February 2019 Weather Observations and Discussion Part 2

[Perturbed Member]

The white hole in the middle means whiteout conditions, right?

 

 

Only so many colors they can put on these maps, they eventually have to wrap back around to white.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS has some snow up in the Puget Sound area on Thursday morning. 

[Jesse]

I was surprised you feel it was a dull period as well with your yawn addition... weird!

Weird year!!

[snow_wizard]

SEA is looking good to average below 37.0 for their monthly average.  They were at 36.4 through yesterday and today's daily average was 38.  Tomorrow will likely be colder.

[Requiem]

I would be really upset if I lived in the Portland area.  Areas both north and south of them have gotten crushed this month.  Kind of reminds me of how it felt in Seattle in 2016-17 or more so 2013-14.

 

Even 2016-2017 for Seattle had the very respectable 2/5/17 snow event.

[Perturbed Member]

For the WA guys

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Kind of disappointing that the Portland area wasn’t able to score a little more but good for areas in central and south oregon though , looks like there will be some snow chances this week for most people in WA and OR but nothing major probably

I would be really upset if I lived in the Portland area. Areas both north and south of them have gotten crushed this month. Kind of reminds me of how it felt in Seattle in 2016-17 or more so 2013-14.

It hasn't been that bad on the east side of town. I had 1.5" early February and then I got around half a foot on the 9th. Also had some minor snow accumulations other times including today. But you're right, not as much as in the SEA and EUG areas as you got events that went for a foot plus. It happens though. 1968-69 SEA and EUG got more snow than PDX even though PDX got lots of snow that Winter.

[TT-SEA]

Didn’t both you and Chris get snow this month too? Just seems strange to complain about winter fading away with no excitement just days before the beginning of March at the tail end of one of our more active region wide Februaries in living memory.

 

 

I don't even like February snow... but there is nothing I can do about it.   Sh*t happens!  

[Jesse]

I don't even like February snow... but there is nothing I can do about it. Sh*t happens!

Yeah and non-sequiturs!

[Requiem]

FWIW

 

[El_Nina]

SE PDX

[TT-SEA]

For the WA guys

 

 

 

Looks very much like the ECMWF.   

 

 

But it will likely be in the 40s that day anyways as the models show so it might not even accumulate.

[snow_wizard]

GFS has some snow up in the Puget Sound area on Thursday morning. 

 

Looks like a decent opportunity for us.

[snow_wizard]

Even 2016-2017 for Seattle had the very respectable 2/5/17 snow event.

 

Very true.  It wasn't the winter wonderland stuff you got in January that winter, but it was impressive.

[Jesse]

SE PDX

20190225_195615.jpg

 

Snowing sideways!

[Perturbed Member]

I like the way the Canadians think

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

SE PDX

20190225_195615.jpg

I'm at the Safeway off 181st and Powell and it's snowing like crazy right now. Sticking in the parking lot.

[snow_wizard]

Snowing sideways!

 

I'm not sure what's going on with the pictures rotating when we post them.  It sucks.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

I like the way the Canadians think

 

Oh Canada!

[Blizzard777]

Snowing here too. The band is slowly dying, emphasis on the slowly!

Took grandson out to play one more time! We made perfect snowballs with this plastic scooper he has and put them in the freezer

 

I have to say we had a great time today even though snow was not that deep. We made the most of it and had a great snow day !

[Perturbed Member]

Looks very much like the ECMWF.   

 

 

But it will likely be in the 40s that day anyways as the models show so it might not even accumulate.

 

 

GFS seems way more aggressive for up there

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The moisture the GEM shows is very light, like the GFS. But it gives SLE and PDX 1". 3" for EUG. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

How was the 18z EURO?

[GHweatherChris]

Didn’t both you and Chris get snow this month too? Just seems strange to complain about winter fading away with no excitement just days before the beginning of March at the tail end of one of our more active region wide Februaries in living memory.

