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September 2018 Observations and Discussion

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#551
Iowawx

Posted 22 September 2018 - 11:52 AM

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It looks as if we will continue to add to our very wet, and in some places across Iowa, record wet September. Storms likely Tuesday and then Euro has very heavy rain next weekend. GFS has it as well, but not quite as heavy as the Euro is showing. 


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#552
Niko

Posted 22 September 2018 - 01:39 PM

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Temps remained in the low 60s throughout the day so far (61F). Feels great!



#553
jaster220

Posted 23 September 2018 - 06:07 AM

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Temps remained in the low 60s throughout the day so far (61F). Feels great!

 

Marshall hit the 65F GRR called for spot-on. They've been shooting about 2-4 degs low on the hot days so it worked out on a chillier day. Was almost October like when I was working in my yard. Just sans the changing leafs. Plenty of brown ones came down with all the winds tho. A solid 3 weeks since we've had more than a sprinkle here and now my front lawn is crispy again while the back remains green and plush and required cutting. Really need some rain from this Tuesday deal to pan out around here. Ofc, Iowa could share some, they seem to have plenty to share.  :rolleyes:



#554
Niko

Posted 23 September 2018 - 06:55 AM

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Marshall hit the 65F GRR called for spot-on. They've been shooting about 2-4 degs low on the hot days so it worked out on a chillier day. Was almost October like when I was working in my yard. Just sans the changing leafs. Plenty of brown ones came down with all the winds tho. A solid 3 weeks since we've had more than a sprinkle here and now my front lawn is crispy again while the back remains green and plush and required cutting. Really need some rain from this Tuesday deal to pan out around here. Ofc, Iowa could share some, they seem to have plenty to share.  :rolleyes:

I agree...some needed rain would be nice, especially for YBY. Tbh, I received nearly 1.50" couple days ago, so I will not complain.



#555
Niko

Posted 23 September 2018 - 07:00 AM

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It was a cold, crisp night w my low dipping down to 40F. Record was 34F set back in 1974. Brrrrr.


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#556
Thunder98

Posted 23 September 2018 - 07:07 AM

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A forecast high of only 42F for Rolla, North Dakota

 

Attached File  RollaNDwxforecast.PNG   344.59KB   3 downloads



#557
Niko

Posted 23 September 2018 - 08:58 AM

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Currently sunny and very pleasant w temps rebounding already in the 60s.



#558
OKwx2k4

Posted 23 September 2018 - 09:24 AM

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A forecast high of only 42F for Rolla, North Dakota

RollaNDwxforecast.PNG


That's brisk. They'd better know something is up by now.
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#559
Niko

Posted 23 September 2018 - 11:09 AM

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Temps are actually approaching 70F. What a nice jump in temps from where they were this morning. Currently at 69F.


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#560
Niko

Posted 24 September 2018 - 05:21 AM

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Cloudy and coolish w a currently temp of 56F. Some rain coming later today and lasting till Tuesday night.



#561
westMJim

Posted 24 September 2018 - 07:37 AM

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Cloudy and a somewhat cool 63° at my house. The race is now on!! If September ended yesterday this would have been the warmest September in recorded Grand Rapids history.  But it did not end yesterday and we still have 7 days to go. The current mean at GRR is 69.1° Last September was the tenth warmest in GRR and last years mean was 66.5° will this year be a top 10?? we shall see. 


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#562
Niko

Posted 24 September 2018 - 09:17 AM

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Looks like a slight warm-up tomorrow as temps climb into the upper 70s to maybe 80F. Some severe weather is possible as well.



#563
Niko

Posted 24 September 2018 - 09:53 AM

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Here comes the rain due north. This would be a great scenario come Wintertime.

 

http://www.intellica...014&layers=0039



#564
james1976

Posted 24 September 2018 - 11:06 AM

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Today looks to be the warmest day for the foreseeable future. This weekend could be chilly and wet.

#565
Iowawx

Posted 24 September 2018 - 05:42 PM

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This evenings runs of the HRRR suggest that the storms that move through Iowa tomorrow afternoon could have heavy rain. Strong area of storms looks to move in around mid afternoon tomorrow. The HRRR suggests that many areas could get an inch or more of rain. Even CR is showing over an inch tomorrow. SPC also has eastern Iowa in a slight risk of severe weather tomorrow. 


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#566
OKwx2k4

Posted 24 September 2018 - 07:57 PM

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Last warm full moon of the year tonight. Crystal clear, calm and cool. Perfect fall night.

#567
Tom

Posted 25 September 2018 - 02:13 AM

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Today, marks the last day this year, that Chicago will see 12+ hours of daylight.  The sunrise and sunset are almost exactly 12 hours apart (6:41am sunrise, 6:42pm sunset).


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#568
Niko

Posted 25 September 2018 - 05:48 AM

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Severe weather likely today. Big time storms to fire up. CF comes through late  tanite into early Weds and clears up everything w cooler temps. It actually feels humid today. Temps will be between 75-80F.



