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August 2018 Observations and Discussion

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#201
Hawkeye

Posted Yesterday, 04:27 AM

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Other than the general boring weather, the one thing that stands out about this summer is the lack of wind.  It seems like we get one day with a nice breeze, then a week or two of dead calm, one more day with a breeze, then another week or two of dead calm.


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season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#202
OKwx2k4

Posted Yesterday, 04:58 AM

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Going 18+ hours with no AC when the climo mean is 90+ and a 28 day death ridge is a win any year. By the time I get back up to average, it's only 80s. That's how you cram summer into 10 weeks.

#WINNING
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#203
Niko

Posted Yesterday, 05:25 AM

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Finally, some wet weather will be moving in my area as a LP areas tracks close. Storms should be expected as well. Dries out on Friday w a gorgeous weekend on tap for SEMI.


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#204
Stacsh

Posted Yesterday, 06:26 AM

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Finally, some wet weather will be moving in my area as a LP areas tracks close. Storms should be expected as well. Dries out on Friday w a gorgeous weekend on tap for SEMI.

 

Looks like we might finally get some rain over here on the west side, but looking much better for your area.  I gave up watering my lawn a month ago and it is ruined.  


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#205
Bryan1117

Posted Yesterday, 07:43 AM

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Some surprise morning showers/downpours dropped around .45 of rain this morning in my backyard. The showers were very spotty in the deformation band in East Central Nebraska - however this made up some for the big miss yesterday.

#206
jaster220

Posted Yesterday, 12:02 PM

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Models have backed off on the heavy precip for N IL, however, beneficial rains will be welcomed for parts of the area that have missed out on the rains last week.  Other than that, I'm looking forward to a well-timed, top notch weekend around Chicago for the Air and Water show.  You can't ask for better weather...clear skies, ample sunshine, slight lake breeze and temps near 80F along the beaches!  

 

Looking ahead, the system that has been on my calendar for about a couple weeks is now looking like it will impact the central/southern Plains early next week and then take a track up towards the GL's.  What is very intriguing and encouraging by the recent wetter pattern, is the fact that these systems are forming in the S Plains, esp where I predicted for a much different LRC pattern this coming Autumn.  I believe nature is giving us a clue as to where the storm track may be developing in a matter of only a few more weeks. 

 

Check out the latest 06z GEFS MSLP animation illustrating a S Plains storm track.  This, IMO, will be a common storm track in Oct/Nov.  This system has the potential to really dump some heavy rainfall and provide some severe wx potential.

 

Following this system, I'm looking for another autumn-like storm system to impact our sub forum around 8/28.

 

I like the pressure falls as it takes that NE track too. 



#207
jaster220

Posted Yesterday, 12:06 PM

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Looks like we might finally get some rain over here on the west side, but looking much better for your area.  I gave up watering my lawn a month ago and it is ruined.  

 

When our mini-drought was going strong, all my grass went into hibernation and the weeds took over, crab grass sprouted, etc. Looks pretty sad now, but too late to mess with spreading weed killer this summer. Down along 94, the rebound is so dramatic, that the x-way rest area between Kzoo and BC that was solid brown is solid green again. Can you say yo-yo effect? Bi-polar pattern treatment's been horrid brutal on growing stuff around here this year. 



#208
Niko

Posted Yesterday, 02:37 PM

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Looks like we might finally get some rain over here on the west side, but looking much better for your area.  I gave up watering my lawn a month ago and it is ruined.  

Hopefully, that verifies. What concerns me is that the upper level of the atmosphere is very dry, which might cause the precipitation to evaporate b4 reaching the ground as it moves north.



#209
Niko

Posted Yesterday, 02:39 PM

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Today was a fairly humid day w more clouds than sun. I would say a blend of both, but more clouds.



#210
BrianJK

Posted Yesterday, 03:04 PM

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Some very bizarre movement of these storm cells

#211
Iowawx

Posted Yesterday, 03:27 PM

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In just the past 40 minutes, I have picked up 0.85 inches of rain. A very intense storm is now just sitting over my area.
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#212
Iowawx

Posted Yesterday, 03:44 PM

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Just keeps getting more impressive, now I have gotten 2.1 inches of rain since 5:50pm. Never seen anything like this before.
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#213
OKwx2k4

Posted Yesterday, 03:59 PM

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Just keeps getting more impressive, now I have gotten 2.1 inches of rain since 5:50pm. Never seen anything like this before.


That's some good rain. Reminds me of some of the rains at the end of July for me.

