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2019 California and Southwest Weather Discussion Thread

2019 california weather climate
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#101
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 03 February 2019 - 07:37 PM

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Bay Area Hills could get a dusting of snow on Tuesday.


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#102
Eujunga

Posted 03 February 2019 - 09:34 PM

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Residual moisture, southwest flow, and orographic enhancement brought me another inch of rain today for a 2-day total of nearly 4.5 inches.

 

Doesn't look like it will get quite cold enough for snowflakes here later this week, but any snow below about 5,000 feet has been hard to come by in recent years.


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Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#103
Reg1992

Posted 04 February 2019 - 08:29 AM

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After a generally quiet day in my area yesterday with very little rainfall, rain has been much more consistent since midnight today and we just had a band of heavy rainfall move through a few minutes ago.


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My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84" (as of 6/23/19)


2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#104
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 04 February 2019 - 01:10 PM

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There has been off and on rain here in Orange from yesterday to today and some of these bands have been moderate to heavy at times. When we get a break in the rain, I will post a total from Friday night to the date I post.

 

I received just over 6" of rain here in Orange during January, which turned out to be one of the wettest months in recent years for my area.



#105
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 04 February 2019 - 02:44 PM

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It has been pouring for at least an hour here, but looks to be quite localized as none of the major airports are getting much.

#106
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 04 February 2019 - 06:04 PM

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It rained nonstop moderate to heavy from about 1 PM to 3:30 PM here and Lake Forest got 0.33" out of it. Most places got only about 0.10", so the front was an underperformer.

#107
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 05 February 2019 - 06:26 AM

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Something is clearly wrong with the KFUL observations as it has been showing Heavy Rain all night long and less than 0.25 total from it.



#108
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 05 February 2019 - 09:19 AM

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With today about the same amount of daylight as November 5, we are half way through the winter season. The sunrise and sunset are both 30 minutes later, however, because solar noon went from 11:34 AM in November to 12:04 PM today.

 

Looks like we may see a little more sunshine today, except for Fullerton Airport where it will probably be showing heavy rain all day long with very little precipitation totals.



#109
seattleweatherguy

Posted 05 February 2019 - 11:27 AM

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Bay Area Hills could get a dusting of snow on Tuesday.


Still going to happen?

#110
Eujunga

Posted 05 February 2019 - 11:49 AM

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Still going to happen?

 

NWS SFO had a graphic on its home page warning of snow down to 1,000' in the North Bay but they've since taken it down.  Not enough moisture left, is my guess.


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#111
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 05 February 2019 - 12:50 PM

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Bay Area Wakes Up To Rare Snowfall On Local Hills


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#112
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 05 February 2019 - 05:09 PM

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Looks like the rain is mostly done. It's absolutely freezing outside, though 25% of people would be comfortable in shorts and a Tshirt. Clouds still obscuring Saddleback Mountain to see if there's any snow up there.
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#113
Reg1992

Posted 06 February 2019 - 12:01 AM

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Had a 20-minute burst of heavy rainfall move there here about two hours ago while it was only 43 degrees. Ended up with 0.24" for the day.



My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84" (as of 6/23/19)


2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#114
Eujunga

Posted 06 February 2019 - 08:07 AM

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49 yesterday and 34 this morning.  First sub-50 high, and first sub-40 low of the season.


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#115
Reg1992

Posted 06 February 2019 - 03:04 PM

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One last shower moved through my area while it was 40 F after midnight. Tons of snow on the mountains today, a beautiful sight.


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My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84" (as of 6/23/19)


2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#116
Eujunga

Posted 06 February 2019 - 03:18 PM

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This would have been fun:

 

gfs-mslp-pcpn-frzn-swus-37.png

 

But by the next model run it looked like this:

 

gfs-mslp-pcpn-frzn-swus-36.png


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Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#117
seattleweatherguy

Posted 06 February 2019 - 04:32 PM

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This would have been fun:

gfs-mslp-pcpn-frzn-swus-37.png

But by the next model run it looked like this:

gfs-mslp-pcpn-frzn-swus-36.png


Still close to bay area. Any chance you see snow with wa and or getting several inches? The bay area last saw snow in 1976

#118
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 06 February 2019 - 06:42 PM

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*
POPULAR

Not much snow on top of Saddleback Mountain, but these exceptionally cold storms usually are pretty moisture starved.