#569
St Paul Storm

Posted 25 September 2018 - 06:16 AM

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50F and raw this morning. Got some more rain last night and another round moving in now. Already the 7th wettest September on record here. Going to add to that before month end.

#570
jaster220

Posted 25 September 2018 - 07:15 AM

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50F and raw this morning. Got some more rain last night and another round moving in now. Already the 7th wettest September on record here. Going to add to that before month end.

 

Hope that pattern shifts SE in time. Battle Creek's at 1.38" on the month, and I know I've had even less in Marshall. It's dry since getting missed in every direction last week. 


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#571
Niko

Posted 25 September 2018 - 07:42 AM

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Sunshine trying to peak out, but clouds winning out. Took my garbage bin inside and it feels muggy outside again. UGH!



#572
Niko

Posted 25 September 2018 - 08:02 AM

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Future radar looks a bit stormy here in SEMI. Lets wait and see how this will unfold later on this afternoon. Isolated tornadoes are possible.


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#573
james1976

Posted 25 September 2018 - 09:15 AM

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Raining way hard over here. Also getting quite windy out of the north. Leaves are comin down. Love this time of year.

#574
james1976

Posted 25 September 2018 - 09:26 AM

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Friday looks chilly. 0 850s across N IA during the day.

#575
Niko

Posted 25 September 2018 - 09:29 AM

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Current DP is 70F, temp at 71F and HI AT 79F along w wet conditions. Very tropical airmass in place.



#576
Hawkeye

Posted 25 September 2018 - 10:06 AM

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Nasty bowing red line moving into CR.


season snowfall: 11.1"

 

'18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#577
james1976

Posted 25 September 2018 - 10:14 AM

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Nasty bowing red line moving into CR.

I noticed you are in a warning. Some thunder & lightning up here but mostly heavy rain.

#578
Iowawx

Posted 25 September 2018 - 10:30 AM

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This is insane, winds are easily 60+. Rain is sideways, will upload video shortly. 


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#579
Niko

Posted 25 September 2018 - 10:57 AM

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This is insane, winds are easily 60+. Rain is sideways, will upload video shortly. 

Probably looked like a hurricane out there.



#580
St Paul Storm

Posted 25 September 2018 - 11:36 AM

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Wind chill of 45F here. Heavy drizzle. Can see your breath outside. I welcome this wx with open arms.
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#581
jaster220

Posted 25 September 2018 - 11:52 AM

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@ Tom

 

LOT's under the gun it looks like..Watch issued for yby bud.  :)


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#582
Iowawx

Posted 25 September 2018 - 11:59 AM

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I am having trouble uploading video. Storm dropped 0.96" in about 20 minutes. Winds were likely around 55-60, airport recorded wind of 54mph. There was an area of rotation that moved over my area, and a tornado warning was issued. Will maybe try to upload video to youtube. 

 

This brings my September rainfall total so far to 9.16". Will likely add to that this weekend. Rainfall this weekend looks to be enough to push my rainfall total to over 10 inches for the month. 


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#583
jaster220

Posted 25 September 2018 - 06:05 PM

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Don't think I heard 40 mph winds but legit strikes and +RN for a bit!

2nd SWS of Sept. I'll take it!

Special Weather Statement
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
932 PM EDT TUE SEP 25 2018

MIZ073-260215-
Calhoun MI-
932 PM EDT TUE SEP 25 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

At 931 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking thunderstorms along a line
extending from near Battle Creek to Athens. Movement was east at 40
mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph with downed tree limbs will be possible
with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Albion... Marshall... Battle Creek...
Homer... Union City... Burlington...
Brownlee Park... Marengo... Athens...
Tekonsha... Pine Creek... Ceresco...

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until midnight EDT for
south central Michigan.

LAT...LON 4232 8527 4241 8472 4207 8471 4207 8529
TIME...MOT...LOC 0131Z 264DEG 34KT 4226 8521 4208 8524

#584
Hawkeye

Posted 25 September 2018 - 06:39 PM

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I forgot to mention that I picked up 0.55" of rain from the severe line early this afternoon.  The windiest, but thinnest part of the line moved through my part of CR.  My September rain total is now 9.01".


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season snowfall: 11.1"

 

'18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"


#585
Niko

Posted 25 September 2018 - 06:52 PM

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Torrential rainfall fell tanite and there were isolated tornadoes in Monroe and Wayne counties. There was confirm rotation in those locales.


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#586
Tom

Posted 26 September 2018 - 03:28 AM

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It's mornings like these when I enjoy sippin' on a warm cup of coffee.  Current temp of 51F, with a gusty W wind ushering a nice cool airmass today.  While I think this is overdone a bit, but the seasons first Freeze is on the table across portions of the northern sub Saturday morning.

 

namconus_T2m_ncus_51.png


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#587
Tom

Posted 26 September 2018 - 03:30 AM

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@CentralNeb, looks like your wish of a chilly morning has finally arrived today in NE.  Lot's of upper 30's/low 40's showing up across NE.


