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February 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest - Part 1

Guest hawkstwelve

By Guest hawkstwelve
in West of the Rockies

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SeanNyberg
SeanNyberg

I know we are like Leonardo DiCaprio on one of his yachts, waiting for the newest and freshest models to come out, but I just wanted to say Hi! I'm new to this forum. Studied meteorology at UW for two

Jesse
Jesse

Caught a nice sunset at Cape Horn earlier.    

Gradient Keeper
Gradient Keeper

OMG after seeing Andrew's posts I was so excited I pooped with the toilet seat up! and I didn't even care! Sure, it was messy and smelled, but OMG did you see that incredibly historically historic pa

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
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Actually 12Z ECMWF is a little east of its 00Z run on Sunday afternoon and night though.

 

Tropical Tibits only allows comparison with previous 12Z run... but WB allows for comparison with 00Z run.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
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12Z ECMWF is a little west on Monday... but a little more snow in SW WA.  

 

00Z run for Monday morning...

 

ecmwf-snow-6-nw-16.png

 

And the new 12Z run...

 

ecmwf-snow-6-nw-14.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Guest hawkstwelve

Guest hawkstwelve

Posted
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WA coast and North Sound are winners through 4PM Monday. Nice improvements over 00z for those areas.

 

Hopefully we can continue that improvement and get just a little more inland with the 00z tonight.

 

EUmhLYu.png

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Perturbed Member Grand Master

Perturbed Member

Posted
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WRF outstanding again! back to back runs. If I had to make a forecast based on WRF and 4km Soundings 8 PM Sunday, Rain to slowly change to a mix then wet snow PDX metro and all snow Multnomah Falls westward progressing into Troutdale, Gresham east of I-205. That's assuming the WRF is handling the cold air progression correctly.

 

Yeah it sure does look like a snow sounding provided we have enough moisture to take advantage of the cold dry air.

 

kpdx.75.0000.snd.gif

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
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Total snow through Tuesday morning... not as much for the Portland area as the 00Z run.    

 

Still shafted in King County.   Also... the snow shown in the Central Cascades is mostly falling today.

 

ecmwf-tsnow-washington-17.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Frontal Snowsquall Grand Master

Frontal Snowsquall

Posted
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WRF outstanding again! back to back runs. If I had to make a forecast based on WRF and 4km Soundings 8 PM Sunday, Rain to slowly change to a mix then wet snow PDX metro and all snow Multnomah Falls westward progressing into Troutdale, Gresham east of I-205. That's assuming the WRF is handling the cold air progression correctly.

Yeah it sure does look like a snow sounding provided we have enough moisture to take advantage of the cold dry air.

 

kpdx.75.0000.snd.gif

Double This.

 

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Requiem Grand Master

Requiem

Posted
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I hope the WRF verifies! Beggars can’t be choosers though.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Perturbed Member Grand Master

Perturbed Member

Posted
Posted

Total snow through Tuesday morning... not as much for the Portland area as the 00Z run.    

 

Still shafted in King County.   Also... the snow shown in the Central Cascades is mostly falling today.

 

ecmwf-tsnow-washington-17.png

 

 

Widespread 1-2 inches in PDX would be a very good result here IMO. It is nice that every euro run for a while has shown at least an inch here even if it comes in different ways. 

 

The screw zone over king county is pretty sad though...

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

High temps on Tuesday... unfortunately this is 2-3 degrees warmer than the 00Z run showed.

 

ecmwf-t2max-washington-19.png

 

Everywhere except Eugene which has the coldest high they've been modeled to have during this whole thing.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted

Still showing about 3-5" up here. I'd be happy with even the low end of the total. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

Still showing about 3-5" up here. I'd be happy with even the low end of the total. 

 

 

Your lack of offshore flow will help you this time... it results in it being almost totally dry up here.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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