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June 2018 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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Hallelujah!  I'm finally getting a heavy storm.... torrential rain, a bit of pea size hail, some moderately gusty wind.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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That first cell dropped a little over an inch, my first inch rain event of the year.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Now another tornado warning for Benton and Iowa county. I wonder if this one will hold it's rotation long enough for sirens to go off in Linn County. It's been a while since I've seen the radar filled with as much orange and red as it is now.

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Here we go with round two.  A cell just blew up and has been warned.  It's already pouring hard.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Widespread 2-3 inches at personal stations across Cedar Rapids(includes the morning rain), even the one just up the road from my house that got the same quarter inch I did this morning.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I'm at about 3.1 inches here so far according to radar estimates. Line out to the west is about to move in. I am interested to see if river forecasts change much in the morning, rainfall totals have been impressive over the past 2 days, and more heavy rain is possible tomorrow night and Monday.

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It appears I picked up about 2.25" this evening, 2.50" for the day.  That's exactly what I was hoping for, 2" but no garden damage.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Yesterdays high at Grand Rapids of 71° was set at midnight and during the day the temperatures were only in the mid to upper 60’s with a cold NE wind. While common in the winter season it is rare for the high for any day to be set at midnight in the summer season. At this time it is cloudy and 64 here at my house. While the forecast is for highs in the mid 70's I am not sure it will make it that warm today with all the clouds and rain.

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Cloudy and breezy w temps in the 60s.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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The long awaited (a few days later than originally thought) tropical system coming out of the GOM late next weekend into the following week, which has been on my eye for a long time, is now showing up on the Euro.  The GEFS/GFS lead the way the entire time while several well-known meteorologist down played the idea of a system entering this region.  Again, the LRC is likely going to shine as a great long lead forecasting tool.  A quite fascinating set-up may evolve late next weekend into the following week as a summer time cold front "marry's" with BOTH E PAC and GOM moisture right across the heartland.  An extremely favorable set up for much needed moist across the central Plains where the drought is holding on strong.  It may very well be conceivable, that a lot of places across the Plains/MW region who can score hits in the next couple of weeks, will have eroded any signs of a drought by months end.

 

 

06z GEFS...let's see this trend wetter over the course of the next few days.  I think it will.

 

 

gfs-ens_mslp_pwata_us_27.png

 

gfs-ens_apcpn24_us_30.png

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The long awaited (a few days later than originally thought) tropical system coming out of the GOM late next weekend into the following week, which has been on my eye for a long time, is now showing up on the Euro. The GEFS/GFS lead the way the entire time while several well-known meteorologist down played the idea of a system entering this region. Again, the LRC is likely going to shine as a great long lead forecasting tool. A quite fascinating set-up may evolve late next weekend into the following week as a summer time cold front "marry's" with BOTH E PAC and GOM moisture right across the heartland. An extremely favorable set up for much needed moist across the central Plains where the drought is holding on strong. It may very well be conceivable, that a lot of places across the Plains/MW region who can score hits in the next couple of weeks, will have eroded any signs of a drought by months end.

 

 

06z GEFS...let's see this trend wetter over the course of the next few days. I think it will.

 

 

gfs-ens_mslp_pwata_us_27.png

 

gfs-ens_apcpn24_us_30.png

Looks troughy and cool for the entire third week for the majority of the sub. Sign me up! :)

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Looks troughy and cool for the entire third week for the majority of the sub. Sign me up! :)

Ya buddy!  I'm looking forward to it and very hopeful for good rains in the western ag belt that has been stressed so far this early season with occasional periods of drenching rains.  About to hit up the pool here and take a dip.  Adios!

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Cloudy, but dry today w a cool breeze. Temps in the upper 60s. I'll take that. :D

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Looking at my extended forecast, dry weather looks to dominate w the exception of a few pm isolated or scattered pm t'stms.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Skies are finally starting to clear up near sunset as I am drinking wine on my patio, next to my firepit and working on my PC.  :D Its a bit coolish and a light jacket is definitely needed.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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I like it when a plan comes together..."Ring of Fire" pattern panned out quite well as many farmers across the MW ag belt saw drenching rains.  Drought conditions wiped out across IL/IN and parts of IA.  We still need some work through in MO and NE/KS.  Will nature work on that over the next 1-2 weeks???

 

DfaY3xtVMAA56Tm.jpg

 

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/png/current/current_usdm.png

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With 0% of sunshine for Saturday and Sunday Grand Rapids tied for the cloudiest June weekends. Since 2003 there has only been one other time where both Saturday and Sunday had 0% sunshine (June 12-13, 2015) It appears that in the last 30 years there have only been 34 days with 0% sunshine. And it was a cool weekend as well with daytime temperatures in the 60’s (the high for Saturday was 71 but that was reached at midnight) and with a cold NE wind it felt even colder than the actual air temperature. At this time I have clear skies and a temperature of 68° with todays east wind the west side of the state will be warmer than the east side of the state.

As for rain fall there was a sharp south to north cut off on the amounts as the airport reported 0.92" over the weekend here at my house I only received 0.26"

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Gorgeous morning outside w plentiful sunshine to speak of and delightful temps. :)

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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The euro has gone very hot and humid around here over the weekend... temps 95+, dews in the 70s.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Not a cloud to be found in the sky. Absolutely splendid. :D

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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The euro has gone very hot and humid around here over the weekend... temps 95+, dews in the 70s.

Bad combo!

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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It sure is quiet here considering there are rotating supercells with tornado warnings near Omaha.

Moving this to the June thread. I'd certainly be active but I was in the Twin Cities this weekend and am now in Fargo, ND for the next week. Looks like the crazy cells popped East of Lincoln.

 

It's in the 50s here right now and it feels awesome.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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We didn’t see any severe weather in Millard/Southwest Omaha where I live. Did get well over an inch of much needed rain, lots of dark crazy looking clouds, and some of the loudest booms of thunder I have ever heard.

 

The worst part of this storm system blew up about 2-3 miles SW of here, so we narrowly missed seeing the worst of this damaging and most likely tornadic supercell thunderstorm.

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It has sure turned dry here. Amazing what hot days with strong south winds can do. Underground sprinklers usage is picking up on the yards. Have not seen any local farmers turn on their center pivot irrigation on the crops yet, but if we don’t get more rain in the next few days that will change. Our area is not officially in the drought monitor stage yet, though we might be put in the dry area when Thursday’s report comes out.

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Very raw night here in Fargo. Temperature 52*F, with a dew point of 52*F. This is my kinda weather. Light Easterly breeze is making for a wind chill of 50*F. Feels like a cold April day with what I'm used to. I don't wanna go back to 90s next week.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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I drove back from STL yesterday and while driving on I-55 across the MW farmland, I must say, you can definitely see the difference from all that moisture that hit the region in C IL over the past weekend.  Prior to the rains, when I drove down last week, it wasn't as lush and green.  Kinda neat to see the vegetation change in just a few days.

 

 

Meantime, Chicago sets another rainfall record:

 

feature06122018.jpg?quality=85&strip=all

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"Father's Day Weekend Torch" is in store for nearly all of us this coming weekend.  The A/C's will be humming and those who have seen recent rains will have to deal with nasty humidity this weekend.  Both Hurricane Bud and the tropical disturbance in the GOM will produce ideal "ridging" conditions across the region.  You can't ask for a better heat wave setup in the summer.

 

Geeze, near 80F DP's across the MW this weekend if the 00z GFS is right...down right nasty...

 

gfs_Td2m_ncus_20.png

 

gfs_Td2m_ncus_24.png

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