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February 1st 2019 Light Snow Event for Maryland

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#1
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 31 January 2019 - 06:29 AM

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This developing system has been on the radar for five days. The system is in its initial stages of development. The 12z NAM inside 24hrs has doubled precip amounts and increased coverage. This is unheard of.

This type of system can become volatile if Atlantic moisture is tapped. Snowfall ratios may also come into play because of the modified Arctic air involved.

A general 1\2-1" seems likely. Locally higher amounts are possible.

Attached File  namconus_apcpn_neus_13.png   129.3KB   0 downloads

A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#2
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 31 January 2019 - 10:02 AM

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Special Weather Statement issued from BWI 12:24pm. Snow, 1" DC, 1-2 Baltimore North and West.

A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#3
Phil

Posted 31 January 2019 - 11:36 AM

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Wish I wasn’t so close to the southern edge. But yeah, the ground is so freakin cold that every flake will stick to every surface, haha.
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#4
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 31 January 2019 - 12:44 PM

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Still better...

Attached File  namconus_apcpn_neus_12.png   129.46KB   0 downloads

A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#5
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 31 January 2019 - 01:00 PM

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Wish I wasn’t so close to the southern edge. But yeah, the ground is so freakin cold that every flake will stick to every surface, haha.



You are in the game, be glad...
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A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#6
Phil

Posted 31 January 2019 - 02:59 PM

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You are in the game, be glad...


Okay Dr. Jackpot. :P

Just kidding, haha. I’ll take whatever I can get after the mediocrity of the last two winters. Not like I can complain about this one..I’ve got ~ 15”, which is just under the seasonal average. And we’re entering into what is climatologically the snowiest period of the winter right now, and we have +ENSO, weak solar, and a healthy downwelling -NAM following the SSW. The statistical odds favor another good storm this month.
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#7
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 01 February 2019 - 12:08 AM

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A lot of things working to our favor. Light NE winds developing in Maryland and SSE in Virginia. Radar blowing up in Kentucky.

Attached File  2019020108_metars_bwi.gif   37.3KB   0 downloads
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A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#8
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 01 February 2019 - 01:14 AM

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Starting to see a few crystals... 6 miles vis....

A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#9
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 01 February 2019 - 03:31 AM

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5 miles S-
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A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#10
dairyd

Posted 01 February 2019 - 07:13 AM

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nice lt. snow today.  you could say it was winter in these parts after this week ;)


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#11
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 01 February 2019 - 09:11 AM

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S- continues. Vis vary 3/4 to 2 milles temp 15.8 .6" new snow.

A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#12
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 01 February 2019 - 09:45 AM

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A view from the penthouse..

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A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#13
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 01 February 2019 - 12:23 PM

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Update 1.5" new snow heat wave temp 19.3 Backside is here Visability 1S-F, we got fatties...

A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#14
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 01 February 2019 - 01:03 PM

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Best of the day, 3/4 moderate snow...

A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#15
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 01 February 2019 - 01:20 PM

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Its ripping... 1/2 mile Heavy snow...

A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#16
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 01 February 2019 - 01:47 PM

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Backing off 1S- picked up 1.5" most of it 45 minutes. 3" new snow on the ground. Still snowing.

A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#17
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 01 February 2019 - 02:30 PM

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Snow ended as a light sleet. No additional accumulation. Will do a system summary when time permits. A dynamic system indeed.

A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."


#18
Wxmidatlantic

Posted 02 February 2019 - 05:08 AM

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System Summary

1-3" of snow for Maryland, Delaware. In the high country 6-12". This satellite image says it all...



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A Navy Chief said, "Never change your forecast. That way you can only be wrong once."