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September 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

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#1
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 31 August 2018 - 10:50 PM

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Football season is upon us!!! Let's get some active weather going as we head into fall!!! Or at least a few drops of rain to end the ridiculous dry streak.
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Monmouth, Oregon cold season 17-18 Stats:

 

Coldest high: 34 (Dec 24)

Coldest low: 22 (Dec 11 & Feb 23)

Total snowfall: 1"

Last snowfall: February 21-22, 2018

Last accumulating snowfall on roads: March 6, 2017

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)

Last White Christmas: 2008

 

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#2
Front Ranger

Posted 01 September 2018 - 03:41 AM

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Very pleasant, sunny afternoon in the 70s in Paris.

Cool anomalies soothe the soul.


#3
MossMan

Posted 01 September 2018 - 06:13 AM

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Cloudy morning. Birds are chirping.

#4
Jginmartini

Posted 01 September 2018 - 07:20 AM

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With college football tomorrow it'll probly be about the same but we shall see. Very pleasant 57F with a clear Willamette Valley. Getting down into the 40s is looking pretty likely indeed.


Weather channel focused in on football as well

Low of 56 currently 57 with some morning clouds and some blue sky poking through
Blast of Arctic air please

#5
Jginmartini

Posted 01 September 2018 - 07:25 AM

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Very pleasant, sunny afternoon in the 70s in Paris.


Bonjour Front Ranger
Blast of Arctic air please

#6
TT-SEA

Posted 01 September 2018 - 07:42 AM

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Take it to the September thread.   ;)


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#7
Farmboy

Posted 01 September 2018 - 07:57 AM

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Cold morning. I don't have a weather station, but it *felt* lower 40's when I went outside just before 6am...

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#8
Farmboy

Posted 01 September 2018 - 08:01 AM

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Thick ice in the northwest passage has apparently been sinking yachts off Baffin Island.
http://arcticnorthwe...iew=classic&m=1


He probably would've made it if he would've stayed out of the narrow channels.

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#9
TT-SEA

Posted 01 September 2018 - 08:09 AM

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Cold morning. I don't have a weather station, but it *felt* lower 40's when I went outside just before 6am...

 

 

Are you living out on the coast now??



#10
MossMan

Posted 01 September 2018 - 08:27 AM

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56 here.

#11
Frontal Snowsquall

Posted 01 September 2018 - 08:35 AM

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Football season is upon us!!! Let's get some active weather going as we head into fall!!! Or at least a few drops of rain to end the ridiculous dry streak.


I remember back in September 2013 the Ducks played California at Autzen stadium in monsoon like conditions. Let's hope for a repeat of that this month!
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#12
Jesse

Posted 01 September 2018 - 08:36 AM

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Last few GFS runs have sort of gutted the late week system.



#13
Jesse

Posted 01 September 2018 - 08:39 AM

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Low of 48 here. Mostly cloudy and 58 now.

The next few days look pretty much like early September perfection. Just wish we had gotten some meaningful rain last week, or had any realistic chance on the horizon that didn’t evaporate once it got within 7 days.

#14
Esquimalt

Posted 01 September 2018 - 08:50 AM

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Pretty trough GFS and GEM runs this morning...but the big question remains:  CAN IT HAPPEN IN REALITY?  


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#15
Farmboy

Posted 01 September 2018 - 09:09 AM

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Are you living out on the coast now??


Just for a couple more weeks. I watched a few more episodes of Ozark. Made it halfway through episode 5. Good storyline, it would be nice if they could tone down the boorishness a notch or two. No reason for all the vulgarity... Just my two cents.

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#16
Farmboy

Posted 01 September 2018 - 09:10 AM

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Last few GFS runs have sort of gutted the late week system.


Wasn't that expected?

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#17
Jesse

Posted 01 September 2018 - 09:21 AM

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Wasn't that expected?


Prayed for even.

#18
Phil

Posted 01 September 2018 - 09:24 AM

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He probably would've made it if he would've stayed out of the narrow channels.


