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June 2018 Observations and Discussion

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#201
Hawkeye

Posted 09 June 2018 - 07:05 PM

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Hallelujah!  I'm finally getting a heavy storm.... torrential rain, a bit of pea size hail, some moderately gusty wind.


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season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#202
Hawkeye

Posted 09 June 2018 - 07:23 PM

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That first cell dropped a little over an inch, my first inch rain event of the year.


season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#203
Iowawx

Posted 09 June 2018 - 07:30 PM

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Now another tornado warning for Benton and Iowa county. I wonder if this one will hold it's rotation long enough for sirens to go off in Linn County. It's been a while since I've seen the radar filled with as much orange and red as it is now.


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#204
Hawkeye

Posted 09 June 2018 - 07:41 PM

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Here we go with round two.  A cell just blew up and has been warned.  It's already pouring hard.


season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#205
Hawkeye

Posted 09 June 2018 - 07:44 PM

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The wind is stronger with this cell... really whipping around.


season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#206
Iowawx

Posted 09 June 2018 - 07:49 PM

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Radar estimates show that about 2 inches of rain has fallen here today so far, before main round moves in. Looks like potential is there for more strong storms Sunday evening and more likely Monday.


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#207
Hawkeye

Posted 09 June 2018 - 08:03 PM

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Widespread 2-3 inches at personal stations across Cedar Rapids(includes the morning rain), even the one just up the road from my house that got the same quarter inch I did this morning.


season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#208
Iowawx

Posted 09 June 2018 - 08:19 PM

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I'm at about 3.1 inches here so far according to radar estimates. Line out to the west is about to move in. I am interested to see if river forecasts change much in the morning, rainfall totals have been impressive over the past 2 days, and more heavy rain is possible tomorrow night and Monday.


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#209
Hawkeye

Posted 09 June 2018 - 09:52 PM

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It appears I picked up about 2.25" this evening, 2.50" for the day.  That's exactly what I was hoping for, 2" but no garden damage.


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season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#210
Tom

Posted 10 June 2018 - 04:16 AM

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Glad to hear CR and places in E IA get socked last night. Doesn’t it just fulfill something inside when you get to enjoy a nice nighttime thunderstorm 🌩??? The little things in life that make it complete.

This season, we have seen so many MCV’s already, and yet another one spinning this morning across S WI/N IL. Such a neat thing to see on radar.

Meanwhile, it’s a balmy and humid morning here in “The Lou”. It’s crazy to think that just driving a few hundred miles south and the weather could be so different here. Feels like the tropics, esp with all the rain we had here yesterday. Heat Indicies may get into the low 100’s here on Monday. Glad we ended up going downtown yesterday to check out the city and the Gateway Arch. When the storms cleared, temps only rose into the low 80’s. Gonna torch here today into the mid 90’s. Have a great Sunday!
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#211
westMJim

Posted 10 June 2018 - 06:10 AM

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Yesterdays high at Grand Rapids of 71° was set at midnight and during the day the temperatures were only in the mid to upper 60’s with a cold NE wind. While common in the winter season it is rare for the high for any day to be set at midnight in the summer season. At this time it is cloudy and 64 here at my house. While the forecast is for highs in the mid 70's I am not sure it will make it that warm today with all the clouds and rain.


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#212
Niko

Posted 10 June 2018 - 06:32 AM

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Cloudy and breezy w temps in the 60s.



#213
OKwx2k4

Posted 10 June 2018 - 06:59 AM

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Man! You guys lit up the board here yesterday. Looks like a fun day!

