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11/24 - 11/26 Winter Storm

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#101
LNK_Weather

Posted 20 November 2018 - 06:35 PM

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Local TV forecaster is forecasting an inch and a low impact storm

Who? That's shitty this far out. Back when I forecasted on social media, I refused to forecast any amounts farther than 48hrs out. I feel like he should have done the same but I guess ratings are cool too.
  • jaster220 likes this

2019 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 0 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 2 (Last: 5/5/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 6/21/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 6 (Last: 6/21/2019)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 0 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 1 (Last: 4/10/2019)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 6 (Last: 6/21/2019)

 

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0"), 12/28 (2.4"), 1/11-12 (4.9"), 1/22 (3.9"), 2/6-7 (2.2"), 2/15 (2.6"), 2/16-17 (4.2"), 2/19-20 (5.1"), 2/23 (8.0"), 3/2 (2.0"), 3/6-7 (4.3")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 55.5"             Coldest Low: -9*F (1/30, 3/4)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT                Last flake of the season (so far): 4/11/2019 @ 9:44 PM CDT

 


#102
Stormhunter87

Posted 20 November 2018 - 06:49 PM

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sorry, but seems dumb from this far out to discount any solution at this point, let alone decide on it's strength :rolleyes:. You couldn't pay me to watch a local forecaster for a storm call. Maybe within 6 hrs..but then only maybe


Yeah not a fan of his forecast plus I think he trying to down play it. He hasn't had the best track record so far this year.
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#103
Stormhunter87

Posted 20 November 2018 - 06:50 PM

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Who? That's shitty this far out. Back when I forecasted on social media, I refused to forecast any amounts farther than 48hrs out. I feel like he should have done the same but I guess ratings are cool too.


Rusty lord he focused mainly on the euro.

#104
LNK_Weather

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:03 PM

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Rusty lord he focused mainly on the euro.


Never been a fan of Rusty Lord. He has a ton of hot takes regarding weather and he does it all for views.

2019 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 0 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 2 (Last: 5/5/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 6/21/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 6 (Last: 6/21/2019)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 0 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 1 (Last: 4/10/2019)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 6 (Last: 6/21/2019)

 

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0"), 12/28 (2.4"), 1/11-12 (4.9"), 1/22 (3.9"), 2/6-7 (2.2"), 2/15 (2.6"), 2/16-17 (4.2"), 2/19-20 (5.1"), 2/23 (8.0"), 3/2 (2.0"), 3/6-7 (4.3")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 55.5"             Coldest Low: -9*F (1/30, 3/4)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT                Last flake of the season (so far): 4/11/2019 @ 9:44 PM CDT

 


#105
jcwxguy

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:03 PM

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Rusty lord he focused mainly on the euro.

makes sense for crusty
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#106
jaster220

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:07 PM

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Who? That's shitty this far out. Back when I forecasted on social media, I refused to forecast any amounts farther than 48hrs out. I feel like he should have done the same but I guess ratings are cool too.

 

Got a new avatar for ya based on your station acro.

 

You can be Colonel KL(i)NK

 

Attached File  KLiNK.jpeg   5.51KB   0 downloads

 

 

Nobody's gonna tell you how Lincoln avoids screw-jobs!

 

 

:lol: :lol: :lol:


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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 55.9"  Largest Storm: 2x 7" (1/28-29 & 1/18-19)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 2.0 Jan: 21.7 Feb: 14.1 Mar: 2.4 Apr: 0.5 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#107
Stormhunter87

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:07 PM

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Never been a fan of Rusty Lord. He has a ton of hot takes regarding weather and he does it all for views.


Definitely agree plus he does live streams now. Last time I tuned in pointed out other model runs he completely down played it. But the last round of energy he said maybe an inch then changed it to flurries. Then 80 turned into a nightmare after the game.
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#108
Craig-OmahaWX

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:25 PM

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Never been a fan of Rusty Lord. He has a ton of hot takes regarding weather and he does it all for views.

Huh? I think he's probably one of the most conservative forecasters out there lol


2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook...snowdayweather/


#109
Hoosier

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:37 PM

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Certain patterns/setups are more likely to produce a result that goes against climo, as we have already seen unfold this season. Looking at the overall setup for this particular storm, the system ejects from the KS/OK latitude (not deep into Texas), there is not a whole lot of antecedent cold and there is some ridging out ahead. Basically I don't see a way that the main snow swath comes too far south. Where it gets more interesting for folks around IL/IN/lower MI is whether it slows down and sort of stalls for a while as some model runs have hinted at. Could get some lighter snows in those areas (possible exception downwind of lakes where there could be more) but the swath of heaviest synoptic snows should stay farther north/west.
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#110
CentralNebWeather

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:37 PM

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0z Icon hits Nebraska and Kansas

#111
Stormhunter87

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:39 PM

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0z Icon hits Nebraska and Kansas


Central or eastern Nebraska?

