Jump to content

September 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest


TigerWoodsLibido

Recommended Posts

Wow!

 

Someone who lamented the oppressive nature of our April weather with dewpoints in the mid-40s is now considering a move to Florida. :lol:

 

I could really enjoy the weather in Florida as well... but I am not too keen on endless swamps and a complete lack of mountains (or even hills). I could probably handle living right on the beach there.

The towering thunderheads act as the mountains.
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I've been able to acclimate to the humidity and I love how the weather is like clockwork. It rains at basically the same time every day. The lightning is my favorite part though, it's a guarantee every day. I could live here, I'm gonna consider a move.

Good luck, my friend. Personally, I could never live there because there’s no winter (not to mention the hurricane threats). Palm trees and Christmas lights just don’t go well together, IMO. :lol:

 

The thunderstorm season might be several months shorter here, but it’s a worthwhile trade-off. Basically the same weather as Florida during July/August with daily convection, but much different from October onwards.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Models are wildly different after day 7.

Don't worry, they'll all keep the areas which have received .4" since mid-June drier once we get inside of 8 days.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

GFS ensembles look wet for next week.

 

Does not look real wet on the WB maps.   

 

The GFS ensemble mean is definitely more ridgy as the week goes on... and the mean precipitation anomaly shows it being drier than normal for us.

 

gefs_z500_noram_41.png

 

 

gefs_tprecip_a_noram_41.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just did a Zillow search on beach properties in Florida... crazy expensive!    

 

I would never want to live inland in Florida.  

 

You can get pretty cheap beach property (or very close to the beach) up on the panhandle. 

 

I'd never want to live in Florida though, either. Love the seasons and mountains too much.

A forum for the end of the world.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just did a Zillow search on beach properties in Florida... crazy expensive!    

 

I would never want to live inland in Florida.  

 

Just did a Zillow search on beach properties in Florida... crazy expensive!    

 

I would never want to live inland in Florida.  

 

I know my parents used to own a house in Vero Beach. Was a few blocks from the beach, I know it wasn't expensive, but they sold it in the early 1990s, so who knows how much it is worth now. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Does not look real wet on the WB maps. The GFS ensemble mean is definitely more ridgy as the week goes on... and the mean precipitation anomaly shows it being drier than normal for us.

 

gefs_tprecip_a_noram_41.png

Lovely..looks like more of the same.

 

ADeLThR.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I know my parents used to own a house in Vero Beach. Was a few blocks from the beach, I know it wasn't expensive, but they sold it in the early 1990s, so who knows how much it is worth now.

 

Here is an example in Vero Beach... 3.9 million for a lot with no house!

 

https://www.zillow.com/homes/for_sale/Vero-Beach-FL/pmf,pf_pt/99694421_zpid/7680_rid/globalrelevanceex_sort/27.665922,-80.351912,27.654082,-80.370365_rect/15_zm/

 

 

 

And then $764,000 for this small house away from the water...

 

https://www.zillow.com/homes/for_sale/Vero-Beach-FL/pmf,pf_pt/45272858_zpid/7680_rid/globalrelevanceex_sort/27.665922,-80.351912,27.654082,-80.370365_rect/15_zm/

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

You can get pretty cheap beach property (or very close to the beach) up on the panhandle.

 

I'd never want to live in Florida though, either. Love the seasons and mountains too much.

Ugh..the Gulf side is the worst. At least there’s a breeze on the Atlantic side (sometimes).

Link to comment
Share on other sites

At this point I'm not going to put much stock in anything this late fall/winter until it gets inside 4-5 days.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Does not look real wet on the WB maps.

 

The GFS ensemble mean is definitely more ridgy as the week goes on... and the mean precipitation anomaly shows it being drier than normal for us.

 

 

Man, you are on a different level this year. Especially for this early.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This is going to screw with the pnw all winter. Enjoy!

Why do you say that? I don’t think the pattern now is representative of the coming winter pattern at all.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Man, you are on a different level this year. Especially for this early.

 

Different level by showing what the maps show?    I am not making up the data.    :lol:

 

I posted some very wet maps recently.    Because that is what the models showed.  

 

Same old Jesse... attack the messenger.    Response will be... "with you it goes much further"

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Holy moly! Taiwan is going to be lucky that it re-curves before hitting them but it looks like the Okinawa Islands and Japan will get hit.

 

 

Can you imagine the news coverage if that beast was approaching the coast of the US?!

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

For Tim.

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2018/09/24/one-dc-cloudiest-rainiest-septembers-keeps-getting-worse/?utm_term=.60910829f0ab

 

Yet this month, Washington is not only outranking Seattle in rainfall but also in the number of gloomy, overcast days. In September, Washington has seen 13 cloudy days while Seattle has notched six.

 

While it’s a somewhat low bar to surpass the rainfall in Seattle and London, Washington has also managed to outdo tropical locations to the south that usually experience heavier downpours and higher annual rainfalls. For example, it has logged substantially more rainfall than even New Orleans, Charleston and Houston.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

That little ULL is sure messing with the models.

 

Euro is cooler in the mid range (Sun-Tue), but warm in the long range.

Shows around .10 to .20 total over the next 10 days down there. Not exactly wet.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I’d really like to see the solar wind/AP index drop next month. September will likely finish between 7.8 - 8.2 thanks to the mid-month activity, which is relatively high, but the solar surface has really settled down now, with no large coronal holes or magnetic instabilities evident as of today.

 

Elevated geomagnetic activity during solar minimum tends to precede stronger subsequent solar cycles, so hopefully things quiet way down over the next 6 months.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Sorry if it bothered you. Its probably going to rain again eventually.

Yeah... that is what we were talking about!

 

ECMWF actually shows some decent rain up here early next week while not so much down there. As usual.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Makes sense. Do you think the ridgy pattern being advertised (thanks to a particular position of the ULL) is a mirage. Or does a western Rex block pattern like that have support?

I think the Rex block pattern is plausible, but the wavenumber is becoming more uncertain.

 

A month from now, a forcing structure like this would likely produce a western ridge/eastern trough pattern. But right now it’s much more murky...the equinox was just a few days ago.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Meteoric temp rise underway at PDX. Heading for mid 80s today.

 

Not sure why Tim was posting the Euro output the other day (only showing mid/upper 70s this week for PDX). It's been shown to run too cool in the warm season.

 

That being said, they probably top out around 82 today. Only a couple hours of warming left. Don't see the same late afternoon spikes this late in the season that you'd see a month or two ago.

A forum for the end of the world.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Not sure why Tim was posting the Euro output the other day (only showing mid/upper 70s this week for PDX). It's been shown to run too cool in the warm season.

 

:lol:

 

I always say it runs too cool... particularly around the Puget Sound region.  

 

I did say that I was sending prayers for Jesse!  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...