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July Weather in the Pacific Northwest

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#1251
Jesse

Posted 11 July 2018 - 11:50 AM

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Gorgeous sunny day out here in Hillsboro! Should get close to 100 today. Then tomorrow temps should climb up into the mid 100s. The 12z EURO has high temperatures in the 100s at PDX for the next 70 days starting tomorrow thru the third Wednesday of September. Fantastic stretch of summer weather coming up!


You’ve been watching too much Rod Hill.

#1252
Phil

Posted 11 July 2018 - 11:51 AM

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Summer is still in its infancy... give it time.


It’s likely peaking now, actually. Intraseasonal WPAC forcing will be dominating the downstream fluxes for the next 2-3 weeks.

Sometime between August 5th and August 10th, the intreaseasonal convection should return to the IO/ATL again with more dateline subsidence. So probably more GOA/west coast troughing returning around that time.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1253
TT-SEA

Posted 11 July 2018 - 11:52 AM

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My flight departs around 18z on the 18th, so I’d probably leave SeaTac for Everett around or just after 00z.

I’ll be super-pissed I walk outside and it feels just like back home.

 

 

Have fun with that! 

 

I have literally avoided going north on I-5 at that time of day for 15 straight years now.    It will probably take 3 hours to go 20 miles.   



#1254
Phil

Posted 11 July 2018 - 11:53 AM

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A stretch of 80-degree weather happens almost every summer here. Usually multiple stretches.

Took until September in 2011... but it happened even that year.


Big difference between 80 degrees and 88 degrees.

The former is pretty typical. The latter is not.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1255
TT-SEA

Posted 11 July 2018 - 11:54 AM

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It’s likely peaking now, actually. Intraseasonal WPAC forcing will be dominating the downstream fluxes for the next 2-3 weeks.

Sometime between August 5th and August 10th, the intreaseasonal convection should return to the IO/ATL again with more dateline subsidence. So probably more GOA/west coast troughing returning around that time.

 

Whatever.   

 

The peak usually lasts a month here so that seems about right.   



#1256
Phil

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:01 PM

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Have fun with that!

I have literally avoided going north on I-5 at that time of day for 15 straight years now. It will probably take 3 hours to go 20 miles.


Yeah it took me 90-100 minutes last year, IIRC.

But I’m constantly driving in bumper-to-bumper traffic here, so I’m not too concerned about it.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1257
TT-SEA

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:02 PM

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Big difference between 80 degrees and 88 degrees.

The former is pretty typical. The latter is not.

 

ECMWF shows upper 70s and low 80s for Seattle for the next 5 days.   

 

Its not about being scorching hot... the running joke around here about summer beginning on July 5th (or 12th) is related to the fact that is when we usually enter the driest and sunniest part of the year.   



#1258
Deweydog

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:03 PM

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Been a nice first week of summer! LOL!

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#1259
Phil

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:04 PM

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Whatever.

The peak usually lasts a month here so that seems about right.


I bet the peak of summer coincides perfectly with my trip.

Go figure.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1260
TT-SEA

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:11 PM

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I bet the peak of summer coincides perfectly with my trip.

Go figure.

Yeah... go figure.

You are coming right during the normal peak of summer in the northern hemisphere.

Crazy!
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#1261
Jesse

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:13 PM

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ECMWF shows upper 70s and low 80s for Seattle for the next 5 days.

Its not about being scorching hot... the running joke around here about summer beginning on July 5th (or 12th) is related to the fact that is when we usually enter the driest and sunniest part of the year.


Could you post the next 5 days for PDX?

#1262
Kayla

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:14 PM

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I bet the peak of summer coincides perfectly with my trip.

Go figure.

 

Climo!

 

#gofigure


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Cold season 2017/18:

Total snowfall: 222.0"
Largest snowfall: 16.6"
Coldest high: 2ºF
Coldest low: -15ºF

Sub-zero days: 13

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#1263
Kayla

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:14 PM

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Could you post the next 5 days for PDX?

 

Frontal was not lying... It hott.

 

Next 7 days at PDX...

 

94

91

90

95

92

93

94


Cold season 2017/18:

Total snowfall: 222.0"
Largest snowfall: 16.6"
Coldest high: 2ºF
Coldest low: -15ºF

Sub-zero days: 13

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#1264
TT-SEA

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:17 PM

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Could you post the next 5 days for PDX?

 

KPDX_2018071112_ecmwf_min_max_10.png


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#1265
Jesse

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:25 PM

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Frontal was not lying... It hott.

Next 7 days at PDX...

94
91
90
95
92
93
94


Meh, I’ve seen worse.

Good chance Friday or Saturday end up in the upper 80s.

#1266
Kayla

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:28 PM

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Meh, I’ve seen worse.

 

I just find it crazy that that kind of forecast has actually become pretty pedestrian for PDX over the last few years.

 

It's not right.


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Cold season 2017/18:

Total snowfall: 222.0"
Largest snowfall: 16.6"
Coldest high: 2ºF
Coldest low: -15ºF

Sub-zero days: 13

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#1267
Jesse

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:29 PM

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PDX should have an impressive number of 60+ lows for the month when all is said and done. 60-ish lows in July seem to be a new normal for them.