#214
CentralNebWeather

Posted 10 June 2018 - 07:26 AM

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Already 82 here at 10:30 AM on the way to 97 or possibly 100. Days like this I start to long for cool fall days.
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#215
Tom

Posted 10 June 2018 - 07:53 AM

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The long awaited (a few days later than originally thought) tropical system coming out of the GOM late next weekend into the following week, which has been on my eye for a long time, is now showing up on the Euro.  The GEFS/GFS lead the way the entire time while several well-known meteorologist down played the idea of a system entering this region.  Again, the LRC is likely going to shine as a great long lead forecasting tool.  A quite fascinating set-up may evolve late next weekend into the following week as a summer time cold front "marry's" with BOTH E PAC and GOM moisture right across the heartland.  An extremely favorable set up for much needed moist across the central Plains where the drought is holding on strong.  It may very well be conceivable, that a lot of places across the Plains/MW region who can score hits in the next couple of weeks, will have eroded any signs of a drought by months end.

 

 

06z GEFS...let's see this trend wetter over the course of the next few days.  I think it will.

 

 

gfs-ens_mslp_pwata_us_27.png

 

gfs-ens_apcpn24_us_30.png



#216
OKwx2k4

Posted 10 June 2018 - 07:56 AM

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The long awaited (a few days later than originally thought) tropical system coming out of the GOM late next weekend into the following week, which has been on my eye for a long time, is now showing up on the Euro. The GEFS/GFS lead the way the entire time while several well-known meteorologist down played the idea of a system entering this region. Again, the LRC is likely going to shine as a great long lead forecasting tool. A quite fascinating set-up may evolve late next weekend into the following week as a summer time cold front "marry's" with BOTH E PAC and GOM moisture right across the heartland. An extremely favorable set up for much needed moist across the central Plains where the drought is holding on strong. It may very well be conceivable, that a lot of places across the Plains/MW region who can score hits in the next couple of weeks, will have eroded any signs of a drought by months end.


06z GEFS...let's see this trend wetter over the course of the next few days. I think it will.


gfs-ens_mslp_pwata_us_27.png

gfs-ens_apcpn24_us_30.png


Looks troughy and cool for the entire third week for the majority of the sub. Sign me up! :)
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#217
Tom

Posted 10 June 2018 - 08:07 AM

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Looks troughy and cool for the entire third week for the majority of the sub. Sign me up! :)

Ya buddy!  I'm looking forward to it and very hopeful for good rains in the western ag belt that has been stressed so far this early season with occasional periods of drenching rains.  About to hit up the pool here and take a dip.  Adios!



#218
OKwx2k4

Posted 10 June 2018 - 08:10 AM

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Ya buddy! I'm looking forward to it and very hopeful for good rains in the western ag belt that has been stressed so far this early season with occasional periods of drenching rains. About to hit up the pool here and take a dip. Adios!


Have fun buddy!

#219
Niko

Posted 10 June 2018 - 01:11 PM

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Cloudy, but dry today w a cool breeze. Temps in the upper 60s. I'll take that. :D



#220
OKwx2k4

Posted 10 June 2018 - 02:52 PM

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Cloudy, but dry today w a cool breeze. Temps in the upper 60s. I'll take that. :D


Dang. I'm jealous. I won't feel upper 60 and dry again until probably October.
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#221
CentralNebWeather

Posted 10 June 2018 - 02:53 PM

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98 here today. Yuck.

#222
OKwx2k4

Posted 10 June 2018 - 02:56 PM

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98 here today. Yuck.


I agree.
🤮

#223
Tom

Posted 10 June 2018 - 03:57 PM

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98 here today. Yuck.


96F here today with a 69F DP...def the steamiest day I felt this summer.

#224
Niko

Posted 10 June 2018 - 04:11 PM

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Looking at my extended forecast, dry weather looks to dominate w the exception of a few pm isolated or scattered pm t'stms.


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#225
CentralNebWeather

Posted 10 June 2018 - 04:41 PM

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96F here today with a 69F DP...def the steamiest day I felt this summer.


