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2019 California and Southwest Weather Discussion Thread

2019 california weather climate
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#751
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 13 May 2019 - 05:38 AM

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Looks like marine layer has deepened despite the building high pressure.



#752
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 13 May 2019 - 06:18 AM

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It is actually drizzling now. Looks like the sunny days over the weekend were a fluke or just my imagination.



#753
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 13 May 2019 - 11:53 AM

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Chances are increasing every day that this will be only the 22nd May in history (out of 142) for Downtown L.A. with high temperatures to average below 70 degrees. Fortunately coldest July on record has a high average of 75.6 or something like that, but with climate change leading to both record heat and record cold, you never know if July could be colder than this record. In the summer forecast contest I am probably going to say 2.0 degrees below normal for all 3 months, but last May was horrible too and summer was hot, so we'll need to hope we can keep up that trend.



#754
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 13 May 2019 - 01:14 PM

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Clouds have thinned enough to let some warmth through and it was rather muggy out there going on a walk. Quite unusual for a ridge of high pressure to deepen the marine layer, but nothing is usual anymore with climate change.



#755
Reg1992

Posted 13 May 2019 - 01:26 PM

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Never got any rain nor thunder here.



My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2019-2020 Season Total: 0.06" (as of 9/17/19)

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84"

2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#756
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 13 May 2019 - 03:14 PM

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Sun finally came out, but only a few hours before the clouds come marching in again.

#757
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 13 May 2019 - 04:01 PM

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Never got any rain nor thunder here.

 

You might have slept through it.



#758
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 13 May 2019 - 04:26 PM

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Satellite loop showed large eddy spinning and moving southeast, so if it continues to do so, there might be faster clearing tomorrow.

#759
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 13 May 2019 - 07:32 PM

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Sea surface temperatures may be warming a bit as temperatures stayed around 63 F last night in the marine layer.

#760
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 14 May 2019 - 05:24 AM

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If it rains more than 0.20" in Temecula on Thursday, they will have higher rainfall totals than 2 years ago. Downtown L.A. would need more than 0.96".

#761
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 14 May 2019 - 06:10 AM

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Mystery this morning. Skylights were wet as if it were drizzling. Ground was completely dry.



#762
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 14 May 2019 - 10:22 AM

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Faster burn off today, but still quite slow. It's also extremely hazy.



#763
Reg1992

Posted 14 May 2019 - 11:58 AM

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Hazy here as well. Not much else to speak of.



My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2019-2020 Season Total: 0.06" (as of 9/17/19)

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84"

2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#764
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 14 May 2019 - 04:18 PM

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Low clouds burned off by about 12:30 today. Sunniest workday since May 6.



#765
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 14 May 2019 - 08:38 PM

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Palm Springs reached 100 today and it could be the last time in quite a while that this will happen.

#766
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 15 May 2019 - 05:26 AM

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Quite gloomy again this morning.

 

Check this out.

 

https://www.nws.noaa...data/SGX/AFDSGX



#767
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 15 May 2019 - 08:52 AM

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Are the Giants going to get the game in today? Looks like this is the last time the Blue Jays are here for the season so a postponement would be a b!tch to reschedule.


Springfield, Oregon cold season 18-19 Stats:

Coldest high: 34 (Feb 25)
Coldest low: 20 (Mar 4)
Days with below freezing temps: 46
Total snowfall: 20.2"

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019
Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 1990

Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

 

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019

Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#768
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 15 May 2019 - 09:46 AM

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Are the Giants going to get the game in today? Looks like this is the last time the Blue Jays are here for the season so a postponement would be a b!tch to reschedule.


It depends when the rain starts and how hard it rains.

#769
Reg1992

Posted 15 May 2019 - 01:22 PM

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Much cooler and overcast today.



My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2019-2020 Season Total: 0.06" (as of 9/17/19)

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84"

2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#770
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 15 May 2019 - 01:35 PM

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Another one of those days where the clouds have thinned out enough for it to feel sort of warm outside. Not a good day for not sweating on a walk.

Attached File  20190515_142203.jpg   49.08KB   0 downloads

#771
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 16 May 2019 - 05:23 AM

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Marine layer deepened from 2500 feet to over 5000 feet during the day yesterday. The moon came out for a while last night, with the weakening inversion, but we are back to a solid overcast, as usual, this morning.

 

Frontal band is not looking too impressive on the radar.



#772
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 16 May 2019 - 06:01 AM

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Rain has started here.



#773
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 16 May 2019 - 06:26 AM

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Despite the rain, it's not quite as dark and gloomy as it was Monday morning.

#774
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 16 May 2019 - 09:20 AM

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It's pouring outside. This is no marine layer drizzle or light rain here. And yet nobody has one word to say.



#775
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 16 May 2019 - 09:42 AM

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Looks like 0.48" for Downtown L.A. which would keep them 0.48" short of the 19.00" total from 2 years ago



#776
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 16 May 2019 - 10:06 AM

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Sun is coming out, unlike yesterday.

