October 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[MossMan]

PDX reporting heavy rain on the hour. Nice to see.

And dry up here! Finally some reversal! Enjoy the rain!

[BLI snowman]

Looks like they've cleared the one inch mark...

 

#shutitdown!

 

Only took 25 days.

 

#drymonth

[Jesse]

Only took 25 days.

 

#drymonth

Who wants to be right anyway when being wrong feels sooo good? ️

[Deweydog]

Only took 25 days.

 

#drymonth

I just PM'ed Phil and he confirmed the Indian Ocean warm pool strongly indicates October will be about 31 days long.

[Deweydog]

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Been dry since I woke up.  Still nada.

[Jesse]

Been dry since I woke up. Still nada.

#soberOctober?

[Geos]

Stopped raining for the time being. Lot more coming though.

 

https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=lgx&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no

[Geos]

Got some cooling in the north Pacific the last 7 days...

Hopefully the storminess will beat back the son of a blob.

 

[Front Ranger]

Anyone know why the UW PDO numbers haven't been updating?

[TT-SEA]

Got some cooling in the north Pacific the last 7 days...

Hopefully the storminess will beat back the son of a blob.

 

 

 

Still looks pretty healthy though... and there was warming closer to our coast.   

 

ENSO cooling looks like it has ended as well.  

 

[stuffradio]

More juiciness for El Nino snow. I only bring it up because history says we usually do get early November snow, but of course that's almost always usually the nail to the rest of winter getting snow. So it's a double edged sword of happiness.

 

[TT-SEA]

Beautiful day on the north end of Vancouver Island... jealous!  

 

 

[Geos]

Still looks pretty healthy though... and there was warming closer to our coast.   

 

ENSO cooling looks like it has ended as well.  

 

 

At least for now the ENSO has leveled off at 0.5. Not too bad. 

 

[TT-SEA]

SEA radar is back up. 

[MossMan]

Beautiful day on the north end of Vancouver Island... jealous!

 

 

Been slowly getting darker here but still dry!

[BLI snowman]

Beautiful day on the north end of Vancouver Island... jealous!  

 

 

 

 

 

Lame that the storms don't all just stay up there.

[Jesse]

Beautiful day on the north end of Vancouver Island... jealous!

 

 

Nice to see all the trees aren’t dead up there.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Looks like it will rain but then it just...doesn't. This new climate sucks.

[Phil]

Got some cooling in the north Pacific the last 7 days...

Hopefully the storminess will beat back the son of a blob.

 

Why does it matter what happens to the blob?

[MossMan]

Raining!

[luminen]

Why does it matter what happens to the blob?

 

I don't know why people care about it.

 

Just prior to the winter of 2016-2017, the blob was at its height (or not far from it) and that was the best winter I've ever experienced in the PNW by a longshot (yes even better than 2008-2009, overall).

[Geos]

Why does it matter what happens to the blob?

 

Creates a warmer winter for us...

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I don't know why people care about it.

 

Just prior to the winter of 2016-2017, the blob was at its height (or not far from it) and that was the best winter I've ever experienced in the PNW by a longshot (yes even better than 2008-2009, overall).

13-14 and 16-17 were way better for Eugene/Springfield and Corvallis and both featured a robust blob. 08-09 was basically Salem north.

[luminen]

13-14 and 16-17 were way better for Eugene/Springfield and Corvallis and both featured a robust blob. 08-09 was basically Salem north.

 

I was lucky enough to be in Eugene for 2013-2014. December was great especially. But I was in Portland for 2008-2009. :D

[MossMan]

I don't know why people care about it.

 

Just prior to the winter of 2016-2017, the blob was at its height (or not far from it) and that was the best winter I've ever experienced in the PNW by a longshot (yes even better than 2008-2009, overall).

Not so much for the Puget Sound region. We had sloppy inch or so almost every weekend in December but that was about it...at least up here. 08-09 blows 16-17 away up here.

[Omegaraptor]

The Blob also faded after the 2016-17 winter and we got a relatively mild 2017-18 winter (remember when it was predicted to be a record cold one?) followed by a record hot summer. 

[Phil]

Creates a warmer winter for us...