Our Dew was 62 and accompanied by south wind over 25 Mph. Tomorrow forecasted to only be 78. My wife’s brother gets married this weekend. High Friday 97 low 72, high Saturday 98. Thankfully the church and reception hall are air conditioned but I have to wear a suit. Being a teacher, I usually choose to wear shorts in the summer to everything, since I have to wear dress pants 9 months of the year. Don’t think the wife would be ok with tan shorts and a polo for a wedding. 🙂
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#226
Niko

Posted 10 June 2018 - 05:29 PM

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Skies are finally starting to clear up near sunset as I am drinking wine on my patio, next to my firepit and working on my PC.  :D Its a bit coolish and a light jacket is definitely needed.



#227
Tom

Posted 11 June 2018 - 05:32 AM

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I like it when a plan comes together..."Ring of Fire" pattern panned out quite well as many farmers across the MW ag belt saw drenching rains.  Drought conditions wiped out across IL/IN and parts of IA.  We still need some work through in MO and NE/KS.  Will nature work on that over the next 1-2 weeks???

 

DfaY3xtVMAA56Tm.jpg

 

current_usdm.png



#228
westMJim

Posted 11 June 2018 - 05:51 AM

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With 0% of sunshine for Saturday and Sunday Grand Rapids tied for the cloudiest June weekends. Since 2003 there has only been one other time where both Saturday and Sunday had 0% sunshine (June 12-13, 2015) It appears that in the last 30 years there have only been 34 days with 0% sunshine. And it was a cool weekend as well with daytime temperatures in the 60’s (the high for Saturday was 71 but that was reached at midnight) and with a cold NE wind it felt even colder than the actual air temperature. At this time I have clear skies and a temperature of 68° with todays east wind the west side of the state will be warmer than the east side of the state.

As for rain fall there was a sharp south to north cut off on the amounts as the airport reported 0.92" over the weekend here at my house I only received 0.26"


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#229
Niko

Posted 11 June 2018 - 06:00 AM

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Gorgeous morning outside w plentiful sunshine to speak of and delightful temps. :)



#230
St Paul Storm

Posted 11 June 2018 - 06:20 AM

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SPC bumped the marginal and slight severe risks a bit north this morning. Convection to the west is producing massive amounts of rain. Looks like the current line of storms will fizzle out but will be the focus of the convection later today.

#231
Hawkeye

Posted 11 June 2018 - 06:55 AM

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The euro has gone very hot and humid around here over the weekend... temps 95+, dews in the 70s.


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season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#232
james1976

Posted 11 June 2018 - 07:51 AM

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The euro has gone very hot and humid around here over the weekend... temps 95+, dews in the 70s.

Yup. Local radio mentioned 105 heat index possible.

#233
Niko

Posted 11 June 2018 - 09:35 AM

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Not a cloud to be found in the sky. Absolutely splendid. :D



#234
Niko

Posted 11 June 2018 - 10:40 AM

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The euro has gone very hot and humid around here over the weekend... temps 95+, dews in the 70s.

Bad combo!



#235
LNK_Weather

Posted 11 June 2018 - 02:42 PM

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It sure is quiet here considering there are rotating supercells with tornado warnings near Omaha.


Moving this to the June thread. I'd certainly be active but I was in the Twin Cities this weekend and am now in Fargo, ND for the next week. Looks like the crazy cells popped East of Lincoln.

 

It's in the 50s here right now and it feels awesome.


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2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4 (Last: 6/30/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 7 (Last: 7/25/2018)

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 12/23-12/24 (3.6), 1/22 (1.8), 2/5 (1.6), 2/6 (2.0), 2/9-2/10 (2.8), 2/21-2/22 (1.9), 4/14-4/15 (2.0)

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018 @ KLNK: 21.4"               Coldest Low: -19*F (1/1/2018)

 

First flake of the season: 10/31/2017 @ 1:17 PM        Last flake of the season: 4/15/2018 @ 9:22 AM


#236
Bryan1117

Posted 11 June 2018 - 04:13 PM

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We didn’t see any severe weather in Millard/Southwest Omaha where I live. Did get well over an inch of much needed rain, lots of dark crazy looking clouds, and some of the loudest booms of thunder I have ever heard.