#214
Iowawx

Posted Yesterday, 04:57 PM

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Since 5:50pm, I have gotten 2.55 inches of rain. Light rain is still coming down. Total so far for today is 3.24 inches.
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#215
Tom

Posted Yesterday, 05:29 PM

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Some very bizarre movement of these storm cells

Agree, I've been lucky sitting underneath that one lone cell in N Cook, literally pouring rain out of the sky relentlessly over the past 30-45 min.  Crazy cell with only a few claps of loud thunder.  No wind.


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#216
Tom

Posted Yesterday, 05:31 PM

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Not sure if its accurate, but a weather station just NW of me has reported 3.10" of rain from this cell.  Another wx station about 1/2 mi away has reported 1.10".



#217
Hawkeye

Posted Yesterday, 06:20 PM

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I didn't think we'd get anything today, but cells and boundaries converged over Cedar Rapids this evening and parked for an hour+.  It wasn't torrential, but a solid hour of heavy to very heavy rain added up to 1.60".  I sure do love heavy rain... every bit as much as heavy snow.  Not surprisingly, the north side still did better... much better in some cases.  Just north of downtown northeastward to Hiawatha and Marion received 3-4".

 

Some neighbors of mine have young grandkids in town.  They live in Kuwait.  They were outside running around and playing in the heavy rain this evening.  I bet that was pretty fun for them.  I doubt they see much rain over there.

 

We may get a bit more tomorrow, and Monday could be a widespread soaker.


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season snowfall: 39.5"

 

'16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#218
Iowawx

Posted Yesterday, 07:01 PM

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Final total for today here is 3.25 inches. 0.69 of that fell this morning, and 2.56 of that fell this evening, that fell in less than 2 hours. 



#219
Tom

Posted Today, 02:55 AM

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That cell last night dropped 2.34" in Mt Prospect, the city right next to me, where it just poured rain for about an hour.  Looks like both E IA/N IL may have a repeat scenario today where there will be hits and misses.  Lake breeze boundary may add some lift today across NE IL to spark better storm action.



#220
Stacsh

Posted Today, 05:46 AM

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That cell last night dropped 2.34" in Mt Prospect, the city right next to me, where it just poured rain for about an hour.  Looks like both E IA/N IL may have a repeat scenario today where there will be hits and misses.  Lake breeze boundary may add some lift today across NE IL to spark better storm action.

 

So lucky, what looked promising for here a couple days ago now looks like a dud.  D1 conditions continue.


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#221
Niko

Posted Today, 05:50 AM

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Some very light rainfall currently, but nothing too extraordinary. So far, my area is abnormally dry.



#222
westMJim

Posted Today, 06:09 AM

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I was surprised to see the airport reported 0.17” of rain yesterday. Here at my house not one drop. In fact there has been much more rain at the airport then in NW Grand Rapids for more than a month now. For August GRR is now reporting 1.37” of rain while here at my house just 15 miles NW of the airport I only have receive 0.42” of rain.  And I tell you things are getting dry in my neck of the woods. 



#223
westMJim

Posted Today, 06:10 AM

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So far August 2018 has been very warm and dry.  If the current mean temperature of 75.3° were to hold for the 2nd half that would put August 2018 as the 5th warmest August in GR recorded history.  While it has been dry there have been many past Augusts that have been dryer than GRR official amount of 1.37”  Remember the longer it stays dry the warmer it can get in the day time and with clear skies and lower DPs the cooler it can get at night.



#224
Niko

Posted Today, 06:43 AM

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Believe it or not, I just turned on my Sprinklers, even though everything is wet outside. Thats how much it rained IMBY. Crazy!



#225
james1976

Posted Today, 08:53 AM

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Ill be in Buffalo NY today! Its been fairly warm and humid this whole trip and not much rain. Was in Allen Park MI couple nights ago and Cleveland last night. Pretty sure i was in Jaster and Niko's neighborhoods when i was traveling down I-94 in MI.

#226
BrianJK

Posted Today, 08:56 AM

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Agree, I've been lucky sitting underneath that one lone cell in N Cook, literally pouring rain out of the sky relentlessly over the past 30-45 min.  Crazy cell with only a few claps of loud thunder.  No wind.

 

Jealous - I got a few sprinkles over here.



#227
OKwx2k4

Posted Today, 03:55 PM

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Holy moly. Nice storms in SE KS.
Attached File  Screenshot_20180816-185357_RadarScope.jpg   167.88KB   0 downloads
Should start raining here soon. Hot, nasty, and miserably humid day otherwise. Yuk. Kinda snuck this one in on me at the last minute.