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December 2018 Observations and Discussion

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#451
jaster220

Posted Yesterday, 05:51 PM

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Another cold day (32F for a high) and the last 3 were expected to be well above freezing. Even with warm lows, we're stringing a week of BN avg's.

 

While my NWS office is not too bullish on tomorrow's little wave, these maps indicate a possible front and back side snowy period. Will be nice to at least see flakes, and minor accum's not outta the question here.

 

Attached File  20181211 Intellicast h24 surf.GIF   72.39KB   2 downloads

 

Attached File  20181211 Intellicast h36 surf.GIF   62.28KB   1 downloads

 

 


  • Niko likes this

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#452
jaster220

Posted Yesterday, 06:03 PM

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:lol:  RGEM gives me 1"...and TX 13" :blink:


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#453
Niko

Posted Yesterday, 06:09 PM

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Another cold day (32F for a high) and the last 3 were expected to be well above freezing. Even with warm lows, we're stringing a week of BN avg's.

 

While my NWS office is not too bullish on tomorrow's little wave, these maps indicate a possible front and back side snowy period. Will be nice to at least see flakes, and minor accum's not outta the question here.

 

attachicon.gif20181211 Intellicast h24 surf.GIF

 

attachicon.gif20181211 Intellicast h36 surf.GIF

At this point, I'll take 1/2 " :lol:

 

FWIW, I saw the 384 hr GFS yesterday and it is insane. Its a crippling blizzard. (945mb triple phase).....need I say, stronger than "78" :o


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#454
LNK_Weather

Posted Yesterday, 06:32 PM

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Fargo, originally supposed to only get a dusting, just got rocked by freezing rain followed by 2" of heavy snow and counting.


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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#455
Andie

Posted Yesterday, 06:50 PM

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Is it just me, or it this fall/winter shaping up to follow its own rules and defy the models?
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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.


#456
LNK_Weather

Posted Yesterday, 07:08 PM

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Is it just me, or it this fall/winter shaping up to follow its own rules and defy the models?

The models haven't even been close to right for anything that's happened here this year. We could get 4" of snow Thursday and I wouldn't be surprised.


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>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 13.7"             Coldest Low: 6*F

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT       

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

2018 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 2 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 0 (Last: 5/9/2016)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6 (Last: 9/20/2018)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 5 (Last: 9/20/2018)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 1 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 3 (Last: 6/30/2018)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 9 (Last: 9/20/2018)


#457
Andie

Posted Yesterday, 07:25 PM

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Well, Northern Plains friends, here a solution to a radar anomaly reported up there. Thing is, the mystery really just gets deeper.


https://www.courierp...ery/2280916002/

"Citing an unnamed pilot, he said Evansville air traffic control claimed a military C-130 released a stream of chaff – radar-jamming material sometimes used during training exercises – a few miles northwest of Evansville.

A story from the Courier & Press pointed out that military bases sat near the areas where the blips appeared: Fort Campbell in Kentucky and Scott Air Force Base in Western Illinois.

But if this was a case of military chaff, and it did come from a C-130, that plane didn’t come from either of those bases."

...then. It gets perplexing.

Attached File  IMG_3489.JPG   59.67KB   0 downloads
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#458
jaster220

Posted Yesterday, 07:38 PM

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At this point, I'll take 1/2 " :lol:

 

FWIW, I saw the 384 hr GFS yesterday and it is insane. Its a crippling blizzard. (945mb triple phase).....need I say, stronger than "78" :o

 

And this from anonymous  :lol: 

 

 

On or about Christmas Eve into Christmas Day, there is a possibility of an intense blizzard over Illinois and points north and east. Winds would be pretty strong but the snow amounts may be mammoth. Just a heads up. Should start seeing this on standard models in about a week, signal will be quite strong. 1978 anyone?


  • Niko likes this

Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#459
Niko

Posted Yesterday, 07:57 PM

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And this from anonymous  :lol:

Hope this is the beginning of a big storm coming at that timeframe.....