The worst part of this storm system blew up about 2-3 miles SW of here, so we narrowly missed seeing the worst of this damaging and most likely tornadic supercell thunderstorm.
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#237
CentralNebWeather

Posted 11 June 2018 - 06:49 PM

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It has sure turned dry here. Amazing what hot days with strong south winds can do. Underground sprinklers usage is picking up on the yards. Have not seen any local farmers turn on their center pivot irrigation on the crops yet, but if we don’t get more rain in the next few days that will change. Our area is not officially in the drought monitor stage yet, though we might be put in the dry area when Thursday’s report comes out.

#238
LNK_Weather

Posted 11 June 2018 - 08:23 PM

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Very raw night here in Fargo. Temperature 52*F, with a dew point of 52*F. This is my kinda weather. Light Easterly breeze is making for a wind chill of 50*F. Feels like a cold April day with what I'm used to. I don't wanna go back to 90s next week.


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2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4 (Last: 6/30/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 7 (Last: 7/25/2018)

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 12/23-12/24 (3.6), 1/22 (1.8), 2/5 (1.6), 2/6 (2.0), 2/9-2/10 (2.8), 2/21-2/22 (1.9), 4/14-4/15 (2.0)

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018 @ KLNK: 21.4"               Coldest Low: -19*F (1/1/2018)

 

First flake of the season: 10/31/2017 @ 1:17 PM        Last flake of the season: 4/15/2018 @ 9:22 AM


#239
Tom

Posted 12 June 2018 - 03:24 AM

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I drove back from STL yesterday and while driving on I-55 across the MW farmland, I must say, you can definitely see the difference from all that moisture that hit the region in C IL over the past weekend.  Prior to the rains, when I drove down last week, it wasn't as lush and green.  Kinda neat to see the vegetation change in just a few days.

 

 

Meantime, Chicago sets another rainfall record:

 

feature06122018.jpg?quality=85&strip=all


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#240
Tom

Posted 12 June 2018 - 03:46 AM

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"Father's Day Weekend Torch" is in store for nearly all of us this coming weekend.  The A/C's will be humming and those who have seen recent rains will have to deal with nasty humidity this weekend.  Both Hurricane Bud and the tropical disturbance in the GOM will produce ideal "ridging" conditions across the region.  You can't ask for a better heat wave setup in the summer.

 

Geeze, near 80F DP's across the MW this weekend if the 00z GFS is right...down right nasty...

 

gfs_Td2m_ncus_20.png

 

gfs_Td2m_ncus_24.png



#241
Niko

Posted 12 June 2018 - 04:15 AM

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Splendid forecast for my area, but the extended does show some heat and humidity building. The 3 H's are returning and this time it will be hotter than what we experienced back in late May.



#242
St Paul Storm

Posted 12 June 2018 - 05:20 AM

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"Father's Day Weekend Torch" is in store for nearly all of us this coming weekend.  The A/C's will be humming and those who have seen recent rains will have to deal with nasty humidity this weekend.  Both Hurricane Bud and the tropical disturbance in the GOM will produce ideal "ridging" conditions across the region.  You can't ask for a better heat wave setup in the summer.
 
Geeze, near 80F DP's across the MW this weekend if the 00z GFS is right...down right nasty...
 
gfs_Td2m_ncus_20.png
 
gfs_Td2m_ncus_24.png


I was looking at the GFS before I logged on here. Man that would be nasty. Temps around 90 with dews in the upper 70s. Perfect grillin weather for Fathers Day!
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#243
NEJeremy

Posted 12 June 2018 - 06:57 AM

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Ended up with about 1.8" of rain between the two "events" yesterday, a heavy morning tstorm and then the severe weather yesterday afternoon/evening. Didn't have any hail or wind at my place though.



#244
jaster220

Posted 12 June 2018 - 08:46 AM

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Splendid forecast for my area, but the extended does show some heat and humidity building. The 3 H's are returning and this time it will be hotter than what we experienced back in late May.