#1268
Front Ranger

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:29 PM

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That puddle from the tail end of winter yesterday is almost gone... let summer begin!  

 

20180711_124205.jpg

 

It will be fun watching how fast everything turns brown.

 

Keep us posted!


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Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#1269
Jesse

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:30 PM

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I just find it crazy that that kind of forecast has actually become pretty pedestrian for PDX over the last few years.

It's not right.


What’s not right is that it took summer THIS long to finally arrive. <_<

#1270
Phil

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:40 PM

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Yeah... go figure.

You are coming right during the normal peak of summer in the northern hemisphere.

Crazy!


Relative to average, silly.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1271
Phil

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:45 PM

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Lmao. Anomaly = deviation from climo. IE: A measure of how *un-climo* something is.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1272
Kayla

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:50 PM

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Lmao. Anomaly = deviation from climo. IE: A measure of how *un-climo* something is.

 

Point being it's not that "un-climo" for mid to late July. Just the opposite actually.


Cold season 2017/18:

Total snowfall: 222.0"
Largest snowfall: 16.6"
Coldest high: 2ºF
Coldest low: -15ºF

Sub-zero days: 13

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#1273
Jesse

Posted 11 July 2018 - 12:53 PM

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We should start a forecast contest for Phil’s trip!
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#1274
Phil

Posted 11 July 2018 - 01:00 PM

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Point being it's not that "un-climo" for mid to late July. Just the opposite actually.


:huh:

What? +10*F anomalies are just as “un-climo” in late July as they are in late January.

What I was trying to say is that the warmest weather of the summer *relative to average* would probably coincide with my trip..which has nothing to do with climo.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1275
Jginmartini

Posted 11 July 2018 - 01:00 PM

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[quote name="TT-SEA" post="355727" timestamp="1531337912"]That puddle from the tail end of winter yesterday is almost gone... let summer begin!  
 
20180711_124205.jpg[/quote

While visiting Texas their was this one puddle that never dried up. Air was so humid it had no place to go. By the end of the week the puddle still remained even though it was in the 90s...crazy stuff
Blast of Arctic air please

#1276
Phil

Posted 11 July 2018 - 01:04 PM

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That puddle from the tail end of winter yesterday is almost gone... let summer begin!

20180711_124205.jpg

While visiting Texas their was this one puddle that never dried up. Air was so humid it had no place to go. By the end of the week the puddle still remained even though it was in the 90s...crazy stuff

That happens here too. The streets often have those damp patches under the trees, like it just rained...even after weeks without rain.

Sometimes puddles will form in shady spots like Broxburn and Crail drive due to condensation alone. Lol.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1277
Geos

Posted 11 July 2018 - 01:05 PM

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Really nice day today. Had a some really small clouds drift by earlier, but other than that completely clear out. Sitting at 78/59 currently. NW wind keeping it down near 70 by the water. 


Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 24.30", 07/15

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 3/23

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#1278
TT-SEA

Posted 11 July 2018 - 01:29 PM

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It will be fun watching how fast everything turns brown.

 

Keep us posted!

 

It would not be summer here without the grass along the roads turning brown... I have watched it happen every summer now for 15 years.  



#1279
TT-SEA

Posted 11 July 2018 - 01:31 PM

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That happens here too. The streets often have those damp patches under the trees, like it just rained...even after weeks without rain.

Sometimes puddles will form in shady spots like Broxburn and Crail drive due to condensation alone. Lol.

 

From late November through late January... our roads can stay completely damp even on sunny days if it is calm.    The roads are only dry when its not raining and there is some wind.   



#1280
Front Ranger

Posted 11 July 2018 - 02:08 PM

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From late November through late January... our roads can stay completely damp even on sunny days if it is calm.    The roads are only dry when its not raining and there is some wind.   

 

Sun angle and tree shadows FTW.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#1281
Phil

Posted 11 July 2018 - 02:09 PM

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Yeah baby. The 12z EPS is much improved.

i5IGI0A.png
1iNFZ92.png
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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1282
Phil

Posted 11 July 2018 - 02:13 PM

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D8-13 is completely normal, too.

Let’s make this happen.

crngqII.png
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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1283
TT-SEA

Posted 11 July 2018 - 02:16 PM

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Sun angle and tree shadows FTW.

 

 

 

Yeah... both are at play.

 

On a sunny, calm day... the road stays damp even where it is fully exposed to the sun at that time of year.    The angle is just too low.  



#1284
TT-SEA

Posted 11 July 2018 - 02:18 PM

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D8-13 is completely normal, too.

Let’s make this happen.

crngqII.png

 

 

You are on Hippa Island by that point... the pattern is likely irrelevant.  



#1285
Phil

Posted 11 July 2018 - 02:34 PM

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You are on Hippa Island by that point... the pattern is likely irrelevant.


I’m in Seattle until the afternoon of the 21st, and I’m in Vancouver, BC for most of the 22nd.