The northern portion of the NW passage is almost completely blocked with ice up to 10ft thick.

Been a very cold summer in NE-Canada under that vortex with NW winds funneling ice into the channels.
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Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#19
Farmboy

Posted 01 September 2018 - 09:32 AM

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The northern portion of the NW passage is almost completely blocked with ice up to 10ft thick.
Been a very cold summer in NE-Canada under that vortex with NW winds funneling ice into the channels.


Thus the influx of people vacationing in their yachts, makes sense..

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#20
Phil

Posted 01 September 2018 - 09:44 AM

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Thus the influx of people vacationing in their yachts, makes sense..


People do that s**t every year. This year the conditions are different, though, hence the problems.
Personal Weather Station, Live Stream on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...BETHE62#history

Warm Season 2018
90+ degree days: 5
Thunderstorm Days: 5
Severe Days: 1
Total rainfall: 1.77”
Highest Gust: 54mph
Warmest High: 94.6*F
Warmest low: 65.5*F

Live Weather Stream

#21
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 01 September 2018 - 10:22 AM

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I remember back in September 2013 the Ducks played California at Autzen stadium in monsoon like conditions. Let's hope for a repeat of that this month!


Yeah that AR was ridiculous and IIRC the "firehose" was really narrow. I was on the northern periphery of it and Eugene was in the bullseye. There were like 7 fumbles in the 1st quarter.
  • Frontal Snowsquall likes this

Monmouth, Oregon cold season 17-18 Stats:

 

Coldest high: 34 (Dec 24)

Coldest low: 22 (Dec 11 & Feb 23)

Total snowfall: 1"

Last snowfall: February 21-22, 2018

Last accumulating snowfall on roads: March 6, 2017

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)

Last White Christmas: 2008

 

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#22
TT-SEA

Posted 01 September 2018 - 10:27 AM

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12Z ECMWF looks warm for this coming week. PDX could add to their 90 count.

#23
Jesse

Posted 01 September 2018 - 10:30 AM

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12Z ECMWF looks warm for this coming week. PDX could add to their 90 count.


Wednesday is the only day that looks like a close call.

#24
TT-SEA

Posted 01 September 2018 - 10:34 AM

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Wednesday is the only day that looks like a close call.


Looks like 91-93 on surface map that day. Mid 80s on Tuesday and Thursday.

And the rain is held offshore late in the week... farther west than the 00Z run and way farther west than the 12Z run yesterday.

#25
Jesse

Posted 01 September 2018 - 10:36 AM

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Looks like 91-93 on surface map that day. Mid 80s on Tuesday and Thursday.

And the rain is held offshore late in the week... farther west than the 00Z run and way farther west than the 12Z run yesterday.


Really great trends all around.

#26
TT-SEA

Posted 01 September 2018 - 10:36 AM

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Although still shows a good rain event for the coast and NW interior one week from today.

#27
TT-SEA

Posted 01 September 2018 - 11:23 AM

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Another rain event on day 9 on the 12Z ECMWF.

#28
Farmboy

Posted 01 September 2018 - 11:30 AM

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Another rain event on day 9 on the 12Z ECMWF.


I wouldn't count on it.

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#29
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 01 September 2018 - 11:35 AM

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Another rain event on day 9 on the 12Z ECMWF.


We've seen that before.

Monmouth, Oregon cold season 17-18 Stats:

 

Coldest high: 34 (Dec 24)

Coldest low: 22 (Dec 11 & Feb 23)

Total snowfall: 1"

Last snowfall: February 21-22, 2018

Last accumulating snowfall on roads: March 6, 2017

Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)

Last White Christmas: 2008

 

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#30
TT-SEA

Posted 01 September 2018 - 12:42 PM

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Total precip per the 12Z ECMWF over the next 10 days...

 

ecmwf_tprecip_nw_41.png


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#31
Farmboy

Posted 01 September 2018 - 12:59 PM

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I guess last week's winter storm warning in Montana's high country doesn't count.

https://weather.com/...s-issued-alaska

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#32
Kayla

Posted 01 September 2018 - 01:13 PM

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I guess last week's winter storm warning in Montana's high country doesn't count.

https://weather.com/...s-issued-alaska

 

The Montana ones were advisories. 


