June Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[El Nina]

Yeah... like the most days with rain ever in the winter of 2015-16?

 

Just one short 6-month spurt!

 

And then a really dry other 6 months, so it offset the overall year.

[TT-SEA]

And then a really dry other 6 months, so it offset the overall year.

 

Really?

 

Because June and July of 2016 were also above normal for rainfall up here.  

[El Nina]

Really?

 

Because June and July of 2016 were also above normal for rainfall up here.

 

Kinda like how one week of troughing was covered up by a short 3 week spell of warmth?

[Deweydog]

It’s been warm lately and people are strangely acting like it’s been cold. That is fact, not opinion.

Did you hit your head this weekend?

[TT-SEA]

Kinda like how one week of troughing was covered up by a short 3 week spell of warmth?

 

No.

 

Last June for example... just 4 really warm days at SEA skewed the month warm despite a significant troughy period.

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF still gets really hot in the 8-10 day period... but its virtually meaningless given the clear trend in the mid range.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

There is a different quality to the sweat one accumulates while standing perfectly still.

Yeah that's why some people go into the sauna and relax. It's also a healthy way to flush out toxins from your system.

[El Nina]

No.

 

Last June for example... just 4 really warm days at SEA skewed the month warm despite a significant troughy period.

My sentiment exactly, just for rain.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Holy cow...

 

Hot!

[Front Ranger]

No.

 

Last June for example... just 4 really warm days at SEA skewed the month warm despite a significant troughy period.

And yet, it was not a troughy June overall.

[Farmboy]

12Z ECMWF still gets really hot in the 8-10 day period... but its virtually meaningless given the clear trend in the mid range.

Hopefully that ULL weakens and stops this northwest-ward shifting nonsense.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Beautiful day! Glad to see the sun finally come out of hiding.

[Farmboy]

Hot!

I hope you've got some positive news for us regarding the potential heat wave...?

[TT-SEA]

Hopefully that ULL weakens and stops this northwest-ward shifting nonsense.

Seems unlikely at this point. The trend is actually accelerating still.

[Phil]

Ensembles seem to be hinting at a crash after this next ridgy spell. Would be nice.

 

4928C771-EB23-4645-9864-EEF15FACFBED.png

Yeah, I don’t think it will be a stable or long lasting period of heat. I was leaning that way a few weeks ago, but it’s becoming increasingly clear that won’t be the case.

 

A quick heat spike is likely, but maintaining such a pattern beyond a single wave cycle requires peripheral boundary conditions that simply aren’t present now (as they were in May).

[TT-SEA]

My sentiment exactly, just for rain.

 

Looking at the warm season at SEA (May - Sept)... since 2013 there has been 12 out of 26 months above normal for rainfall.  

 

Almost half of the warm season months have been wetter than normal.    Not quite the picture you are painting of heavy rain all winter and then bone dry warm seasons... at least up here.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

I hope you've got some positive news for us regarding the potential heat wave...?

Everything still looks like a go to me. The real heat doesn't come until the middle of next week.

[TT-SEA]

And when looking at PDX from 2013-17 for the warm season... a total of 33.76 inches of rain fell in the May - Sept period combined for those 5 years.

 

Normal rainfall for those months for a 5-year period would be 33.70 inches.

 

So... PDX is .06 ABOVE normal for rainfall in the warm season over the last 5 years!   

 

Hard to get much more normal than that... not as dire as you make it out to be even when just focusing on the warm season.  

[Frontal Snowsquall]

12z EURO high temps for PDX from today through the 20th.

 

6/11 - 68

6/12 - 78

6/13 - 63

6/14 - 65

6/15 - 67

6/16 - 76

6/17 - 81

6/18 - 84

6/19 - 91

6/20 - 98

 

It still seems to be running a little too cold with the high temps for PDX.

 

http://lmgcorporate.com/kptv/weather/ibs_web_7-day.jpg

[TT-SEA]

My sentiment exactly, just for rain.

 

 

And when looking at PDX from 2013-17 for the warm season... a total of 33.76 inches of rain fell in the May - Sept period combined for those 5 years.

 

Normal rainfall for those months for a 5-year period would be 33.70 inches.

 

So... PDX is just .06 below normal for rainfall in the warm season over the last 5 years combined.

 

Hard to get much more normal than that.   Not as dire as you make it out to be... even when just focusing on the warm season.  

[Farmboy]

Hmm, looks like the "let's freeze our asses off" crowd has a shot at winning this round... Oh well, won't be the last round of ridging this summer..

[Phil]

Yeah that's why some people go into the sauna and relax. It's also a healthy way to flush out toxins from your system.

Yeah, there’s a reason you sit still. Imagine trying to run a 10K in a sauna. Or do exercise of any kind. It’s a great way to commit suicide. You should appreciate your cool summers more.

 

Outdoor exercise is simply not an option here during July/August unless you’re willing to wake up at 5AM and run in a fasted state. By 9AM the heat index is usually well into the 90s. No bueno.

 

Though (knock on wood) it’s been a relatively cool summer here so far. No big heat yet. It will come eventually, but hopefully it holds off until I leave.

[Jesse]

Did you hit your head this weekend?