#777
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 16 May 2019 - 11:33 AM

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California people have all lost their interest in late spring storms. How boring can this place possibly get?

#778
Reg1992

Posted 16 May 2019 - 01:12 PM

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Rain only falls when I'm asleep :(

 

According to my rain gauge, 0.12" fell here. Can we get 0.08" more before July 1st?



My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2019-2020 Season Total: 0.06" (as of 9/17/19)

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84"

2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#779
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 16 May 2019 - 05:12 PM

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Much more sun than yesterday, but some places were still cooler than in the May Gray yesterday. Around the middle of the day, the sun was out and the wind was not too strong, but it got partly cloudy and windy after that.

#780
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 17 May 2019 - 05:27 AM

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It's even too cold for May Gray this morning. How will this Mayuary go in the record books?



#781
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 17 May 2019 - 05:34 AM

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Here's the update for Downtown L.A. average high as of May 16 (May a little more than half over)

 

1977 was the last time we had a cooler May

 

Rank,Year,AvgHigh
1,1921,65.13
2,1917,65.77
3,1914,67.26
4,1909,67.97
5,1919,68.16
6,1946,68.35
7,1933,68.58
8,1903,68.61
9,1906,68.74
10,1901,68.84
11,1899,68.94
12,1918,69.13
13,1908,69.13
14,1977,69.16
15,1905,69.19
16,1913,69.23
17,1898,69.26
18,1935,69.29
19,1891,69.39
20,1915,69.81
21,1911,69.87
22,1894,70.00
23,1916,70.06
24,1950,70.10
25,2019,70.12
26,1975,70.32
27,1920,70.35
28,1999,70.39
29,1964,70.39
30,1982,70.42
31,1980,70.42
32,1930,70.42
33,1907,70.48
34,1925,70.52
35,1904,70.58
36,1897,70.81
37,1963,70.90
38,1902,70.90
39,1944,70.94
40,1995,71.00
41,1945,71.00
42,1955,71.03
43,1971,71.06
44,1961,71.06
45,1962,71.10
46,1998,71.23
47,1937,71.23
48,1928,71.39
49,2015,71.45
50,1932,71.48
51,1966,71.58
52,1938,71.58
53,2016,71.61
54,1912,71.61
55,1939,71.74
56,1922,71.84
57,1957,71.87
58,2018,71.97
59,1965,71.97
60,1878,71.97
61,1954,72.03
62,1994,72.10
63,1892,72.13
64,1976,72.16
65,1942,72.16
66,1991,72.23
67,1890,72.29
68,1910,72.43
69,2002,72.48
70,1974,72.48
71,1947,72.48
72,1884,72.65
73,1956,72.71
74,1924,72.71
75,1888,72.77
76,1959,72.81
77,1951,72.90
78,2003,73.03
79,1893,73.03
80,1927,73.10
81,2012,73.19
82,1968,73.29
83,1889,73.32
84,1953,73.55
85,2010,73.58
86,2007,73.58
87,1949,73.61
88,2011,73.65
89,1926,73.68
90,1979,73.71
91,1929,73.71
92,1923,73.77
93,1895,73.87
94,1879,73.87
95,1936,73.94
96,1880,73.97
97,1989,74.00
98,1985,74.10
99,1973,74.13
100,1948,74.23
101,2006,74.26
102,2008,74.29
103,1969,74.29
104,1900,74.35
105,1896,74.48
106,1943,74.81
107,1990,75.00
108,1881,75.13
109,1940,75.29
110,2017,75.35
111,2009,75.35
112,1931,75.42
113,2001,75.52
114,1883,75.74
115,1992,75.84
116,1981,75.84
117,2005,75.90
118,1882,76.00
119,2000,76.19
120,1970,76.26
121,1988,76.42
122,1885,76.45
123,2013,76.48
124,1972,76.48
125,1967,76.48
126,1934,76.58
127,1952,76.77
128,1987,76.87
129,1993,77.00
130,1996,77.13
131,1960,77.13
132,1986,77.19
133,1958,77.39
134,1983,77.61
135,1887,77.74
136,1941,77.97
137,1886,78.58
138,1978,78.87
139,2004,79.00
140,2014,80.03
141,1997,81.45
142,1984,82.23



#782
Eujunga

Posted 17 May 2019 - 08:03 AM

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Interesting to note that even in May, the one month that hasn't consistently been a blowtorch over recent years, only 5 Mays (including 2019) in this century have scored an average high temperature cooler than the median.  The other 14 were warmer than the median.  I'm pretty sure that for other months, the imbalance is even greater.

 

Also noteworthy is that this May, as chilly as it seems, is running only 25th coldest.  May 2014 was 3rd warmest, but I don't recall there being much discussion about it at the time -- just another warm month in a seemingly endless string of them.

