September 2018 Observations and Discussion

[St Paul Storm]

Today is the first day this season where it has the fall/winter feel. I don't know how to describe it, but there is a certain smell here when we start going into the cold season and I can smell it today. Low tonight is 41 and if it weren't for all this rain we might have hit the 30's tonight.

Yep, I know exactly what you’re talking about. Today is the first day of the cold season in my mind.

 

I was outside talking with the neighbors about an hour ago. My neighbor had to go inside as she said ‘it’s frigid out here”. Current temp of 52 but winds of 26 mph creating a Wind Chill of 44. Yesssssss!

[OKwx2k4]

Today is the first day this season where it has the fall/winter feel. I don't know how to describe it, but there is a certain smell here when we start going into the cold season and I can smell it today. Low tonight is 41 and if it weren't for all this rain we might have hit the 30's tonight.

Even down here, I woke up late last night and stuck my head outside for a bit and I had the same thought. Smelled like fall. It's like all these hardwoods let off a smell when they are about to change. Its unmistakable. Now it's going to look and feel like fall very soon.

[OKwx2k4]

Its looking good. Kinda like the old-fashion Autumn weather there once used to be.

Exactly!! This is "old school" fall. I miss them. I've been looking forward to this for a long time.

[jaster220]

Man, that low down south, near Dallas, TX is a great spot to track up NE towards our area and dump a ton of snow during the Winter months.

 

Only, in Nino years these often slide more easterly from there, thus see 2009-10. Not saying that happens every time over this coming winter, but let's see what kind of hand lady luck is dealing us down the road. Every season has it's twists-n-turns and even very similar tele-connections won't end up with the same net results. That's kinda the fun of it. There's just enough "unknowns" to keep it interesting. Don't touch that dial..

[Niko]

Only, in Nino years these often slide more easterly from there, thus see 2009-10. Not saying that happens every time over this coming winter, but let's see what kind of hand lady luck is dealing us down the road. Every season has it's twists-n-turns and even very similar tele-connections won't end up with the same net results. That's kinda the fun of it. There's just enough "unknowns" to keep it interesting. Don't touch that dial..

 Exactly! As you say, that's what makes it fun. I like the anticipation of how all these Winter outlooks will turn out.

[CentralNebWeather]

My current dew point is 43. 43!!! Wow.

[gabel23]

My current dew point is 43. 43!!! Wow.

Probably your low for tonight also!!! Maybe even cooler than that; gonna be an awesome night for some friday night lights! 

[OKwx2k4]

My current dew point is 43. 43!!! Wow.

That's awesome buddy!! I cant wait til I get to experience that. Getting closer.

[Madtown]

46 in northern wi with a 35mph north wind atm...34 is the forecasted low!

[OKwx2k4]

46 in northern wi with a 35mph north wind atm...34 is the forecasted low!

I'm so jealous. Awesome!

[james1976]

54 on my drive home. Wow!

[Hawkeye]

Yeah, it's a little chilly out there this evening.

[Thunder98]

Cooler than avg temperatures is on the way for the midwest while the West is going be in the above avg territory. The coldest air is more prevalent in Minnesota, South Dakota and North Dakota.

 

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif

 

 

 

 

 

 

[VMB443]

58 degrees here - 46 dew point - winds 15-20 mph. Fall has arrived in Southeast Wisconsin!

[St Paul Storm]

First frost advisories for parts of MN, WI and MI.

[OKwx2k4]

A little water with this system.

To my knowledge, that is the second-greatest 24-hour rainfall in Oklahoma history.

 

Records are going to be destroyed later this year for other reasons.

Just wow.

[Minny_Weather]

Feels like Fall! Got my fireplace going just now and I'm about to head out to Jasterland. 45.5*F.

[Tom]

I fired up an October thread...http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/1860-october-2018-observations-and-discussion/

[Niko]

Currently at 52F w mostly cloudy skies. Lows tanite dipping into the upper 30s to near 40F.

[Niko]

I've noticed that next week's chillier airmass has been modified a bit. I am hoping it has nothing to do w any tropical systems affecting it. Its difference in modification is about 5 to 10 degrees warmer.

[westMJim]

This mornings official low of 46° at Grand Rapids was the coldest low since a low of 42 on May 12th. That is a span of 132 days. Here at my house I got down to 44 (43.6°)  At this time with full sun I have a temperature of 57°

[jaster220]

A little water with this system.

