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July 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest


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00Z ECMWF shows rain for most of King County on Tuesday... hope it works out.

 

Some areas could use some rain. Got missed by everything on Friday. So a period of light to moderate rain would be nice.

 

Not a bad morning. Refreshingly cool. Low of 55.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Man, what does it take around here to get a completely sunny day from morning till dusk?

 

It's been a crap stretch if you ask me.  Clouds, clouds, clouds.  Sun then clouds.  

 

Never a day of wall to wall sunshine.

 

Yesterday was pretty close to being wall to wall sunshine, except for those high clouds in the early afternoon - which were pretty cool.

Sunset wasn't bad either.

 

post-7-0-31302700-1531154178_thumb.jpg

 

post-7-0-63154400-1531154189_thumb.jpg

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Man, what does it take around here to get a completely sunny day from morning till dusk?

 

It's been a crap stretch if you ask me.  Clouds, clouds, clouds.  Sun then clouds.  

 

Never a day of wall to wall sunshine.

 

 

Cliff Mass says our summer begins on Wednesday... its been quite cloudy overall up here.   

 

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2018/07/real-summer-begins-in-pacific-northwest.html

 

Yesterday was pretty close to perfect though.    And its been sunny here this morning but the low clouds are right up against the ridge here so its close.

 

Scott Sistek also reported that Seattle has seen at least some rain on 11 out of the last 13 Saturdays.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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When do you go up to Hippa island?

 

I can’t believe how expensive that place is. 5000-6000 bucks for 4 or so days of fishing. Are you able to send any of that fish back home with you?

Yeah, the whole family has to ante in. I’m draining something like 80% of my yearly savings to go (which the gf isn’t happy about). :lol:

 

And yeah, we just ran out of the fish from last year. I’m pumped up about returning.

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Cliff Mass says our summer begins on Wednesday... its been quite cloudy overall up here.

 

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2018/07/real-summer-begins-in-pacific-northwest.html

 

Yesterday was pretty close to perfect though. And its been sunny here this morning but the low clouds are right up against the ridge here so its close.

 

Scott Sistek also reported that Seattle has seen at least some rain on 11 out of the last 13 Saturdays.

Lucky little rattlesnake!

 

It's nastily cloudy down here. North Bend is like a different world comparatively. Kinda like a Yuma to our Unalaska!

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And I’m in Seattle from the 18th until the 22nd, then up in BC/Hippa Island until the 29th, then in Seattle again until August 1st, then in Leavenworth until 8/5, then am departing from SeaTac to Florida.

 

So I have a full 3 weeks up there this year.

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Lucky little rattlesnake!

 

It's nastily cloudy down here. North Bend is like a different world comparatively. Kinda like a Yuma to our Unalaska!

 

The difference has been far more exaggerated than usual recently.    That is a fact.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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And I’m in Seattle from the 18th until the 22nd, then up in BC/Hippa Island until the 29th, then in Seattle again until August 1st, then in Leavenworth until 8/5, then am departing from SeaTac to Florida.

 

So I have a full 3 weeks up there this year.

 

 

Pretty hard to beat your low to mid 80s with low humidity and lush green landscape.    You are living the dream right now!  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Nice to see the moderating trend continue on the 00z ensembles.

 

E1A0D724-E3C0-426D-AAB5-8DD6D17E1060.png

Much like back in May, I don’t see any *legitimately* troughy periods for the rest of this month (maybe a ULL or two). Troughing isn’t favored until the very end of the month or the beginning of August.

 

Until then, it’s WPAC/warm pool forcing running the show.

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Unlike you, I’m outside enjoying it instead of sitting at my computer desk watching it on traffic cameras.

 

And yeah, this is as nice as it can possibly get here in July..mid/upper 80s and 50 degree dewpoints. We’ll be back in the 90’s tomorrow, though.

 

FWIW, the air quality is surprisingly s**ty today. Not sure why this is the case, but there’s a thick haze moving in from the west right now. It “looks” like a nasty hot day outside, with the orange Sun and cicadas chorusing loudly in the trees.

 

 

I have work today... but we were outside almost the entire day yesterday.    Not sure if you have heard about smartphones but they can connect to the internet now!   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I have work today... but we were outside almost the entire day yesterday. Not sure if you have heard about smartphones but they can connect to the internet now!

