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12/26 - 12-28 Winter Storm

Tom

By Tom
in East of the Rockies

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CentralNebWeather
CentralNebWeather

Local radio station says we received around 7” from the storm. I was only off about an inch In my estimate and honestly it is hard to measure with the wind we had. Here are some pictures from around o

CentralNebWeather
CentralNebWeather

Was in bed and saw a flash then a rumble of thunder. Thundersnow. Local ABC met then tweeted the radar showing the lightning strike a few minutes later. Unreal.

CentralNebWeather
CentralNebWeather

Blizzard continues here. Back to .25 visibility. Most places are closed. Obviously no school is in session until January. Many holiday basketball tournaments are being postponed.

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

Posted
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At least there's a large area of snowfall expected, tho our sub gets the shaft. I don't recall a large system in the waning days of Dec '14. Seems that was just one massive dull month all over the place. Gonna check on that when I get a moment..

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

Posted
Posted

Some shorter range models are putting down over 8” here. We’ll see

 

The SR's did the same here for the Nov storm, but they missed the WAA component by about 1 county (your situation basically). The GFS ended up with the best reflection of what actually happened. Just food for thought. Hoping things trend your way tho

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Tony Enthusiast

Tony

Posted
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Headed to an hour north of hayward will right now. Will be interesting to see what happens there. Euro pretty gung ho on snow porential

Good luck to those up north and hope it lays down a nice swath of snow for skiers and snowmobilers alike. Pattern not looking favorable for those farther south and east unless you are into rain in the winter months. Once the cold air does arrive it looks to dry up depending which models you look at. Not giving up hope just yet as it is still early and expectations are high. 

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CentralNebWeather Grand Master

CentralNebWeather

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NAM is amazing here. Now upwards of 10-12”. I think there is a chance I could be upgraded to a warning if NWS looks at this new data. Parts of western Nebraska could miss out entirely if this east trend continues. Just my 2 cents and opinion. Snow would start here after midnight and looks very heavy in a narrow area.

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CentralNebWeather Grand Master

CentralNebWeather

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NWS North Platte NE afternoon disco points to the dramatic shift of almost all models to the east in the last 36 hours, kind of surprised as I am reading their report it seems. Said they may have to start dropping counties to the west and northwest of North Platte in Western Nebraska as they may see little or no snow and are now moving the heavy snow axis east of North Platte. I didn’t see this coming just 2 days ago, thought northwest was the trend. Mother Nature makes the final decisions.

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CentralNebWeather Grand Master

CentralNebWeather

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Blizzard Warnings hoisted for parts of the Dakotas...fulfilled my call from a couple weeks ago! Good luck CentralNeb...I think your in the best spot for this one.

Thanks Tom. Looking good here. Good thing I have this site for information as NWS Hastings literally mailed in their disco. No discussion of eastward movement, what the models are saying, or any in-depth talk. You would think with a storm coming they would give us more. Very disappointed in their recent work. Oh well, come on heavy snow.

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St Paul Storm Contributor

St Paul Storm

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Thanks Tom. Looking good here. Good thing I have this site for information as NWS Hastings literally mailed in their disco. No discussion of eastward movement, what the models are saying, or any in-depth talk. You would think with a storm coming they would give us more. Very disappointed in their recent work. Oh well, come on heavy snow.

Good luck. The trend has been your friend today.

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bud2380 Veteran

bud2380

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18z RGEM destroys Central Nebraska. If only this could occur. Over a foot and counting. Umm?

 

 

Looks like most models have you in the cross hairs.  HRRR is the only one a little borderline that I looked at.  Kind of surprised you are just in a WWA.  The heavy band that is poised to setup in southern NE though looks pretty narrow so it wouldn't take much of a shift either way to hit you or miss you.  

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gabel23 Experienced

gabel23

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Thanks Tom. Looking good here. Good thing I have this site for information as NWS Hastings literally mailed in their disco. No discussion of eastward movement, what the models are saying, or any in-depth talk. You would think with a storm coming they would give us more. Very disappointed in their recent work. Oh well, come on heavy snow.