Perhaps it’s the warmer patterns that produce the blob? Or is it purely a coincidence that the return of the blob has coincided perfectly with the return to western ridging/+PNA as subsurface-reemergence season begins?

 

Think about it..+PNA/western ridge regimes feature winds that are both weaker and more southerly-oriented across the GOA. This warms the GOA waters by weakening vertical mixing, reducing evaporative cooling, and also enhances regional downwelling due because of the dampened zonal pressure gradient and increase in westerly advection under the Aleutian Low.

[Front Ranger]

Why does it matter what happens to the blob?

#blobsmattertoo

[MossMan]

Only rained for 10 minutes. Nice and dry currently. 55 and breezy.

[Front Ranger]

The Blob also faded after the 2016-17 winter and we got a relatively mild 2017-18 winter (remember when it was predicted to be a record cold one?) followed by a record hot summer.

2017-18 turned out to be pretty decent a lot of places. Not that mild, actually.

[Phil]

[TigerWoodsLibido]

2017-18 turned out to be pretty decent a lot of places. Not that mild, actually.

But some places didn't have much action at all. Decent swath of the central and south valley hasn't had an accumulating snowfall since Mar of 2017.

[Jesse]

2017-18 turned out to be pretty decent a lot of places. Not that mild, actually.

It was relatively mild compared to 2016-17.

[North_County]

Not so much for the Puget Sound region. We had sloppy inch or so almost every weekend in December but that was about it...at least up here. 08-09 blows 16-17 away up here.

16-17 was exceptional for lower mainland BC and extreme northern Whatcom County. I had snow cover for, what seemed like, the entire month of January, and there was something like 7 or 8 straight days of measurable new accumulation. Even got snowed-in on two separate occasions when the drifts were too deep to get out of town without a high-clearance vehicle.

 

But winter stopped right around Lynden that year.

[Chewbacca Defense]

16-17 was exceptional for lower mainland BC and extreme northern Whatcom County. I had snow cover for, what seemed like, the entire month of January, and there was something like 7 or 8 straight days of measurable new accumulation. Even got snowed-in on two separate occasions when the drifts were too deep to get out of town without a high-clearance vehicle.

 

But winter stopped right around Lynden that year.

 

 

Yeah I was really jealous of you guys up north.  It was painful hearing about it going nuts 10 or so miles to the north (with no appreciable change in elevation) while we were sitting in NE Bellingham with no precip falling (or maybe wet snow that did not accumulate).  We did finally get a few inches at the end of that storm but it only lasted a day or 2 before going to freezing rain then rain.

 

I was at least able to take my son up  Everson Goshen Rd a little ways to get to the snow so he could get some winter driving practice.  It was amazing how quickly the snow totals increased (and the road conditions decreased) as we went north.  I think we got as far as the Pole Rd before turning back.

[Jesse]

16-17 was exceptional for lower mainland BC and extreme northern Whatcom County. I had snow cover for, what seemed like, the entire month of January, and there was something like 7 or 8 straight days of measurable new accumulation. Even got snowed-in on two separate occasions when the drifts were too deep to get out of town without a high-clearance vehicle.

 

But winter stopped right around Lynden that year.

We had close to a week of sub freezing temperatures and over of a foot of snow in some places that January. We are pretty far south of Lynden.

[ShawniganLake]

16-17 was exceptional for lower mainland BC and extreme northern Whatcom County. I had snow cover for, what seemed like, the entire month of January, and there was something like 7 or 8 straight days of measurable new accumulation. Even got snowed-in on two separate occasions when the drifts were too deep to get out of town without a high-clearance vehicle.

 

But winter stopped right around Lynden that year.

Are you sure about January 2017. December and February were the big snow months in SW BC that winter.

[seattleweatherguy]

Steady rain here

[TigerWoodsLibido]

We had close to a week of sub freezing temperatures and over of a foot of snow in some places that January. We are pretty far south of Lynden.

Eugene/Springfield also apparently had a great early Jan 2017 as well. A nice system dropped a bunch from like Redding to Corvallis on Jan 7. The only real loser during that stretch in the valley was Polk County, who was a bit too far south to score on the Jan 10 event and too far north for the Jan 7 one. Monmouth and Dallas haven't had a snowfall over 4" since 2014.