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July 2018 Observations and Discussion

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#51
St Paul Storm

Posted 04 July 2018 - 06:04 AM

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Total forecast bust in progress here. Storms moving in from the NW this morning were supposed to crap out before reaching here. Instead they’re gaining strength and a special weather statement has been issued for gusts over 40mph. Gonna throw a monkey wrench into how the storms this afternoon play out as well.

#52
Tom

Posted 04 July 2018 - 06:29 AM

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Happy 4th of July everyone!  I love this country and I'm proud to be an American...God Bless this country!

 

 

 

Happy-4th-Of-July-Images.jpg


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#53
St Paul Storm

Posted 04 July 2018 - 07:37 AM

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Just picked up 2.25” of rain in about an hour. Unbelievable. Flooding in the neighborhood. My entire garage is flooded out. Time to crack a beer and grill some brats.

Happy 4th everyone!
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#54
CentralNebWeather

Posted 04 July 2018 - 08:17 AM

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Very muggy here. Looks like a cold front rolls through tonight bringing storms.

#55
jaster220

Posted 04 July 2018 - 10:26 AM

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Just picked up 2.25” of rain in about an hour. Unbelievable. Flooding in the neighborhood. My entire garage is flooded out. Time to crack a beer and grill some brats.

Happy 4th everyone!

 

Wow, not too fun sounds like. Meanwhile, here in Marshall, I've scored a very scant <.25" of rainfall in the last 3-4 wks. Granted, it was so wet during MET spring that only the higher elevation front lawn is showing it. Back is fully green yet. To keep my front garden from wilting due to the warmth this week, I'm just running the sprinkler vs. hand-carrying a watering can. 

 

Hoping everyone is enjoying a happy and FUN 4th! 


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#56
St Paul Storm

Posted 04 July 2018 - 10:34 AM

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Here comes severe round #2. MPX telling all boaters on lakes in the metro to get off the water immediately. Major winds and hail up to 1/2” expected. Right now there are about 10 boats on our lake and I’m pretty sure none of them know what’s about to hit.
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#57
jaster220

Posted 04 July 2018 - 10:36 AM

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Have been outside pulling weeds, boy they are thriving this year. It is 88 with index of 93 and dew of 73. Our rainy summer has added to dew points and corn is getting close to tasseling so the crops are adding to the moisture in the air. Saving grace is a south wind. Great way to lose some weight as it looks like I just showered. Also, our problem pest has been crickets. Some get in the house and you can’t find them. Annoying.

 

Geez, I'd never seen so many huge Crickets as when I worked in TX (Ft Worth) back in 2010. They were everywhere down there. Was sharing a 2nd floor apt with another Michigander and those things would come crawling thru the a/c duct-work that was up near the ceiling! I even found a couple dead ones when I unpacked my suitcase back in MI. At least they didn't fly around that I saw anyways. Unlike the Stink Bugs that we've been suffering with across SWMI since last summer. They seem to have finally waned tho now that mid-summer is near. 

 

I am guessing you are talking about the hordes of Japanese Beetles that continue to invade our area!?! I have had to constantly spray all of my trees and shrubs with pesticides to keep those things from eating my trees and shrubs alive.

Those things about killed my beautiful front yard shade tree last year... it still hasn’t fully recovered from those stupid invasive pests.

 

Oh gosh, we've had bug problems about every year since I took this house in 2008. We got the hordes of Jap Beetles about 2 or 3 yrs back. They seemed to swarm around our back door and deck at dusk and we'd come home and have to fight our way thru a cloud of 'em. My wife and daughter are bug-a-phobics so you can imagine how great a drama that was!  


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#58
St Paul Storm

Posted 04 July 2018 - 11:53 AM

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Approaching 2.75” today so far. The second line kinda skipped over my head. Temps were supposed to be in the mid 90s with heat indices around 103. Right now it’s only 80. Heat advisory and warning have been cancelled. What a weird day of weather around here.
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#59
james1976

Posted 04 July 2018 - 11:55 AM

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Happy 4th Everyone! Enjoy your freedom!

