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July 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

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#1
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 30 June 2018 - 09:03 PM

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The month named for Gaius Julius Caesar begins with us as the lone cool spot in the CONUS.


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Monmouth, Oregon cold season 17-18 Stats:

 

Coldest high: 34 (Dec 24)

Coldest low: 22 (Dec 11 & Feb 23)

Total snowfall: 1"

Last snowfall: February 21-22, 2018

Last accumulating snowfall on roads: March 6, 2017

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)

Last White Christmas: 2008

 

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#2
Phil

Posted 30 June 2018 - 11:10 PM

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How troughy did I say it would be?
IIRC, I went out of my way to highlight the fact it wouldn’t be anything extraordinary or anomalous. Ridging will return in late June, and last through at least the middle of July. Then tropical forcing will eventually return to the EHEM in the third or fourth week of July. Rinse, repeat.


Oops. #bustola
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#3
Phil

Posted 30 June 2018 - 11:14 PM

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#LolBrettAnderson

WR55Vzq.jpg
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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#4
Phil

Posted 30 June 2018 - 11:15 PM

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#LolTWC

JQQJY3Y.jpg
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#5
Phil

Posted 30 June 2018 - 11:16 PM

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#LolTim

nlvqpjx.jpg
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#6
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 30 June 2018 - 11:44 PM

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Phil, you are a trooper, up at almost 4AM focusing on your passion.


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Monmouth, Oregon cold season 17-18 Stats:

 

Coldest high: 34 (Dec 24)

Coldest low: 22 (Dec 11 & Feb 23)

Total snowfall: 1"

Last snowfall: February 21-22, 2018

Last accumulating snowfall on roads: March 6, 2017

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)

Last White Christmas: 2008

 

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#7
puyallupjon

Posted 01 July 2018 - 05:29 AM

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Tim, what if it is 80 in Western Washington on the 4th of July but it's cloudy all day?  You gonna be okay or naahhh?



#8
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 05:51 AM

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Tim, what if it is 80 in Western Washington on the 4th of July but it's cloudy all day?  You gonna be okay or naahhh?

 

If it was 80 then there would be at least filtered sun... which would be fine.   And some clouds would be great for the evening to hold in the warmth.  ;)



#9
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 05:53 AM

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Drizzle fest continues for Snohomish a good part of King County from I-90 northward this morning.    Looks like it went all night. 

 

ATX_0.png



#10
puyallupjon

Posted 01 July 2018 - 06:03 AM

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Heavy drizzle here in Puyallup after a week or more of non stop cloudy gloom.



#11
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 06:10 AM

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Heavy drizzle here in Puyallup after a week or more of non stop cloudy gloom.

 

 

Not quite a week yet.    But its been seriously gloomy for a long time for summer.

 

At least there is a good chance of some afternoon sun the next two days before summer finally returns on Tuesday.



#12
puyallupjon

Posted 01 July 2018 - 06:11 AM

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moderate rain now



#13
Jginmartini

Posted 01 July 2018 - 06:13 AM

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.11 in the rain gauge.
57*
Overcast
Blast of Arctic air please

#14
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 06:26 AM

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.11 in the rain gauge.
57*
Overcast

 

 

Glad to see you got some rain down there.

 

SEA got almost nothing of course... but there has been plenty of rain around the area.  



#15
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 06:30 AM

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Oops. #bustola

 

I was going to mention that... you did really good with the call for the late May through mid June troughing but not good on the call for ridging afterwards.

 

It been fairly troughy up here since the last week of May. 


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#16
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 06:36 AM

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#LolTim
 

 

 

That is what it showed.   I was not making it up.

 

Turned out to be wrong.   As you have said... this pattern is very stubborn and any change keeps getting pushed out.  



#17
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 July 2018 - 07:32 AM

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12z ICON shows showers around fireworks time.

#18
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 07:37 AM

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12z ICON shows showers around fireworks time.

 

 

ECMWF also hinted at a little convection over the central Cascades on Wednesday evening.

