

 

For the first few minutes, it was disappointingly tame.  I thought it was going to be another wind dud.  However, it then hit in a hurry.  I received a 50 mph gust, then 60 mph, then 70 mph.  I could hear the wind coming and the huge tree on the next block began to disappear in the rain/wind blur.  When the 70 mph gust hit, I could hear some small tree debris hit the house.  There are bits of tree strewn across the lawn.  A neighbor had a large limb blown down from one of his trees.  My garden took a beating, with at least one large hummer plant partiallly broken and another snapped right off near the base.

[Niko]

Luckily, no fatalities w yesterdays tornado in southern parts of SEMI. Damages were definitely reported though.

[Niko]

It was confirmed by the NWS that multiple tornadoes were reported in Monroe and Wayne counties w this severe weather that passed on by Tuesday night. Yikes! Luckily, they did not make it north where I am.

[Niko]

Severe weather is looking likely IMBY today. It will be a 2 part thunderstorm activity. One in the morning and then, anotha in the latter part of the day. Strong to possibly severe weather is possible, along w flooding issues.