Low 90s and very muggy here. Storms are rolling in from the NW. Gonna have a few friends over after while. Storms could put a hamper on our BBQ plans.



#60
LNK_Weather

Posted 04 July 2018 - 12:05 PM

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It's hot and humid out. And my cat keeps chewing on my fireworks. If we get rain, it should hold off until after fireworks time. 93.7*F, dew point 71*F.


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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 4.5"             Coldest Low: 9*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#61
james1976

Posted 04 July 2018 - 01:08 PM

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Sitting on my deck and i just heard locust for the first time this summer. Isnt that early??!
Cloudy and breezy with thunder in the distance!

#62
Iowawx

Posted 04 July 2018 - 01:44 PM

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Happy 4th of July to everyone. It's been a very hot and humid day in Eastern Iowa. There is a nice line of storms that is moving ESE and models show it moving though CR area in the next few hours. I sure hope it does get here and produces rain because we look to get into a drier pattern by Friday.


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#63
Bryan1117

Posted 04 July 2018 - 07:30 PM

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Our neighborhood firework show was halted about 9:30 this evening thanks to a very strong thunderstorm outflow that kicked up 50-55 MPH winds and dropped temps around 15-20 degrees almost instantly.

Some people still decided to light off their grand finales as the winds were gusting through, which made for some wicked scenes with artillery shells firing through the strong winds.

Not much rain in my backyard, just enough to wash up whatever firework junk that wasn’t blown away by the outflow wind gusts.

Winds knocked a tree onto house about two miles north of me, and has knocked out power to thousands around the Omaha metro. Memorable 4th to say the least around here!
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#64
LNK_Weather

Posted 04 July 2018 - 07:58 PM

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I was lucky. I happened to fire off my last artillery shell seconds before the outflow hit. It was muggy the entire time I lit fireworks, it only took about a minute for me to sweat buckets. But boy things have changed. Absolutely pissing down rain and fireworks have been (mostly) replaced by lightning. Still very windy out so the rain's coming down sideways. 68.9*F.


>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 4.5"             Coldest Low: 9*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#65
CentralNebWeather

Posted 04 July 2018 - 11:24 PM

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Woken up out of bed by storms that started at 1:45 am. It is now 2:30 and the strong winds have heavy rain continues. Vivid lightning and loud thunder will make it tough to go back to bed. More rain is always welcome. Will report amount later this morning.

#66
Tom

Posted 05 July 2018 - 03:11 AM

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It was one of the more hot/humid 4th of July's I will remember.  A typical mid summer day that had the look of the tropics.  Clouds bubble up throughout the day with intermittent sunshine poking through.  Just before dusk, a line of storms formed to the south and out in the open field you could see natures fireworks show growing larger by the minute, just before our scheduled show around 9:15.  It was a beautiful scene to see both shows going on in tandem.  We had an ideal breeze out of the West that pushed the debris from our show away from us.

 

One more day of this oppressive humidity and hopefully today I can score some rain out of it.  Looks like Noon - 6:00pm is the prime time for storm development.

 

Can't wait to sleep with the window open.  Friday night looks amazing....what a difference in airmass as this will have that Northwoods "feel"...

 

nam3km_T2m_ncus_52.png


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#67
Tom

Posted 05 July 2018 - 03:38 AM

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By this time next week, the Monsoon in the SW will be in high gear.  Gosh, I hope these maps verify bc they need the rain badly out there.  I love watching the storms in the distance this time of year out in the desert.  If you ever have the chance, go out there mid/late July during the Monsoon and you'll know what I mean.  Besides the dust storms created from the strong outflows in the open desert from the torrential rains, there is beauty from the monster towering anvils, in the distance, up in the mountains, as well as, the night time lightning shows nature provides this time of year.  Gorgeous shows!

 

 

gfs_apcpn_swus_32.png


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#68
Tom

Posted 05 July 2018 - 03:49 AM

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The JMA Weeklies came out today with some subtle changes by Week 3, but overall do follow the idea of the ridge retrograding west by Week 2.  Notice the ridge across the west coast and weakness in the central CONUS.

