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February 2019 Weather Observations and Discussion Part 2

Snow ice cold winter
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#1
snow_wizard

Posted 13 February 2019 - 10:23 PM

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Totally incredible.  The FV3 is 100% on board for another round of significant cold just like the GFS.  How is this possible after having the block in place so long already.  Something really spectacular going on here!

 

 

 

 

Attached Files

  • Attached File  cold.png   247.7KB   0 downloads

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2018-19 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 12.4"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.3"

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 63

Highs 32 or below = 1

Lows 20 or below = 6

Highs 40 or below = 15

 

 


#2
Lisa0527

Posted 13 February 2019 - 10:27 PM

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Were clinging to a faint hope for snow tomorrow night/Friday in Vancouver. Any chance anyone has Euro snowfall maps for Thursday to Saturday?

#3
seattleweatherguy

Posted 13 February 2019 - 10:33 PM

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Totally incredible. The FV3 is 100% on board for another round of significant cold just like the GFS. How is this possible after having the block in place so long already. Something really spectacular going on here!


End of the month block wow
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#4
Cloud

Posted 13 February 2019 - 10:33 PM

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Totally incredible. The FV3 is 100% on board for another round of significant cold just like the GFS. How is this possible after having the block in place so long already. Something really spectacular going on here!

This month’s mean is going to shatter the record for coldest February on records.

Edit: should mention for KSEA.

#5
Deweydog

Posted 13 February 2019 - 10:41 PM

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Euro!!!!!!!!!!!!!

All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#6
Lisa0527

Posted 13 February 2019 - 10:44 PM

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Euro!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Maps????

#7
Timmy_Supercell

Posted 13 February 2019 - 10:52 PM

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Heavy rain coming down, washing away the annoying white stuff that fell earlier.  :P


Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR

-------------------------------------------------------------------

Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

 

2010-2011 - 58.20" (161%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 16.70" (46%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
 
2018-2019 - 52.00" (145%)
 
Nov '18 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '18 - 05.80" (58%)
Jan '19 - 09.50(80%)
Feb '19 - 27.50" (306%)
Mar '19 - 09.00" (360%)
Apr '19 - T"
 
2019 Thunderstorms: 1
04/02 - Vicinity
04/19 - TSTM
 
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.00" (02/28/2012), 8.00" (01/01/2011)
 
T'storm Days: 2 (2019), 16 (2018), 11 (2017), 12 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011) / 1980-2015 Avg = 12 T'storm Days
Severe T'storms: 4 (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe - (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 


#8
VancouverIslandSouth

Posted 13 February 2019 - 10:54 PM

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Totally incredible.  The FV3 is 100% on board for another round of significant cold just like the GFS.  How is this possible after having the block in place so long already.  Something really spectacular going on here!

 

Pretty crazy stuff, I used to think February was a lost cause for winter weather in the PNW. Now we've had Arctic air/snowfalls in Feb 2011, Feb 2014, Feb 2017, Feb 2018 and now this. No other month has come close in terms of delivering winter weather in this area this decade.


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#9
GHweatherChris

Posted 13 February 2019 - 10:55 PM

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Snow maps?? All of them...

#10
Rubus Leucodermis

Posted 13 February 2019 - 10:56 PM

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4 to 8 inches for many.  To me the 500mb pattern looks like it could bring far more.

 

If KSEA gets 15.3" more, the old 1916 record for February snowfall is toast. Probably won't happen, but something to think about.



#11
KeVamgedon

Posted 13 February 2019 - 10:58 PM

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WOW... EURO looking good

#12
Deweydog

Posted 13 February 2019 - 11:00 PM

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Maps????


That’s Tim’s job but you guys haaaad to go and kill him off...
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All roads lead to Walgreens.  


#13
snow_wizard

Posted 13 February 2019 - 11:14 PM

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So....we have the GFS, FV3, and Canadian showing some Arctic air seeping in again later next week, and the ECMWF not too far from it.  Good trend right now.


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2018-19 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 12.4"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.3"

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 63

Highs 32 or below = 1

Lows 20 or below = 6

Highs 40 or below = 15

 

 


#14
Bryant

Posted 13 February 2019 - 11:15 PM

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Thur-Fri

Attached Files


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#15
Lisa0527

Posted 13 February 2019 - 11:15 PM

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Attached File  0D26B9F3-058A-4A1A-B921-252CA0C6F171.png   459.4KB   7 downloads

Here you go. Courtesy of the Canadian forum and Abby Jr.
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#16
Frontal Snowsquall

Posted 13 February 2019 - 11:16 PM

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The lower solar cycles may be coming home to roost. It is thought the weaker solar cycles cause a slower (more blocky) atmosphere which causes the more extreme events. It's highly possible the last half of the 20th century and first part of this century were unrealistic compared to a norm of more severe weather.