You are more rude than funny lately. I miss funny Dewey.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

66.6 degrees outside

[Phil]

And yet, it was not a troughy June overall.

Inhale, count to 3, exhale, count to 3.

[MossMan]

Having lunch on my deck. It’s chilly.

[TT-SEA]

Warm season rainfall summary (May-Sept of 2013-17 combined):

 

SEA: 33.96 (-.14 departure)

 

PDX: 33.76 (+.06 departure)

 

 

Yes... its been much warmer than normal. But warm season rainfall over the last 5 years has been almost perfectly normal at SEA and PDX.

 

Very wet rainy seasons and normal precip in the warm seasons has been the overall theme for the last 5 years.

[Phil]

Whiteout conditions on parts of Baffin Island yesterday. Snow squalls and gusts to hurricane force.

 

What an amazing climate.

[Front Ranger]

And yet, it was not a troughy June overall.

 

Not even close.

 

[Phil]

Whiteout conditions on parts of Baffin Island yesterday. Snow squalls and gusts to hurricane force.

 

What an amazing climate.

And FWIW, it looks like another round of blizzards will begin in 3-4 days across northern parts of the island.

 

[TT-SEA]

Not even close.

 

compday.Q2vSHy7s9G.gif

Skewed by a couple huge ridges that did not last long.

[BLI snowman]

Looking at the warm season at SEA (May - Sept)... since 2013 there has been 12 out of 26 months above normal for rainfall.  

 

Almost half of the warm season months have been wetter than normal.    Not quite the picture you are painting of heavy rain all winter and then bone dry warm seasons... at least up here.

 

That is skewed by 2013 and 2014 which both had wet warm seasons around Seattle.

 

At SEA, just 5 of the last 16 months in that calendar span have been wet, which quite generously includes months like June 2017 (1.52" versus 1.49" average) and July 2016 (0.72" versus 0.71" average). Only August 2015 counts as a seriously wetter than average warm season month in that time. It's pretty fair to say that Seattle is still actively in a dry stretch of warm season months that is now spanning the last 3-4 summers.

 

At PDX it's an active span of 5 of the last 18 warm season months that have been dry, dating back to August 2014. 

[Front Ranger]

Looking at the warm season at SEA (May - Sept)... since 2013 there has been 12 out of 26 months above normal for rainfall.  

 

Almost half of the warm season months have been wetter than normal.    Not quite the picture you are painting of heavy rain all winter and then bone dry warm seasons... at least up here.

 

I thought 2014-17 was the period that matters? Anyhow, definitely drier than normal warm seasons overall the past 4 years.

 

[Deweydog]

You are more rude than funny lately. I miss funny Dewey.

Your gunnies might set me straight.

[Phil]

 

Baffin Island lies in the path of a generally northerly airflow all year round, so, like much of northeastern Canada, it has an extremely cold climate. This brings very long, cold winters and foggy, cloudy summers, which have helped to add to the remoteness of the island. Spring thaw arrives much later than normal for a position straddling the Arctic Circle; around early June at Iqaluit in the south-east to early/mid-July on the north coast where glaciers run right down to sea level. Snow, even heavy snow, can occur at any time of the year, although it is least likely in July and early August. Average annual temperatures at Iqaluit are around −9.5 °C (14.9 °F), compared with Reykjavík, around 5 °C (41 °F), which is at a similar latitude.

 

Sea ice surrounds the island for most of the year, and only disappears completely from the north coast for short unpredictable periods from mid- to late June until the end of September.

[TT-SEA]

That is skewed by 2013 and 2014 which both had wet warm seasons around Seattle.

 

At SEA, just 5 of the last 16 months in that calendar span have been wet, which quite generously includes months like June 2017 (1.52" versus 1.49" average) and July 2016 (0.72" versus 0.71" average). Only August 2015 counts as a seriously wetter than average warm season month in that time. It's pretty fair to say that Seattle is still actively in a dry stretch of warm season months that is now spanning the last 3-4 summers.

 

At PDX it's an active span of 5 of the last 18 warm season months that have been dry, dating back to August 2014. 

 

 

Yes... just looking at the 2015-17 period is a little different.

 

The driest warm season at SEA in that period was last year with a -2.41 departure.   All of that was made up for (and then some) in October and November though.  

 

SEA also had the wettest October ever in 2016... and a very wet October and November period in 2015.  

[TT-SEA]

I thought 2014-17 was the period that matters? Anyhow, definitely drier than normal warm seasons overall the past 4 years.

 

cd2603_300b_503_1800_c9c9_fc6d_10d2_b4da.161.13.52.20.prcp.png

 

 

Just barely drier than normal in western WA.

[BLI snowman]

Yes... just looking at the 2015-17 period is a little different.

 

The driest warm season at SEA in that period was last year with a -2.41 departure.   All of that was made up for (and then some) in October and November though.  

 

SEA also had the wettest October ever in 2016... and a very wet October and November period in 2015.  

 

It's almost like the dry season has been drier than normal and the wet season has been wetter than normal. Who knew.....

[TT-SEA]

 

 

 

We get it... you hate the heat there so much that you would like to be locked in a freezer until you die.   

 

The rest of us don't need some crazy extreme the other way.