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August 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

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#1751
Phil

Posted Today, 06:30 AM

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GEFS says the PV wakes from hibernation August 22nd.

Then the descent into winter “officially” begins.

u_65N_10hpa_gefs.png
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1752
iFred

Posted Today, 06:42 AM

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Looking out at the smoky sky in between seizures. Weather and you smart folks keep me going. Thanks

 

Oh man, wow. Well, fingers crossed that this fall and winter will be fun and filled with distractions for your entertainment.


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#1753
TT-SEA

Posted Today, 07:25 AM

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Gunky morning... thick smoke over valley fog.   

 

nb_8-16.png



#1754
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted Today, 07:47 AM

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Oh man, wow. Well, fingers crossed that this fall and winter will be fun and filled with distractions for your entertainment.


I sure hope so. Really want more action than last winter (getting donut-holed was painful). But just us watching it all unfold together is the best part to me now.

Monmouth, Oregon Winter 17-18 Stats:

 

Coldest high: 34 (Dec 24)

Coldest low: 22 (Dec 11 & Feb 23)

Total snowfall: 1"

Last snowfall: February 21-22, 2018

Last accumulating snowfall on roads: March 6, 2017

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)

Last White Christmas: 2008

 

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#1755
Front Ranger

Posted Today, 08:41 AM

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GEFS says the PV wakes from hibernation August 22nd.

Then the descent into winter “officially” begins.

u_65N_10hpa_gefs.png


What's going on with the Arctic ice these days? I've paid zero attention this year.

Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#1756
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted Today, 08:51 AM

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What's going on with the Arctic ice these days? I've paid zero attention this year.


It's only been building around Greenland right? Hope that vortex gets punted our way in Dec.

Monmouth, Oregon Winter 17-18 Stats:

 

Coldest high: 34 (Dec 24)

Coldest low: 22 (Dec 11 & Feb 23)

Total snowfall: 1"

Last snowfall: February 21-22, 2018

Last accumulating snowfall on roads: March 6, 2017

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)

Last White Christmas: 2008

 

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#1757
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted Today, 09:41 AM

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The trend with the GFS is nice. Cooling to at least average after about the 23rd. At this point a week of average temps would feel amazing.


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

Robert Mueller is a traitor to this nation.


#1758
Phil

Posted Today, 10:05 AM

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What's going on with the Arctic ice these days? I've paid zero attention this year.


More ice volume than last year, gains around Greenland and NE Canada, losses near Eurasia.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1759
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted Today, 10:08 AM

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The trend with the GFS is nice. Cooling to at least average after about the 23rd. At this point a week of average temps would feel amazing.


Quite a bit cooler tomorrow. Let's clear that d**n smoke!!

Monmouth, Oregon Winter 17-18 Stats:

 

Coldest high: 34 (Dec 24)

Coldest low: 22 (Dec 11 & Feb 23)

Total snowfall: 1"

Last snowfall: February 21-22, 2018

Last accumulating snowfall on roads: March 6, 2017

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)

Last White Christmas: 2008

 

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#1760
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted Today, 10:09 AM

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More ice volume than last year, gains around Greenland and NE Canada, losses near Eurasia.


I'm going to assume that bodes well for us?

Monmouth, Oregon Winter 17-18 Stats:

 

Coldest high: 34 (Dec 24)

Coldest low: 22 (Dec 11 & Feb 23)

Total snowfall: 1"

Last snowfall: February 21-22, 2018

Last accumulating snowfall on roads: March 6, 2017

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)

Last White Christmas: 2008

 

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#1761
Phil

Posted Today, 10:12 AM

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Those fires must be legit. Neighbor texted me this morning and said the Sun was red and barely shining through the haze, and that she smelled smoke in the air.

Also, my solar radiation sensor has picked up a reduction of over 300W/m^2 over the last two days, despite no change in cloudiness.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1762
Phil

Posted Today, 10:13 AM

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And this. That’s a lot of smoke.

https://www.washingt...impression=true
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1763
Phil

Posted Today, 10:17 AM

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I'm going to assume that bodes well for us?


It probably doesn’t indicate much, other than the potential is there to develop the Arctic cold pool earlier than normal this autumn across NE Canada (starts developing over Greenland and the high Arctic in September, and builds southwestward from there into Northwest Canada).
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1764
Front Ranger

Posted Today, 10:22 AM

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Apparently yesterday was the worst air quality Seattle has experienced in a 20 year period of record.

Still very hazy here as well.

Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#1765
TT-SEA

Posted Today, 10:26 AM

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Apparently yesterday was the worst air quality Seattle has experienced in a 20 year period of record.

Still very hazy here as well.

 

Much improved now... down into the moderate category in Seattle.    

 

cur_aqi_seattle_wa.jpg



#1766
jakeinthevalley

Posted Today, 10:58 AM

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Mid level instability streaming from the south just starting to be visible above the retreating smoke layer in the mid valley

#1767
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted Today, 11:17 AM

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Mid level instability streaming from the south just starting to be visible above the retreating smoke layer in the mid valley

 

Just noticed that over the Willamette. Also about 1/4 of the Cottonwoods on the mid-river island appear to be dead or dying...