 

 

 

Y201807.D0412_gl0.png

 

Temps average out near seasonal levels for the majority of the MW/GL's, except for the Plains...

 

Y201807.D0412_gl2.png

 

 

It does look like it turns wetter which has that NW Flow "look" across the MW/GL's...

 

 

Y201807.D0412_gl1.png


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#69
Niko

Posted 05 July 2018 - 04:12 AM

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Another scorcher today w 90s once again. Friday nights low temp here IMBY has a chance to hit the upper 40s as this will be a strong surge of cool, Canadian airmass. Wow. This will be a great relief w highs only in the low to mid 70s both Friday and Saturday along w chilly 40s and 50s at night. Sweet! :D


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#70
jaster220

Posted 05 July 2018 - 05:02 AM

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I was lucky. I happened to fire off my last artillery shell seconds before the outflow hit. It was muggy the entire time I lit fireworks, it only took about a minute for me to sweat buckets. But boy things have changed. Absolutely pissing down rain and fireworks have been (mostly) replaced by lightning. Still very windy out so the rain's coming down sideways. 68.9*F.

 

My experience as well over here! As Tom said, one of the worst feeling 4th of July in memory. While 2012 featured higher actual temps, this humidity is unusually bad this year. Quite likely due to all the rainfall just to my west from Kzoo all the way back to central Nebraska! In 2012 we had the drought ongoing at the 4th. 


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#71
jaster220

Posted 05 July 2018 - 05:04 AM

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Another scorcher today w 90s once again. Friday nights low temp here IMBY has a chance to hit the upper 40s as this will be a strong surge of cool, Canadian airmass. Wow. This will be a great relief w highs only in the low to mid 70s both Friday and Saturday along w chilly 40s and 50s at night. Sweet! :D

 

Hope you had a good 4th Niko! I see some nice T-storms fired up this morning. Did you get any, or did they all stay south of yby? Keep getting missed here in Marshall like the last 2 Junes, so things are getting real dry all of a sudden with the peak sun angles and heatwave pattern. 


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#72
OKwx2k4

Posted 05 July 2018 - 05:58 AM

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I had a wonderful 4th and I hope everyone else did also. I'm in the camp with everyone else. It was likely the most humid heat for a 4th I can remember. Even this morning there is haze in the air from the moisture. Consensus has it now that, as Tom said, there will at least be periods of ridging out West in this month which is a plus for those of us who hate roasting for 4 months on end. An early respite or 2 from the heat wouldn't hurt my feelings but (maybe the models are seeing this) it is also going to be hard to get really sustainable ridging out west for longer periods of time until maybe month's end or even maybe August. If AO starts attempting to trend negative in wk3 or wk4 (I think this month may begin to show some -AO), Tom's call for an early fall in late August may be spot-on also. Lots of things to watch this month for sure.
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#73
Tom

Posted 05 July 2018 - 06:31 AM

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I had a wonderful 4th and I hope everyone else did also. I'm in the camp with everyone else. It was likely the most humid heat for a 4th I can remember. Even this morning there is haze in the air from the moisture. Consensus has it now that, as Tom said, there will at least be periods of ridging out West in this month which is a plus for those of us who hate roasting for 4 months on end. An early respite or 2 from the heat wouldn't hurt my feelings but (maybe the models are seeing this) it is also going to be hard to get really sustainable ridging out west for longer periods of time until maybe month's end or even maybe August. If AO starts attempting to trend negative in wk3 or wk4 (I think this month may begin to show some -AO), Tom's call for an early fall in late August may be spot-on also. Lots of things to watch this month for sure.

TBH, I'm not as confident of a -AO developing during the rest of this summer, but more inclined to believe a -EPO will evolve which will have more of an impact on the cooling potential late month and into Aug.  My current thinking is for the summer time Polar Vortex to establish itself this week and hold on throughout the rest of summer across the Pole and even into the early part of met Autumn (Sept), however, we will see lobes of the PV begin invading Canada more frequently by then.  Sept is going to be interesting to see how everything falls into place and how the PV behaves.  It's always fascinating watching it evolve in its early stages, esp as we get into Oct.


