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August 2018 Observations and Discussion


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Looks like severe weather possible today. Lets see how that plays out. Hopefully, some water from MA Nature.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Marshall actually had a good period of several showers last week, so holding our own here with mostly green lawn again. Monday evening/night holds promise as well. Looked like yby in Macomb also did ok last week? 

Thats great, finally some rainfall for ya buddy.

 

Not sure how much rain fell here in Macomb. I was in nyc. Came back on Friday. Hopefully today plays catch up w this needed rainfall. :rolleyes:

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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One thing that has stood out to me so far this summer is the lack of thunderstorms. I do not keep track of the number because my bedroom has dark out curtains as I used to work 3rd shift and could miss many flashes of lighting overnight. But during other times of the day there have not been very many here at my house. Now for some official number of thunderstorms in west central lower Michigan. With some question as to the number GRR has reported a total of 13 with 4 each in July and June. A reported 7 in May 1 in April and 1 in January.  At Lansing a number that closer would resemble the number here at my house the total so far in 2018 is 7 with 3 in July 0 in June 2 in May 1 in April and 1 in January. Any way one looks at it there have not been very many thunderstorms in west Michigan so far this year.  

 

Finally!  The heavens have opened up and I just got a heavy shower.  If the models are right, a line of strong/severe storms should fire up later this afternoon.  I hope it doesn't miss us to the E/SE though, which is a real possibility.

 

Meantime, Cedar Rapids looks like they are finally scoring on a nice line of storms this morning.

 

Looks like severe weather possible today. Lets see how that plays out. Hopefully, some water from MA Nature.

 

:) Rain hit incoming

 

20180806 SWS for KRMY.PNG

 

A little pre-storm gust as well I see

 

20180806 SWS for KRMY-2.PNG

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Thats great, finally some rainfall for ya buddy.

 

Not sure how much rain fell here in Macomb. I was in nyc. Came back on Friday. Hopefully today plays catch up w this needed rainfall. :rolleyes:

 

GRR map showed 1-2" over Macomb. If true, your lawn should be decently green?

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Its great to hear most of us near the GL's are seeing some decent rain this morning. More storms all of a sudden popped in NE IL and dropping torrential rain ATM. #thankyounature

Looks like you’re getting it good right now. Lucky you. It sprinkled for maybe 3 minutes here.

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Looks like you’re getting it good right now. Lucky you. It sprinkled for maybe 3 minutes here.

Indeed.  I've had 2 rounds of heavy 5-10 min rains...check that, #3 just getting started and this one looks to be the best one.  I think I'm closing in on .60" since this morning.

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I picked up a nice 1.23" of rain overnight.  Of course, like nearly every other rain event this summer, my side of town got the least while the north side got the most.  One of my favorite experiences in life is lightning, thunder, and heavy rain pounding the roof in the middle of the night while I lie in bed.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Wow, where's James at? Sheesh, he got hammered yesterday with storms. Hope he's alright.

 

Dj6shUbU4AAGfU5.jpg

Yeah we got pounded! I had a busy weekend but was able to check the rain gauge. I had 0.70" fri-sat and 3.60" yesterday and into this morning. Weekend total of 4.30". Lost power for a bit last night. Loud boomers and a lot of lightning and wind. Some small tree limbs came down.
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Getting barely missed by storms yet again. Another day another dollar. The weather repelling effect of Southeast Lincoln continues. Grass is brown here so we need the rain that the North side is getting. 83.7*F.

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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I finished with 2.14 inches of rain that fell last night in Cedar Rapids. The line that moved through this morning was very intense and had some of the loudest thunder I've ever heard.

 

Models suggest that heaviest rain will likely affect southeast Iowa tonight, but HRRR shows moderate rain in the CR area tonight and into tomorrow morning. 

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GRR map showed 1-2" over Macomb. If true, your lawn should be decently green?

Green enough....no complaints. :D

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Currently getting some rain and possibly a good t'stm coming, if it holds together. Cant buy a decent t'stm this Summer.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Reverse psychology kinda worked again. 20 minutes of heavy rain then on-and-off moderate rain. Better than nothing considering we're entering a persistent dry pattern.

Looks like there is a pretty nasty thunderstorm that is severe warned for ping pong ball sized hail heading right towards you in Lincoln. That particular storm was even tornado warned for a bit earlier this evening as it was passing just northeast of Grand Island. 

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Looks like there is a pretty nasty thunderstorm that is severe warned for ping pong ball sized hail heading right towards you in Lincoln. That particular storm was even tornado warned for a bit earlier this evening as it was passing just northeast of Grand Island. 

OAX is awful. Golf ball sized hail was JUST reported and yet they issued an SPS for "nickel sized hail" for here. Radar is showing a pretty mean hail core still.

 

But of course the core is moving away from us. Can't get nothing in SE Lincoln.

 

EDIT: Okay I criticized OAX too soon. The storm did weaken soon after they didn't continue the warning. Don't know how they managed to catch it before it weakened but good on them.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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OAX is awful. Golf ball sized hail was JUST reported and yet they issued an SPS for "nickel sized hail" for here. Radar is showing a pretty mean hail core still.

 

But of course the core is moving away from us. Can't get nothing in SE Lincoln.

