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Jan 18th-20th Potential Winter Storm. Can this be The One??

Snow Storm Raging Chicago
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#1501
OKwx2k4

Posted 19 January 2019 - 05:47 PM

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Storm gave me a total of sub 1". It was enough to make everything white looking at least. Glad the cold was blunted. It was worthless to me anyway.

#1502
jaster220

Posted 19 January 2019 - 06:08 PM

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Attached File  20190119 GRR Snow map.png   369.54KB   0 downloads


Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 55.9"  Largest Storm: 2x 7" (1/28-29 & 1/18-19)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 2.0 Jan: 21.7 Feb: 14.1 Mar: 2.4 Apr: 0.5 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#1503
Niko

Posted 19 January 2019 - 06:14 PM

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Congrats buddy! We've rejoined the winter in progress to our SW. Now if we can just keep a snow cover thru whatever this cutting storm holds in store. Certainly we'll at least have our piles back around town which had all but disappeared a couple weeks ago.

Thanks amigo....now, lets keep adding to the snow piles and make up for the lost of December and half of January.


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#1504
Sparky

Posted 19 January 2019 - 07:07 PM

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My snow boards only have 3-3.5" on them.  Based on the rates the last few hours last night I was guessing around 4 inches.  This morning I see there are plenty of 5-6" reports from the Cedar Rapids/Iowa City area, plus several 4.5" reports, so I guess I'll just record 4.5" for my yard.  I hate windy storms.
 
The wind destroyed the ratios.  My gauge catch, melted down, is actually 0.53".  That's way higher than I expected.  I then took a core sample from one of my boards with 3.1" on it.  It melted down to 0.48", a ridiculous 6.5 to 1 ratio.  The wind blows the snow around and compacts it.  If there was no wind, I probably would have measured 6+ inches.

I suspect wind blew some snow off of your snow board, but 4.5” sounds about right. I agree with you on hating windy storms! One thing I noticed during the November 25 storm here was that even though it was very windy, there were big flakes pouring down a few times!
(‘18 - ‘19 season snowfall total: 52”. ) Greatest season snowfall = 60.5” in 2007 - ‘08

#1505
BrianJK

Posted 20 January 2019 - 06:00 AM

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Soooo... we’re just going to ignore the highly anticipated/hyped LES bust on this side of the lake it seems.

#1506
Tom

Posted 20 January 2019 - 07:11 AM

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Soooo... we’re just going to ignore the highly anticipated/hyped LES bust on this side of the lake it seems.


Was just going to say, the Euro did the best job handling the lake plume. All the other models were much more aggressive keeping it into NE IL. Sorta disappointed it didn’t pan out but a healthy 7” snow pack around town still brought a smile to my face this morning. How about you?
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#1507
Tom

Posted 20 January 2019 - 07:12 AM

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@IndianaJohn, are you cashing in on that plume?

#1508
indianajohn

Posted 20 January 2019 - 07:18 AM

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Nope I think I was to far south in schererville maybe .5” sun peaking out now

@IndianaJohn, are you cashing in on that plume?



#1509
Andie

Posted 20 January 2019 - 07:22 AM

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Rather breezy yesterday. Winds were as high as 38 mph

High in the low 50's. But we dropped to 30* with Windchill in the mid 20's with that wind last night.

Bright sunny skies this a.m.. Winter may be on the doorstep. Calm winds today.
Currently 32* with a High of 53*
Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Rainfall - 62.65"
High Temp. - 110.03*
Low Temp. - 8.4*

#1510
james1976

Posted 20 January 2019 - 09:38 AM

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@Tom what was your total including LES?

#1511
BrianJK

Posted 20 January 2019 - 10:55 AM

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Was just going to say, the Euro did the best job handling the lake plume. All the other models were much more aggressive keeping it into NE IL. Sorta disappointed it didn’t pan out but a healthy 7” snow pack around town still brought a smile to my face this morning. How about you?

 

Anytime we get 6+ I count as a win.  We happened to be in an area where multiple factors (with related uncertainties/bust potential) were at play.  First, the FGEN: always seem difficult to precisely pinpoint and a small shift can have large implications.  Second, the potential phasing: where the IF/WHEN make all the difference.  And finally, the LES: we all know how everything must come together perfectly for our side to really receive appreciable amounts.   Had all 3 magically worked out favorably for us, this would have been a very memorable event.  But again, hard to complain any time we get 6+ dropped on us.  Landscape really looks nice out there.  Hoping we can dodge the rain next week...