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#74
Tom

Posted 05 July 2018 - 06:42 AM

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FWIW, when you take a look at the Euro weeklies for the 1st week of Aug, it def is keeping a +AO which continues to keep the Arctic colder than normal this summer and allows the early build up of cold air across the north.  Meanwhile, somewhat of a ridge near Greenland and the -EPO "look" keep the trough across the eastern 2/3rds of the CONUS.



#75
Hawkeye

Posted 05 July 2018 - 06:50 AM

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The Japanese beetles have really come back strong here as well.  7+ years ago they were bad, but the 2012 drought killed them off.  Last year there was a resurgence and now this year they are pretty bad.  I have to shake my three crab apple trees now and then to get the beetles off of them temporarily.  A couple bushes are also big beetle magnets and also my row of cannas.  The beetles are a terrible pest.

 

The weather looks pretty boring for the next week.  The lawns should begin to dry out again.  I am looking forward to the low dews this weekend.


season snowfall: 0.0"

 

'17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#76
jaster220

Posted 05 July 2018 - 06:51 AM

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Grid for KRMY still showing 50% risk of T-storms, but that's stands in major contrast to the forecasted shut-out via Intelli's hourly (and I tend to side with their hourly over GRR's 6 hr updates). Not only that, but they have ZERO measurable rainfall for the next 8 days here. Flooding and mini-droughts are the new norm it seems for mby - uggh! 

 

Attached File  20180705 8 days of ZERO rain.PNG   40.75KB   0 downloads

 

PS-I've thrown the towel on rain from today's opportunity..I think that batch that fired this morn 2 counties east was the goods being delivered for the lucky few.

 



#77
CentralNebWeather

Posted 05 July 2018 - 08:31 AM

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Had 2 rounds of storms overnight into this morning. Gauges varied by an inch just in my town. Mine said 1.70 but 2 miles west on that side of town was over 2.5 and west of there was over 3 inches. 30 miles north had 5-7 inches. What an interesting summer moisture wise.

#78
LNK_Weather

Posted 05 July 2018 - 08:38 AM

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I ended up with about 1.5" last night. I expected nothing so hell yeah I'll take it. Nice break from the heat now. 77.7°F.

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 4.5"             Coldest Low: 9*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#79
Stacsh

Posted 05 July 2018 - 08:41 AM

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Grid for KRMY still showing 50% risk of T-storms, but that's stands in major contrast to the forecasted shut-out via Intelli's hourly (and I tend to side with their hourly over GRR's 6 hr updates). Not only that, but they have ZERO measurable rainfall for the next 8 days here. Flooding and mini-droughts are the new norm it seems for mby - uggh! 

 

attachicon.gif20180705 8 days of ZERO rain.PNG

 

PS-I've thrown the towel on rain from today's opportunity..I think that batch that fired this morn 2 counties east was the goods being delivered for the lucky few.

 

Extremely dry here along the lakeshore from Holland to the north.  Looks like the next 10 days are primarily dry.  Really need rain.  


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#80
Bryan1117

Posted 05 July 2018 - 09:00 AM

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I ended up with about 1.5" last night. I expected nothing so hell yeah I'll take it. Nice break from the heat now. 77.7°F.

Picked up another .65 of rain last night from the storms... I will keep on taking it especially with a dry pattern setting up for the next week around here.

It was nice to wake up this morning to the cooler and much less humid air. Very pleasant weather for July to go out and sweep up the street and clean up the yard after all the neighborhood fireworks last night and the gusty outflow winds.
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#81
james1976

Posted 05 July 2018 - 09:05 AM

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The humidity is getting old!
Had exactly 1 inch of rain last night.