My gosh the gfs has the 6-8” line a county away from me! I might even squeak out a couple inches of snow from this thing; As far as Hastings goes I seen they mentioned they were making some changes with the east trend but they never mentioned what changes they were making! Good luck to you you’re looking like the trends are in your favor bud!

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CentralNebWeather Grand Master

CentralNebWeather

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My gosh the gfs has the 6-8” line a county away from me! I might even squeak out a couple inches of snow from this thing; As far as Hastings goes I seen they mentioned they were making some changes with the east trend but they never mentioned what changes they were making! Good luck to you you’re looking like the trends are in your favor bud!

I was just thinking this eastward trend should get close to you. Short term models are putting out insane amounts. Boy that cut off will make a world of difference over a short amount of miles.

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CentralNebWeather Grand Master

CentralNebWeather

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Wow pretty large chunks of Nebraska under an advisory or warning may get little to no snow if the 18z models are accurate. Yikes.

Yep. Places west of here that have been under the gun for a week may get 0. That band coming up from Kansas to Central Nebraska moved much farther east than any models were predicting as late has 24-36 hours ago. Makes me realize we aren’t in charge of how a storm will develop.

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CentralNebWeather Grand Master

CentralNebWeather

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Local forecast just updated:

 

Rain...becoming windy with some snow mixing in overnight. Low 27F. Winds NNE at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of precip 100%. 3 to 5 inches of snow expected. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph.

 

Periods of snow and windy. High 29F. Winds NNW at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 100%. 3 to 5 inches of snow expected. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph.

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gabel23 Experienced

gabel23

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Local forecast just updated:

 

Rain...becoming windy with some snow mixing in overnight. Low 27F. Winds NNE at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of precip 100%. 3 to 5 inches of snow expected. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph.

 

Periods of snow and windy. High 29F. Winds NNW at 20 to 30 mph. Chance of snow 100%. 3 to 5 inches of snow expected. Winds could occasionally gust over 40 mph.

That must be the change they were talking about! Holy smokes 6-10?! You have to be put into a warning and advisories should be moved further east also.

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bud2380 Veteran

bud2380

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I can't wait to track a storm again.  Hopefully in the next week or two something pops up.  And more than just track it, I hope I get hit. :)  I wouldn't mind a 2-4" clipper too if we could get one.  Just something to remind us of winter.  I'm going to Fairbanks, AK in March so I guess I'll get my dose of winter then if nothing else.  

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

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Posted

Surprised how far south the 26.18z FV3 has decent snows. Central IA and just into the Chedda Curtain. Not sure it's correct, but nice to see nonetheless

 

fv3p_asnow_us_13.png

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

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which town do you live in again?

 

lolz. He actually has his town in his avatar data

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

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Just upgraded to a winter storm warning. Hopefully @gabel23 the line keeps moving east.

 

No better feeling my friend! GL out there! You're gonna have to take one for the team ;)

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Tom Grand Master

Tom

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Just upgraded to a winter storm warning. Hopefully @gabel23 the line keeps moving east.

Nice wording...that “B” word being thrown out there. Hope to hear some wild reports from you tomorrow!

 

WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO

MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT...

 

* WHAT...Snow and blizzard-like conditions expected. Total snow

accumulations of 3 to 5 inches expected. Winds gusting as high

as 50 mph.

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

Posted
Posted

Nice wording...that “B” word being thrown out there. Hope to hear some wild reports from you tomorrow!

 

WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO

MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT...

 

* WHAT...Snow and blizzard-like conditions expected. Total snow

accumulations of 3 to 5 inches expected. Winds gusting as high

as 50 mph.

 

Pretty sure he said that his local grid-cast had 6-10 total. Graphics on the NWS site haven't been updated tho. Still old snowfall maps, etc..waiting to see the latest

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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jaster220 Grand Master

jaster220

Posted
Posted

Nice wording...that “B” word being thrown out there. Hope to hear some wild reports from you tomorrow!

 

WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO

MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT...

 

* WHAT...Snow and blizzard-like conditions expected. Total snow

accumulations of 3 to 5 inches expected. Winds gusting as high

as 50 mph.

 

At this point, I'd be thrilled with 3-5 and the "B-word" mention :lol:

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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