 

The ICON has trended west and weaker with ULL since the 12Z run yesterday.   It was just as wet as the GFS yesterday morning.    It is much improved now.



#19
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 July 2018 - 07:44 AM

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ECMWF also hinted at a little convection over the central Cascades on Wednesday evening.

The ICON has trended west and weaker with ULL since the 12Z run yesterday. It was just as wet as the GFS yesterday morning. It is much improved now.

It definitely has been trending to the SW. I little convection wouldn’t be too surprising with that setup. I remember one summer, late 90’s possibly, when an ULL spun off the coast for several days and we saw 4 consecutive warm sunny days followed by evening thunderstorms. An unprecedented feat for this area.
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#20
MossMan

Posted 01 July 2018 - 07:55 AM

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Glooommy!

#21
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 07:58 AM

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12Z GFS is just slightly farther to the south and west with the ULL on the 4th compared to its 00Z run and its a little warmer.   So the trend is still good.

 

Here is the 4th on the 12Z GFS:

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_nwus_14.png

 

gfs_T2m_nwus_15.png

 

 

And then precip from 5-11 p.m... some hints of a little convection.   Should be a warm evening.

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_15.png



#22
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 07:59 AM

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Go to July thread!

#23
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 July 2018 - 07:59 AM

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It definitely has been trending to the SW. I little convection wouldn’t be too surprising with that setup. I remember one summer, late 90’s possibly, when an ULL spun off the coast for several days and we saw 4 consecutive warm sunny days followed by evening thunderstorms. An unprecedented feat for this area.


It was early August 1999

#24
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:00 AM

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12Z GEM also warm and dry for the 4th.

And trended warmer from its 00Z run.

All good on the morning model runs.
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#25
Jesse

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:04 AM

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Glooommy!

#26
Kayla

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:12 AM

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#LolTWC

JQQJY3Y.jpg

 

Bozeman ended up with a -2F departure for June. Massive bust.


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Cold Season 2018/19:

Total snowfall: 0"
Highest daily snowfall 0"

Highest snow depth: 0"

Coldest high: 55.0º
Coldest low: 36.1º

Number of subzero days: 0

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#27
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:15 AM

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Sheets of heavy drizzle now!

 

Ground is saturated.   

 

Even without looking at the models... I would predict much drier and warmer weather this week here in my area.   That would be the normal ebb and flow here.  



#28
MossMan

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:19 AM

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Go to July thread!

Doesn’t feel like it should be July yet...

#29
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:24 AM

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Doesn’t feel like it should be July yet...

 

 

No doubt.   It feels like March 1st here.  



#30
Deweydog

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:33 AM

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Five months until winter!

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#31
Jesse

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:40 AM

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PDX ended up +2.1 for June. +1.7 at SEA . +1.4 at BLI .

 

If Tim and Mossman were cold this month I'd hate to see them on a month that was actually below average!


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#32
Jesse

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:43 AM

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PDX was -0.67" for precip in June. SEA was -0.94". BLI was -0.97"!


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#33
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:44 AM

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PDX ended up +2.2 for June. +1.7 at SEA. +1.4 at BLI.

If Tim and Mossman were cold this month I'd hate to see them on a month that was actually below average!

Not really about temperature... it's about sun.

June was pretty gloomy up here but pulled above normal by a couple warm spells.

We would complain way less about a sunny, cool month.

#34
Jesse

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:46 AM

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Not really about temperature... it's about sun.

June was pretty gloomy up here but pulled above normal by a couple warm spells.

We would complain way less about a sunny, cool month.

 

I love how you can speak for him now too!

 

It has been a sunnier than average month regionally as well.



#35
MossMan

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:48 AM

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Five months until winter!

Two months until Fall!!
Gloooommmy!!!

#36
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:49 AM

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I love how you can speak for him now too!

It has been a sunnier than average month regionally as well.

We think alike and like most people around here.

And our perspective is not based on the region of course... but our own area.

