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February Snowfalls 2/10-2/12, Part III & IV


Geos

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Light snow now on the coast down by the California border at Brookings.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I am thinking tomorrow's system will move in sooner than progged. Which could limit snowfall totals.

What makes you say that?

 

The 0z WRF actually pushed back timing a little bit and doesn't show snow starting around the Central Sound till after 4 PM.

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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You're doing alright in the snow dept right? Is it a huge pain living up on that hill? From a practicality point of view?

I am. But I’m bummed about not realizing the potential of the pattern down here. Not a pain, I moved here for this.
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WRF shows a period of decent snowfall for the Central Sound tomorrow evening.  A quick 2 or 3 inches.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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What makes you say that?

 

The 0z WRF actually pushed back timing a little bit and doesn't show snow starting around the Central Sound till after 4 PM.

Just some of the tracks now being shown and the fact that recent systems have been ahead of schedule.

 

Plus- I do not live in the central sound, I really only worry about my local situation, I am not big on the whole regional situations usually.

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I'm still holding out a faint sliver of hope for a transition event. 

 

On another note, I doubt kids in Washington will be in school until July, that's ridiculous.

For Seattle Public Schools their last day of school is June 20, with already makeup days from 6/21-6/24. If they’re out all of next week and/or additional snow days due to this prolonged pattern, there is a real chance they will be in school in July.

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WRF shows a period of decent snowfall for the Central Sound tomorrow evening.  A quick 2 or 3 inches.

 

 

Yeah... this thing was supposed to go to our south with strong east winds.  Now its going just to our north with a southerly wind tomorrow evening.    But its cold enough for snow and of course much wetter now.  

 

Strong south winds up to Seattle at 10 p.m. tomorrow evening.

 

ww_wgsfc.30.0000.gif

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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For Seattle Public Schools their last day of school is June 20, with already makeup days from 6/21-6/24. If they’re out all of next week and/or additional snow days due to this prolonged pattern, there is a real chance they will be in school in July.

 

Yep.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Highway 22 west of Salem getting dumped on right now...

 

http://tripcheck.com/RoadCams/cams/ORE22%20at%20Butler%20HillWB_pid3915.jpg?rand=1549772034909

 

West valley is always such a good spot.  Banding gets hung up there at times.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Light snow now on the coast down by the California border at Brookings.

 

Wow so which spot in Oregon is now in last place?

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

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Wow so which spot in Oregon is now in last place?

 

My brother has had 1" now this month in North Bend/Coos Bay. So I think it is Eugene/Springfield. :(

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The disturbance later in the week certainly looks colder than previous runs.   It might track well enough to give snow to both Seattle and Portland.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Yeah... this thing was supposed to go to our south with strong east winds. Now its going just to our north with a southerly wind tomorrow evening. But its cold enough for snow and of course much wetter now.

 

Strong south winds up to Seattle at 10 p.m. tomorrow evening.

 

ww_wgsfc.30.0000.gif

Yep, no longer looking good for here. Warming has commenced....

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My brother has had 1" now this month in North Bend/Coos Bay. So I think it is Eugene/Springfield. :(

 

The new annual tradition.  :lol:

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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For Seattle Public Schools their last day of school is June 20, with already makeup days from 6/21-6/24. If they’re out all of next week and/or additional snow days due to this prolonged pattern, there is a real chance they will be in school in July.

 

Oh, they go all the way until June 20th? Wow, quite a bit later than PPS.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Just enough time for it to all trend a few 100 miles north!

I know hindsight is 20/20 but looking back we should have been a little more cautious. I know in 16/17, we were regularly seeing systems head into California and I was complaining why weren't they heading north so we could get snow. Well they did eventually started trending north. The systems that were being shown here were too close for comfort and a slight shift north would not be good for us. In the end it is what it is, hopefully we get another crack at it rest of this winter.

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Departures in NW Oregon today

 

PDX -10

SLE -5

EUG -6

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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WRF not a fan of Whatcom County apparently

 

 

You are in the sweet spot actually for the WRF.  The WRF showed very little snow for me the last two events with much more snow just to my south and west.     That did not happen of course.

 

Snow will be farther north and east than the WRF shows... like the ECMWF showed.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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You are in the sweet spot actually for the WRF.  The WRF showed very little snow for me the last two events with much more snow just to my south and west.     That did not happen of course.

 

Snow will be farther north and east than the WRF shows... like the ECMWF showed.  

How  do you think I will do tmrw?

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Moderation is starting to show...

 

When? Not seeing it. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Hold on... you mean this cold pattern is not ending tomorrow? Has this been discussed? Is there any reliable long range model from Europe showing this continuing?? :)

^Someone’s gettin’ shook.

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Someone’s gettin’ shook.

 

Not at all.    This extreme pattern is fascinating... and its been absolutely beautiful here.      I was just touting the EPS again.    :)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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