Thanks. It has the feel of a day in early September when a cold front has passed and scoured out the humidity, not a day in early June.
Hope you had a phenomenal trip with the fam! The last time I went on a cruise was way back in '93, a week after the March Superstorm when I was just a kid. I'd like to take another cruise someday. The shear size of these gigantic vessels is just amazing how they build them nowadays with all the details inside the ship. I bet you had a blast.
I decided to extend this post and add some longer range thoughts as I believe the GEFS are starting to line up with my thoughts and the LRC. Did the GEFS take the lead again advertising Tropical Trouble down in the Gulf??? I believe so. Why you ask?? I use the LRC's cycle #1 during the summer season bc they tend to behave similarly as the jet relaxes quite a bit during this season and back in October the jet is beginning to intensify. Anyway, back during Oct 22nd-25th, we had a GOMEX low that tracked up from the Gulf states, specifically on the 22nd/23rd. Today's 12z GEFS sure look identical and match up to the LRC's pattern down in the Gulf around the 12th/13th of the month. We won't have a GL bomb, but the system near the Gulf matches up quite well. It's going to be busy season in the Gulf states.
What happens after that is quite interesting and I think we will start seeing more amplifying troughs as the waters in the NE PAC have warmed up significantly last month as @OkWx showed in the Summer thread. Back on Oct 18th-23rd, the Polar Vortex retrograded west into Alaska and then ultimately blossomed a NE PAC ridge on the 24th. Now, check this out, what happens in the NE PAC??? Right after the GOM Tropical System??? A monster NE PAC ridge forms and a nasty looking Aleutian Low! Wow, if your not a believer of this great long range tool I'm not sure how close this can come to illustrate its strength.
BTW, remember how dry the models were Week 2....??? I said it would turn wet across the MW/GL's and presto..."ring of fire" baby....