Wasn't a complaint, just a thought... sorry you take issue with that. It has been a decent winter, but could have been better IMO!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This next system should be good for Timmy Supercell.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

If it snows Tim it won't be in the 40's. It might get to the 40's after it snows for an hr or 2.

[GHweatherChris]

Looks very much like the ECMWF.

 

 

But it will likely be in the 40s that day anyways as the models show so it might not even accumulate.

Depends on when the snow falls, no model has really hit timing at all with recent setups. Usually way earlier than expected.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Stayed cold thru the mid afternoon here with very low dewpoints. I noticed the icicles on the east side of my back deck continued to grow thru the afternoon.

 

Similar here, though there's not enough moisture left for icicles here, the snow melted off the roof last week. Just a few small patches of snow left here. Ended up with a high of 38F, this month is going to blow away Jan 2017 for cold.

[Blizzard777]

I'm not sure what's going on with the pictures rotating when we post them.  It sucks.

I always go into edit tool automatically and either crop or do some other small edit and resave it. Then It post correctly

[GHweatherChris]

I always go into edit tool automatically and either crop or do some other small edit and resave it. Then It post correctly

If they are from a phone it depends on how it was taken, you have to take the pic horizontally on a phone to directly add correctly.

[El_Nina]

I'm not sure what's going on with the pictures rotating when we post them.  It sucks.

I learned a trick that I couldn't do this time cause I was driving, but if I screenshot the picture I wanna post and then add that one to the reply, it'll come out straight.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Didn't someone say MossMan was going to somehow get a foot of snow out of this otherwise dry pattern. The 0z GFS has that look to it. I'd be happy with what's shown on the GFS for here, would be a nice way to end the season.

[Esquimalt]

Didn't someone say MossMan was going to somehow get a foot of snow out of this otherwise dry pattern. The 0z GFS has that look to it. I'd be happy with what's shown on the GFS for here, would be a nice way to end the season.

How do you feel about the 00Z gfs for here with that wednesday system?

[TT-SEA]

Didn't someone say MossMan was going to somehow get a foot of snow out of this otherwise dry pattern. The 0z GFS has that look to it. I'd be happy with what's shown on the GFS for here, would be a nice way to end the season.

 

I joked that Randy would manage half a foot today even if places to his south got screwed.   Seems to work out that way for him all the time.  

 

The 00Z GFS does not show much precip at all... other than a little light snow on Thursday.   When do see Randy getting a foot of snow? 

[Jesse]

I learned a trick that I couldn't do this time cause I was driving, but if I screenshot the picture I wanna post and then add that one to the reply, it'll come out straight.

 

I've used that trick too. I think the issue initially arises from the orientation of your phone when you take a picture. Pictures I have taken "portrait style", or with my phone turned sideways, will usually come out sideways on here.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I joked that Randy would manage half a foot today even if places to his south got screwed.   Seems to work out that way for him all the time.  

 

The 00Z GFS does not show much precip at all... other than a little light snow on Thursday.   When do see Randy getting a foot of snow?

 

Looks like 2 or 3 up there.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GEM just throws snow showers at the Willamette Valley for about 48 straight hours. 

 

[VancouverIslandSouth]

I joked that Randy would manage half a foot today even if places to his south got screwed.   Seems to work out that way for him all the time.  

 

The 00Z GFS does not show much precip at all... other than a little light snow on Thursday.   When do see Randy getting a foot of snow? 

 

Looks like a pretty prolonged period of light snow, he'll find a way to squeeze out a heavy convective snow shower in that time.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Down to 29 now under cloudy skies. 32/29 today so far. An hour or two of clearing would probably dive us into the teens. Maybe sometime this week we can squeeze a clear night in. It is going to take a while to melt this snowpack if we don't get any mild rain. It has been saturated with rain multiple times and frozen and refrozen. 

[VancouverIslandSouth]

How do you feel about the 00Z gfs for here with that wednesday system?

 

Seems like we at least have a shot at something Wednesday/Thursay with cold dry air already in place (a crucial missing ingredient from the last one). This is just a single run of the GFS, I wouldn't get too excited until it shows up at least a few runs in a row.