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August 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

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#1
Geos

Posted 30 July 2018 - 08:35 AM

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Last month of met summer is almost upon us. 

More of the same? Some actual rain finally, so we can beat back the drought? 

 

It will be interesting to see if August is anything like July was.


Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 27.16", 10/9

Lowest Temp of Autumn 2018: 36°, 10/03

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#2
Front Ranger

Posted 30 July 2018 - 08:42 AM

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After going warm/dry for next week with the 6z, the 12z GFS is much more Euro-like, with a deep trough over the PNW by days 8-9.


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#3
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 30 July 2018 - 09:39 AM

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Really hope this doesn't get pulled out from under us like this past winter. Also hope it correlates to some good analogs for the following winter if it verifies.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 18-19 Stats:

Coldest high: 54 (Oct 5)
Coldest low: 35 (Oct 15)
Total snowfall: 0"
Last accumulating snowfall: February 21-22, 2018
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 1985

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall : March 6, 2017
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#4
Jesse

Posted 30 July 2018 - 09:59 AM

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Really hope this doesn't get pulled out from under us like this past winter. Also hope it correlates to some good analogs for the following winter if it verifies.


Contrary to what much of the groupthink rhetoric would imply on here, summers that are able to produce a few coolish patterns generally have a better track record for leading to coolish winters. Quite shockingly.
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#5
Front Ranger

Posted 30 July 2018 - 10:02 AM

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Phil said July was the month to watch for the following January pattern :(

Maybe this will mean another good February??
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Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#6
MossMan

Posted 31 July 2018 - 08:52 AM

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Wow a lot of posts just disappeared here! Phil’s pics are gone.

#7
Jesse

Posted 31 July 2018 - 08:54 AM

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Wow a lot of posts just disappeared here! Phil’s pics are gone.


Moved to July thread.
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#8
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 31 July 2018 - 10:48 AM

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Hope Jim makes it back soon.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 18-19 Stats:

Coldest high: 54 (Oct 5)
Coldest low: 35 (Oct 15)
Total snowfall: 0"
Last accumulating snowfall: February 21-22, 2018
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 1985

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall : March 6, 2017
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#9
Farmboy

Posted 31 July 2018 - 02:56 PM

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Last month of met summer is almost upon us.
More of the same? Some actual rain finally, so we can beat back the drought?

It will be interesting to see if August is anything like July was.


Another heat wave or two would be nice.💩

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#10
Geos

Posted 01 August 2018 - 06:08 AM

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Greeting the month with 58°, stratus and drizzle.

You can make out every valley this morning easily.

Attached File  vis.jpg   54.63KB   0 downloads

Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 27.16", 10/9

Lowest Temp of Autumn 2018: 36°, 10/03

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#11
MossMan

Posted 01 August 2018 - 06:18 AM

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Heavy drizzle for 8/1! Soggy August to remember shaping up already!

#12
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 06:22 AM

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Heavy drizzle for 8/1! Soggy August to remember shaping up already!


I am sure it will feel cool and wet to you even if it’s one of the hottest and driest Augusts on record. As proven by July!

#13
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 August 2018 - 06:26 AM

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Greeting the month with 58°, stratus and drizzle.

You can make out every valley this morning easily.

vis.jpg

Cloudless sky here. Force field is in full effect.

Looks like a few fires on the east side. The Snowy mountain fire just north of the border blew up yesterday afternoon.

#14
Kayla

Posted 01 August 2018 - 06:35 AM

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I am sure it will feel cool and wet to you even if it’s one of the hottest and driest Augusts on record. As proven by July!

 

Near record hottest month and severe droughts are the new soggy in the PNW apparently!


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Cold Season 2018/19:

Total snowfall: 11.0"
Highest daily snowfall: 7.0"

Highest snow depth: 7.0"

Coldest high: 36.1º
Coldest low: 18.0º

Number of subzero days: 0

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#15
TT-SEA

Posted 01 August 2018 - 06:37 AM

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Near record hottest month and severe droughts are the new soggy in the PNW apparently!


