July 2018 Observations and Discussion

[Hawkeye]

I finished the morning event with 1.19" of rain.  The sky has quickly cleared, so maybe we can get a bit of heating.

[Iowawx]

I finished the morning event with 1.19" of rain. The sky has quickly cleared, so maybe we can get a bit of heating.

For the first time this summer, you got more rain than me in Cedar Rapids. I got 0.82 inches on the NE side of CR. Skies are rapidly clearing so storms are likely later today.

[St Paul Storm]

What a complete dud of a storm up this way. All week it looked like 1-2” was a sure bet. I don’t think I’ll end up for with more than 0.2” unless the storms to the SW rotate in.

[bud2380]

1.57" reported at the high school just a couple miles from my house.  

[Iowawx]

Second line of storms now moving in. The severe storms are slowly starting to form out in central Iowa.

[jaster220]

CF coming today for mby will definitely cool off temps a bit. Highs Tuesday and Wednesday in the 70s and 50s for lows. Some upper 40s could be possible. Hopefully we get some nice t'stm activity today. Current temp is in the mid 70s w dp in the upper 60s to near 70. Soupy indeed.

 

Just got a quick heavy downpour w lightning and thunder. Felt good to see MA Nature provide some free water for my lawn.

 

Another top notch morning here, a bit cooler than yesterday, temps are in the upper 50's along with light winds.  Beautiful sunrise.  Well, looks like all the models are on board for a widespread soaker through the weekend.  @ Jaster and our MI Peeps, here's your best chance for an appreciable rainfall this entire summer!  Sounds crazy, but that's just how its been this season for you guys.  Hope you get hit good bc I think precip chances for the rest of this month look minimal.

 

 

00z Euro...

 

 

 

My airport asos unit measured 0.97" of rain with Monday's storms.  http://www.uswxforums.com/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/ohmy.png  I've been north on vacation and missed them. I'm not sure mby 1 mile due north scored that much, but nice to end the string of shut-outs and whiffs! Going to be mowing the lawn again after about a solid 3 week break. 

 

Had 44F yesterday morning where I was..felt like BRRRR! lol  http://www.uswxforums.com/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/cold.gif

[St Paul Storm]

Several tornado warnings in IA right now. North and east of Des Moines.

[bud2380]

Tornado watch issued for part of Iowa now as well.  

[St Paul Storm]

Tornado confirmed on the cell east of DM.

 

Edit: or maybe not. They changed the wording now on the warning.

[Stacsh]

Currently 87. Much warmer than forecasted. Must be the bone dry ground. Clouds rolling in. Looking forward to some rain!!!

[bud2380]

4 tornado warnings now

[Hoosier]

If you are to believe the JMA weeklies, and they have been rock steady on a cooler pattern, say good bye to any heat for the majority of our sub forum. Although, I can imagine some parts of the Plains can see the ridge fight back from the SW at times, but nothing sustained throughout the rest of summer. Everything is falling into place for an awesome 2nd half of summer.

 

 

I think it's safe to say, that the MW/GL's region just waved good bye to the 90's until next year....the placement of the 2 big blocking patterns (W/SW and in SE Canada) create a near perfect alignment for a trough smack dab in the middle of the nation.

 

 

Temp forecast Week 1-4...

 

 

Week 1...

 

http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/model/map/1mE/map1/img/R07_1/Y201807.D1812_gl2.png

 

 

Week 2...

 

http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/model/map/1mE/map1/img/R07_2/Y201807.D1812_gl2.png

Week 3 & 4...

 

http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/model/map/1mE/map1/img/R14_3/Y201807.D1812_gl2.png

Tom, I'd have to respectfully disagree about no more 90s. For Chicago, only a dozen years had no 90s after July, and most of those years didn't have anywhere near the number of 90 degree days that ORD has already seen up to now. Won't have 90s anytime soon, but I could certainly envision another surge of heat sometime in August.

[Minny_Weather]

This is quite possibly the best it's felt outside this month. Besides Tuesday when it rained, of course. 91.9*F, Dew point 64*F.

[Hawkeye]

Marshalltown just took a direct hit from a strong tornado.

[NEJeremy]

seeing pretty strong damage pics from Pella. There was a tornado emergency in Marshalltown a bit ago

[Hawkeye]

[St Paul Storm]

Holy wowzers on that beast ^^^

[Tom]

Tom, I'd have to respectfully disagree about no more 90s. For Chicago, only a dozen years had no 90s after July, and most of those years didn't have anywhere near the number of 90 degree days that ORD has already seen up to now. Won't have 90s anytime soon, but I could certainly envision another surge of heat sometime in August.

You could be right about that.  Certainly, Skilling is on board seeing a lot more 90's this summer given how this summer has behaved.  I'm just not jumping on it just yet around the lakes.  I could see the heat build back the farther west and south.

[Tom]

Altoon, IA..."Twin Twisters"...

 

 

[Tom]

This has been quite an interesting Autumn-like storm system spinning across the MW today.  Both radar and satellite are uniquely showcasing natures fury and beauty.  Should be an eventful few days around these parts.