Yeah, I read that a Super Grand Solar Minimum could begin next year according to one scientist. This is just unprecedented blocking that I've seen and it looks like it's not ending anytime soon.

#17
Bryant

Posted 13 February 2019 - 11:17 PM

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Tue-Wed

Attached Files


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#18
snow_wizard

Posted 13 February 2019 - 11:19 PM

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If KSEA gets 15.3" more, the old 1916 record for February snowfall is toast. Probably won't happen, but something to think about.

 

Slightly possible, but I bet Sea - Tac had more than downtown in 1916.  This will be a more impressive February overall regardless.  Feb 1916 was just the end play of greatness that dominated January.


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2018-19 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 12.4"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.3"

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 63

Highs 32 or below = 1

Lows 20 or below = 6

Highs 40 or below = 15

 

 


#19
snow_wizard

Posted 13 February 2019 - 11:20 PM

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attachicon.gif 0D26B9F3-058A-4A1A-B921-252CA0C6F171.png

Here you go. Courtesy of the Canadian forum and Abby Jr.

 

The Euro isn't as cold as all of the other models.  Waiting for the EPS to come in.


Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2018-19 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 12.4"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 12

Total Hail = 0.3"

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 63

Highs 32 or below = 1

Lows 20 or below = 6

Highs 40 or below = 15

 

 


#20
MossMan

Posted 13 February 2019 - 11:38 PM

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0D26B9F3-058A-4A1A-B921-252CA0C6F171.png

Here you go. Courtesy of the Canadian forum and Abby Jr.

Looks fantastic for up here!
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#21
seattleweatherguy

Posted 13 February 2019 - 11:43 PM

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Thur-Fri


Woah this snow possible thurs night? Can't tell timing on this map

#22
MillCreekMike

Posted 13 February 2019 - 11:53 PM

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Woah this snow possible thurs night? Can't tell timing on this map

whats wether app saying


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2018-2019 Snow: 25"

February 3rd/4th: 9.0"
February 8th/9th: 4.5"

February 10th: 4"

February 11th/12th: 5.0"

February 24th: T.

February 27th: T.

March 6th: 0.5"

March 7th: 0.75"

March 8th: 1.25"


#23
Bryant

Posted 14 February 2019 - 12:13 AM

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Woah this snow possible thurs night? Can't tell timing on this map

 

I'd highly suggest to do some studying up on how to read the models, and the timing. It will be worth your while 


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#24
TigerWoodsLibido

Posted 14 February 2019 - 12:27 AM

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41 and cloudy. Been seasonably cool for the last couple weeks outside of 0.2” on the 5th. The new normal for EUG, make sure to be the most boring part of the region weather-wise.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 18-19 Stats:

Coldest high: 34 (Feb 25)
Coldest low: 20 (Mar 4)
Days with below freezing temps: 46
Total snowfall: 20.2"

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019
Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 1990

Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

 

Personal Stats:

Last accumulating snowfall (grass): February 27, 2019

Last accumulating snowfall (roads): February 27, 2019
Last sub-freezing high: Jan 13, 2017 (31)
Last White Christmas: 2008

Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

My Twitter @353jerseys4hope


#25
El_Nina

Posted 14 February 2019 - 12:47 AM

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The snow always comes and goes so fast.

#26
Bryant

Posted 14 February 2019 - 01:23 AM

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Bad news Esquimalt... the 00z EPS STILL shows the ridge moving onshore after day 10. Winter cancel! 😥😥😥

/s

#27
Jginmartini

Posted 14 February 2019 - 01:48 AM

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28.9
26 dp
= glacial icing
Snow has an icy blanket now
Arctic air event 12/24/2018 7:08pm DENIED!!!

#28
hawkstwelve

Posted 14 February 2019 - 02:24 AM

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D*mn the roads are slick out there. Between the slush, snow, freezing fog, and standing water they're pretty much an ice rink. 202 was plowed and treated, barely any snow or ice, yet I still found myself slipping occasionally. I was nervous I wasn't going to be able to make it up my already-sketchy hill but somehow, thankfully, I did.

The early morning commute is going to be a complete mess trying to get to the freeways.