Some areas can be soggy even when the region is dry!

#16
Kayla

Posted 01 August 2018 - 06:41 AM

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Some areas can be soggy even when the region is dry!

 

Admitting this is a first from you!  ;)


Cold Season 2018/19:

Total snowfall: 11.0"
Highest daily snowfall: 7.0"

Highest snow depth: 7.0"

Coldest high: 36.1º
Coldest low: 18.0º

Number of subzero days: 0

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#17
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 06:56 AM

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Some areas can be soggy even when the region is dry!


Your area has been hotter and drier than normal as well.

#18
TT-SEA

Posted 01 August 2018 - 08:45 AM

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Your area has been hotter and drier than normal as well.

Actually felt like it in July.

We probably had the soggiest and greenest statistcally drier and warmer than normal May and June possible. The clouds and precip were evenly spread out and very efficient at keeping it wet despite the monthly stats.

Sorry Jesse... that happened.

#19
TT-SEA

Posted 01 August 2018 - 08:46 AM

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Admitting this is a first from you! ;)


Said it MANY times.

#20
TT-SEA

Posted 01 August 2018 - 08:53 AM

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Some cool days ahead until that ULL drops south offshore. Next 2 or 3 days might be quite cloudy and chilly.

#21
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 August 2018 - 09:04 AM

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It might be cloudy coming up... But it will not be chilly.


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#22
TT-SEA

Posted 01 August 2018 - 09:11 AM

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It might be cloudy coming up... But it will not be chilly.


GFS MOS shows SEA struggling to 70 tomorrow and Friday... well below normal.

Sort of chilly. ;)

#23
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 August 2018 - 09:22 AM

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GFS MOS shows SEA struggling to 70 tomorrow and Friday... well below normal.

Sort of chilly. ;)

 

Yes a little. It is unfortunate how the models are trending for next week. ;(


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#24
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 09:24 AM

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GFS keeps trying to show a little precip down here Friday morning. Hope it doesn’t happen, might make this month feel wet when I remember it in a few years.

#25
Kayla

Posted 01 August 2018 - 09:27 AM

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Said it MANY times.

 

Usually your only response is how you haven't watered this year, grass is still green along your road, backyard is still muddy out near the new shed, etc etc. No mention that your region as a whole is drier than normal.


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Cold Season 2018/19:

Total snowfall: 11.0"
Highest daily snowfall: 7.0"

Highest snow depth: 7.0"

Coldest high: 36.1º
Coldest low: 18.0º

Number of subzero days: 0

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#26
TT-SEA

Posted 01 August 2018 - 09:30 AM

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GFS keeps trying to show a little precip down here Friday morning. Hope it doesn’t happen, might make this month feel wet when I remember it in a few years.

One day does not do that. But half the days or more does... regardless of the monthly stats.

Keep mocking... and we will keep telling you how cloudy and damp it was up here. Because it actually happened... and your trolling cannot change it or our minds. :)

#27
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 09:33 AM

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One day does not do that. But half the days or more does... regardless of the monthly stats.

Keep mocking... and we will keep telling you how cloudy and damp it was up here. Because it actually happened... and your juvenile trolling cannot change it or our minds. :)


If what I’m doing here is juvenile trolling then everyone here is guilty of it. You troll constantly.

#28
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 09:34 AM

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Usually your only response is how you haven't watered this year, grass is still green along your road, backyard is still muddy out near the new shed, etc etc. No mention that your region as a whole is drier than normal.


Enough with the juvenile, accurate trolling! Thick skinned Tim doesn’t like it. :’(

#29
TT-SEA

Posted 01 August 2018 - 09:38 AM

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Enough with the juvenile, accurate trolling! Thick skinned Tim doesn’t like it. :’(


I decided to stay away from that stuff... but you captured it anyways. All good.