#82
Tom

Posted 05 July 2018 - 09:33 AM

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After seeing some outlets bashing the GEFS, one has to wonder if they are being bias driven pumping the heat wave pattern.  In all honesty, this months pattern isn't an easy one to predict 2, 3 or 4 weeks into the future.  Meantime, today's 12z GEFS showing more blocking near Greenland (confidence growing) towards the end of next week and the anticipated shift to more seasonal, at times, cooler air during the week of the 15th is starting to show merit on the ensembles.  Starting to look like the JMA/CFSv2 weeklies and I also expect an uptick in precip Week 2 as we dry out this week.

 

 

 

gfs-ens_T2ma_us_42.png


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#83
NEJeremy

Posted 05 July 2018 - 10:17 AM

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https://www.washingt...m=.acace9adf9ca

#84
OKwx2k4

Posted 05 July 2018 - 04:57 PM

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FWIW, when you take a look at the Euro weeklies for the 1st week of Aug, it def is keeping a -AO which continues to keep the Arctic colder than normal this summer and allows the early build up of cold air across the north. Meanwhile, somewhat of a ridge near Greenland and the -EPO "look" keep the trough across the eastern 2/3rds of the CONUS.


So you still think no -AO this month in week 4 or to close July and open August?

#85
Tom

Posted 06 July 2018 - 03:32 AM

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So you still think no -AO this month in week 4 or to close July and open August?

I don't think so.  Strong indication that the summer vortex stays put over the Pole this month and next.



#86
Tom

Posted 06 July 2018 - 03:51 AM

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I swear, WGN Weather has a warm bias to their 7-day forecasts.  Bill Snyder, their producer, is a lover of warm/hot weather so I guess that makes sense.  The previous heat wave, and the one before in mid June, they busted too high by several degrees calling for upper 90's and we only topped off at 96F on one of the days during both of those stretches.  Yesterday, their 7-day was calling for a stretch of low/mid 90's from Sun-Thu and there wasn't much model support to even validate that.  

 

Well, after just checking their twitter page, they finally backed off the heat and now only 1-day in the 90's...lol...I even doubt that happens as models are trending cooler next week as a sneaky HP slides across the GL's.

 

 

DhaPxYCXcAAwktQ.jpg

 

 

 

What a difference a day makes.  Refreshing Canadian airmass with a nice NE breeze, 69F/56F, low humidity....very comfy out there!  Ahhh....almost feels like Sept out there this morning.  



#87
OKwx2k4

Posted 06 July 2018 - 04:54 AM

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I don't think so. Strong indication that the summer vortex stays put over the Pole this month and next.


Fair enough. I was just a bit confused by your post about the -AO for August. Either way, whomever is right, we can do the cooldown with the EPO/PNA too. Just as long as it cools down.

#88
Tom

Posted 06 July 2018 - 05:39 AM

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Fair enough. I was just a bit confused by your post about the -AO for August. Either way, whomever is right, we can do the cooldown with the EPO/PNA too. Just as long as it cools down.

Whoops!  My bad, thanks for catching that bc it was meant to be a +AO.  I just fixed it.  Sorry for the confusion amigo!


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#89
Niko

Posted 06 July 2018 - 05:59 AM

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Hope you had a good 4th Niko! I see some nice T-storms fired up this morning. Did you get any, or did they all stay south of yby? Keep getting missed here in Marshall like the last 2 Junes, so things are getting real dry all of a sudden with the peak sun angles and heatwave pattern. 

It was awesome. Hope you enjoyed yours as well. Weather was very cooperative, although, very muggy.

 

SEMI (IMBY) has now approached above number of days of 90+ thus far this season. Last year, we were only at 7X of 90 degree days during this time, where this year, we are standing at 14 or 15X of hitting or surpassing 90F. More hot weather next week. Its turning out to be a hot Summa. Today, its absolutely gorgeous. Deep, blue skies, low humidity, and a beautiful refreshing north breeze. Makes you wanna stay outside all day. :D


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#90
Niko

Posted 06 July 2018 - 06:01 AM

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Beautiful sunny skies this morning w temps in the upper 50s along w a nice northwest breeze. Some spots may not get outta the 60s for highs. Crisp, and chilly tanite w temps dropping into the upper 40s in some locales.



