August 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Jesse]

Lol. Just when I’m starting to feel sorry for you sitting under this death ridge year after year..

 

Don't worry, I don't believe you ever truly have.

[Phil]

Don't worry, I don't believe you ever truly have.

Haha. I’m not a sadist, man. And watching the same pattern repeat itself over and over again is just boring af at this point.

[Deweydog]

Monday looks toasty.

[Deweydog]

Haha. I’m not a sadist, man. And watching the same pattern repeat itself over and over again is just boring af at this point.

-some guy from Bellingham on 1-31-50

[Dave]

 

The winter on the other hand is looking 6-10 ish to me, even though I want to be optimistic. Some parts of the central and south valley could be going into a 2-winter snowless stretch after this one. Brings back horrible memories from '14-'15 and '15-'16 back to back.

Eugene did decent last winter with about 5 inches or so. BTW, Springfield gets a bit more snow than Eugene so you can look forward to outsnowing this dolt.

[Front Ranger]

I’d like to remind everyone that we don’t discuss sports that are lead by the capital class to exploit vulnerable populations for the entertainment of the oppressors.

 

One week until I move back. Trying my damnedest to be enthusiastic or just give up my weather love for something more enjoyable, like stamps and collectible wheat pennies.

These are the kind of posts that lead to Jan 1950s.

[Deweydog]

I’d like to remind everyone that we don’t discuss sports that are lead by the capital class to exploit vulnerable populations for the entertainment of the oppressors.

 

One week until I move back. Trying my damnedest to be enthusiastic or just give up my weather love for something more enjoyable, like stamps and collectible wheat pennies.

Stamps and pennies are impervious to climate change.

[BLI snowman]

I’d like to remind everyone that we don’t discuss sports that are lead by the capital class to exploit vulnerable populations for the entertainment of the oppressors.

 

One week until I move back. Trying my damnedest to be enthusiastic or just give up my weather love for something more enjoyable, like stamps and collectible wheat pennies.

 

Just a reminder that you'll be coming in at a point where Western Washington will be incredibly due for some sunnier, warmer weather. It's been a remarkably wet year around here so far. January still just blows me away. Please don't get your hopes up for awhile.

[Deweydog]

Just a reminder that you'll be coming in at a point where Western Washington will be incredibly due for some sunnier, warmer weather. It's been a remarkably wet year around here so far. January still just blows me away. Please don't get your hopes up for awhile.

Haha! It's been super dry!

[BLI snowman]

Haha! It's been super dry!

 

2014-17 were generally real wet also so not really.

[TT-SEA]

2014-17 were generally real wet also so not really.

 

April 2018 was extremely wet.

[BLI snowman]

April 2018 was extremely wet.

 

Sill can remember where I was.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Eugene did decent last winter with about 5 inches or so. BTW, Springfield gets a bit more snow than Eugene so you can look forward to outsnowing this dolt.

 

That makes no sense. Doesn't Eugene average like 5 inches a year while Springfield is like 2.5?  Eugene has more NE wind upsloping while Springfield is blocked by the mountains between there and Sweet Home and the most significant snow events are ones with offshore or NE winds with the south valley in the deformation bands.

 

Also, there was a decent swath just south of Monmouth, down to like Junction City and over to Albany that had no snow in any of the events this past winter.

[TT-SEA]

Last significant rain here was on July 10th... the rain on Saturday will end a month of almost totally dry weather in my area.

 

The most common period for our annual 4-week dry spell here is mid-July to mid-August... right on schedule this year.

[TT-SEA]

Total precip per the 00Z ECMWF:

 

[MossMan]

My large slugs are still doing great! The extremely wet late winter and early spring really made them grow into giants! It was wet! Very wet! (For my area)

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2018/04/is-this-unusually-poor-spring-in.html?m=1

[TT-SEA]

Cliff Mass post today showing evidence that CA fires are actually declining following a peak in the 1970s...

 

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2018/08/california-wildfires-is-global-warming.html

[Jesse]

The Euro thinks that keeping us hot all week next week seems like a good idea.

[Deweydog]

Cliff Mass post today showing evidence that CA fires are actually declining following a peak in the 1970s...

 

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2018/08/california-wildfires-is-global-warming.html

Thanks, Donald.

[BLI snowman]

The Euro thinks that keeping us hot all week next week seems like a good idea.

 

Jared wanted me to remind you that one run doesn't mean it's going to happen. And that models are sometimes wrong.

[Jesse]

Jared wanted me to remind you that one run doesn't mean it's going to happen. And that models are sometimes wrong.

Thank you. Boy do I feel foolish talking about a warm model run now.

[ShawniganLake]

The fires in the BC interior are really getting cranking now. Probably a big wind event coming in some areas tomorrow. The rain this weekend could be just in time.

[Jesse]

The 00z GEM looks much cooler for next week.

 

I am really hating this Euro run though.

[Deweydog]

Euro looks good for whiners early on, stand by for the long range!

[Jesse]

Euro looks good for whiners early on, stand by for the long range!

Nobody has really been whining that much, all things considered.

[BLI snowman]

Liking the chances for another offshore cutoff-low induced heat pump blast around the 19th-20th.

 

 

 

 

[TT-SEA]

My large slugs are still doing great! The extremely wet late winter and early spring really made them grow into giants! It was wet! Very wet! (For my area)

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2018/04/is-this-unusually-poor-spring-in.html?m=1

Worse yet... rain during the rest of the year is completely meaningless.

 

It could rain every single day and 10 times the normal from November - April... but if its hot and dry in July and August then we are screwed.

[BLI snowman]

Nobody has really been whining that much, all things considered.

 

Dewey is mad that people think it has been hot.

[Deweydog]

Dewey is mad that people think it has been hot.

Haha! It's been exceptionally hot!

[Jesse]

Worse yet... rain during the rest of the year is completely meaningless.

 

It could rain every single day and 10 times the normal from November - April... but if its hot and dry in July and August then we are screwed.

May was record warm and dry down here too.

[BLI snowman]

Haha! It's been exceptionally hot!

 

#no108nodice

[Deweydog]

#no108nodice

#no101nodice

#growanewclimopair

[Deweydog]

Indeed the Euro long range keeps heights just below 625dm.

[TT-SEA]

May was record warm and dry down here too.

Would not matter if July and August were cooler and wetter than normal.

[Jesse]

Dewey is mad that people think it has been hot.

I would honestly feel a lot more comfortable if people stopped acknowledging anomalously warm weather here. Until that day comes this place just feels unsafe to me.

[Deweydog]

I just want to know which narrative to latch onto? This is the new normal or this is really abnormal?

[BLI snowman]

#no101nodice

#growanewclimopair

 

 

500mb variation is gone forever 

 

Even our heat is now dreary!

[Deweydog]

Hour 240 is clearly Trump's America.

[BLI snowman]

I would honestly feel a lot more comfortable if people stopped acknowledging anomalously warm weather here. Until that day comes this place just feels unsafe to me.

 

It must be tough to see the '80s/'90s heat anomaly glory days just not feel so glorious anymore. It's probably perfectly natural to feel a bit threatened by seeing the past so ruthlessly usurped.

[Deweydog]

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=5G4O5AMSevc