#112
GDR

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:41 PM

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Central or eastern Nebraska?

very hard

#113
GDR

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:42 PM

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Eastern and south east

#114
LNK_Weather

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:42 PM

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Huh? I think he's probably one of the most conservative forecasters out there lol


He's conservative, yeah, but that doesn't mean forecast amounts 5 days out.

2019 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 0 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 2 (Last: 5/5/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 6/21/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 6 (Last: 6/21/2019)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 0 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 1 (Last: 4/10/2019)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 6 (Last: 6/21/2019)

 

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0"), 12/28 (2.4"), 1/11-12 (4.9"), 1/22 (3.9"), 2/6-7 (2.2"), 2/15 (2.6"), 2/16-17 (4.2"), 2/19-20 (5.1"), 2/23 (8.0"), 3/2 (2.0"), 3/6-7 (4.3")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 55.5"             Coldest Low: -9*F (1/30, 3/4)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT                Last flake of the season (so far): 4/11/2019 @ 9:44 PM CDT

 


#115
Craig-OmahaWX

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:43 PM

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ICON

 

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_38.png


2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook...snowdayweather/


#116
Stormhunter87

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:48 PM

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A little south for my liking but man that's alot of moisture.

#117
jaster220

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:53 PM

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A little south for my liking but man that's alot of moisture.

 

:huh: looks jack perfect for yby


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 55.9"  Largest Storm: 2x 7" (1/28-29 & 1/18-19)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 2.0 Jan: 21.7 Feb: 14.1 Mar: 2.4 Apr: 0.5 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#118
jcwxguy

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:54 PM

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icon_asnow_ncus_57.png
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#119
Craig-OmahaWX

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:55 PM

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icon_asnow_ncus_49.png


2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook...snowdayweather/


#120
Grizzcoat

Posted 20 November 2018 - 07:59 PM

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GFS crushes most of W Ia


2018-19 Snowfall- 47.0" - JAN 19'   18.7" (7th all time snowiest) Feb 19' 25.7" (All Time Snowiest FEB)  JAN and FEB 19' first back to back double digit snow months since J/F of 2011


#121
GDR

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:01 PM

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Looks a little more south and east

#122
Craig-OmahaWX

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:02 PM

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gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_18.png


2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook...snowdayweather/


#123
gabel23

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:03 PM

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Great track for eastern neb and western iowa, just need to transition to snow earlier for us west of the river.

#124
Grizzcoat

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:04 PM

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Attached File  USA_ASNOWI48_sfc_120.gif   48.17KB   0 downloads


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2018-19 Snowfall- 47.0" - JAN 19'   18.7" (7th all time snowiest) Feb 19' 25.7" (All Time Snowiest FEB)  JAN and FEB 19' first back to back double digit snow months since J/F of 2011


#125
St Paul Storm

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:05 PM

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Man some of you are gonna get crushed if this is anywhere close to reality.
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#126
jcwxguy

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:09 PM

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gfs_asnow_ncus_22.png

#127
Stormhunter87

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:12 PM

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:huh: looks jack perfect for yby


Lol I like the low to be just a little north of KC for those real intense wrap around snow bands. I still love the amounts though 7-10 based on 00z GFS and icon

#128
GDR

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:14 PM

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Canadian with a similar set up

#129
jaster220

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:15 PM

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Lol I like the low to be just a little north of KC for those real intense wrap around snow bands. I still love the amounts though 7-10 based on 00z GFS and icon

 

I like it over Georgian Bay, lol. Wanna trade places?


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 55.9"  Largest Storm: 2x 7" (1/28-29 & 1/18-19)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 2.0 Jan: 21.7 Feb: 14.1 Mar: 2.4 Apr: 0.5 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#130
Grizzcoat

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:15 PM

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Will be mildly surprised if the EURO doesn't come back north -- 


2018-19 Snowfall- 47.0" - JAN 19'   18.7" (7th all time snowiest) Feb 19' 25.7" (All Time Snowiest FEB)  JAN and FEB 19' first back to back double digit snow months since J/F of 2011


#131
jaster220

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:17 PM

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GEFS & GEPS seem to track the SLP in a very similar path. The question is what's going on further up. ULL getting pulled NW where the thermocline sets up. Grats western sub peeps


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 55.9"  Largest Storm: 2x 7" (1/28-29 & 1/18-19)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 2.0 Jan: 21.7 Feb: 14.1 Mar: 2.4 Apr: 0.5 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#132
Craig-OmahaWX

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:17 PM

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GEM

 

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_18.png


2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook...snowdayweather/


#133
GDR

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:17 PM

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Gut feeling the euro stays put maybe throws some love out east

#134
Stormhunter87

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:18 PM

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I like it over Georgian Bay, lol. Wanna trade places?