#91
james1976

Posted 06 July 2018 - 08:00 AM

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Yeah its a nice airmass today. Had 61 this morning and low humidity. I had the windows open last night. Tonight we might make it down to the 50s. Thinkin bout having a bonfire!
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#92
Tom

Posted 06 July 2018 - 08:37 AM

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12z GFS still holding onto the idea of a nice cool down for the following weekend across the central Plains after a hot week!  Is this a preview for how the 2nd half of the month will end?

 

 

gfs_T2ma_us_34.png

 

gfs_T2ma_us_38.png


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#93
OKwx2k4

Posted 06 July 2018 - 08:49 AM

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12z GFS still holding onto the idea of a nice cool down for the following weekend across the central Plains after a hot week! Is this a preview for how the 2nd half of the month will end?


gfs_T2ma_us_34.png

gfs_T2ma_us_38.png


Maybe... Sign me up for that!

#94
CentralNebWeather

Posted 06 July 2018 - 11:57 AM

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Not as hot but the humidity hasn’t left. 80 degrees with a dew of 70. However, I have rarely seen things so lush and green in July. The next week will probably stress everything as the heat returns.

#95
james1976

Posted 06 July 2018 - 06:24 PM

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Its a perfect night for a bonfire!

#96
Tom

Posted 07 July 2018 - 03:02 AM

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It felt real nice to sleep with the window cracked up until the birds began chirping and singing around 4:30am.  A bit of morning dew is on the grass, clear skies, calm winds and a crisp 58F makes it a refreshing start to the day.  I'm seeing locations in and around the GL's in the upper 40's this morning!  



#97
Tom

Posted 07 July 2018 - 04:05 AM

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I think it's safe to say, for those who live around the MW/GL's, we have seen the last of the seasons hottest temps and most locations prob won't see an official "heat wave" (90F+ for 3 consecutive days).  However, those in the Plains are likely not as lucky.  Still to early in the season to write off any heat waves and where I believe the pattern is heading.

 

Last nights 00z Euro showing a sharp cool down across the Plains of NE/KS next Sunday (15th)/Monday(16th) with high temps in the upper 60's/low 70's!  The Euro and I are on the same page.

 

Growing confidence that the mid summer season "shift" is in the cards for the week of the 15th, as the amplified North American 500mb pattern evolves.  The signs are showing up in nearly every model that the NE PAC will develop a stout HP across this region and continue to warm up the waters hugging NW NAMER.

 

Big warming already present...

 

cdas-sflux_ssta_global_1.png

 

 

 

 

After a reprieve from the heavy rains we have seen, need not to worry, as the pattern becomes active resulting from the NW Flow the evolves the following week.  00z GEFS showing it nicely and the same areas that have been getting hit will be in the target area Week 1-2.

 

gfs-ens_apcpna_us_8.png


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#98
Tom

Posted 07 July 2018 - 04:35 AM

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Trends in the EPO/WPO are all key drivers of the North American pattern that should translate for cooler weather and beat down ridging across the sub forum.  Sometimes models are not "cool" enough in seeing the pattern beyond Day 7.  With that being said, I wouldn't be surprised to see cooler trends as we get closer towards mid month.  Interestingly, we continue to see a -NAO showing up which is a surprise to me.

 

 

4indices.png



#99
Tom

Posted 07 July 2018 - 04:40 AM

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Alright, that's enough posting for the day...time to finish up my coffee and head to the park and do some HIIT training/sprints.  Have a splendid Saturday!  



#100
westMJim

Posted 07 July 2018 - 09:02 AM

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Don’t look now but it got cold in much of northern lower Michigan last night (July 7th) here are some over night lows from lower Michigan.  

Leota  39°

Atlanta (about 40 miles west of Alpena  40°

Grayling   40°

Mio  43°

Evart 44°

Cadillac 44°

Houghton Lake 46°

On our trip to Alpena we went thru or by Cadillac, Grayling and Atlanta and on the way up it was in the 90’s at all of the above locations.  What a end to the “Heat Wave”  but just shows you how cold parts of Michigan really are even in the summer time.


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