#460
jaster220

Posted Yesterday, 07:58 PM

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At this point, I'll take 1/2 " :lol:

 

FWIW, I saw the 384 hr GFS yesterday and it is insane. Its a crippling blizzard. (945mb triple phase).....need I say, stronger than "78" :o

 

Which run exacty? I did not see that and can't seem to find it. New or old GFS?


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#461
jaster220

Posted Yesterday, 08:03 PM

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Hope this is the beginning of a big storm coming at that time frame.....

 

Certainly no shortage of potential being flashed, but we've seen that before only to have it come back to reality. Nonetheless, I'd drool over some of these

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_51.png


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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#462
jaster220

Posted Yesterday, 08:10 PM

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Hope this is the beginning of a big storm coming at that timeframe.....

 

Wouldn't that be something?


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#463
Niko

Posted Yesterday, 08:10 PM

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Which run exacty? I did not see that and can't seem to find it. New or old GFS?

Not sure. If I had to take a guess, I would say "New"



#464
Niko

Posted Yesterday, 08:12 PM

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Certainly no shortage of potential being flashed, but we've seen that before only to have it come back to reality. Nonetheless, I'd drool over some of these

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_51.png

That looks sweet. This relaxation we are dealing w now is a tease. Ma Nature is telling us, "Get Ready"..powerhouse of a storm is coming right b4 Christmas or on Christmas Day.



#465
Niko

Posted Yesterday, 08:14 PM

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Wouldn't that be something?

I want to see other models picking up on this during the next couple of days, at least starting next week.



#466
jaster220

Posted Yesterday, 08:15 PM

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I want to see other models picking up on this during the next couple of days, at least starting next week.

 

Which run showed that mega-bomb? Or were you joking?

 

This could go bigly

 

fv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_64.png


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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#467
Niko

Posted Yesterday, 08:19 PM

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Which run showed that mega-bomb? Or were you joking?

 

This could go bigly

 

fv3p_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_64.png

Not sure......No joke.....It was huge!

 

Man, look at all that moisture. A lot of peeps on this forum score w this one.



#468
jaster220

Posted Yesterday, 08:24 PM

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Not sure......No joke.....It was huge!

 

Man, look at all that moisture. A lot of peeps on this forum score w this one.

 

Did the men in black retract it or something? I can't find anything close to that on either GFS the past 2.5 days. Fake news.. :lol:


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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#469
Niko

Posted Yesterday, 08:28 PM

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Did the men in black retract it or something? I can't find anything close to that on either GFS the past 2.5 days. Fake news.. :lol:

:lol:

 

Lets see if it comes back during the next couple of days....



#470
Grizzcoat

Posted Yesterday, 09:24 PM

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What concerns myself  (as a snow/cold lover) about this current pattern and the one forecasted to change it back to the one we had just a few weeks ago is twofold. #1- These types of patterns ALWAYAS last longer then models show and what people like JB and some others think. Bias with JB and others, but the models simply struggle at long range with regime changes and these patterns are always buggers to break. #2- Once the pattern is broken, my fear is NW flow with little moisture as previously mentioned by another poster. But at this point in the game with .7" snow for DEC at my location; a Clipper producing 1-3" will seem like a pan handle hook. I value Tom's and others' thoughts on here but I don't see serious change until after the New Year - not before.  With the current forecast through 10 days - and  I think most would agree there are slim/none chances of accumulating snowfall - DSM will had 2.7" for the year and have to go back 12 years to 06-07' to find a lower amount through DEC 22 at 1.4" 

But there is good in the bad - just like anything else. It has allowed those who heat with wood the extra time to gather kindling and extra wood in the rather dry woods which is much more difficult with a deep snow cover. I just hope the snow eventually shows up.


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#471
Sparky

Posted Yesterday, 09:55 PM

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I always enjoy reading Terry's blog. That guy loves the White Gold as much as anybody!

Yep, that’s for sure. I also like his blog. I even have a very interesting book he wrote among a stack of other wx books,though I haven’t read any of them for a number of years.

#472
Craig-OmahaWX

Posted Yesterday, 10:35 PM

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Dang been so quiet lately lol. Kinda nice to get some work done. But looking forward to storminess soon!