And I’d still prefer a strong GOA vortex/trough pattern when I’m up there. ;)
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1286
Deweydog

Posted 11 July 2018 - 02:35 PM

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This may be the most highly anticipated vacation in forum history. Appears to be on pace to pass up some of Tim's family jaunts.
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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#1287
TT-SEA

Posted 11 July 2018 - 02:36 PM

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:huh:

No, I’m in Seattle until the afternoon of the 21st, and I’m in Vancouver, BC for most of the 22nd.

 

Yeah... I thought you were referring to day 13.  



#1288
Phil

Posted 11 July 2018 - 02:37 PM

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This may be the most highly anticipated vacation in forum history. Appears to be on pace to pass up some of Tim's family jaunts.


I’ll stop by and say hello (if I can find an oxygen tank).
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1289
Deweydog

Posted 11 July 2018 - 02:39 PM

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I’ll stop by and say hello (if I can locate an oxygen tank).


Come on by! We'll pick up some acronyms and a bucket of KFC and make an evening out of it!

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#1290
Geos

Posted 11 July 2018 - 03:33 PM

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Looks like it made 80. It can stay just like this for awhile.  ;)


Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 24.30", 07/15

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 3/23

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#1291
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 11 July 2018 - 03:44 PM

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We are at 91F here.  Nice warm day.


Monmouth, Oregon Winter 17-18 Stats:

 

Coldest high: 34 (Dec 24)

Coldest low: 22 (Dec 11 & Feb 23)

Total snowfall: 1"

Last snowfall: February 21-22, 2018

Last accumulating snowfall on roads: March 6, 2017

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)

Last White Christmas: 2008

 

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#1292
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 11 July 2018 - 04:19 PM

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PDX just avoids 90. High of 83 here. Beautiful day.

 

36965841_650663609114_546025609451116953


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Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

Robert Mueller is a traitor to this nation.


#1293
Jesse

Posted 11 July 2018 - 04:29 PM

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18z and ensembles want to end the hot spell by Monday or Tuesday next week. Would be nice.

 

EPS seemed flatter with the ridging those days as well. As it stands now, tomorrow and Sunday are the best bet for temps well into the 90s. Might need to take a coast trip one of those days!



#1294
puyallupjon

Posted 11 July 2018 - 05:53 PM

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18z and ensembles want to end the hot spell by Monday or Tuesday next week. Would be nice.

 

EPS seemed flatter with the ridging those days as well. As it stands now, tomorrow and Sunday are the best bet for temps well into the 90s. Might need to take a coast trip one of those days!

 

At any point this summer will you be rooting for nice summer weather for an extended period?

 

Or are you going to be like Tim in the winter always looking out 10-15 days for warmer weather when a potential snow event is on tap?



#1295
TT-SEA

Posted 11 July 2018 - 05:57 PM

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At any point this summer will you be rooting for nice summer weather for an extended period?

 

Or are you going to be like Tim in the winter always looking out 10-15 days for warmer weather when a potential snow event is on tap?

 

The weather down there has been much better overall this summer... they really need rain.

 

And his expectations are actually quite reasonable right now.  He is just hoping to avoid extreme heat.    Sort of like my expectations when I just want one single dry day and its 9 days out in the models.   :lol:



#1296
GHweatherChris

Posted 11 July 2018 - 06:01 PM

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The weather down there has been much better overall this summer... they really need rain.

And his expectations are actually quite reasonable right now. He is just hoping to avoid extreme heat. Sort of like my expectations when I just want one single dry day and its 9 days out in the models. :lol:


And now you are answering questions for others? Wth, he didn't direct a question towards you... get that post count up!

#1297
BLI snowman

Posted 11 July 2018 - 06:12 PM

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One of my good friends from High School just moved down to Christchurch, New Zealand. It’s been interesting following the weather down there and seeing his pics.

From what I can tell it is about as close as you can get to a Southern Hemisphere doppelgänger of this area,
climate wise.

 

Southern Chile is more similar, I'd say. Osorno area.



#1298
Jesse

Posted 11 July 2018 - 06:16 PM

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At any point this summer will you be rooting for nice summer weather for an extended period?
 


By my definition? Yes. Lucky for you it won’t change anything either way.

#1299
Jesse

Posted 11 July 2018 - 06:28 PM

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Southern Chile is more similar, I'd say. Osorno area.

 

Seems like their summers are cooler and their winters are milder. Maybe more like somewhere on the southern Oregon coast.

 

Christchurch seems to have warmer summers and chillier winters, which would make them a better match for the I-5 corridor proper. But that is splitting hairs, they are both fairly similar in the big picture.



#1300
BLI snowman

Posted 11 July 2018 - 06:49 PM

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Seems like their summers are cooler and their winters are milder. Maybe more like somewhere on the southern Oregon coast.

 

Christchurch seems to have warmer summers and chillier winters, which would make them a better match for the I-5 corridor proper. But that is splitting hairs, they are both fairly similar in the big picture.

 

Christchurch is pretty different with the precip and more oceanic as a whole. Very evenly distributed rainfall and generally light throughout the year on the leeward south of the South Island. Southern Chile has areas with a Mediterranean distribution, like here.

 

I've always thought Queenstown, NZ sounded nice. Beautiful area and a little more continental than the rest of New Zealand. Need to get down there some day.


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