Jump to content

Welcome!

Sign In or Register to gain full access to our forums. By registering with us, you'll be able to discuss, share and private message with other members of our community.

Welcome!

Thanks for stopping by the Weather Forums! Please take the time to register and join our community. Feel free to post or start new topics on anything related to the weather or the climate.


Photo

December 2018 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

- - - - -

  • Please log in to reply

#51
Jesse

Posted 01 December 2018 - 04:40 PM

Jesse

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 30749 posts
  • LocationEast Vancouver, WA (300')

*
POPULAR

Live from Government Camp.

Attached File  273A0995-F5F7-448F-BC23-613B322F9DB6.jpeg   128.78KB   0 downloads
  • hawkstwelve, Andrew., VancouverIslandSouth and 2 others like this

#52
Jesse

Posted 01 December 2018 - 04:42 PM

Jesse

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 30749 posts
  • LocationEast Vancouver, WA (300')
18z was pretty awesome. Great mountain snow pattern in the long range. Good ensemble support as well.
  • van city, hawkstwelve, TigerWoodsLibido and 1 other like this

#53
El_Nina

Posted 01 December 2018 - 04:45 PM

El_Nina

    Forum Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 820 posts
  • LocationBoring, OR 600ft

We’re in Government Camp right now. It seems pretty snowy.

It's snowy but not the 6-10" that was predicted. It's 2 inches at best from what I experienced.

#54
Phil

Posted 01 December 2018 - 05:21 PM

Phil

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 24427 posts
  • LocationCabin John, MD.
If this verifies, a legit SSW is probably going to happen.

Perfect wave-1 conduit right here. And well-timed!

whekEbc.png
  • Kayla and AbbyJr like this

#55
Phil

Posted 01 December 2018 - 05:23 PM

Phil

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 24427 posts
  • LocationCabin John, MD.
I don’t want to jinx it, but man, the modeled long range pattern is a wave activity machine.

I actually think this is going to happen.

#56
Jginmartini

Posted 01 December 2018 - 05:24 PM

Jginmartini

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1832 posts
  • LocationFederal Way Wa

Live from Government Camp.
attachicon.gif273A0995-F5F7-448F-BC23-613B322F9DB6.jpeg

Back in 1979 I used to ski down to Goverment camp on the Glade trail and have a Huge yummy maple bar at Huckleberry inn! High schoole days in the ski club. :)
Arctic air event 12/24/2018 7:08pm DENIED!!!

#57
Brian_in_Leavenworth

Posted 01 December 2018 - 05:31 PM

Brian_in_Leavenworth

    Forum Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 981 posts

I don’t want to jinx it, but man, the modeled long range pattern is a wave activity machine.


I actually think this is going to happen.

 

Are there any indications as to where any subsequent arctic outbreak is likely to go?



#58
Phil

Posted 01 December 2018 - 05:36 PM

Phil

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 24427 posts
  • LocationCabin John, MD.


Are there any indications as to where any subsequent arctic outbreak is likely to go?


So many potential variables..I have no idea. My guess is that, if Arctic air is to affect the West, it will happen before January 10th.

Forcings turn unfavorable from 1/10 to 2/5, SSW or not, so it would probably have to happen before then. Though anything can happen when you blow up the vortex, so my projections could be wrong.

#59
nwsnow

Posted 01 December 2018 - 05:41 PM

nwsnow

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2749 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

It seemed like the front died once it hit the cascades.

 

 

Yeah, I see only 5 inches reported at Mt Hood meadows in the last 48 hours. Quite paltry. 



#60
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2018 - 05:53 PM

SilverFallsAndrew

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 20836 posts
  • LocationSilverton, OR

41/32 here today. Good start to December!


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#61
Deweydog

Posted 01 December 2018 - 05:58 PM

Deweydog

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 20106 posts
  • LocationHockinson, WA
All this and it's still only day one, guys!

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#62
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 01 December 2018 - 06:14 PM

TigerWoodsLibido

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4585 posts
  • LocationSpringfield, OR 502'

Had a high of 44 which is the coldest yet. Good to see.

 

My dad just got a gig in Bend so he will be commuting back and forth over Santiam Pass starting Dec 10.  Time for him to get his tires changed.