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#588
westMJim

Posted 26 September 2018 - 03:54 AM

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The storms yesterday and last night missed the Grand Rapids area. Here at my house I did receive 0.26" of rain but 0.23" of that fell yesterday morning. The official high in GR yesterday was 80° here at my house I recorded a high of 81° At this time it is cloudy with a temperature here at my house of 54°



#589
Cfweather

Posted 26 September 2018 - 04:06 AM

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Waterloo, IA now has the rainiest month ever recorded at 12.89 inches so far this month. Funny thing is that total is actually considerably lower than unofficial totals that are up around 17 or 18”.
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#590
CentralNebWeather

Posted 26 September 2018 - 04:56 AM

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@CentralNeb, looks like your wish of a chilly morning has finally arrived today in NE.  Lot's of upper 30's/low 40's showing up across NE.

I was just going to post that Tom, you read my mind.  I think we officially will have a low of 39 degrees in my town.  Just to my northwest they have been in a frost advisory.  The lowest temp I could find at 7 AM was 33 degrees at North Platte but might be some areas a degree or two cooler.  Had to grab a jacket this morning.  It was actually windy and chilly at my son's 7th grade football game last evening.  Been a long time coming and I'm enjoying it immensely.  


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#591
jaster220

Posted 26 September 2018 - 05:11 AM

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Torrential rainfall fell tanite and there were isolated tornadoes in Monroe and Wayne counties. There was confirm rotation in those locales.

 

The storms yesterday and last night missed the Grand Rapids area. Here at my house I did receive 0.26" of rain but 0.23" of that fell yesterday morning. The official high in GR yesterday was 80° here at my house I recorded a high of 81° At this time it is cloudy with a temperature here at my house of 54°

 

Marshall hit 82F (briefly) and we snagged the thin line last night bringing my 2-day total to a whopping 0.5" and monthly guestimate is ~1.5"  (staving off drought down here one drop at a time, lol) 



#592
TOL_Weather

Posted 26 September 2018 - 05:30 AM

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Got d**n near nothing here in Lansing. I would like to issue a formal apology to the people of Lansing.
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>1" Snowfalls for Toledo Express Airport in 2019-2020: 11/11 (~3"), 

 

Total Snowfall for 2019-2020 @ KTOL: 1.2"            Coldest Low: 

 

 

First flake of the season: 11/7/2019 @ 10:06 AM EST

 


#593
Niko

Posted 26 September 2018 - 05:51 AM

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More than an 1" fell last night in a short period of time. Man, it was coming down in buckets.

 

Currently, cloudy and a much quieter day expected today w slow clearing and cooler, drier weather on the way.



#594
Niko

Posted 26 September 2018 - 05:52 AM

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Marshall hit 82F (briefly) and we snagged the thin line last night bringing my 2-day total to a whopping 0.5" and monthly guestimate is ~1.5"  (staving off drought down here one drop at a time, lol) 

Thats it? D**n buddy, it seems like Marshall has been MIA lately. :blink:


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#595
Niko

Posted 26 September 2018 - 06:04 AM

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Currently at 60F w a DP of 54F. Much better, more comfortable day. Looks like my area is done w rainfall for at least the next couple of days. Next week looks unsettled w showers each day. Temps near average or slightly below.



#596
jaster220

Posted 26 September 2018 - 09:57 AM

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It's mornings like these when I enjoy sippin' on a warm cup of coffee.  Current temp of 51F, with a gusty W wind ushering a nice cool airmass today.  While I think this is overdone a bit, but the seasons first Freeze is on the table across portions of the northern sub Saturday morning.

 

namconus_T2m_ncus_51.png

 

GRR's zone actually had a some sub-freezing lows with the last cool-down. A small town inland recorded 30F that morning. Last Saturday I think it was? 



#597
jaster220

Posted 26 September 2018 - 10:20 AM

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Got d**n near nothing here in Lansing. I would like to issue a formal apology to the people of Lansing.

 

About what exactly?? 



#598
OKwx2k4

Posted 26 September 2018 - 10:24 AM

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Cool day!! Feels like Fall!!
Attached File  current.TAIR.grad(7).png   122.19KB   0 downloads
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#599
TOL_Weather

Posted 26 September 2018 - 12:47 PM

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About what exactly??

For steering the rain out of here.
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>1" Snowfalls for Toledo Express Airport in 2019-2020: 11/11 (~3"), 

 

Total Snowfall for 2019-2020 @ KTOL: 1.2"            Coldest Low: 

 

 

First flake of the season: 11/7/2019 @ 10:06 AM EST

 


#600
Tom

Posted 27 September 2018 - 03:29 AM

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It's been the coolest morning of the season since early June.  Temps have dipped into the upper 40's around here (48F) I believe has been the official low at ORD.  Patchy Frost is looking likely in the far NW burbs Saturday morning.  #Autumn is here...early next week is going to feel amazing after this cool stretch of weather.


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