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

Robert Mueller is a traitor to this nation.


#1768
jakeinthevalley

Posted Today, 11:27 AM

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I am currently in McMinnville and the clouds are definitely thickening....hmmmm?

 

Edit. Just looked at satellite loop and the clouds are very narrowly banded. Hard to tell as the upper level haze is still present



#1769
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted Today, 11:31 AM

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39227196_283420955770979_593490141724750


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

Robert Mueller is a traitor to this nation.


#1770
jakeinthevalley

Posted Today, 11:37 AM

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39227196_283420955770979_593490141724750

If that wasn't on the island, I would blame it on a homeless camp!  On second thought, I wouldn't underestimate that there could be a camp on the island!



#1771
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted Today, 11:38 AM

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If that wasn't on the island, I would blame it on a homeless camp!  On second thought, I wouldn't underestimate that there could be a camp on the island!

 

Well there was...lol


Snowfall

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

 

Robert Mueller is a traitor to this nation.


#1772
jakeinthevalley

Posted Today, 11:43 AM

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Well there was...lol

Figures



#1773
ShawniganLake

Posted Today, 12:11 PM

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Those fires must be legit. Neighbor texted me this morning and said the Sun was red and barely shining through the haze, and that she smelled smoke in the air.

Also, my solar radiation sensor has picked up a reduction of over 300W/m^2 over the last two days, despite no change in cloudiness.

Close to 1 million acres burned in BC. Roughly 3/4 of that in the past 2 weeks.

#1774
MossMan

Posted Today, 12:22 PM

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Close to 1 million acres burned in BC. Roughly 3/4 of that in the past 2 weeks.

What was the aceage burned last year?

#1775
jakeinthevalley

Posted Today, 12:23 PM

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Clouds continues to thicken over the mid valley. Maybe a few echoes starting to form over the coast range?

#1776
ShawniganLake

Posted Today, 12:29 PM

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What was the aceage burned last year?

Around 3 million. More fires this year but last year had some larger blazes. The Plateau complex alone was well over 1 million acres last summer.
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#1777
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted Today, 12:29 PM

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T-storms tonight? 🤞🏻🤞🏻

Monmouth, Oregon Winter 17-18 Stats:

 

Coldest high: 34 (Dec 24)

Coldest low: 22 (Dec 11 & Feb 23)

Total snowfall: 1"

Last snowfall: February 21-22, 2018

Last accumulating snowfall on roads: March 6, 2017

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)

Last White Christmas: 2008

 

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#1778
TT-SEA

Posted Today, 12:31 PM

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Around 3 million. More fires this year but last year had some larger blazes. The Plateau complex alone was well over 1 million acres last summer.

 

 

Good Lord... the entire state of WA is only 42 million acres.



#1779
TT-SEA

Posted Today, 12:35 PM

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Low clouds have been trapped over the Seattle area all day...only 62 at SEA at 1 p.m.

 

Its been sunny out here all day... and the smoke is gradually thinning out.   

 

Low clouds have cleared back to the WA coastline while still stuck over the Seattle area.   Strange.

 

sat_8-16.png



#1780
TT-SEA

Posted Today, 12:41 PM

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Gunky morning... thick smoke over valley fog.   

 

nb_8-16.png

 

 

Slowly improving through the day... could not see Mt. Si at all from here the last couple days.   We now have visual evidence that it is still there!  

 

nb_8-16-2.png



#1781
jakeinthevalley

Posted Today, 12:41 PM

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T-storms tonight?


Not much moisture to work with, but there is certainly instability present west of the cascade crest.

Maybe a marine push induced elevated event? Not going to be surface based.

I would imagine things will stabilize over the next couple hours, but who knows?

#1782
Front Ranger

Posted Today, 01:12 PM

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Not much moisture to work with, but there is certainly instability present west of the cascade crest.

Maybe a marine push induced elevated event? Not going to be surface based.

I would imagine things will stabilize over the next couple hours, but who knows?


Perfect, more wildfires.

Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#1783
Farmboy

Posted Today, 01:20 PM

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Just noticed that over the Willamette. Also about 1/4 of the Cottonwoods on the mid-river island appear to be dead or dying...


Cottonwoods are a very resilient species. They're adept at existing in many different climates all over the west. They can be found from Alaska to Arizona and New Mexico. I'm sure the cottonwoods of the Willamette valley will survive the summer of 2018.

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#1784
jakeinthevalley

Posted Today, 01:28 PM

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Looks like coast range elevations are the trigger right now. Not seeing anything initiate or drift in the valley proper.

NWS PDX just issued ST forecast indicating possible TSR over coast range

#1785
Phil

Posted Today, 01:49 PM

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Hi-area 12z Euro drops 70” of snow on Baffin Island over the upcoming 10 days w/ 80mph wind gusts on two panels.

Old man winter is waking up!
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1786
Phil

Posted Today, 01:59 PM

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Solid “cold building” pattern at the end of week 2 (D14) on the new 12z EPS.

