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January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest


Requiem

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Wow, the EURO was not bad at all. The details will work themselves out as we get closer, but the pattern is starting to really show in the models.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Despite cold temps arriving earlier, it's still easily colder than the 0z last night was for the same time.

 

Haven't you heard?  Tonight's runs are sheit!  :lol:

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Kind of wish I hadn't stayed up to be disappointed by the EURO. Ominous sign. Hopefully the EPS is still good.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Dries out quickly on Monday per the ECMWF...

 

ecmwf-snow-6-nw-25.png

 

Many places outside of the c-zone area in northern King, Snohomish, and Skagit counties might not get much snow.  

 

Randy is guaranteed to get snow!  

 

ecmwf-tsnow-washington-25.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Less than 12z.... I thought Tim said this run was going to be 'absolutely crazy'?!?!?!? 

 

Get him!!!!!!

 

I don't even worry about snowfall maps at this point.  You now the drill.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Kind of wish I hadn't stayed up to be disappointed by the EURO. Ominous sign. Hopefully the EPS is still good.

 

Seriously, it wasn't that bad.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Kind of wish I hadn't stayed up to be disappointed by the EURO. Ominous sign. Hopefully the EPS is still good.

 

WTF?  You guys take the enjoyment out of everything.

  • Like 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Seriously, it wasn't that bad.

 

Apparently some people on here are blind.  How anyone can gripe about this is beyond me.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I guess it's asking to much to get through one of these without people flipping out.  Looks like a great couple of weeks coming up to me.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Both the FV-3 and EURO trended east with the cold. Hard to be happy about that. 

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Wow. Yeah, sorry guys. Tonight's runs were absolutely horrible and we should disregard them completely. Maybe next year we can finally get something. iFred, please ban everyone that posts anything to do with any model runs, please and thank you.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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This Euro run is the coldest yet for PDX north.

 

Maybe it's the people south of Portland who are freaking out.  I'm perfectly fine with this.  Worrying about fine details now is absurd anyway.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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For the record some highs in the 30s and 1-2"+ of snow would make this a solid event in my book considering how dreadful this season has been.

  • Like 2

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Breath and do not rely on others for your inner peace. Just enjoy what your enjoy.

 

I agree, but it drive me nuts.  The big picture is so good right now.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Share on other sites

Maybe it's the people south of Portland who are freaking out.  I'm perfectly fine with this.  Worrying about fine details now is absurd anyway.

 

I'm sure even for PDX south it'll be fine.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Share on other sites

Maybe it's the people south of Portland who are freaking out.  I'm perfectly fine with this.  Worrying about fine details now is absurd anyway.

 

We might get very little snow going into the cold.     Does not look like much for me either.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Maybe it's the people south of Portland who are freaking out.  I'm perfectly fine with this.  Worrying about fine details now is absurd anyway.

 

850s bottom out around -10C at Salem, -9C at Eugene. Just not a good trend. At face value the EURO gives me about 3-5" of snow Sunday evening. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I agree, but it drive me nuts.  The big picture is so good right now.

 

Some people are either just being trolls or don't know how to properly compare runs.

 

For the Euro, we only have two runs a day. To compare hours side by side, you have to look at the previous one from 24 hours ago. And this Euro run was easily better for every frame through day 8 than the one 24 hours ago. 

 

And it gets colder than any frame from the 12z as well.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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IF the 00z runs tonight were to pan out we're looking at a 2 day cold shot with very cold northerly or north-northwesterly onshore flow. The 500mb pattern isn't conducive for a prolonged cold blast as the trough doesn't dig southwestward to pull in even more arctic air. If you see snow it would probably be in the overnight hours south of Olympia. This solution would definitely favor Puget Sound to BC and locations above 1500' elsewhere. It's definitely better than nothing and there's still time for this to trend colder similar to previous FV3 runs IF the block trends stronger/more amplified Days 3-6 holding it off to the west so the arctic air can continuously dig southward. There's still also time unfortunately and realistically for the arctic trough to not dig as favorably too. Still 2 days of model runs to go before whatever happens is locked in.

 

6z GFS in 2 hours 42 minutes

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