 

EDIT: Okay I criticized OAX too soon. The storm did weaken soon after they didn't continue the warning. Don't know how they managed to catch it before it weakened but good on them.

Yeah that storm cell seemed to fall apart right after it moved through York. Can't get anything good going here in the Omaha area either... everything that moves in from the west just falls apart as it approaches the river. Through all of the light rain showers remaining from the earlier storms that have weakened we have picked up just under .10 of rain here all evening long.

 

Another underwhelming night of weather around here... last night the good stuff was one county north, tonight its been one county south, can't win. 

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Yeah that storm cell seemed to fall apart right after it moved through York. Can't get anything good going here in the Omaha area either... everything that moves in from the west just falls apart as it approaches the river. Through all of the light rain showers remaining from the earlier storms that have weakened we have picked up just under .10 of rain here all evening long.

 

Another underwhelming night of weather around here... last night the good stuff was one county north, tonight its been one county south, can't win. 

We're being circumvented in every way imaginable. It gets a bit annoying after the 100th time. Seems like you are too. 

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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After looking at this graphic, the big busts by literally all the models last week certainly was very odd.

 

Dj4saD5U0AACwvo.jpg

Yeah. To say they had no clue whatsoever is an absolute understatement. Weird week for wx models for sure.

 

To respond to your other post above, I think you're spot on. That pattern over the Bering Sea is absolutely perfect. I think some Autumn in the last few days of the month (if not sooner) is looking more and more like a lock.

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I was pretty lucky to score some decent rainfall yesterday while most of the area missed out on any appreciable moisture.  The storms that did fire up, blossomed E/SE of the area which was my fear.  Hopefully today's action fills in some of the gaps.

 

In other news, I believe some seasonal outlooks come out today; the IRII & NMME.

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Mostly cloudy and muggy w scattered storms throughout the day expected and temps in the 80s. A strong line of storms went to my south yesterday. Too bad! :wacko:

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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The total amount of rain yesterday here at my house was 0.38" not a whole lot but today I see some of the grass and the weeds for sure are showing some life. I have not had to cut the grass for over a month now but might have to give it a trim later this week.

In looking ahead the weather for west Michigan sure looks great for the next 6 to 8 days with highs in the lower 80’s and lows in the low to mid 60’s that is what I call great summer time weather. Pure Michigan at its best,

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We started high school football practices in Nebraska yesterday. It rained 3 different times during the day. Out practice field has some standing water in the lower spots. Cloudy but humid weather made everyone sweat. High dews continue for the foreseeable future. School officially starts 1 week from today. I say it every year but maybe more so after this very humid summer, I can’t wait for fall weather.

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Guess my 2/3" of rainfall yesterday was a fairly good haul and I'm glad for it.  :)

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Ended up with 1.3” of rain last night and thankfully the severe weather stayed off to my south and west. There were reports of fields that were completely stripped because of large hail and a storm went to tornado warned just one county to my west. I couldn’t get out in front of the storm in time so I snapped a couple of pictures of the supercell from a long distance away. The inflow tail of the storm was huge! You can somewhat see in the first pic looking from the bottom left to right. It was one of the longest ones I have ever seen! I continue to get so lucky on catching some very timely rains as it looks like we turn warm and dry for the foreseeable future.

9D098613-B8FF-477A-B063-134D91E02047.jpeg

6C00C8BF-4A72-43D5-8E53-5FD65B1D7ABE.jpeg

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Well, let’s see if this complex of storms will find a way to miss me again. Time will tell...

I was just driving on the 90 heading east from Barrington towards Arlington Hts and it was pouring rain. Flash Flood Advisory just issued! Nice way for nature to fill in the gaps today, ay?

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I was just driving on the 90 heading east from Barrington towards Arlington Hts and it was pouring rain. Flash Flood Advisory just issued! Nice way for nature to fill in the gaps today, ay?

Ha - was just about to post that a flash flood warning has been issued. That’s about right though. We’ve either had torrential flooding rains or bone dry. Can’t complain though as we really needed the moisture.

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Ha - was just about to post that a flash flood warning has been issued. That’s about right though. We’ve either had torrential flooding rains or bone dry. Can’t complain though as we really needed the moisture.

When it rains, it pours!  ORD just tacked on 2.18" of rain which is a record for the day.  Very impressive.  The 12z run of the high rez NAM did a good job with placement of this heavy rain band across N IL.

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This should green up things in a hurry...I'm hearing of many viaducts flooded in the city during the rush hour.

 

THANK. THE. LORD. It was getting dry as f around here, and now there’s lakes under bridges and ponding on the streets. Love it! Gosh did we ever need it too!

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Partly sunny n very humid. Temps in the 80s. No storms.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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This should green up things in a hurry...I'm hearing of many viaducts flooded in the city during the rush hour.

 

THANK. THE. LORD. It was getting dry as f around here, and now there’s lakes under bridges and ponding on the streets. Love it! Gosh did we ever need it too!

Agree!  It's wonderful what a bit of intense rainfall can do during what has been a rather dry period.

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A round of light to moderate rain this morning and a nice downpour this evening totaled 0.34" here, putting my 2-day total at a solid 1.66".  We should be good for the next week as the dry pattern returns.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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