November 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Andrew.]

Got the lights all put up today, now just need some snow for the finishing touch.

 

 

 

[ShawniganLake]

Got the lights all put up today, now just need some snow for the finishing touch.

 

 

 

IMG_20181117_234503_337.jpg

[ChilliwackBCwx]

E4CFC6B8-B920-4622-833D-212811079B7A.jpeg

60% less beer Shawnigan man.

[ChilliwackBCwx]

Nice job with the lights guy's makes me feel all tingly up here.

[ShawniganLake]

The Euro ensemble looks relatively active thru the long range.

[Andrew.]

E4CFC6B8-B920-4622-833D-212811079B7A.jpeg

Haha perfect!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Nice to see the Huskies, Cougs, and Ducks all get the W tonight. Were you at the game Andrew?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The Euro ensemble looks relatively active thru the long range.

 

Maybe we can build something of a snow pack.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Maybe we can build something of a snow pack.

Are late snow/ski seasons a bad omen?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice to see the Huskies, Cougs, and Ducks all get the W tonight. Were you at the game Andrew?

 

Did not make it down today. My brother in law had his 40th birthday party and then my wife had to pick up a night shift, so the 7:30 kickoff didn't work. Listened to the game on the radio sounded like a really good game. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Are late snow/ski seasons a bad omen?

 

It isn't really a late season yet. The resorts always hope to be open by Thanksgiving, but generally it is a tossup if they are able to or not. If we are open by sometimes in the first week of December I wouldn't call it a super late start.

[Jesse]

Are late snow/ski seasons a bad omen?

Early/late ski seasons are always/never a good/bad omen.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I see Pendleton and Hermiston are into the mid-20s already this evening. Nice radiational cooling going on with the dry airmass. Burns headed for the single digits at 14 currently.

[ShawniganLake]

Maybe we can build something of a snow pack.

Relatively mild but the mean pressure center in the east pacific is shifted far enough east that we would likely remain active. Precip near to slightly above normal

 

 

The EPS absolutely torches almost all of Canada at the 850mb level

 

[Jesse]

I see Pendleton and Hermiston are into the mid-20s already this evening. Nice radiational cooling going on with the dry airmass. Burns headed for the single digits at 14 currently.

Should get a good cold pool going over there the next 2-3 days. Probably much cooler in PDX and the valley as well as a gap wind develops and inversions set in down south.

[Jesse]

Sunset/moonrise over Mt. Jefferson early this evening (a little after 4pm). From French Creek Ridge north of Detroit.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Sunset/moonrise over Mt. Jefferson early this evening (a little after 4pm). From French Creek Ridge north of Detroit.

 

D93DF57C-A25C-4202-B15B-3AE12C5F81E3.jpeg

 

Stunning. It was a beautiful day. Had a great view of Jefferson today driving back towards Salem on Hwy 22 from Grand Rhonde. This can be one of the best times of year to enjoy the outdoors, weather permitting, no crowds on the trails. 

[TT-SEA]

Tropical Tidbits is still not updating... last run available is from yesterday morning.

 

Using WB... it appears that the models have locked in a big storm for Thanksgiving evening into Friday and then it calms down again.  

 

The 00Z EPS shows an active storm track through the southern US in typical Nino fashion... without an actual Nino in place.

[Farmboy]

Tropical Tidbits is still not updating... last run available is from yesterday morning.

 

Using WB... it appears that the models have locked in a big storm for Thanksgiving evening into Friday and then it calms down again.

 

The 00Z EPS shows an active storm track through the southern US in typical Nino fashion... without an actual Nino in place.

I'll bet southern California and Arizona end up being pretty calm.

[TT-SEA]

I'll bet southern California and Arizona end up being pretty calm.

 

Probably correct... here is the 10-15 day period on the 00Z EPS:

 

 

[Farmboy]

Upper 60's and non-stop sunshine works for me.

[TT-SEA]

Going to be a beautiful day in Seattle...

 

[Timmy]

Tropical Tidbits is still not updating... last run available is from yesterday morning.

 

Using WB... it appears that the models have locked in a big storm for Thanksgiving evening into Friday and then it calms down again.

 

The 00Z EPS shows an active storm track through the southern US in typical Nino fashion... without an actual Nino in place.

I just realized that about Tropical tidbits, when I posted last night it was actually the 12z I was seeing.

[TT-SEA]

I just realized that about Tropical tidbits, when I posted last night it was actually the 12z I was seeing.

12Z NAM for today just updated so it's back up and running now.

[ShawniganLake]

12Z NAM for today just updated so it's back up and running now.

Maybe. Because the 0z gem updated overnight but the GFS has not. So it seems a bit spotty

[ShawniganLake]

Tropical Tidbits is still not updating... last run available is from yesterday morning.

 

Using WB... it appears that the models have locked in a big storm for Thanksgiving evening into Friday and then it calms down again.

 

The 00Z EPS shows an active storm track through the southern US in typical Nino fashion... without an actual Nino in place.

Looks like the next trimonthly value should be above +0.5C.

 

Also, and I hope someone will correct me if I’m wrong, but I see the AAM is forecast to go sky high. I believe this generally coincides with a stronger and southward displaced subtropical jet

[Blizzard777]

Clear and crisp!

29*

[TT-SEA]

Clear and crisp!

29*

 

45 here and down in the valley... thank you easterly breeze.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hermiston all the way down to 16 this morning. Corvallis fell into the mid-20s on the West side.

[TT-SEA]

Maybe. Because the 0z gem updated overnight but the GFS has not. So it seems a bit spotty

Yep... 12Z GFS is not updating yet on there and it starts running at 7:30.

[Jesse]

32 with light frost here this morning.

[Jesse]

Stunning. It was a beautiful day. Had a great view of Jefferson today driving back towards Salem on Hwy 22 from Grand Rhonde. This can be one of the best times of year to enjoy the outdoors, weather permitting, no crowds on the trails.

Oh yeah. We only saw one other group the whole day. The wind wasn’t too bad, considering we were on a high ridge, but the ground was frozen hard in many spots.

 

Took some gravel backroads to the Phantom Bridge after the hike. Very cool natural rock arch with views of Hood, Jefferson and the Three Sisters. Have you had a chance to check that one out.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

12 GEM is updating on the tidbits site.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Oh yeah. We only saw one other group the whole day. The wind wasn’t too bad, considering we were on a high ridge, but the ground was frozen hard in many spots.

 

Took some gravel backroads to the Phantom Bridge after the hike. Very cool natural rock arch with views of Hood, Jefferson and the Three Sisters. Have you had a chance to check that one out.

 

4C5CF645-6FCD-40B1-B6F7-2716E792BAFE.jpeg

 

Yeah I do need to make it to Phantom Bridge. 

[ShawniganLake]

The last few runs of the GEM have looked expert for SW BC. With a constant Wet SW flow

[ShawniganLake]

Anyone who wants rain in western Oregon will appreciate the 12z ICON

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Anyone who wants rain in western Oregon will appreciate the 12z ICON

 

Could you post a map since our tidbits is not updating.

[ShawniganLake]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

6CFE755C-221A-462F-8F42-7454460DFD6A.gif6E68F63D-EB9B-44B2-A5DE-0E95D52B5ECF.gif

 

Wow! We certainly need it. Thanks!

[El_Nina]

Is it looking like a good dump of snow will hit Mt. Hood anytime soon?