#30
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 09:38 AM

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Seems silly to still be clinging to the ensembles but I still await the 12z charts with anticipation.

It would be nice if the models ended up with some sort of compromise next week and we ended up with mild, humid SW flow with the low a little bit offshore. I don’t really care about warm or cold anomalies. I would just like some rain.
  • TT-SEA and BLI snowman like this

#31
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 09:40 AM

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I decided to stay away from that stuff... but you captured it anyways. All good.


Well, if you are going to make personal attacks make sure it is something you are fine with being repeated. ;)

#32
TT-SEA

Posted 01 August 2018 - 09:42 AM

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Usually your only response is how you haven't watered this year, grass is still green along your road, backyard is still muddy out near the new shed, etc etc. No mention that your region as a whole is drier than normal.


Its already been said... including by me. I am adding details about what is happening in my area.

I wish it had been wetter across the entire region.

#33
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 10:46 AM

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GFS ensembles finally jumped warmer.

Attached File  BB4F7571-359D-4891-85FE-13BFB9034ABB.png   26.06KB   0 downloads
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#34
Frontal Snowsquall

Posted 01 August 2018 - 10:47 AM

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Hello August! The 12z EURO not backing down from the heatwave starting early next week. For PDX it's showing low 90s on Monday, mid 90s on Tuesday, then upper 90s on Wednesday and Thursday at the moment.

#35
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 10:48 AM

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We’ve completely lost the Euro now as well. Basically back to the western ridge pattern that dominated most of July after day 5.

Could be another long stretch of 90s coming up.

#36
Kayla

Posted 01 August 2018 - 10:49 AM

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Jeez...the euro shows that next week is a repeat of last weeks pattern. Possibly even hotter this go-around. Pattern just seems to want to keep repeating itself this year.


Cold Season 2018/19:

Total snowfall: 11.0"
Highest daily snowfall: 7.0"

Highest snow depth: 7.0"

Coldest high: 36.1º
Coldest low: 18.0º

Number of subzero days: 0

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#37
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 10:50 AM

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Jeez...the euro shows that next week is a repeat of last weeks pattern. Possibly even hotter this go-around. Pattern just seems to want to keep repeating itself this year.


Feel like I’m about to lose it honestly.
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#38
Deweydog

Posted 01 August 2018 - 10:53 AM

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Definite onshore push signal at 240 hours.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#39
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 10:54 AM

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I wonder if what the runs a few days ago were showing is something that might have actually verified a couple decades ago. Then they snap back into our global warming reality.

I think the western heat/four corners high is just too strong and expansive to be kept at bay for long these days. It has become a more potent pattern forcer than anything dropping from the NW. So much so that it squeezes what would have been a robust trough into a cutoff low offshore as the western ridge reasserts itself.

The northern branch/GOA ridge tries to run the show for a bit but just can’t overcome the western heat dome for long.
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#40
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 10:56 AM

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Definite onshore push signal at 240 hours.


You must be about as giddy as a pig in slop right now. 🐷

#41
MossMan

Posted 01 August 2018 - 10:56 AM

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Feel like I’m about to lose it honestly.

You can take a drive north and enjoy my drizzlefest! We could meet up with Phil if he’s still in town and talk some WHAM!
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#42
Kayla

Posted 01 August 2018 - 10:56 AM

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We’ve completely lost the Euro now as well. Basically back to the western ridge pattern that dominated most of July after day 5.

Could be another long stretch of 90s coming up.

 

Just nuts that PDX could already easily surpass the record highest number of 90 degree days just 3 years later. Even with the UHI effect at PDX, the Willamette Valley has seen a pretty major climate shift recently.