  • jaster220 likes this

2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 13.50"

 

For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 :

 

https://www.facebook...snowdayweather/


#473
Tom

Posted Today, 04:33 AM

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What concerns myself  (as a snow/cold lover) about this current pattern and the one forecasted to change it back to the one we had just a few weeks ago is twofold. #1- These types of patterns ALWAYAS last longer then models show and what people like JB and some others think. Bias with JB and others, but the models simply struggle at long range with regime changes and these patterns are always buggers to break. #2- Once the pattern is broken, my fear is NW flow with little moisture as previously mentioned by another poster. But at this point in the game with .7" snow for DEC at my location; a Clipper producing 1-3" will seem like a pan handle hook. I value Tom's and others' thoughts on here but I don't see serious change until after the New Year - not before.  With the current forecast through 10 days - and  I think most would agree there are slim/none chances of accumulating snowfall - DSM will had 2.7" for the year and have to go back 12 years to 06-07' to find a lower amount through DEC 22 at 1.4" 

But there is good in the bad - just like anything else. It has allowed those who heat with wood the extra time to gather kindling and extra wood in the rather dry woods which is much more difficult with a deep snow cover. I just hope the snow eventually shows up.

 

After I read your comment, it brought me back memories to the terrible winter of '16/'17 where it seemed like the pattern changes never came and were always delayed.  With that in mind, and knowing the type of LRC pattern that set up the record setting season for the PAC NW, I learned my mistakes from that season.  Not to mention, the fact that the Long Term Long Wave Trough was NOT favorable for the majority of our sub that season and the pesky ridge kept on showing up relentlessly. 

 

On the flip side, this year's cyclical pattern is remarkably different and places the Long Term Long Wave Trough right across the MW/GL's region, just east of the central Plains of NE.  I think Gary Lezak also agrees with this idea.  Anyhow, I firmly believe the pattern change is coming and it will likely begin around the Winter Solstice period as I'm still expecting a northern tier runner coming off of the N Rockies into the Upper MW/GL's region.  There is still some question if a southern piece tries to run up from the southern Plains and phase with the northern piece.  Lots to digest over the coming 7-10 days as the models try to iron out this big shift in the overall N.A. pattern.


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#474
Grizzcoat

Posted Today, 04:53 AM

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After I read your comment, it brought me back memories to the terrible winter of '16/'17 where it seemed like the pattern changes never came and were always delayed.  With that in mind, and knowing the type of LRC pattern that set up the record setting season for the PAC NW, I learned my mistakes from that season.  Not to mention, the fact that the Long Term Long Wave Trough was NOT favorable for the majority of our sub that season and the pesky ridge kept on showing up relentlessly. 

 

On the flip side, this year's cyclical pattern is remarkably different and places the Long Term Long Wave Trough right across the MW/GL's region, just east of the central Plains of NE.  I think Gary Lezak also agrees with this idea.  Anyhow, I firmly believe the pattern change is coming and it will likely begin around the Winter Solstice period as I'm still expecting a northern tier runner coming off of the N Rockies into the Upper MW/GL's region.  There is still some question if a southern piece tries to run up from the southern Plains and phase with the northern piece.  Lots to digest over the coming 7-10 days as the models try to iron out this big shift  in the overall N.A. pattern.

 

Very true. The big issues is when this big shift  occurs. Personally don't see it till later. IF it happens earlier then modeled - watch out. IF later- it will likely be NW flow for sometime. People must know (and most here understand) that a rather big snow event for many takes MANY things to be right-- not just a few. That's why if you have had a big snow event-- ever- (outside the  Lakes) consider yourself lucky. 

 


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#475
Grizzcoat

Posted Today, 04:56 AM

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A good - wide spread- snow event lately in the Central PLains has been hard to come. I'am talking NE-IA-MN-IL-WI-MI-- all with 4"+ from the same event. Seems easy-- but recently seems almost impossible. 



#476
Snowshoe

Posted Today, 05:33 AM

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WWA issued for up to an inch of snow and < 0.1" frz drizzle. Nothing major but it's nice to see flakes falling on the morning dog walk.