How else would I be posting if I didn’t know that? ;)

 

I haven’t posted from an actual computer in years. I’m almost always outside when I’m not in school (whether willingly or not).

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And I’m in Seattle from the 18th until the 22nd, then up in BC/Hippa Island until the 29th, then in Seattle again until August 1st, then in Leavenworth until 8/5, then am departing from SeaTac to Florida.

 

So I have a full 3 weeks up there this year.

Have you had a chance to visit Oregon?

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Much like back in May, I don’t see any *legitimately* troughy periods for the rest of this month (maybe a ULL or two). Troughing isn’t favored until the very end of the month or the beginning of August.

 

Until then, it’s WPAC/warm pool forcing running the show.

Sure, still nice to see upcoming heatwaves get watered down though. A lack of legitimate troughing doesn’t have to mean nonstop 90s or higher the rest of the month.

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All signs point to a drizzle fest tomorrow... and it stretches into the afternoon.   Keep WA green!  

 

ecmwf_precip_06_washington_6.png

 

 

ecmwf_precip_06_washington_7.png

 

 

Still plenty of clouds around even at 5 p.m. tomorrow:

 

ecmwf_tcloud_washington_7.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12z ensembles really look like typical summer weather. I can abide the heat if it is within reason. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12z ensembles really look like typical summer weather. I can abide the heat if it is within reason.

Same. Similar to how Tim can abide some rain as long as the majority of the region is experiencing severe drought.

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Pretty nice day out there. Noticing more clouds the last hour or so coming in from the West. Blob of rain offshore...

 

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Cloudy but dry and still quite pleasant.  Feels the same inside as outside.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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A few sunbreaks showing up now here in Salem. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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My stuff from Amazon just showed up!

 

Prime!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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It's hard to get a straight answer from apps on what the actual temp is, but I'm going thru Mountain Home, Idaho right now and it's feels hottttter than blazes.. weather channel app says 101, but weather underground shows a 107, a 103, a 104, and a 105 in the area, there's even a 111 just a bit east of here., It's the kind of hot where you put your arm out the window and the wind is hot at 70 mph... Wow..

"Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness."

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It's hard to get a straight answer from apps on what the actual temp is, but I'm going thru Mountain Home, Idaho right now and it's feels hottttter than blazes.. weather channel app says 101, but weather underground shows a 107, a 103, a 104, and a 105 in the area, there's even a 111 just a bit east of here., It's the kind of hot where you put your arm out the window and the wind is hot at 70 mph... Wow..

 

I think its 101 there... some of those personal weather stations are likely over-exposed.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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It's hard to get a straight answer from apps on what the actual temp is, but I'm going thru Mountain Home, Idaho right now and it's feels hottttter than blazes.. weather channel app says 101, but weather underground shows a 107, a 103, a 104, and a 105 in the area, there's even a 111 just a bit east of here., It's the kind of hot where you put your arm out the window and the wind is hot at 70 mph... Wow..

 

I will be spending a week in Mtn Home later this month.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12Z ECMWF showed a high of 101 there today... in that typical semi-circle of heat in the summer through southern Idaho.

 

ecmwf_t2max_nw_3.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Also... just noticed that today was a rare miss by the ECMWF from Seattle southward.   It assumed the marine layer would mostly be gone by 11 a.m.    

 

The WRF makes the mistake of clearing the marine layer too fast ALL the time in the summer.

 

Tomorrow the WRF shows sunshine by noon for everyone... the ECMWF shows the marine layer holding strong from Kelso northward even at 5 p.m.    There is no question that the WRF is going to be wrong.   Classic WRF mistake that Cliff Mass says is a problem but they never fix it.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Also... just noticed that today was a rare miss by the ECMWF from Seattle southward. It assumed the marine layer would mostly be gone by 11 a.m.

 

The WRF makes the mistake of clearing the marine layer too fast ALL the time in the summer.

 

Tomorrow the WRF shows sunshine by noon for everyone... the ECMWF shows the marine layer holding strong from Kelso northward even at 5 p.m. There is no question that the WRF is going to be wrong. Classic WRF mistake that Cliff Mass says is a problem but they never fix it.

This is great info. Thanks posted these little nuances that you notice.

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68F with light rain...surprising.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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