Geos Posted July 30, 2018 Report Share Posted July 30, 2018 Last month of met summer is almost upon us. More of the same? Some actual rain finally, so we can beat back the drought? It will be interesting to see if August is anything like July was. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 30, 2018 Report Share Posted July 30, 2018 After going warm/dry for next week with the 6z, the 12z GFS is much more Euro-like, with a deep trough over the PNW by days 8-9. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 30, 2018 Report Share Posted July 30, 2018 Really hope this doesn't get pulled out from under us like this past winter. Also hope it correlates to some good analogs for the following winter if it verifies. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 30, 2018 Report Share Posted July 30, 2018 Really hope this doesn't get pulled out from under us like this past winter. Also hope it correlates to some good analogs for the following winter if it verifies.Contrary to what much of the groupthink rhetoric would imply on here, summers that are able to produce a few coolish patterns generally have a better track record for leading to coolish winters. Quite shockingly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 30, 2018 Report Share Posted July 30, 2018 Phil said July was the month to watch for the following January pattern Maybe this will mean another good February?? 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted July 31, 2018 Report Share Posted July 31, 2018 Wow a lot of posts just disappeared here! Phil’s pics are gone. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 31, 2018 Report Share Posted July 31, 2018 Wow a lot of posts just disappeared here! Phil’s pics are gone.Moved to July thread. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 31, 2018 Report Share Posted July 31, 2018 Hope Jim makes it back soon. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted July 31, 2018 Report Share Posted July 31, 2018 Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted August 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Greeting the month with 58°, stratus and drizzle. You can make out every valley this morning easily. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Heavy drizzle for 8/1! Soggy August to remember shaping up already! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Heavy drizzle for 8/1! Soggy August to remember shaping up already!I am sure it will feel cool and wet to you even if it’s one of the hottest and driest Augusts on record. As proven by July! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Greeting the month with 58°, stratus and drizzle. You can make out every valley this morning easily. vis.jpgCloudless sky here. Force field is in full effect. Looks like a few fires on the east side. The Snowy mountain fire just north of the border blew up yesterday afternoon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 I am sure it will feel cool and wet to you even if it’s one of the hottest and driest Augusts on record. As proven by July! Near record hottest month and severe droughts are the new soggy in the PNW apparently! 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Near record hottest month and severe droughts are the new soggy in the PNW apparently!Some areas can be soggy even when the region is dry! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Some areas can be soggy even when the region is dry! Admitting this is a first from you! Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Some areas can be soggy even when the region is dry!Your area has been hotter and drier than normal as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Your area has been hotter and drier than normal as well.Actually felt like it in July. We probably had the soggiest and greenest statistcally drier and warmer than normal May and June possible. The clouds and precip were evenly spread out and very efficient at keeping it wet despite the monthly stats. Sorry Jesse... that happened. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Admitting this is a first from you! Said it MANY times. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Some cool days ahead until that ULL drops south offshore. Next 2 or 3 days might be quite cloudy and chilly. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 It might be cloudy coming up... But it will not be chilly. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 It might be cloudy coming up... But it will not be chilly.GFS MOS shows SEA struggling to 70 tomorrow and Friday... well below normal. Sort of chilly. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 GFS MOS shows SEA struggling to 70 tomorrow and Friday... well below normal. Sort of chilly. Yes a little. It is unfortunate how the models are trending for next week. ;( Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 GFS keeps trying to show a little precip down here Friday morning. Hope it doesn’t happen, might make this month feel wet when I remember it in a few years. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Said it MANY times. Usually your only response is how you haven't watered this year, grass is still green along your road, backyard is still muddy out near the new shed, etc etc. No mention that your region as a whole is drier than normal. 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 GFS keeps trying to show a little precip down here Friday morning. Hope it doesn’t happen, might make this month feel wet when I remember it in a few years.One day does not do that. But half the days or more does... regardless of the monthly stats. Keep mocking... and we will keep telling you how cloudy and damp it was up here. Because it actually happened... and your trolling cannot change it or our minds. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 One day does not do that. But half the days or more does... regardless of the monthly stats. Keep mocking... and we will keep telling you how cloudy and damp it was up here. Because it actually happened... and your juvenile trolling cannot change it or our minds. If what I’m doing here is juvenile trolling then everyone here is guilty of it. You troll constantly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Usually your only response is how you haven't watered this year, grass is still green along your road, backyard is still muddy out near the new shed, etc etc. No mention that your region as a whole is drier than normal.Enough with the juvenile, accurate trolling! Thick skinned Tim doesn’t like it. :’( Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Enough with the juvenile, accurate trolling! Thick skinned Tim doesn’t like it. :’(I decided to stay away from that stuff... but you captured it anyways. All good. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Seems silly to still be clinging to the ensembles but I still await the 12z charts with anticipation. It would be nice if the models ended up with some sort of compromise next week and we ended up with mild, humid SW flow with the low a little bit offshore. I don’t really care about warm or cold anomalies. I would just like some rain. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 I decided to stay away from that stuff... but you captured it anyways. All good.Well, if you are going to make personal attacks make sure it is something you are fine with being repeated. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Usually your only response is how you haven't watered this year, grass is still green along your road, backyard is still muddy out near the new shed, etc etc. No mention that your region as a whole is drier than normal.Its already been said... including by me. I am adding details about what is happening in my area. I wish it had been wetter across the entire region. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 GFS ensembles finally jumped warmer. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Hello August! The 12z EURO not backing down from the heatwave starting early next week. For PDX it's showing low 90s on Monday, mid 90s on Tuesday, then upper 90s on Wednesday and Thursday at the moment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 We’ve completely lost the Euro now as well. Basically back to the western ridge pattern that dominated most of July after day 5. Could be another long stretch of 90s coming up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Jeez...the euro shows that next week is a repeat of last weeks pattern. Possibly even hotter this go-around. Pattern just seems to want to keep repeating itself this year. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Jeez...the euro shows that next week is a repeat of last weeks pattern. Possibly even hotter this go-around. Pattern just seems to want to keep repeating itself this year.Feel like I’m about to lose it honestly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Definite onshore push signal at 240 hours. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 I wonder if what the runs a few days ago were showing is something that might have actually verified a couple decades ago. Then they snap back into our global warming reality. I think the western heat/four corners high is just too strong and expansive to be kept at bay for long these days. It has become a more potent pattern forcer than anything dropping from the NW. So much so that it squeezes what would have been a robust trough into a cutoff low offshore as the western ridge reasserts itself. The northern branch/GOA ridge tries to run the show for a bit but just can’t overcome the western heat dome for long. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 1, 2018 Report Share Posted August 1, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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