August 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Geos]

Last month of met summer is almost upon us. 

More of the same? Some actual rain finally, so we can beat back the drought? 

 

It will be interesting to see if August is anything like July was.

[Front Ranger]

After going warm/dry for next week with the 6z, the 12z GFS is much more Euro-like, with a deep trough over the PNW by days 8-9.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Really hope this doesn't get pulled out from under us like this past winter. Also hope it correlates to some good analogs for the following winter if it verifies.

[Jesse]

Really hope this doesn't get pulled out from under us like this past winter. Also hope it correlates to some good analogs for the following winter if it verifies.

Contrary to what much of the groupthink rhetoric would imply on here, summers that are able to produce a few coolish patterns generally have a better track record for leading to coolish winters. Quite shockingly.

[Front Ranger]

Phil said July was the month to watch for the following January pattern

 

Maybe this will mean another good February??

[MossMan]

Wow a lot of posts just disappeared here! Phil’s pics are gone.

[Jesse]

Wow a lot of posts just disappeared here! Phil’s pics are gone.

Moved to July thread.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Hope Jim makes it back soon.

[Farmboy]

[Geos]

Greeting the month with 58°, stratus and drizzle.

 

You can make out every valley this morning easily.

 

[MossMan]

Heavy drizzle for 8/1! Soggy August to remember shaping up already!

[Jesse]

Heavy drizzle for 8/1! Soggy August to remember shaping up already!

I am sure it will feel cool and wet to you even if it’s one of the hottest and driest Augusts on record. As proven by July!

[ShawniganLake]

Greeting the month with 58°, stratus and drizzle.

 

You can make out every valley this morning easily.

 

vis.jpg

Cloudless sky here. Force field is in full effect.

 

Looks like a few fires on the east side. The Snowy mountain fire just north of the border blew up yesterday afternoon.

[Kayla]

I am sure it will feel cool and wet to you even if it’s one of the hottest and driest Augusts on record. As proven by July!

 

Near record hottest month and severe droughts are the new soggy in the PNW apparently!

[TT-SEA]

Near record hottest month and severe droughts are the new soggy in the PNW apparently!

Some areas can be soggy even when the region is dry!

[Kayla]

Some areas can be soggy even when the region is dry!

 

Admitting this is a first from you! 

[Jesse]

Some areas can be soggy even when the region is dry!

Your area has been hotter and drier than normal as well.

[TT-SEA]

Your area has been hotter and drier than normal as well.

Actually felt like it in July.

 

We probably had the soggiest and greenest statistcally drier and warmer than normal May and June possible. The clouds and precip were evenly spread out and very efficient at keeping it wet despite the monthly stats.

 

Sorry Jesse... that happened.

[TT-SEA]

Admitting this is a first from you!

Said it MANY times.

[TT-SEA]

Some cool days ahead until that ULL drops south offshore. Next 2 or 3 days might be quite cloudy and chilly.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

It might be cloudy coming up... But it will not be chilly.

[TT-SEA]

It might be cloudy coming up... But it will not be chilly.

GFS MOS shows SEA struggling to 70 tomorrow and Friday... well below normal.

 

Sort of chilly.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS MOS shows SEA struggling to 70 tomorrow and Friday... well below normal.

 

Sort of chilly.

 

Yes a little. It is unfortunate how the models are trending for next week. ;(

[Jesse]

GFS keeps trying to show a little precip down here Friday morning. Hope it doesn’t happen, might make this month feel wet when I remember it in a few years.

[Kayla]

Said it MANY times.

 

Usually your only response is how you haven't watered this year, grass is still green along your road, backyard is still muddy out near the new shed, etc etc. No mention that your region as a whole is drier than normal.

[TT-SEA]

GFS keeps trying to show a little precip down here Friday morning. Hope it doesn’t happen, might make this month feel wet when I remember it in a few years.

One day does not do that. But half the days or more does... regardless of the monthly stats.

 

Keep mocking... and we will keep telling you how cloudy and damp it was up here. Because it actually happened... and your trolling cannot change it or our minds.

[Jesse]

One day does not do that. But half the days or more does... regardless of the monthly stats.

 

Keep mocking... and we will keep telling you how cloudy and damp it was up here. Because it actually happened... and your juvenile trolling cannot change it or our minds.

If what I’m doing here is juvenile trolling then everyone here is guilty of it. You troll constantly.

[Jesse]

Usually your only response is how you haven't watered this year, grass is still green along your road, backyard is still muddy out near the new shed, etc etc. No mention that your region as a whole is drier than normal.

Enough with the juvenile, accurate trolling! Thick skinned Tim doesn’t like it. :’(

[TT-SEA]

Enough with the juvenile, accurate trolling! Thick skinned Tim doesn’t like it. :’(

I decided to stay away from that stuff... but you captured it anyways. All good.

[Jesse]

Seems silly to still be clinging to the ensembles but I still await the 12z charts with anticipation.

 

It would be nice if the models ended up with some sort of compromise next week and we ended up with mild, humid SW flow with the low a little bit offshore. I don’t really care about warm or cold anomalies. I would just like some rain.

[Jesse]

I decided to stay away from that stuff... but you captured it anyways. All good.

Well, if you are going to make personal attacks make sure it is something you are fine with being repeated.

[TT-SEA]

Usually your only response is how you haven't watered this year, grass is still green along your road, backyard is still muddy out near the new shed, etc etc. No mention that your region as a whole is drier than normal.

Its already been said... including by me. I am adding details about what is happening in my area.

 

I wish it had been wetter across the entire region.

[Jesse]

GFS ensembles finally jumped warmer.

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Hello August! The 12z EURO not backing down from the heatwave starting early next week. For PDX it's showing low 90s on Monday, mid 90s on Tuesday, then upper 90s on Wednesday and Thursday at the moment.

[Jesse]

We’ve completely lost the Euro now as well. Basically back to the western ridge pattern that dominated most of July after day 5.

 

Could be another long stretch of 90s coming up.

[Kayla]

Jeez...the euro shows that next week is a repeat of last weeks pattern. Possibly even hotter this go-around. Pattern just seems to want to keep repeating itself this year.

[Jesse]

Jeez...the euro shows that next week is a repeat of last weeks pattern. Possibly even hotter this go-around. Pattern just seems to want to keep repeating itself this year.

Feel like I’m about to lose it honestly.

[Deweydog]

Definite onshore push signal at 240 hours.

[Jesse]

I wonder if what the runs a few days ago were showing is something that might have actually verified a couple decades ago. Then they snap back into our global warming reality.

 

I think the western heat/four corners high is just too strong and expansive to be kept at bay for long these days. It has become a more potent pattern forcer than anything dropping from the NW. So much so that it squeezes what would have been a robust trough into a cutoff low offshore as the western ridge reasserts itself.

 

The northern branch/GOA ridge tries to run the show for a bit but just can’t overcome the western heat dome for long.

[Jesse]