First 6th days of February are averaging lower for the high temperatures than any other February back into the 1870s according to WRCC data.
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#119
Thunder98

Posted 07 February 2019 - 07:26 AM

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Today is the first day of the year and last since Nov 2nd, 2018, which the solar noon angle higher than 40° for Orcutt.

 

Attached File  Early Feb 2019 sun angle.PNG   60.53KB   0 downloads



#120
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 07 February 2019 - 12:43 PM

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For this last series of storms from Friday night, 2/1 to Tuesday, 2/5, 2.85" fell here in Orange.

 

I have only used the sprinklers twice to irrigate since the beginning of the year, and that was during the 2 week dry spell back in January. 



#121
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 07 February 2019 - 12:47 PM

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Yesterday morning's low here in Orange was 34.3, which is one of the coldest readings I have ever recorded with my digital thermometer. This morning's low was a bit milder, but still quite cold, at 36.5.


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#122
Reg1992

Posted 07 February 2019 - 03:05 PM

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31.3 F here this morning.



My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84" (as of 6/23/19)


2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#123
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 08 February 2019 - 12:53 PM

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Still the coldest February average high ever for Downtown LA, but that's only for seven days. We are sure to get some warmer weather some time, even if it's the last few days of the month.

 

year  highAvg
2019  59.71
1962  59.82
1911  60.11
1887  60.36
1919  61.11
1922  61.11
1880  61.14
1909  61.39
1891  61.5
1949  61.64
1882  61.75
1913  61.79
1915  61.89
1944  61.9
1956  62
1894  62.04
1897  62.04
1969  62.11
1939  62.21
1929  62.5
2001  62.54
1892  62.59
1927  62.79
1903  63
1883  63.04
1937  63.25
1878  63.5
1888  63.52
1936  63.55
1908  63.62
1884  63.79
1975  64.07
1917  64.14
1938  64.18
1918  64.21
1902  64.25
1998  64.25
1948  64.31
1945  64.36
1879  64.5
1959  64.5
1946  64.54
1932  64.55
1960  64.72
1890  64.79
1942  64.93
2011  64.96
1976  65
1989  65
2004  65.1
1920  65.14
1904  65.17
1910  65.18
1979  65.25
2000  65.38
1893  65.5
1899  65.54
1933  65.61
1951  65.79
1993  65.79
1923  65.82
1925  65.89
1941  65.93
1950  65.93
1966  66.14
1906  66.25
2005  66.61
2017  66.71
1905  67
2009  67
1990  67.04
2012  67.07
1934  67.11
1901  67.14
2008  67.17
1940  67.21
1955  67.29
2003  67.29
1921  67.39
1952  67.41
1958  67.82
1978  67.82
1916  67.9
1895  67.93
1957  67.93
2013  68.04
1973  68.11
1935  68.29
1994  68.32
1931  68.43
1996  68.45
1930  68.46
2010  68.54
1898  68.79
1971  68.79
1965  68.86
1889  68.93
1999  68.93
1928  69.31
1964  69.34
1914  69.52
1987  69.64
1885  69.71
1881  69.75
2018  69.79
1947  69.86
1943  69.96
1926  70.07
1974  70.07
1953  70.18
1912  70.21
1972  70.28
1997  70.39
2014  70.5
1970  70.54
2006  70.54
1983  70.64
1963  70.79
1985  70.79
1992  70.83
1961  70.86
1900  71
1986  71.18
2007  71.39
1886  71.54
1982  72.29
1968  72.31
2002  72.57
1984  72.59
1907  72.82
1924  72.83
1896  73.45
1980  73.62
1991  73.64
1981  73.89
1995  74.07
1988  74.21
2015  74.25
1977  74.32
1967  74.82
1954  75.57
2016  77.48


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#124
Eujunga

Posted 08 February 2019 - 05:06 PM

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Still the coldest February average high ever for Downtown LA, but that's only for seven days. We are sure to get some warmer weather some time, even if it's the last few days of the month.