I hope you enjoy our warm and sunny spell coming up. We are due up here. And we always share our warm and sunny weather with the region. ;)

#37
Jesse

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:52 AM

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We think alike and like most people around here.

And our perspective is not based on the region of course... but our own area.

I hope you enjoy our warm and sunny spell coming up. We are due up here. And we always share our warm and sunny weather with the region. ;)

 

I don't think this region has THAT many spoiled yuppies. Very vocal minority.



#38
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:53 AM

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I don't think this region has THAT many spoiled yuppies. Very vocal minority.

Wanting a little nice weather in the summer is not being spoiled. Its human nature.

We would have no complaints down there!

#39
Jesse

Posted 01 July 2018 - 08:58 AM

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Wanting a little nice weather in the summer is not being spoiled. Its human nature.

We would have no complaints down there!

 

There have been five very warm and dry summers in a row here. Probably going on our sixth. You were due for a little late June/early July drizzle. Too bad your area makes up such a small part of the region.

 

And it's only 7/1. Our summers stretch well into late September these days. You will get plenty of warm and dry weather, and you have gotten lots and lots of it compared to our historical averages recently. Yet you still complain bitterly. That is the definition of spoiled.


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#40
Geos

Posted 01 July 2018 - 09:02 AM

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Doesn’t feel like it should be July yet...


Definitely not. Early spring weather today. Heavy drizzle and 58 currently.

Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 25.86", 09/16

Lowest Temp of Autumn 2018: 42°, 09/18

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#41
Phil

Posted 01 July 2018 - 09:03 AM

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PDX ended up +2.1 for June. +1.7 at SEA . +1.4 at BLI .

If Tim and Mossman were cold this month I'd hate to see them on a month that was actually below average!


To be fair, almost all of that was UHI-driven.

OLM was right at average. SEA would have also been average under natural conditions. PDX probably something like +0.5.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#42
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 09:03 AM

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There have been five very warm and dry summers in a row here. Probably going on our sixth. You were due for a little late June/early July drizzle. Too bad your area makes up such a small part of the region.

And it's only 7/1. Our summers stretch well into late September these days. You will get plenty of warm and dry weather, and you have gotten lots and lots of it compared to our historical averages recently. Yet you still complain bitterly. That is the definition of spoiled.


Complaining about our stretches of winter chill and drizzle in the middle of summer is a rite of passage here. It sucks and its helps to commiserate with others. Like Minnesotans do all winter.

And we would be gushing with praise down there.

#43
Deweydog

Posted 01 July 2018 - 09:04 AM

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Seemed like a pretty normal June.
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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#44
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 09:05 AM

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Seemed like a pretty normal June.


Definitely.

#45
Phil

Posted 01 July 2018 - 09:07 AM

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Bozeman ended up with a -2F departure for June. Massive bust.


I think they just copy/pasted from the CFS/climate models or something. No way they did thorough analoging because a solution like that was never on the table for June.
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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#46
Jesse

Posted 01 July 2018 - 09:09 AM

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Complaining about our stretches of winter chill and drizzle in the middle of summer is a rite of passage here. It sucks and its helps to commiserate with others. Like Minnesotans do all winter.

And we would be gushing with praise down there.


#spoiled
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#47
TT-SEA

Posted 01 July 2018 - 09:10 AM

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And I would be craving rain if I lived in the Portland area. I would be right there with you with that wish.

It's been like Neah Bay up here lately. Seriously craving sun... and seems like everyone else is around here too.

#48
Jesse

Posted 01 July 2018 - 09:10 AM

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When is someone going to pin this mofo!

#49
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 July 2018 - 09:15 AM

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To be fair, almost all of that was UHI-driven.

OLM was right at average. SEA would have also been average under natural conditions. PDX probably something like +0.5.

Is OLM the only non UHI station around. It would be nice to be able to compare the regional warmth elsewhere to somewhere other than that One station year after year.
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#50
Deweydog

Posted 01 July 2018 - 09:19 AM

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When is someone going to pin this mofo!


After you clean your room, Messy Mark!

All roads lead to Walgreens.