 

Seeing nothing (yet) to indicate that part. Marshall hit 95F then and it was even hotter west towards Lk Michigan. I'm seeing 88-90F for Sunday depending on the source. Not saying that it can't go up like it did in May, but right now that's the "hot" day. Which, btw, I'd be fine with. Wouldn't even bother with the a/c


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#245
james1976

Posted 12 June 2018 - 08:53 AM

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My God its gonna be brutal this weekend. Heat index might be pushing 110 😮

#246
Tom

Posted 12 June 2018 - 09:38 AM

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A great test is evolving among many mets hyping a return to more heat right around the Summer Solstice and through the rest of the month.  After reviewing the LRC's pattern, the Week 1-2 period should form the "North American Vortex" across Canada.  This should last about 10-14 days, give or take a few days.  In essence, I believe another active period of weather may be in store and we should see several fronts established across the MW/GL's or sharp CF's swing through right when astrological Summer begins.  Let's see how this evolves.


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#247
Niko

Posted 12 June 2018 - 01:47 PM

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Seeing nothing (yet) to indicate that part. Marshall hit 95F then and it was even hotter west towards Lk Michigan. I'm seeing 88-90F for Sunday depending on the source. Not saying that it can't go up like it did in May, but right now that's the "hot" day. Which, btw, I'd be fine with. Wouldn't even bother with the a/c

I hope it does not get as hot as predicted by my local weatherman that I watch on TV. Hopefully, it remains in the 80s. AC and Sprinklers have been working ovatime so far. To make matters worse, it remains dry. :wacko:


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#248
Niko

Posted 12 June 2018 - 01:51 PM

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Currently in the upper 70s and a tad humid w weak storms to my north.



#249
james1976

Posted 12 June 2018 - 02:53 PM

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DMX regarding the weekend heat wave. Kinfa funny how they worded it for Friday:
Friday through Tuesday...the main forecast concern was focused on
the heat wave beginning Friday and lasting into early next week.
Confident in three consecutive days of max temperatures well into
the 90s from Friday through Sunday. There were a couple minor
changes with the ongoing forecast, but significant enough that the
heat index forecast was shifted higher. Both Friday and Saturday
afternoons are likely to be slightly windier with models in good
agreement with the deeper mixing. Friday is expected to see the
stronger winds and with highs in the mid-90s and dew points in the
lower 70s, it`ll feel like a blast furnace Friday afternoon.
Saturday, and even Sunday, will not provide any relief. Winds
appear to be weaker and the dew points look to be slightly higher
with less mixing. Regardless, sultry heat index values in the
triple digits are expected during the peak heating all three days
Friday to Sunday. The biggest thing to monitor is the surface dew
points over the weekend as the current forecast still might be a
degree or two too low, especially if the mixing does not
materialize. Overnight lows remain in the 70s over the weekend,
providing little relief the heat and confidence is increasing a
headline might be needed by Friday through Sunday.

#250
LNK_Weather

Posted 12 June 2018 - 06:32 PM

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All around beautiful this evening here in Fargo. Temp of 71°F and scenes like this. I'm adding Fargo to my list of places to consider moving next year. Cold Winters make Fargo a turn-off for most, but I consider it a turn-on, especially with June evenings like this.

Attached Files


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2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 4 (Last: 6/30/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 7 (Last: 7/25/2018)

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2017-2018: 12/23-12/24 (3.6), 1/22 (1.8), 2/5 (1.6), 2/6 (2.0), 2/9-2/10 (2.8), 2/21-2/22 (1.9), 4/14-4/15 (2.0)

 

Total Snowfall for 2017-2018 @ KLNK: 21.4"               Coldest Low: -19*F (1/1/2018)

 

First flake of the season: 10/31/2017 @ 1:17 PM        Last flake of the season: 4/15/2018 @ 9:22 AM