[james1976]

The news is showing tornado damage all across C IA. Its really bad. And a gas line is ruptured in Marshalltown and they want no one entering the town. I havent heard of any fatalities yet, thankfully.

[james1976]

Looks like a winter storm on radar. Nice defo band in west and north MN.

So far i have 1.52" from this system.

[james1976]

Nice evening out on the deck! Mid 70s....calm....cloudy. Locust goin crazy and its getting dark earlier. #FallMood

Cool to watch the clouds rotate from the NW wrapping around the Low.

[Tom]

Nice evening out on the deck! Mid 70s....calm....cloudy. Locust goin crazy and its getting dark earlier. #FallMood

Cool to watch the clouds rotate from the NW wrapping around the Low.

The way this season is producing such strong and rare storm systems, I can only imagine how potent the Autumn storms will be this season, esp with a moderate Nino.

[Tom]

Happy Friday!  Finally, MI posters will have some storm action today!

 

 

 

 

 

The circulation of this system is fascinating to see in late July.  Kinda looks like a land 'Cane pin wheeling around the GL's.  Round and rounds of storms are expected in the region.  Watch for long lived Derecho's across IN and the OV.

[Tom]

Looking out towards the end of the month, there's that image of the "2 eyes"...crazy blocking pattern and lines up with the beginning of the LRC's coldest phase of this year's cycle.  Should be a cool open to August as well.

  Target date of 7/28 and the week of 7/29 to deliver seasons coolest/coldest air of the summer yet.

 

 

 

[james1976]

Low stratus this morning. Breezy and mid 60s. Should only reach mid 70s today. Its refreshing.

Picked up another 0.28" overnight bringing my total so far with this system to 1.80".

[jaster220]

At Tom

 

Round 1 knocking on my door. Was expecting rain but the severe threat is a surprise tbh. Got my lawn weeds cut last evening in preparation for the 3 day wetting. Let's roll

[jaster220]

The way this season is producing such strong and rare storm systems, I can only imagine how potent the Autumn storms will be this season, esp with a moderate Nino.

 

Idk, seems like every time we expect something "typical" from Ma Nature, she throws up a curve ball so let's hold that thought, lol

[jaster220]

NIce 

 

 

[St Paul Storm]

Off and on rain showers here this morning. 64F and humid as all heck. 80F and sun on tap for tomorrow and Sunday. Today begins the downward trend in average daily temps around these parts.

[Jaycee]

I am in Cincinnati today. My girlfriend and myself had time to spare and just came down yesterday, had no idea I’d be sitting in a moderate risk though! Going to hang around here for awhile, see if I can catch some monster storms.

[jaster220]

nabbed .32" qpf from pin-wheel #1.  PW #2 approaching...this is fun. All summer rain should happen like this. 

[Minny_Weather]

I have a hard time getting excited for the supposed cooldown next week. Both GFS and Euro are trending up and showing maybe one or two cool days, then back to normal or slightly above. 

[Minny_Weather]

As for today though, it is almost perfect. 82.9*F with a DP in the lower 60s. A bit too warm for my liking but still around normal for this time of year at this time of day.

[CentralNebWeather]

I have a hard time getting excited for the supposed cooldown next week. Both GFS and Euro are trending up and showing maybe one or two cool days, then back to normal or slightly above.

I’m with you. The cool downs keep being pushed back and warmer. We have not had the humidity breaks here like you have had in Eastern Nebraska. 70 dew again right now. Just been a very long humid summer.

[OKwx2k4]

Tragedy at Branson yesterday. I hate to see stuff like this.

 

 

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/branson-duck-boat-accident-capsizes-sinks-table-rock-lake-missouri-2018-07-20/

[jaster220]

Tragedy at Branson yesterday. I hate to see stuff like this.

 

 

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/branson-duck-boat-accident-capsizes-sinks-table-rock-lake-missouri-2018-07-20/

 

I second that bolded line. Especially heart-breaking when it's family peeps out for a little R&R summer fun. Tragedy strikes on it's own terms tho despite our best efforts to stay alert and in the case of wx, to issue warnings. This same thing happened during the July of '95 derecho when I lived in Traverse. Storm line blew up so quickly that those on water craft out in Traverse Bay were caught without warning and several died as a result. 

[westMJim]

 A little late but Wow, it sure did get cold in parts of Michigan on Wednesday morning in fact Doe Lake (south of Munising) got down below freezing with a low of 31° and then warmed up all to way to 80 in the afternoon.  Other areas in the UP got down into the 30’s 33° at Stonington (also reached 80° in the PM), 34° Amasa, 36° High Bridge, 37° Manistique, in lower Michigan  38° Leota (Clare Co.), Atlanta and Indian River, 39° Roscommon, Champion, Stambaugh, and Garden Corners and in the 40’s.  41° Moran, 42° Baldwin, Kalkaska and Newberry, 43° Cadillac, Gaylord and Grayling, 44° Evart, Mio, Fife Lake, E. Jordan and Beaver Is., 45° Manistee, 46° Ludington, 48° Hart and Big Rapids, 49° Fremont and Kent City. 

[Stacsh]

Still no rain (sprinkled this morning) here in Grand Haven. And the storms fizzled into nothing this afternoon. I need me some rain!