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#1512
Hoosier

Posted 20 January 2019 - 11:20 AM

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Was just going to say, the Euro did the best job handling the lake plume. All the other models were much more aggressive keeping it into NE IL. Sorta disappointed it didn’t pan out but a healthy 7” snow pack around town still brought a smile to my face this morning. How about you?


Euro was too quick to push it through Lake county Indiana though. HRRR/RAP caught on to that, but the inland penetration has been less than expected.
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#1513
TOL_Weather

Posted 20 January 2019 - 02:08 PM

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This wasn't the one.

2019 Severe Weather Season Statistics for my apartment:

 

Tornado Watches: 0 (Last: 6/11/2018)

Tornado Warnings: 2 (Last: 5/5/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 7 (Last: 6/25/2019)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 6 (Last: 6/21/2019)

SPC Day 1 High Risks: 0 (Last: 6/5/2008)

SPC Day 1 Moderate Risks: 0 (Last: 6/1/2018)

SPC Day 1 Enhanced Risks: 1 (Last: 4/10/2019)

SPC Day 1 Slight Risks: 6 (Last: 6/21/2019)

 

_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

>1" Snowfalls for Lincoln Municipal Airport in 2018-2019: 10/14 (3.5"), 11/17 (2.6"), 11/25 (3.6"), 12/1-2 (3.0"), 12/28 (2.4"), 1/11-12 (4.9"), 1/22 (3.9"), 2/6-7 (2.2"), 2/15 (2.6"), 2/16-17 (4.2"), 2/19-20 (5.1"), 2/23 (8.0"), 3/2 (2.0"), 3/6-7 (4.3")

 

Total Snowfall for 2018-2019 @ KLNK: 55.5"             Coldest Low: -9*F (1/30, 3/4)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/14/2018 @ 7:01 AM CDT                Last flake of the season (so far): 4/11/2019 @ 9:44 PM CDT

 


#1514
Tom

Posted 20 January 2019 - 02:54 PM

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@Tom what was your total including LES?


Only a coating from the intermittent snow showers and then the lake plume just grazed by late last night. @IllinoisWx scored big. I saw totals on the N side of downtown got close to 4” from LES.
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#1515
james1976

Posted 20 January 2019 - 03:58 PM

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Only a coating from the intermittent snow showers and then the lake plume just grazed by late last night. @IllinoisWx scored big. I saw totals on the N side of downtown got close to 4” from LES.

You still got about 8 tho right? Nice system for many.
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#1516
jaster220

Posted 20 January 2019 - 06:40 PM

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This wasn't the one.

 

Certainly not for some like you farthest west peeps

 

You still got about 8 tho right? Nice system for many.

 

Yes it was, your's truly included.

 

My first thoughts were "Is this the one to spread the wealth?" but many or most west of MI had just enjoyed a storm last week so that seemed unfitting. Then I thought about "Is this the one to bury Chicago?" but that seemed too localized. I settled on what I did allowing each member to fill-in the blank as they saw fit. To me, it was about this storm being the one to bring winter's return and end the abysmal 50 day stretch of dustings. This one came thru for mby


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Winter 2018-19 Snow Total = 55.9"  Largest Storm: 2x 7" (1/28-29 & 1/18-19)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 15.2 Dec: 2.0 Jan: 21.7 Feb: 14.1 Mar: 2.4 Apr: 0.5 

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.9"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 67.4" (135% of normal)

2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Notable Blizzards/Snowstorms in SWMI: Nov 2015, Feb 2015, Jan 2014Feb 2011, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Jan 1982, Jan 1979, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, March 1973, Jan 1967, March 1947, Jan 1918

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967

 

"Long range winter forecasting - it's like tossing darts in a hurricane.."  "In my day, they didn't name 'em, they just called 'em blizzards! *Shakes fist in air and ambles away mumbling to himself" and to think kids nowadays get day's off school because the wind blew. I think in '78 we only got 1 day off”  "..It's the U.P. where there are two seasons. Winter, and three months of bad skiing.."


#1517
Illinois_WX

Posted 21 January 2019 - 08:45 AM

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Only a coating from the intermittent snow showers and then the lake plume just grazed by late last night. @IllinoisWx scored big. I saw totals on the N side of downtown got close to 4” from LES.

 

I did for once! It even snowed an additional 1" last night which was a nice surprise. Ended up with around 8-9". Loved this storm, LES is my favorite! 


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'18-'19 DOWNTOWN CHICAGO SNOWFALL TOTAL: ~20" (as of 02/05/19) 

 

 

 

 

 






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