Really just an amplification of the typical seasonal wavetrain at this time of year, but the signal is impressive for this far in advance.

xk5LL6j.png
NXqX2S2.png
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#1787
WeatherArchive

Posted Today, 02:08 PM

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Hey Phil did you know your PM is disabled?  



#1788
Farmboy

Posted Today, 02:42 PM

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Really feels like fall is just around the corner with the current cool down from the heat the last few days. The Fireweed has gone to seed, the Himalayan blackberries are out in abundance, and the upcoming change in seasons is showing in many of the Big Leaf Maples.

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#1789
ShawniganLake

Posted Today, 02:56 PM

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Really feels like fall is just around the corner with the current cool down from the heat the last few days. The Fireweed has gone to seed, the Himalayan blackberries are out in abundance, and the upcoming change in seasons is showing in many of the Big Leaf Maples.

Maples are yellowing from the heat and lack of rain.

#1790
TT-SEA

Posted Today, 03:03 PM

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SEA visibility is up to the standard 10 miles again.



#1791
Farmboy

Posted Today, 03:13 PM

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Maples are yellowing from the heat and lack of rain.


Their may be a little heat stress involved, but it's pretty typical to see some maples begin yellowing in August. Where I am right now on the southern Olympic peninsula, there are no visible signs of heat stress that I can see on any of the other vegetation in the area, many things are still green out here..

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#1792
Eujunga

Posted Today, 03:18 PM

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Really feels like fall is just around the corner with the current cool down from the heat the last few days. The Fireweed has gone to seed, the Himalayan blackberries are out in abundance, and the upcoming change in seasons is showing in many of the Big Leaf Maples.

 

Yes, it's been such a cool, wet summer that an early fall is a foregone conclusion.  Even the Douglas firs around here are already shedding their needles in anticipation of winter.  Failed to make it up to 90 here AGAIN today!  Brrr!  Won't someone please think of the poor freezing children?


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Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#1793
James Jones

Posted Today, 03:27 PM

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Yes, it's been such a cool, wet summer that an early fall is a foregone conclusion. Even the Douglas firs around here are already shedding their needles in anticipation of winter. Failed to make it up to 90 here AGAIN today! Brrr! Won't someone please think of the poor freezing children?

It’s pretty incredible how many dying or at least highly stressed trees you see just driving around right now, and we could easily still be 6+ weeks away from our first meaningful rain event. Gonna be interesting to see the damage come next spring.

GFS has been showing a cooldown in the long range for a couple days now while the Euro is still showing torching as far as the eye can see.

#1794
ShawniganLake

Posted Today, 03:30 PM

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Their may be a little heat stress involved, but it's pretty typical to see some maples begin yellowing in August. Where I am right now on the southern Olympic peninsula, there are no visible signs of heat stress that I can see on any of the other vegetation in the area, many things are still green out here..

Yea, I’m sure the maples are responding to those long cool nights and low sun angles during a very warm August and hot summer.

#1795
Farmboy

Posted Today, 03:31 PM

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Yes, it's been such a cool, wet summer that an early fall is a foregone conclusion. Even the Douglas firs around here are already shedding their needles in anticipation of winter. Failed to make it up to 90 here AGAIN today! Brrr! Won't someone please think of the poor freezing children?


Oregon is always warmer than Washington, and this summer is no exception. I see it's 78 in Eugene. Where I am it's 10 degrees cooler now.

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#1796
TT-SEA

Posted Today, 03:32 PM

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Gunky morning... thick smoke over valley fog.   

 

nb_8-16.png

 

 

Slowly improving through the day... could not see Mt. Si at all from here the last couple days.   We now have visual evidence that it is still there!  

 

nb_8-16-2.png

 

 

Continuing to track the improvement in air quality through the day...   :)

 

nb_8-16-3.png



#1797
Farmboy

Posted Today, 03:34 PM

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Yea, I’m sure the maples are responding to those long cool nights and low sun angles during a very warm August and hot summer.


Again, some maples begin yellowing in August, I've been watching that happen my whole life.

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#1798
Front Ranger

Posted Today, 03:44 PM

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It’s pretty incredible how many dying or at least highly stressed trees you see just driving around right now, and we could easily still be 6+ weeks away from our first meaningful rain event. Gonna be interesting to see the damage come next spring.

GFS has been showing a cooldown in the long range for a couple days now while the Euro is still showing torching as far as the eye can see.

 

EPS has been gradually moving cooler in the 8-9 day range, though.

 

Attached File  ecmwf-ens_T850a_namer_9.png   109.18KB   0 downloads


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#1799
Front Ranger

Posted Today, 03:46 PM

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  • LocationWestminster, CO

Oregon is always warmer than Washington, and this summer is no exception. I see it's 78 in Eugene. Where I am it's 10 degrees cooler now.

 

Been very warm (er than normal) everywhere for the past 4 months.

 

Attached File  120dTDeptWRCC-NW.png   130.39KB   0 downloads


Cool anomalies soothe the soul.