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#477
St Paul Storm

Posted Today, 05:40 AM

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Light freezing drizzle here this morning. Temp of 26F. We still have 4” of snow depth, but with temps slightly above freezing starting tomorrow thru the weekend, it’s looking more and more likely that we’ll have a brown Christmas here.

#478
CentralNebWeather

Posted Today, 05:43 AM

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Our 3” snow depth will take a beating and disappear in the next week as we hit 40’s and low 50’s next week.

#479
Stormhunter87

Posted Today, 06:11 AM

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Lots of great input that's why signed up for this forum. Hating this pattern boring and warmish which if it was a day or two okay but blah. I will say the fv3 has gone crazy. A foot of snow in southern AL and LA. If that actually happened wow.

#480
Niko

Posted Today, 06:47 AM

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Cloudy n temps are in the 20s

 

Some snow lata today w accumulations of up to an inch possible



#481
Snowshoe

Posted Today, 08:11 AM

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Sad that i feel the need to report such meager snowfall but.... well here we are.  :(

 

 

 

0907 AM SNOW SPENCER 44.76N 90.28W
12/12/2018 M0.8 INCH MARATHON WI PUBLIC

0907 AM SNOW WAUTOMA 44.06N 89.28W
12/12/2018 M0.4 INCH WAUSHARA WI CO-OP OBSERVER

0908 AM SNOW STEVENS POINT 44.51N 89.56W
12/12/2018 M0.3 INCH PORTAGE WI CO-OP OBSERVER
 

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#482
Illinois_WX

Posted Today, 08:31 AM

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Me walking in here like: 

 

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...... 

 

 

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......

 

 

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'18-'19 DOWNTOWN CHICAGO SNOWFALL TOTAL: ~5" (as of 11/27/18) 

 

 

 

 

 


#483
jaster220

Posted Today, 09:10 AM

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A good - wide spread- snow event lately in the Central PLains has been hard to come. I'am talking NE-IA-MN-IL-WI-MI-- all with 4"+ from the same event. Seems easy-- but recently seems almost impossible. 

 

Feb1-2  2015 was the last time I believe, unless the Nov 22 later that same year got Neb 4+


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 16"  Largest Storm: 4.5" (11/26)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 0.8 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0 

 

Annual avg for mby = ~49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#484
BrianJK

Posted Today, 09:36 AM

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What's interesting is that should the much anticipated pattern change not occur or deliver around these parts, our historic December to remember could actually make another run at the least snowiest December.  Not sure if Tom or anyone knows where Chicago is officially at or that the record is, but something to keep an eye on.

 

In other new, leaves finally starting to drop off my stubborn tree.  


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#485
Illinois_WX

Posted Today, 09:38 AM

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What's interesting is that should the much anticipated pattern change not occur or deliver around these parts, our historic December to remember could actually make another run at the least snowiest December.  Not sure if Tom or anyone knows where Chicago is officially at or that the record is, but something to keep an eye on.

 

In other new, leaves finally starting to drop off my stubborn tree.  

 

I picked a great year to move here! Lol ugh, maybe i'm the jinx. 


'18-'19 DOWNTOWN CHICAGO SNOWFALL TOTAL: ~5" (as of 11/27/18) 

 

 

 

 

 


#486
james1976

Posted Today, 09:52 AM

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I'm only at 5.3" on the season so far. That was all Nov. Well maybe a few tenths right at the beginning of Dec. I'd have to go back and check.

#487
Tom

Posted Today, 09:58 AM

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What's interesting is that should the much anticipated pattern change not occur or deliver around these parts, our historic December to remember could actually make another run at the least snowiest December.  Not sure if Tom or anyone knows where Chicago is officially at or that the record is, but something to keep an eye on.

 

In other new, leaves finally starting to drop off my stubborn tree.  

Is that wind helping out today?  I'm actually plan on doing more yard work this weekend taking advantage of the warm days and clean up the aftermath from the Blizzard.  I'm not sold on the idea we end up with another Top 3 least snowiest December.  Too much on the table for the last 10 days or so of the month.  It's funny, the GEFS are gun-ho for NW Flow, while the EPS says, SW Flow during Christmas week.  Big differences and likely will continue over this week.