 

0.29" from yesterday's storm.  Other areas did better.  Sunday's version looking weaker on models.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    


  • Jesse likes this

Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#783
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 17 May 2019 - 10:53 AM

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It will be interesting to see what the very rainy winter and the strong troughs this late in the spring mean for our summer this year. May strangely has very little change in average high from May 1 to May 31, while April goes up about 4 degrees. June and July each go up about 5 degrees, so looks like the dominance of onshore flow that begins in May and still a pretty active jet stream are what cause it to level off. 

 

Still I would not be surprised to see a cool summer like 2010. Might not be quite as cool, because sea surface temperatures are about average right now. In 2010, they were WAAAY below average. But I'm still thinking a weak 4 corners high and little monsoon activity with the hottest days in coastal areas not until after the Fall Equinox.  



#784
Eujunga

Posted 17 May 2019 - 04:31 PM

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^ Sounds reasonable.  Maybe close to normal for JJA, then a warmer than normal September.

 

Almost time to crank up the annual Summer Forecast Contest!  No one came close to predicting last year's sustained blowtorch all across the West.


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#785
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 17 May 2019 - 07:27 PM

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Blame it all on conservation of energy

 

This Is Why Global Warming Is Responsible For Freezing Temperatures Across The U.S.



#786
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 18 May 2019 - 06:36 AM

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72 yesterday for Downtown L.A. A slight tad warmer than expected. Looks like there are still small chances to get over the 19.00" rainfall total for 2 years ago.

 

No inversion this morning, which is quite amazing for May.



#787
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 18 May 2019 - 10:34 AM

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Nice day today.

#788
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 18 May 2019 - 12:26 PM

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Quite a low pressure area moving towards us.



#789
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 18 May 2019 - 07:04 PM

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Nice day today with plenty of sunshine and highs just a few degrees below normal. However, we return to Mayuary tomorrow. Believe it or not, weatherwest says it's the polar vortex causing this anomalous May weather. Might not quite be so anomalous in a few years if climate change is what they really say it is.

#790
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 18 May 2019 - 07:11 PM

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The troughs have been blowing away the West Coast in a similar manner to the way James Holzhauer has been blowing away Jeopardy players. We can take today's nice weather like that guy who he only beat by $18. The Holzhauer trough will once again dominate the West Coast starting tomorrow.

#791
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 18 May 2019 - 08:59 PM

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In 2010, Lindbergh Field saw the record for coldest July average high temperature go with one fell blow. The 69.39 average high for 2010 broke the cool record of 71.58 in 1987.

 

However the WRCC data for that station starts in 1939.

 

Extra credit if you can name the movie that the first sentence in this post was inspired by.



#792
Reg1992

Posted 18 May 2019 - 10:13 PM

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In 2010, Lindbergh Field saw the record for coldest July average high temperature go with one fell blow. The 69.39 average high for 2010 broke the cool record of 71.58 in 1987.

 

However the WRCC data for that station starts in 1939.

 

Extra credit if you can name the movie that the first sentence in this post was inspired by.

 

I give up, which movie?

 

Also sprinkling here, big fat rain drops. Quite windy as well.



My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2019-2020 Season Total: 0.06" (as of 9/17/19)

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84"

2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#793
Reg1992

Posted 19 May 2019 - 02:13 AM

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Light rain falling here, 0.01" now.



My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2019-2020 Season Total: 0.06" (as of 9/17/19)

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84"

2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#794
Reg1992

Posted 19 May 2019 - 04:53 AM

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Pretty steady light rain over the last few hours. 0.06" and still slowly rising.



My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2019-2020 Season Total: 0.06" (as of 9/17/19)

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84"

2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#795
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 19 May 2019 - 05:35 AM

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It was already sprinkling last night around 10 PM. Looks like the main rain with the front is just starting now.

#796
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 19 May 2019 - 05:47 AM

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I give up, which movie?
 
Also sprinkling here, big fat rain drops. Quite windy as well.


The movie is Mary Poppins and the song is "A Man has Dreams"

And now my life's ambitions go with one fell blow


https://m.youtube.co...h?v=LOVqb7qMSog
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#797
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 19 May 2019 - 06:39 AM

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We're getting moderate to heavy rain right now.



#798
Reg1992

Posted 19 May 2019 - 07:17 AM

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Rain getting louder outside here as well. Up to 0.11" for the day, or 15.21" for the season - thus surpassing 2016-17's total here. I was doubting it would happen but I'm glad to have been wrong in this case.



My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2019-2020 Season Total: 0.06" (as of 9/17/19)

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84"

2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#799
Eujunga

Posted 19 May 2019 - 09:06 AM

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Looks like this storm is winding down with a total of 0.27" and a low of 45 degrees with the rain.  Remarkable stuff for mid May, bringing the monthly total to 2.25".  The only other time I've recorded more than 2" of rain in May was in 1998.  I also remember a big storm in May 1977 when I was in high school.


  • Reg1992 likes this

Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#800
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 19 May 2019 - 10:26 AM

Mr Marine Layer

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Does climate change means the Arctic becomes more tropical and the Tropics become more Arctic?





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