Springfield, Oregon cold season 18-19 Stats:

Coldest high: 34 (Feb 25)
Coldest low: 20 (Mar 4)
Days with below freezing temps: 46
Total snowfall: 20.2"

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019
Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 1990

Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

 

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019

Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#63
AbbyJr

Posted 01 December 2018 - 06:24 PM

AbbyJr

    New Member

  • Members
  • PipPip
  • 95 posts

If this verifies, a legit SSW is probably going to happen.

Perfect wave-1 conduit right here. And well-timed!

whekEbc.png

Do you think the SSW could result in a legit arctic blast into the PNW later in December and or early January? I recall you said SSW are really good for bringing arctic air into the PNW during +ENSO's?



#64
Jginmartini

Posted 01 December 2018 - 06:27 PM

Jginmartini

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1832 posts
  • LocationFederal Way Wa

Had a high of 44 which is the coldest yet. Good to see.
 
My dad just got a gig in Bend so he will be commuting back and forth over Santiam Pass starting Dec 10.  Time for him to get his tires changed.


We got up to a toasty 45*
  • TigerWoodsLibido likes this
Arctic air event 12/24/2018 7:08pm DENIED!!!

#65
Brian_in_Leavenworth

Posted 01 December 2018 - 06:33 PM

Brian_in_Leavenworth

    Forum Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 981 posts

So many potential variables..I have no idea. My guess is that, if Arctic air is to affect the West, it will happen before January 10th.

Forcings turn unfavorable from 1/10 to 2/5, SSW or not, so it would probably have to happen before then. Though anything can happen when you blow up the vortex, so my projections could be wrong.

After 1/10 during an El Nino is the beginning of Spring for the PNW.  I am actually liking the long range pattern being shown since it would probably bring a lot of snow to my area.  And if it leads to a legit arctic outbreak for the PNW, even better.


  • Phil likes this

#66
Jesse

Posted 01 December 2018 - 06:40 PM

Jesse

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 30749 posts
  • LocationEast Vancouver, WA (300')

It's snowy but not the 6-10" that was predicted. It's 2 inches at best from what I experienced.


The sno tel site above Government Camp is reporting 19”, but a lot of that was already on the ground before the latest batch, I think.

#67
TT-SEA

Posted 01 December 2018 - 06:47 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 42104 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

After 1/10 during an El Nino is the beginning of Spring for the PNW. I am actually liking the long range pattern being shown since it would probably bring a lot of snow to my area. And if it leads to a legit arctic outbreak for the PNW, even better.

I don't think this will be a full Nino.

Or follow any norms even if it is... because of low solar.

#68
MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted 01 December 2018 - 06:50 PM

MR.SNOWMIZER

    Special Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5327 posts
  • Locationwest kitsap. 640ft.
Getting ready to go over blewit pass towing a 14k load and it looks f***** nasty up there. Should be fun.

We come from the land of the ice and snow.


#69
Brian_in_Leavenworth

Posted 01 December 2018 - 06:50 PM

Brian_in_Leavenworth

    Forum Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 981 posts

I don't think this will be a full Nino.

Or follow any norms even if it is... because of low solar.

I hope you're right.  Certainly much weaker than two years ago.  Though at least in that year the mountains, an MBY had a good snowpack until mid January.



#70
Brian_in_Leavenworth

Posted 01 December 2018 - 06:52 PM

Brian_in_Leavenworth

    Forum Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 981 posts

Getting ready to go over blewit pass towing a 14k load and it looks f***** nasty up there. Should be fun.

 

Compact snow and ice, still snowing, and chains required for a load your size.  Be careful.  Blewett is not nice at all during snow.  And a lot of traffic may be coming from Leavenworth, so the roads could be busy.  



#71
Jesse

Posted 01 December 2018 - 07:26 PM

Jesse

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 30749 posts
  • LocationEast Vancouver, WA (300')

I don't think this will be a full Nino.

Or follow any norms even if it is... because of low solar.


Jim already threw climo out the window a few years ago. Follower.
  • TT-SEA likes this

#72
Timmy

Posted 01 December 2018 - 07:56 PM

Timmy

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 3360 posts
  • LocationNorth Plains, OR - 1540ft

The sno tel site above Government Camp is reporting 19”, but a lot of that was already on the ground before the latest batch, I think.