#29
Brennan

Posted 14 February 2019 - 03:17 AM

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Some of the pictures from North Bend look like some of the pictures from Bellingham in December 1996... Crazy. Not quite as much, but close. 



#30
jakerepp

Posted 14 February 2019 - 05:41 AM

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I5 in the North Sound seems fine. But those small neighborhood roads...woof!

#31
Geos

Posted 14 February 2019 - 06:37 AM

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Looks like some snow to start the morning off in the south sound.

Gonna have to think of a new thread for the rest of the month.

Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 41.76", 2019: 7.61", 2/28

 

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.3"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam:
http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2

https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#32
Esquimalt

Posted 14 February 2019 - 07:16 AM

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Environment Canada has issued a snowfall warning for yyj which really surprised me given how marginal the situation is. They’re putting their balls on the line stating the afternoon commute will be difficult

#33
TT-SEA

Posted 14 February 2019 - 07:39 AM

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Just noticed that its 41 heavenly degrees already this morning in North Bend with a snow-eating, downsloping wind.

#34
Farmboy

Posted 14 February 2019 - 07:44 AM

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Heckleville Shed on Hwy. 101 still looking wintery this morning...

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"Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness."

#35
hcr32

Posted 14 February 2019 - 07:44 AM

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A chilly 17F here this AM. Looks like radar is already showing returns near the south island.

#36
Kayla

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:07 AM

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GFS showing some snow for the PDX area Tuesday morning. 

 

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_20.png


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Cold Season 2018/19:

Total snowfall: 153.0"
Highest daily snowfall: 14.0"

Highest snow depth: 36.0"

Coldest high: -4.0º
Coldest low: -22.0º

Number of subzero days: 26

 

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wundergr...OZEM152#history


#37
TT-SEA

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:07 AM

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Actually 47 at one station in North Bend and 42 at the other one... east wind must be cranking.



#38
Geos

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:07 AM

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Lets start a new thread for the back half od the month. Looks like the region will continue with temps way below normal and snow threats.
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Finn Hill, elevation: 460 ft
2018 moisture: 41.76", 2019: 7.61", 2/28

 

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.3"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

Weather station/wx cam:
http://map.bloomsky....qBxp6apnJSnqqm2

https://www.wundergr...OTHE144#history


#39
iFred

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:16 AM

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Like a funnel of warmth. In the Woodinville area, you're at freezing, but in Bellevue, you're in the upper 30s.


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#40
iFred

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:17 AM

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Same story for the Snohomish valley



#41
iFred

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:17 AM

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Reports that there is freezing rain in Yelm with quarter inch ice accretion.



#42
Jesse

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:18 AM

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Funnel of warmth. Sounds like a ride at the North Bend carnival.
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#43
TT-SEA

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:22 AM

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Funnel of warmth. Sounds like a ride at the North Bend carnival.

 

Downsloping east wind.   It was the east wind that also caused all the snow.    Its an interesting micro-climate for sure.  

 

I just know there are lots of people who still need help and I am very happy to see the warmer temps there.  



#44
MossMan

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:24 AM

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36 at home but now in Smokey Point for an appointment and it’s 31 here.

#45
VancouverIslandSouth

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:26 AM

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Environment Canada has issued a snowfall warning for yyj which really surprised me given how marginal the situation is. They’re putting their balls on the line stating the afternoon commute will be difficult

 

They have a tendency to do this in overrunning situations. I'm pretty sure we'll see a bit of wet snow today, but nothing I'd consider meeting the warning criteria. That said, it's nice to see the NE winds strengthening this morning and 850mb look to stay below freezing the entire time.



#46
ShawniganLake

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:27 AM

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19F here this morning. Also dropped to at least 19F at Victoria YYJ which would be a record.
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#47
MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:28 AM

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34 and snowing here dewpoint 28.

We come from the land of the ice and snow.


#48
ShawniganLake

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:29 AM

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Environment Canada has issued a snowfall warning for yyj which really surprised me given how marginal the situation is. They’re putting their balls on the line stating the afternoon commute will be difficult

The city might end up pretty borderline but I bet the western communities, saanich peninsula and and malahat north see at least 2-3".

#49
MossMan

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:30 AM

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34 and snowing here dewpoint 28.

d**n it I forgot to check my DP before leaving!

#50
MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted 14 February 2019 - 08:56 AM

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d**n it I forgot to check my DP before leaving!

You're dewpoint is 40.

We come from the land of the ice and snow.






Also tagged with one or more of these keywords: Snow ice, cold, winter