Jesse Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 It’s gonna get COOOOOOOLD!!!!Jim!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 How does this projected 500mb pattern compare with the late February 2018 pattern?Not as COOOOOOOLD!!!! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Jim!!!Don’t you have a vacation itinerary to keep track of? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 What is the sunspot forecast for next winter? Still low? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Don’t you have a vacation itinerary to keep track of?My next vacation isn’t until March. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 1 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 I'm really curious about this not cold 500mb pattern some are referring to for next weekend. What on Earth is this if not cold?What are the EURO 2m temps looking like? Last I checked upper 30’s and low 40’s. Just curious. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 The clouds are really moving out of the north now. Starting to clear out pretty good. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 How does this projected 500mb pattern compare with the late February 2018 pattern? That is a great question. I'll have to check. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 What is the sunspot forecast for next winter? Still low? That's the million dollar question. It's about 50/50 whether we are currently at minimum or whether it could still be a year off. I know the radio flux hasn't yet gone as low as it did on the previous minimum so we might not be there yet, but every cycle is different. It will still be very low regardless though. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Here is the setup that brought the late Feb cold last year. Not much different than what is shown for next weekend. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 That's the million dollar question. It's about 50/50 whether we are currently at minimum or whether it could still be a year off. I know the radio flux hasn't yet gone as low as it did on the previous minimum so we might not be there yet, but every cycle is different. It will still be very low regardless though.The solar wind/geomag minimum also tends to occur later than the sunspot minimum, and that seems to matter more for high latitude upper atmospheric composition/TW forcing than irradiance. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Kind of a surprising 500mb anomaly composite for this month so far. The big positive over the Pacific is further south than would be normal for such a cold pattern. Obviously the ridge bridge to the -NAO did wonders for us. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Yeah, Sun angles don’t matter as much when the snow is actually falling (if temperatures are below freezing). Only so much insolation will make it through the cloud deck, and the most intense insolation only lasts 3-4hrs anyway. Plus, once there’s snow on the ground, much of that is reflected anyway. In March 2014 we had something like 30” over 2 weeks, and many of those events accumulated on interstates as if it was mid-January. There was a foot of snow on I-95. There was even a ZR event that month that caked everything in ice (even the streets) during the middle of the day, in spite of the latent heat release from freezing and insolation. That month completely changed my opinion on the sun angle stuff. I used to think it played a major role but recent years have proven otherwise. Snow melt rates on sunny days, though...oh boy.Yea. I've seen lots of accumulating snow in March. It just melts faster after the snow stops. Same as the snow here now is melting faster than it would have in December Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Yea. I've seen lots of accumulating snow in March. It just melts faster after the snow stops. Same as the snow here now is melting faster than it would have in DecemberWe all know it happens, I don’t think we’ll ever understand why. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Yea. I've seen lots of accumulating snow in March. It just melts faster after the snow stops. Same as the snow here now is melting faster than it would have in DecemberI was only 12 or so at the time but if I remember correctly my foot of snow in March 1989 stuck around for nearly a week! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 I'm really curious about this not cold 500mb pattern some are referring to for next weekend. What on Earth is this if not cold?I’m going to go ahead and second this that it is indeed cold and I still have hope!!! Love that deep purple color !!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 I’m going to go ahead and second this that it is indeed cold and I still have hope!!! Love that deep purple color !!!And it could very well trend even colder as we get closer! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 43*/28* in Federal Way and currently.....lol 37* just seems to be the number I always see lately. Down here in Tigard it felt chilly out. Went to see the Lego movie and now it’s seems I can’t get that song out of my head! If you saw it you would understand what I just said. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 18, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 I was only 12 or so at the time but if I remember correctly my foot of snow in March 1989 stuck around for nearly a week! That was a big snow. It got really cold for a couple of days after the snow and then we had heavy clouds and some cold rain so it did last for a while. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Storm total: 8" 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Storm total: 8"Nice!!’ Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Just took a closer look at the WRF from this morning and it has a purple dot right over my 5 acres! Do you live in Stanwood? Seems that area does amazing. I bet places like Darrington get a ton of snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Temp down to 31.5 with a DP of 29.8. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Nice!!’You must've got near the same as me? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Day 7-9 on the 0z GEM look legitimate. People would be happy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Wow the Canadian is a snowy run big time for puget sound. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 You must've got near the same as me?We had about an inch and a half with the Monday night deformation bonanza and about four inches with the Friday night/Saturday morning storm. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 That was a big snow. It got really cold for a couple of days after the snow and then we had heavy clouds and some cold rain so it did last for a while.Not sure how you guys did in 2002. But it was probably more notable up here. 10 days of snow cover after the 15th. I remember it snowing heavily in the mid 20s one morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Do you live in Stanwood? Seems that area does amazing. I bet places like Darrington get a ton of snow.I have a Stanwood address but I’m quite a distance from the actual town of Stanwood. (The actual town of Stanwood does not do well with snow accumulations) I’m just east of I-5 by a few miles right on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Found “War Games” while scanning the guide. Matthew Broderick trying to nuke Seattle in 1983...analog? 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Wow the Canadian is a snowy run big time for puget sound. A week away, but nice to see. A march 1989 type event at end of Feb. would be amazing! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Sunshine can give you cancer. Snow does not.A lot of things can give you cancer and sunshine is the least of my worries. As along as you don't get sunburn you should be fine. Plus sunshine gives you Vitamin D. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 https://www.facebook.com/1706184170/posts/10205649243946166?sfns=mo 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 What can I say, I'm an extreme weather junkie. Give me the coldest anomalies (cold season) and the hottest anomalies (warm season) humanly possible for my area. I want to freeze in the winter and torch in the summer. ❄☀ What about spring and fall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 It would be crazy to get a regional snow storm again before the month ends and hopefully one that includes down south as well. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 00Z GFS takes things in a different direction. The initial trough that drops over us doesn't cut off, but later on a different cutoff from the west side of the ridge move underneath it and meets the cold airmass. Almost looks like some sort of overrunning event would be possible with that setup. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 18, 2019 Report Share Posted February 18, 2019 It would be crazy to get a regional snow storm again before the month ends and hopefully one that includes down south as well. A regional cold blast followed by an overrunning event would be a cherry on top for this month, and probably leave everyone feeling pretty good about it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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