Cold Season 2018/19:

Total snowfall: 11.0"
Highest daily snowfall: 7.0"

Highest snow depth: 7.0"

Coldest high: 36.1º
Coldest low: 18.0º

Number of subzero days: 0

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#43
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 10:57 AM

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Just nuts that PDX could already easily surpass the record highest number of 90 degree days just 3 years later. Even with the UHI effect at PDX, the Willamette Valley has seen a pretty major climate shift recently.


We still have ten to go. But definitely in the range of possible considering the absolute blowtorch months August and September usually are these days.

#44
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 10:59 AM

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You can take a drive north and enjoy my drizzlefest! We could meet up with Phil if he’s still in town and talk some WHAM!


We are heading up to Port Townsend today. Coming back the 5th. For a minute there I was thinking we might be greeted by a needed rainy pattern upon returning, but instead we will get another f***** heatwave. 😀
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#45
Kayla

Posted 01 August 2018 - 11:00 AM

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We still have ten to go. But definitely in the range of possible considering the absolute blowtorch months August and September usually are these days.

 

Yeah I lost count a while ago. I just knew it was a lot already.


Cold Season 2018/19:

Total snowfall: 11.0"
Highest daily snowfall: 7.0"

Highest snow depth: 7.0"

Coldest high: 36.1º
Coldest low: 18.0º

Number of subzero days: 0

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#46
Deweydog

Posted 01 August 2018 - 11:00 AM

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You must be about as giddy as a pig in slop right now. 🐷


The next several days look quite enjoyable. Some rain would be nice, but this time of year can often times be quite dry.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#47
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 11:03 AM

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The next several days look quite enjoyable. Some rain would be nice, but this time of year can often times be quite dry.


You make it sound so normal. Which of course implies that the everyone is a dramatic idiot but you crowd is overreacting.

I don’t see what’s wrong with admitting this has been a pretty god d**n abnormal stretch.

#48
Deweydog

Posted 01 August 2018 - 11:09 AM

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You make it sound so normal. Which of course implies that the everyone is a dramatic idiot but you crowd is overreacting.

I don’t see what’s wrong with admitting this has been a pretty god d**n abnormal stretch.


Sorry for not coming unnecessarily unhinged over things I have no control over. Take what you can get and hope for the best.

Your Timness is showing like a mofo right now. It's as plain as day it's been an exceptionally warm/dry stretch, belaboring the point isn't a requisite activity.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#49
Jesse

Posted 01 August 2018 - 11:14 AM

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Sorry for not coming unnecessarily unhinged over things I have no control over. Take what you can get and hope for the best.

Your Timness is showing like a mofo right now. It's as plain as day it's been an exceptionally warm/dry stretch, belaboring the point isn't a requisite activity.


Stop being a d**k dude. Tim makes dry patterns sound wet. And probably posts about it 20x more. Not to mention the tirades when it actually is wet. Trust me, if the region was in a cold and wet pattern I wouldn’t be trying to convince everyone how warm and dry it is IMBY.

I have generally kept pretty quiet about the ridiculous heat this summer, all things considered. As for what I have posted, is anything I have said really all that unreasonable? I wish there was more analysis and the like regarding the causes of this sort of thing, like my 4CH post above that will go entirely overlooked. I actually enjoy talking about that stuff, like we used to do sometimes on our much maligned PM convos.

#50
Eujunga

Posted 01 August 2018 - 11:18 AM

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Stop being a ****. Tim makes dry patterns sound wet. And probably posts about it 20x more. Trust me, if the region was in a cold and wet pattern I wouldn’t be trying to convince everyone how warm and dry it is IMBY.

I have generally kept pretty quiet about the ridiculous heat this summer, all things considered. As for what I have posted, is anything I have said really all that unreasonable? I wish there was more analysis and the like regarding the causes of this sort of thing, like my 4CH post above that will go entirely overlooked.


I didn’t overlook your 4CH post — I was just about to respond that I wish there was more info and analysis about why the incredible persistence of western ridging seems to be a feature of whatever changes the climate is undergoing
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Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.