3” officially at skibowl at 5000’

#73
Jesse

Posted 01 December 2018 - 08:06 PM

Jesse

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 30749 posts
  • LocationEast Vancouver, WA (300')

3” officially at skibowl at 5000’


20 years ago it would have been 5000” officially at 3’.
  • Timmy likes this

#74
Timmy

Posted 01 December 2018 - 08:08 PM

Timmy

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 3360 posts
  • LocationNorth Plains, OR - 1540ft

20 years ago it would have been 5000” officially at 3’.


At least

#75
MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted 01 December 2018 - 08:20 PM

MR.SNOWMIZER

    Special Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5327 posts
  • Locationwest kitsap. 640ft.
Wow it was gnarly up there. Probable worst conditions I've seen up there in few years. Looks like 12 inches new and that's a big storm for that pass.
  • Phil and Skier B like this

We come from the land of the ice and snow.


#76
KI2

Posted 01 December 2018 - 08:33 PM

KI2

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2805 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

Looks like the bulk of the rain goes south again with this latest GFS run.



#77
luvssnow_seattle

Posted 01 December 2018 - 08:43 PM

luvssnow_seattle

    Epic is always possible... 1% of the time!

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4446 posts
  • LocationBonney Lake - 560ft

I don’t want to jinx it, but man, the modeled long range pattern is a wave activity machine.

I actually think this is going to happen.

I could be mistaken but I feel like we hear this almost every year about this time. 😉

#78
hawkstwelve

Posted 01 December 2018 - 08:49 PM

hawkstwelve

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4706 posts
  • LocationCarnation, WA 530ft

Sitting at 38 after a high of 44. A little dreary/wet this morning but overall, not a bad day.

 

We went down to the Christmas in Carnation event a little bit ago and could already see fog forming in the Snoqualmie Valley.



#79
Esquimalt

Posted 01 December 2018 - 09:08 PM

Esquimalt

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1505 posts
  • LocationEsquimalt, British Columbia (Elevation 6 Feet)
GEM showing a freezing rain event in a week for the Portland area.
  • nwsnow likes this

#80
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2018 - 09:12 PM

SilverFallsAndrew

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 20836 posts
  • LocationSilverton, OR

00z is pretty decent again in the long range. Could we be setting up for a big Christmas and new Years?


  • iFred likes this

Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#81
MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted 01 December 2018 - 09:15 PM

MR.SNOWMIZER

    Special Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5327 posts
  • Locationwest kitsap. 640ft.
December 1 and the snow is deeper on blewett pass than it is on Snoqualmie. Anyone ever seen that?

We come from the land of the ice and snow.


#82
Deweydog

Posted 01 December 2018 - 09:16 PM

Deweydog

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 20106 posts
  • LocationHockinson, WA

00z is pretty decent again in the long range. Could we be setting up for a big Christmas and new Years?


Could be two major holidays within a week of each other with weather on both.

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#83
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2018 - 09:17 PM

SilverFallsAndrew

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 20836 posts
  • LocationSilverton, OR

Quite a bit of cold onshore flow in the extended of the 18z FV3.


Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#84
Brian_in_Leavenworth

Posted 01 December 2018 - 09:47 PM

Brian_in_Leavenworth

    Forum Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 981 posts

Quite a bit of cold onshore flow in the extended of the 18z FV3.

OZ looking the same.



#85
Brian_in_Leavenworth

Posted 01 December 2018 - 09:49 PM

Brian_in_Leavenworth

    Forum Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 981 posts

Looks like the bulk of the rain goes south again with this latest GFS run.

 

FV3 had the low further north, but still some energy goes into CA, and it is pretty weak up here.  But that is probably to be expected with the first front that tries to break down the ridge.  


  • KI2 likes this

#86
KI2

Posted 01 December 2018 - 09:55 PM

KI2

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2805 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

FV3 had the low further north, but still some energy goes into CA, and it is pretty weak up here.  But that is probably to be expected with the first front that tries to break down the ridge.  

 

I'm still much more optimistic- these trends are good. Much better than the models last year, ugh.



#87
luvssnow_seattle

Posted 01 December 2018 - 10:11 PM

luvssnow_seattle

    Epic is always possible... 1% of the time!

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4446 posts
  • LocationBonney Lake - 560ft

I'm still much more optimistic- these trends are good. Much better than the models last year, ugh.