Lol atm no but just dreaming :P
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#135
jcwxguy

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:24 PM

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#136
jaster220

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:27 PM

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I get a LOW PARTY plus a tenth by hour 900 ;)

 

 

Attached Files


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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 55.9"  Largest Storm: 2x 7" (1/28-29 & 1/18-19)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 2.0 Jan: 21.7 Feb: 14.1 Mar: 2.4 Apr: 0.5 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#137
jaster220

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:29 PM

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LOW Parties are the worst. See 11-12 on how SWMI did low parties proud. Need this thing to go N or trend S.


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 55.9"  Largest Storm: 2x 7" (1/28-29 & 1/18-19)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 2.0 Jan: 21.7 Feb: 14.1 Mar: 2.4 Apr: 0.5 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#138
jaster220

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:35 PM

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K, might've been premature. By h180 the storm fujiwara's down from Georgian Bay and throws SMI a parting shot of flakes.

 

Been the theme so far, why not go witt it?

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_30.png


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 55.9"  Largest Storm: 2x 7" (1/28-29 & 1/18-19)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 2.0 Jan: 21.7 Feb: 14.1 Mar: 2.4 Apr: 0.5 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#139
East Dubzz

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:35 PM

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This run of the GFS looks like an improvement. Pretty impressed with the consistency given how far out it is. Makes me think we could still be in for a surprise...

2019 Statistics (Starting 3/23/19)

Total rainfall: 12.80"

June rainfall total: 3.49"

Largest 24-hour rainfall: 1.16" (4/28)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 0


#140
Grizzcoat

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:41 PM

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Ukie very similar to GFS at hour 96 with L placement ; but is about 75 miles or so W at 120. 


2018-19 Snowfall- 47.0" - JAN 19'   18.7" (7th all time snowiest) Feb 19' 25.7" (All Time Snowiest FEB)  JAN and FEB 19' first back to back double digit snow months since J/F of 2011


#141
Grizzcoat

Posted 20 November 2018 - 08:52 PM

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FV3-GFS

 

https://www.tropical...18112100&fh=120


2018-19 Snowfall- 47.0" - JAN 19'   18.7" (7th all time snowiest) Feb 19' 25.7" (All Time Snowiest FEB)  JAN and FEB 19' first back to back double digit snow months since J/F of 2011


#142
james1976

Posted 20 November 2018 - 09:09 PM

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This looks pretty wound up on all the models. What are winds....30 or 40 I'm guessing?

#143
Grizzcoat

Posted 20 November 2018 - 09:12 PM

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This looks pretty wound up on all the models. What are winds....30 or 40 I'm guessing?

https://www.instantw...=GUSTM&hour=114


2018-19 Snowfall- 47.0" - JAN 19'   18.7" (7th all time snowiest) Feb 19' 25.7" (All Time Snowiest FEB)  JAN and FEB 19' first back to back double digit snow months since J/F of 2011


#144
East Dubzz

Posted 20 November 2018 - 09:17 PM

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FV3-GFS looks like it actually takes the heaviest snow SE of Dubuque.

2019 Statistics (Starting 3/23/19)

Total rainfall: 12.80"

June rainfall total: 3.49"

Largest 24-hour rainfall: 1.16" (4/28)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 0


#145
GDR

Posted 20 November 2018 - 09:21 PM

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Attached File  E67BA012-2929-42CB-A3D8-D27CB18620CB.png   1.11MB   0 downloads

#146
Grizzcoat

Posted 20 November 2018 - 10:31 PM

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Euro pretty much held serve from 12Z-- 


2018-19 Snowfall- 47.0" - JAN 19'   18.7" (7th all time snowiest) Feb 19' 25.7" (All Time Snowiest FEB)  JAN and FEB 19' first back to back double digit snow months since J/F of 2011


#147
Craig-OmahaWX

Posted 20 November 2018 - 10:32 PM

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0z EURO is the outlier while most models are further north.


2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook...snowdayweather/


#148
ToastedRavs

Posted 20 November 2018 - 10:33 PM

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Oz European has des Moines on northern edge. Omaha and Lincoln on extreme northern edge. For the few who live in Ottumwa Iowa...this is YOUR model run. LOL

Edit: Actually, the neighbors to my south in Chariton, IA take the jackpot 8+"

#149
Grizzcoat

Posted 20 November 2018 - 10:34 PM

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Attached File  ecmwfued_rapid-null--usnc_ll-126-C-frozencobb24_whitecounty.png   55.57KB   0 downloads


2018-19 Snowfall- 47.0" - JAN 19'   18.7" (7th all time snowiest) Feb 19' 25.7" (All Time Snowiest FEB)  JAN and FEB 19' first back to back double digit snow months since J/F of 2011


#150
Grizzcoat

Posted 20 November 2018 - 10:36 PM

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Euro really peters it out as you go E and N -- the above map is pretty much what falls for most of this sub forum 


2018-19 Snowfall- 47.0" - JAN 19'   18.7" (7th all time snowiest) Feb 19' 25.7" (All Time Snowiest FEB)  JAN and FEB 19' first back to back double digit snow months since J/F of 2011