 

 

Any 7-day period of anomalous weather, cold or hot, extrapolated over a whole month will look impressive.

 

That said, it's been a long time since we had a persistently cool February period to match this one.  Feb. 17-27, 2011 was a good one.  The low of 29 on 2/27/11 was the coldest I've recorded here.


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#125
Reg1992

Posted 08 February 2019 - 05:09 PM

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More wet weather to come this weekend, although the storms may be weak. Still looking forward to them.


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My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84" (as of 6/23/19)


2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#126
Eujunga

Posted 08 February 2019 - 05:23 PM

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More wet weather to come this weekend, although the storms may be weak. Still looking forward to them.

 

Yeah, isn't it great to have actual weather to track?  Every model run contains new surprises.  Feels like such a rare and wonderful gift after the relentless ridging that has characterized so much of the last 6-7 years (2016-2017 excepted).


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Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#127
seattleweatherguy

Posted 08 February 2019 - 11:10 PM

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One model in the northern forum had snow all the way down to the bay area interesting

#128
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 09 February 2019 - 07:06 AM

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No rain here yet. Looks like the storm is a bit behind schedule.



#129
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 09 February 2019 - 10:03 AM

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Rain became very heavy around 9 AM here. Looks like the front should pass soon.

#130
Reg1992

Posted 09 February 2019 - 04:43 PM

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The rain lasted just 40 minutes here this morning as the front moved through. I'd rather have prolonged, drawn-out storms but I guess beggars can't be choosers.



My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84" (as of 6/23/19)


2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#131
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 09 February 2019 - 05:00 PM

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The rain lasted just 40 minutes here this morning as the front moved through. I'd rather have prolonged, drawn-out storms but I guess beggars can't be choosers.

 

We had enough of those last weekend and early this week. At least I got to enjoy the sunshine this afternoon.

 

John Wayne Airport is just 0.10" below their annual average after this morning's storm with a total of 13.23". Downtown L.A. is 1.76" below theirs with a total of 13.17". Last year at this time Downtown LA only had 1.86".


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#132
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 10 February 2019 - 07:16 AM

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Another 0.08" of rain this morning puts John Wayne Airport within 0.02" of their annual average.



#133
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 10 February 2019 - 10:54 AM

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No clear frontal boundary with this storm, so it looks like on and off showers all day long.



#134
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 10 February 2019 - 04:06 PM

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Pathetic totals at the airports as is usual with these weak storms. It's a bit wetter here. Coldest February on record still possible despite global warming.

#135
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 10 February 2019 - 04:52 PM

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Dead thread today, despite the rainy weather. John Wayne Airport is now 0.01" above the annual average.

#136
Eujunga

Posted 10 February 2019 - 05:41 PM

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Today's system ended up being wetter and warmer than yesterday's despite being forecast to be colder and drier.  0.36" today; 0.26" yesterday.

 

Models still having trouble narrowing down how much rain the mid-week storm will deliver, although it does look to be balmy with high snow levels in any case.


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#137
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 10 February 2019 - 07:06 PM

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I received 0.19" here in Orange from yesterday's storm. The rain here today was heavier than I expected, and will report a total after I check my gauge.



#138
Reg1992

Posted 10 February 2019 - 09:16 PM

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It was slightly wetter today than yesterday here as well. 0.12" here as opposed to yesterday's measly 0.04".



My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84" (as of 6/23/19)


2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#139
Bonk

Posted 11 February 2019 - 04:53 PM

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Chilly morning today. 

 

My truck's door was frozen shut at 7am and I had ice on my windshield.  A local weather station said it was 31* at 6:40 am.