I had a White Christmas last year. 😬

#88
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 01 December 2018 - 10:12 PM

TigerWoodsLibido

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4585 posts
  • LocationSpringfield, OR 502'

I had a White Christmas last year. 😬


I miss snow...

Springfield, Oregon cold season 18-19 Stats:

Coldest high: 34 (Feb 25)
Coldest low: 20 (Mar 4)
Days with below freezing temps: 46
Total snowfall: 20.2"

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019
Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 1990

Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

 

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019

Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#89
SilverFallsAndrew

Posted 01 December 2018 - 10:20 PM

SilverFallsAndrew

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 20836 posts
  • LocationSilverton, OR

Could be a nice month.


  • TigerWoodsLibido likes this

Snowfall

2018-19: 63.5"

2017-18: 30.3"

2016-17: 49.2"

2015-16: 11.75"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"
2012-13: 16.75"
2011-12: 98.5"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 


#90
KI2

Posted 01 December 2018 - 10:24 PM

KI2

    Advanced Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2805 posts
  • LocationPortland, OR

I had a White Christmas last year.

 

Last year was okay- the White Christmas was the only good thing in the whole month actually (I was in Bend for the White Christmas..)



#91
MossMan

Posted 01 December 2018 - 10:47 PM

MossMan

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 10513 posts
  • LocationStanwood, Wa
Jeff Renner just came out of retirement and onto my tv to say this is going to be one hell of a winter, prepare now!

Attached Files



#92
seattleweatherguy

Posted 01 December 2018 - 10:49 PM

seattleweatherguy

    Daily Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 1949 posts
  • LocationBothell

Jeff Renner just came out of retirement and onto my tv to say this is going to be one hell of a winter, prepare now!


Your kidding!

#93
TT-SEA

Posted 01 December 2018 - 10:50 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 42104 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

00Z ECMWF delays the front next weekend even more and then really washes it out when it finally moves inland on Monday.

 

It shows a few showers near the Sound and down in Oregon tomorrrow but its basically dry for most of the region all the way through next weekend.

 

And the front next Monday looks pretty weak now.

 

ecmwf-precip-06-nw-37.png



#94
MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted 01 December 2018 - 10:58 PM

MR.SNOWMIZER

    Special Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5327 posts
  • Locationwest kitsap. 640ft.

Jeff Renner just came out of retirement and onto my tv to say this is going to be one hell of a winter, prepare now!

Haha you nut.
  • MossMan likes this

We come from the land of the ice and snow.


#95
Jesse

Posted 01 December 2018 - 10:58 PM

Jesse

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 30749 posts
  • LocationEast Vancouver, WA (300')
Praying for driest December on record. 🙏🏿
  • MR.SNOWMIZER and van city like this

#96
TT-SEA

Posted 01 December 2018 - 10:58 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 42104 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

The 00Z ECMWF looks pretty good at day 10... a deep trough looks like its about descend down us from the NW which should finally be good for mountain snow.   



#97
Front Ranger

Posted 01 December 2018 - 11:00 PM

Front Ranger

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 17956 posts
  • LocationWestminster, CO

Jeff Renner just came out of retirement and onto my tv to say this is going to be one hell of a winter, prepare now!


Greatest non-weenie of my childhood, closely followed by Steve Pool.

It's just the internet. Don't take it personal.


#98
TT-SEA

Posted 01 December 2018 - 11:01 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 42104 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

Praying for driest December on record.

 

You are on your own with that wish... I want mountain snow in December.   I don't care about rain in December but that usually comes with a good mountain snow pattern.    Going to be almost the middle of the month and Snoqualmie Summit will still be closed.  



#99
TT-SEA

Posted 01 December 2018 - 11:02 PM

TT-SEA

    Forum Fantastic

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 42104 posts
  • LocationNorth Bend WA

00Z ECMWF shows an amazing 3 inches of snow at Snoqualmie Pass over the next 10 days.    <_<



#100
MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted 01 December 2018 - 11:03 PM

MR.SNOWMIZER

    Special Contributor

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5327 posts
  • Locationwest kitsap. 640ft.

Greatest non-weenie of my childhood, closely followed by Steve Pool.

I used to drive my mom nuts bouncing between channel 4 5 and 7 at about 5:18 pm.
  • TT-SEA and MossMan like this

We come from the land of the ice and snow.