Screenshot_20180922-035239_Facebook.jpg

To my knowledge, that is the second-greatest 24-hour rainfall in Oklahoma history.

 

Records are going to be destroyed later this year for other reasons.

Just wow.

    D*mn! that's a ton of water

[Niko]

My temps still in the 50s w clouds and sun. Breezy conditions are still prevailing. Might do a bonfire tanite w wine , crackers, spicy cheese and grapes.

[james1976]

I kicked on the furnace this morning. When I woke up it was a bit chilly. wow!

[jaster220]

I kicked on the furnace this morning. When I woke up it was a bit chilly. wow!

 

I closed my windows pro-actively last night so our 49F didn't require a furnace. I did use my electric space heaters during our early month chill tho. A sunny and very pleasant 61F right now. 

[Niko]

Last night I had my windows closed, but no AC. YAY! Not sure when I will switch the mode from AC to Heat. I will wait till October arrives, in case we get another warm-up.

[Niko]

Tropical Storm Kirk forms in the Atlantic. Hopefully, this will not interfere w the chilly air next week and towards the weekend.

[westMJim]

It got cold in parts of lower Michigan last night.  Here are some reported lows Roscommon 29° Leota (Clare county) 30° Baldwin 33° Grayling and  Cadillac 34° West Branch 35° so there looks to have been areas of frost in central lower Michigan.

[jaster220]

It got cold in parts of lower Michigan last night.  Here are some reported lows Roscommon 29° Leota (Clare county) 30° Baldwin 33° Grayling and  Cadillac 34° West Branch 35° so there looks to have been areas of frost in central lower Michigan.

 

A good sign we won't have to wait another month to get leafs changing around here like we did last autumn

[Iowawx]

It looks as if we will continue to add to our very wet, and in some places across Iowa, record wet September. Storms likely Tuesday and then Euro has very heavy rain next weekend. GFS has it as well, but not quite as heavy as the Euro is showing. 

[Niko]

Temps remained in the low 60s throughout the day so far (61F). Feels great!

[jaster220]

Temps remained in the low 60s throughout the day so far (61F). Feels great!

 

Marshall hit the 65F GRR called for spot-on. They've been shooting about 2-4 degs low on the hot days so it worked out on a chillier day. Was almost October like when I was working in my yard. Just sans the changing leafs. Plenty of brown ones came down with all the winds tho. A solid 3 weeks since we've had more than a sprinkle here and now my front lawn is crispy again while the back remains green and plush and required cutting. Really need some rain from this Tuesday deal to pan out around here. Ofc, Iowa could share some, they seem to have plenty to share. 

[Niko]

Marshall hit the 65F GRR called for spot-on. They've been shooting about 2-4 degs low on the hot days so it worked out on a chillier day. Was almost October like when I was working in my yard. Just sans the changing leafs. Plenty of brown ones came down with all the winds tho. A solid 3 weeks since we've had more than a sprinkle here and now my front lawn is crispy again while the back remains green and plush and required cutting. Really need some rain from this Tuesday deal to pan out around here. Ofc, Iowa could share some, they seem to have plenty to share. 

I agree...some needed rain would be nice, especially for YBY. Tbh, I received nearly 1.50" couple days ago, so I will not complain.

[Niko]

It was a cold, crisp night w my low dipping down to 40F. Record was 34F set back in 1974. Brrrrr.

[Thunder98]

A forecast high of only 42F for Rolla, North Dakota

 

[Niko]

Currently sunny and very pleasant w temps rebounding already in the 60s.

[OKwx2k4]

A forecast high of only 42F for Rolla, North Dakota

 

RollaNDwxforecast.PNG

That's brisk. They'd better know something is up by now.

[Niko]

Temps are actually approaching 70F. What a nice jump in temps from where they were this morning. Currently at 69F.

[Niko]

Cloudy and coolish w a currently temp of 56F. Some rain coming later today and lasting till Tuesday night.

[westMJim]

Cloudy and a somewhat cool 63° at my house. The race is now on!! If September ended yesterday this would have been the warmest September in recorded Grand Rapids history.  But it did not end yesterday and we still have 7 days to go. The current mean at GRR is 69.1° Last September was the tenth warmest in GRR and last years mean was 66.5° will this year be a top 10?? we shall see.