Cold Season 2018/19:

Total snowfall: 0"
Highest daily snowfall 0"

Highest snow depth: 0"

Coldest high: 55.0º
Coldest low: 36.1º

Number of subzero days: 0

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#33
MossMan

Posted 01 September 2018 - 01:13 PM

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Total precip per the 12Z ECMWF over the next 10 days...

ecmwf_tprecip_nw_41.png

Looks wet for my area.

#34
El_Nina

Posted 01 September 2018 - 01:38 PM

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Another rain event on day 9 on the 12Z ECMWF.

Always day 8-10

#35
Farmboy

Posted 01 September 2018 - 01:40 PM

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The Montana ones were advisories.


Wow, up to 10" and only advisories? Quite a higher threshold for a winter storm warning there.

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#36
Geos

Posted 01 September 2018 - 01:41 PM

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Total precip per the 12Z ECMWF over the next 10 days...

 

ecmwf_tprecip_nw_41.png

 

I'll take 0.8" of rain. Nice.

 

Pretty cloudy today. Hovering at 67* right now. 


Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 25.86", 09/16

Lowest Temp of Autumn 2018: 42°, 09/18

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#37
Farmboy

Posted 01 September 2018 - 01:42 PM

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Another rain shower on day 9 on the 12Z ECMWF.


Fixed.

Heat waves in the summer, Arctic outbreaks in the winter!


#38
El_Nina

Posted 01 September 2018 - 01:44 PM

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Total precip per the 12Z ECMWF over the next 10 days...

ecmwf_tprecip_nw_41.png

When does most of that fall?

#39
TT-SEA

Posted 01 September 2018 - 01:50 PM

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When does most of that fall?


Day 7 and day 9
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#40
Geos

Posted 01 September 2018 - 01:52 PM

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GFS has some moisture, just most further north.

 

gfs_apcpn_nwus_40.png

 

BC wildfires should be winding down real quick soon.

 

Heading down...

 

meanT_2018.png


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Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 25.86", 09/16

Lowest Temp of Autumn 2018: 42°, 09/18

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#41
MossMan

Posted 01 September 2018 - 02:53 PM

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What a game!

#42
TT-SEA

Posted 01 September 2018 - 03:01 PM

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What a game!

 

Too bad they are going to lose.   I hope they keep it within one score here for ranking consideration later.



#43
MossMan

Posted 01 September 2018 - 03:08 PM

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Too bad they are going to lose. I hope they keep it within one score here for ranking consideration later.

Jake Browning made some poor decisions...and the slow start...otherwise they looked good and should have a great season.

#44
James Jones

Posted 01 September 2018 - 03:30 PM

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Nice day.

 

Football is a bad sport for bad people.


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#45
MossMan

Posted 01 September 2018 - 05:16 PM

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Nice day.

Football is a bad sport for bad people.

Jesse? Is that you?

#46
Geos

Posted 01 September 2018 - 05:22 PM

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Failed to reach 70 here today. High of 69. Gonna be cool tonight with a dew point of 52 currently.


Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 25.86", 09/16

Lowest Temp of Autumn 2018: 42°, 09/18

 

2017-2018 winter snowfall total: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam: http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2
https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#47
Jginmartini

Posted 01 September 2018 - 05:38 PM

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We made it to 73

May be a little warmer down south tonight due to this guy

Attached Files


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Blast of Arctic air please

#48
MossMan

Posted 01 September 2018 - 07:48 PM

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The only boat on the lake...on a sunny holiday weekend...so nice!

Attached Files



#49
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 September 2018 - 08:31 PM

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Canadian went all ridgy for this week.
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#50
ShawniganLake

Posted 01 September 2018 - 09:13 PM

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Most up to date mapping on B.C.’s fire season. 3.2 million acres burned.
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