Kicking off a new thread to track, discuss, speculate, and share observations of the extended period of cold and multiple snow events forecasted for the remainder of the month.
Please keep banter, depressed, "Debbie Downer", and really anything that does not contribute to the discussion at hand to the banter thread. Please feel free to ask questions, feel excited, and share anything you find that might help us gain insight into the kinds of weather we will see over the next few weeks.
As I and others have noted in the recent past, there almost always seems to be an 18 hour window near the event where models seems to lose what looked like a solid solution, only to have it return. It isn't a guarantee that we will see significant cold and snow next week, but just because we lose it tonight doesn't mean it cannot come back with tomorrow evenings runs. My experience with being an East Coast weather weenie, I wouldn't really trust the ICON for low placement, the Euro handles precip weirdly when going from warm to cold, and the GFS doesn't get low level temps right this far out. I would sit back and relax, and enjoy the ride. Even if we lose the Euro tonight for anything past this weekend, until we have had successive runs and the EPS supports the break in the trend, I am not going to sweat it.
Respect the professional mets that are lurking here, posting on Twitter, doing your local news cast, or writing up the AFD. Its not like these guys are assholes who want to see you shake in your weenie boots because their call is "too conservative". This shit is hard and it would be great if we had them on here discussing their methodology. I'm sure no one wants to hold those discussions when some jabroni is calling them a fraud for not getting the WWA out several hours sooner.