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#140
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 11 February 2019 - 04:58 PM

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Beautiful, but chilly day today. The mountains were completely white this morning with some snow on top of Saddleback Mountain as well. Too bad the atmospheric river is going to melt most of the snow.
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#141
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 11 February 2019 - 06:02 PM

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Latest solar noon of the year in Pacific Standard Time with the actual time of solar noon just over 30 1/2 minutes later than back on the first day of Fall Back. You may have noticed most of the light gained has been in the evening since the Winter Solstice. We will now start to gain more daylight in the mornings than we do in the evenings.



#142
Dan the Weatherman

Posted 11 February 2019 - 10:53 PM

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Here are my February 2019 rainfall totals so far for here in Orange:

 

2-1 to 2-5: 2.85" (most significant rain fell from 2-2 to 2-4)
2-9: 0.19"
2-10 0.26"
Total: 3.30"

 

Here are my January 2019 totals:

1-5: 0.68"
1-11 to 1-12: 0.81"
1-14: 0.73"
1-15 to 1-17: 3.40"
1-31: 0.53"
Total: 6.15"


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#143
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 12 February 2019 - 02:06 PM

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Much warmer and more tropical-like today, which puts an end to our chance to be below normal for the first half of February.

#144
Eujunga

Posted 12 February 2019 - 05:20 PM

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High of 62º today was the warmest since 1/30.  After this week's tropical AR event, another shot of cool weather looks likely for the weekend.  This month could end up being one of the very few of the last 6 or 7 years to record a solidly below-normal temperature departure.


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#145
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 12 February 2019 - 05:49 PM

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Fullerton made it to 71 F today. First time in a while and last time for a while.



#146
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 12 February 2019 - 06:16 PM

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San Diego (71 F) and Fullerton (71 F) both had higher maximum temperatures than Palm Springs (64 F) today. That usually doesn't happen without Santa Ana Winds, so there must have been some offshore flow.

Los Angeles forecast discussion said yesterday that easterly winds could lower the rainfall totals.

#147
Reg1992

Posted 12 February 2019 - 08:24 PM

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Beautiful, but chilly day today. The mountains were completely white this morning with some snow on top of Saddleback Mountain as well. Too bad the atmospheric river is going to melt most of the snow.

 

More snow is (or, was until today) visible from my side of the Santa Ana Mountains. Snow was on the mountains down to around 4,000 feet a couple of days ago.

 

San Diego (71 F) and Fullerton (71 F) both had higher maximum temperatures than Palm Springs (64 F) today. That usually doesn't happen without Santa Ana Winds, so there must have been some offshore flow.

Los Angeles forecast discussion said yesterday that easterly winds could lower the rainfall totals.

 

I can confirm the offshore flow. Humidity dipped down to 15% here this afternoon. It's at 59% now.



My personal weather station: Davis Instruments Vantage Pro 2

 

2018-2019 Season Total: 15.84" (as of 6/23/19)


2017-2018 Season Total: 4.63"

2016-2017 Season Total: 15.18"

2015-2016 Season Total: 8.12"

 

California Water Year/Rainy Season measuring period runs from July 1 to June 30.
 

 

 


#148
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 13 February 2019 - 08:46 AM

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After 12 days, we've dropped to the 4th coldest February for the average high temperature, but we could easily move back towards first place again. 

 

year,highAvg
1962,59.82
1911,60.11
1887,60.36
2019,60.75



#149
Eujunga

Posted 13 February 2019 - 10:11 AM

Eujunga

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After 12 days, we've dropped to the 4th coldest February for the average high temperature, but we could easily move back towards first place again. 

 

year,highAvg
1962,59.82
1911,60.11
1887,60.36
2019,60.75

 

There's good ensemble support for 850s staying much cooler than normal for the rest of the month, so it could indeed end up being a top-tier cool February.

 

Screen-Shot-2019-02-13-at-10-10-37-AM.pn


Tujunga, CA (15 miles N of Downtown L.A.) - Elev. 1,860 ft.

 

Eugene, OR (5 miles SSW) - Elev. 850 ft.


#150
Mr Marine Layer

Posted 13 February 2019 - 01:16 PM

Mr Marine Layer

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How is it that a moisture flow from Hawaii which brought snowfall down to 6500 feet can travel all the way to California as an atmospheric river with the snow level at 10000 feet?





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