We are getting to that time of year where we can get a sense of what the major indices might be as we head into winter and we can start to get an idea of what might be possible. While I don't have a huge amount of faith in winter forecasting I've seen some have success.
*We are in solar minimum, which tends to favor blocking and -AO/-NAO.
*We seem to be moving into weak el nino which can favor a stronger southern storm track, drought in the west and more snow in the east, but that of course depends on where it focuses and how strong. (Modoki, etc)
*We also seem to be moving into -PDO right now.
*QBO is strongly negative, and will probably start to trend towards positive.
*And anecdotally, winters with *8/*9 have historically been decent to good in the west.
What are you guys seeing?